Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Stock Price Review: Asian Terminals, Inc. (ATI) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


Introduction

Asian Terminals, Inc. (ATI) is a key player in Philippine port operations, handling a significant portion of the country's cargo and logistics services. This stock price review for ATI is based on its daily chart as of February 17, 2025, utilizing our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

TRADE DETAILS: Date: February 17, 2025
Stock: Asian Terminals, Inc. (ATI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily
Closing Price: 16.80
High: 16.90
Low: 16.80
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 16.79
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 18.52

Pullback Under Consideration:
Start of Power Move Date: January 31, 2025
Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 17.40
End of Power Move Date: February 12, 2025
End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 16.30
Power Move Trend: Bearish
Power Move Sweet Spot: 16.91 - 17.13
Current Pullback Level: 45%

Volume Analysis:
Closing Volume on February 17, 2025: 0.25M
65-day volume average: 0.31M
30-day volume average: 0.38M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.8 volume average): 0.55M

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 for a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Asian Terminals, Inc. (ATI) stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025


Asian Terminals, Inc. (ATI) stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

ATI Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
ATI is in a downtrend phase with a bearish power move from January 31, 2025 (17.40) to February 12, 2025 (16.30). The price is below the 200-day MA (18.52), indicating a bearish long-term trend. However, the price is near the 20-day MA (16.79), suggesting short-term consolidation.
➞ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal)

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
ATI is currently below the 200-MA but near the 20-MA, indicating a near location. The pullback level is at 45%, right at the edge of our bullish continuation sweet spot (25%-45%).
➞ Verdict: Wait (Price near sweet spot but needs breakout confirmation)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
No strong green power bars or breakout signals. Volume is at 0.25M, below the target breakout volume of 0.55M.
➞ Verdict: Hold (Lack of breakout signals and volume confirmation)

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
No clear entry signal as price remains in consolidation with low volume.
➞ Verdict: Wait (No confirmed entry signals)

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
A logical stop-loss would be below the recent low of 16.30.
➞ Verdict: Hold (Wait for better risk-to-reward setup)

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
No color change signals indicating a potential reversal.
➞ Verdict: Hold

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
If entering, target exits at 17.40 (previous high) and 17.90 (key resistance).
➞ Verdict: Plan Only

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Re-entry on break above 17.13 with volume confirmation.
➞ Verdict: Wait

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Consider a small tactical entry (10% of position size) on volume-supported breakout.
➞ Verdict: Hold

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
No counter-trend setup as there are no consecutive gap-downs or a 5% drop below the 200-MA.
➞ Verdict: Not Applicable


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Hold and wait for breakout above 17.13 with volume confirmation.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 16.30 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 17.40 and 17.90 for gradual exits.
Position Size Strategy: Start with a small tactical position on confirmed breakout.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 17.13 with volume confirmation before entering.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold and monitor for trend reversal signals.
🔹 Existing holders → Maintain positions with stop-loss at 16.30.

🚨 Final Thought: Volume and breakout confirmation are critical before making any new entries. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Daily and Monthly Charts as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


Introduction

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) is a key logistics and real estate player in the Philippine market. This stock price review analyzes the daily and monthly charts as of February 17, 2025, using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

TRADE DETAILS: Date: February 17, 2025
Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily
Closing Price: PHP 1.58
High: PHP 1.63
Low: PHP 1.57
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): PHP 1.62
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): PHP 1.86

Pullback Under Consideration:
Start of Power Move Date: February 03, 2025
Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): PHP 1.64
End of Power Move Date: February 04, 2025
End of Power Move (0% Pullback): PHP 1.57
Power move trend: Bearish
Power Move Sweet Spot: PHP 1.61 - 1.62
Current Pullback Level: 14%

Volume Analysis:
Closing Volume on February 17, 2025: 720K shares
65-day volume average: 860K shares
30-day volume average: 550K shares
Target Breakout Volume: 1.56M shares

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

ALLHC Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Bearish downtrend with price below the 200-day MA of PHP 1.86. The 20-MA at PHP 1.62 reflects short-term bearish momentum.
➡ Verdict: Wait

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price below both MAs, signaling caution. No ideal entry zone reached.
➡ Verdict: Wait

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume
No power bars or breakout signals; volume below target.
➡ Verdict: Hold

Step 4: Entry Confirmation
No bullish signals or break above PHP 1.61.
➡ Verdict: Wait

Step 5: Stop-Loss & Risk Management
Stop-loss below PHP 1.50.
➡ Verdict: Hold

Step 6: Color Change Signals
No bullish color change.
➡ Verdict: Wait

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies
Target PHP 1.75 and PHP 2.00 on reversal.
➡ Verdict: Hold

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
Watch PHP 1.50 for re-entry.
➡ Verdict: Wait

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
No active positions.
➡ Verdict: Hold

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading
No gap-downs or drops to justify counter-trend trades.
➡ Verdict: Avoid


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Hold until bullish confirmation above PHP 1.61-1.62.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below PHP 1.50.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target PHP 1.75-2.00.
Position Size Strategy: Small position on bullish signals.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for breakout above PHP 1.61-1.62.
🔹 Long-term investors → Monitor PHP 1.50 for entry.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold and avoid adding positions.
🚨 Final Thought: Exercise caution; wait for confirmed bullish reversal. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Thursday, February 13, 2025

Tactical Trade Review: Manila Electric Company (MER) Exit at ₱485.00 and ₱492.60 on February 11-12, 2025 – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Key Learnings from the Stock Price Review
  • Tactical Trade Execution
  • Final Reflections: What This Trade Taught Us

Introduction

Stock trading is a continuous learning process, and our latest execution on Manila Electric Company (MER) – Trade No. 3/20 and 4/20 reflects key insights gained from our Stock Price Review dated February 11, 2025. By applying our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy, we assessed whether MER was positioned for a buy, sell, or hold decision before executing our tactical trades at ₱485.00 on February 11, 2025, and ₱492.60 on February 12, 2025. This post explores how our Stock Price Review findings influenced our trade decision, ensuring a data-driven and disciplined execution.

Daily chart of Manila Electric Co. (MER) as of February 12, 2025, showing price levels, volume analysis, and key moving averages.

Manila Electric Company (MER) Trade Execution – Learning from Stock Price Review for Tactical Decisions

Key Learnings from the Stock Price Review: MER Trade No. 3/20


1. Market State & Trend Context Confirmed a Bullish Structure

Our Stock Price Review established that the 20-MA (₱481.38) was above the 200-MA (₱428.53), reinforcing the overall uptrend structure. The current price was trading above both moving averages, maintaining a bullish context.

  • Impact on our trade: This supported holding MER, but we closely monitored signs of resistance and weakening momentum.

2. Price Position & Retracement Zones Were a Key Consideration

MER had retraced from its high of ₱503.50 down to ₱448.00, marking a 72% pullback. The price range of ₱478.53 - ₱489.63 was identified as the Power Move Sweet Spot, presenting an ideal buying zone.

  • Impact on our trade: We remained patient within this range but executed a sell at ₱485.00 as volume failed to strengthen, signaling a potential risk.

3. Volume Analysis Indicated Weak Momentum

Volume was considerably weak at 103.66K compared to the 65-day volume average of 228.03K. A target breakout volume of 410K was needed for strong confirmation.

  • Impact on our trade: The failure to meet breakout volume led us to exit at ₱485.00 to manage downside risk while considering potential re-entry points.

4. Tactical Position Adjustments Influenced Risk Management

Our position size was adjusted according to market conditions. Initially, we held 50% allocation, ensuring controlled risk exposure within our planned trade execution levels.

  • Impact on our trade: We exited 50% of our position on February 11 at ₱485.00 to mitigate further risk.

5. Candlestick Signals or Lack Thereof Justified the Trade

The stock lacked strong bullish confirmation, with no significant power bars or color change signals appearing on the daily chart.

  • Impact on our trade: The absence of a decisive breakout candle reinforced our decision to lock in gains and secure our capital for potential re-entry at lower levels.


Tactical Trade Execution: SELL at ₱485.00

Following the insights from our Stock Price Review, we executed a sell action aligned with our technical assessment and risk management strategy:

Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)

Trade No. 3/20
Date: February 11, 2025
Action: SELL
Number of Shares: 10
Price: ₱485.00
Net Gain/Loss Since Inception: -₱21.61
Total Shares Held After Trade: 10
Position Size: 50%


Key Learnings from the MER Stock Price Review: MER Trade No. 4/20


1. Market State & Trend Context Confirmed Uptrend

Our stock review established that MER was trading above both the 20-day and 200-day moving averages at ₱485.00, confirming a bullish structure. However, despite this, our Trade No. 4/20 was a SELL, which may seem counterintuitive. The key factor? Resistance at ₱490-₱500 remained a significant hurdle, and price struggled to break higher.

How This Influenced Our Trade:

  • Instead of buying into the resistance, we decided to sell near the upper range of the power move sweet spot at ₱492.60, locking in profits rather than risking a potential pullback.

2. The Pullback Sweet Spot Was a Double-Edged Sword

The stock price had retraced 72% from its previous high of ₱503.50, reaching the ideal buy zone (₱478.53 - ₱489.63). This suggested that buyers could step in at these levels for a potential rebound.

How This Influenced Our Trade:

  • While this zone signaled a possible buy opportunity, the review also highlighted a lack of volume confirmation, meaning breakout potential was weak.
  • Given the uncertainty, we opted to exit our position at ₱492.60, taking advantage of the price recovery without committing to further upside risk.

3. Volume Analysis Indicated Weak Breakout Potential

One of the most critical findings from our Stock Price Review was that MER’s volume was significantly below breakout levels:

  • Closing volume: 103.66K, much lower than the target breakout volume of 410K.
  • 30-day & 65-day volume averages: 220.94K and 228.03K, meaning MER was trading at nearly half its normal volume.

How This Influenced Our Trade:

  • A successful breakout above ₱490.00 required strong volume, which was absent.
  • Selling at ₱492.60 allowed us to exit before potential low-volume price rejection, preventing unnecessary downside exposure.

4. Tactical Position Adjustments Confirmed the Need to Reduce Risk

Our review recommended a controlled position-sizing strategy, advising:

  • Buying only within the ₱478.53 - ₱485.00 range and adding only if MER broke ₱490.00 with volume.

How This Influenced Our Trade:

  • Since volume failed to confirm a breakout, we avoided increasing our position and instead exited fully at ₱492.60, bringing our position size to 0%.

5. Lack of Strong Candlestick Signals Justified a Cautious Exit

Our Stock Price Review noted that:

  • No power bars or breakout signals were present.
  • No strong color change signals indicated a clear trend continuation.

How This Influenced Our Trade:

  • Without bullish confirmation, our best move was to secure profits and step aside rather than hope for an uncertain rally.

Tactical Trade Execution: SELL at ₱492.60

Trade Summary

  • Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
  • Trade No.: 4/20
  • Date: February 12, 2025
  • Action: SELL
  • Number of Shares: 10
  • Price: ₱492.60
  • Net Gain/Loss Since Inception: ₱122.37
  • Total Shares Held After Trade: 0
  • Position Size (% of Allocation): 0%


Final Reflections: What This Trade Taught Us

Our Trade No. 3/20 and 4/20 were direct responses to the lessons from our Stock Price Review: 

✅ We respected resistance and sold near key levels. 

✅ We prioritized volume confirmation and exited when it was weak. 

✅ We managed risk by locking in gains rather than chasing uncertain upside. 

✅ We avoided counter-trend trading, as no major reversal signals were present.

Going forward, we will continue monitoring volume conditions before considering a re-entry into MER.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Stock Price Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Daily Chart as of February 12, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction

  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

  • Final Stock Recommendation

  • Next Steps


Introduction

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) has been one of the most actively traded stocks on the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE), attracting both retail and institutional traders. Given the recent price movement and volume surge, it is crucial to assess whether MONDE presents a buying opportunity or if caution is warranted.

TRADE DETAILS

Date: February 12, 2025
Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily
Closing Price: 8.00
High: 8.05
Low: 7.79
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.22
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.61

Pullback Under Consideration

Start of Power Move: January 2, 2025
Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 8.60
End of Power Move: January 31, 2025
End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 6.65
Power Move Trend: Bearish
Power Move Sweet Spot: 7.72 - 8.11
Market Price To Date: 8.00
Pullback Level To Date: 69%

Volume Analysis (as of February 12, 2025)

Closing Volume: 17.76M
65-day volume average: 6.80M
30-day volume average: 9.00M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.8 volume average): 12.25M

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether MONDE is a Buy, Sell, or Hold opportunity.

MONDE Stock price chart from the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) showing moving averages, volume analysis, and market trends for technical evaluation as of February 12, 2025.

MONDE Stock price chart displaying key technical indicators, including moving averages, volume trends, and price action patterns as of February 12, 2025.



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • MONDE is in a downtrend phase with a bearish power move recorded from January 2, 2025 (8.60) to January 31, 2025 (6.65).

  • The price is below the 200-day MA (9.61), indicating a bearish long-term trend.

  • The stock is trading above the 20-day MA (7.22), suggesting short-term bullish momentum.

  • Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal)

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • The price is currently within the Power Move Sweet Spot (7.72 - 8.11).

  • At 69% pullback, it is near the upper retracement zone, which typically signals a resistance level.

  • Verdict: Hold/Wait (Confirm breakout above 8.11 for long positions)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • Closing volume (17.76M) exceeds the breakout target volume (12.25M), signaling strong buyer interest.

  • Multiple green power bars indicate positive momentum.

  • Verdict: Buy (Breakout confirmation present)

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The stock is attempting a breakout above the Power Move Sweet Spot (8.11).

  • A clean move above 8.11 with volume will confirm an entry signal.

  • Verdict: Buy if price clears 8.11 with strong volume

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss below 7.72 (lower end of the sweet spot) to minimize downside risk.

  • Verdict: Buy with stop-loss below 7.72

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No major bearish reversal signals yet.

  • If price breaks 8.11, bullish confirmation strengthens.

  • Verdict: Buy if momentum sustains

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term target: 8.60 (previous resistance)

  • Mid-range target: 9.00 (psychological level)

  • Verdict: Buy with profit targets at 8.60 and 9.00

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Pullback buy zone: 7.72 - 8.11

  • Verdict: Re-enter on pullbacks within sweet spot if volume holds

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Enter at 8.11 with 50% allocation.

  • Tactical Entry: Additional 10% position above 8.60 breakout.

  • Verdict: Gradual position scaling

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Since the 200-MA is far above (9.61), MONDE is still in a long-term downtrend.

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered if it breaks 9.00 with strong momentum.

  • Verdict: Caution on long-term positions


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Conditions)

Recommendation: Buy at 8.11 if volume sustains and price confirms breakout.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 7.72 to minimize downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target 8.60, mid-range target 9.00.
Position Size Strategy: Enter with 50% core position, scale up on strength.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Watch for breakout confirmation above 8.11 before entering.
🔹 Long-term investors → Only enter if price clears 9.00 with strong volume.
🔹 Existing holders → Consider holding but set stop-loss below 7.72 for risk control.
🚨 Final Thought: The market remains in a bearish trend long-term, so caution is necessary. Wait for confirmation above 8.11 before executing a buy.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Stock Price Review: Manila Electric Co. (MER) Daily Chart as of February 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


Introduction

Manila Electric Co. (MER), a key player in the Philippine power sector, is actively traded on the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). As of February 11, 2025, we analyze the stock using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine whether MER presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on its technical setup.

TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: February 11, 2025
  • Stock: Manila Electric Co. (MER)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Pullback Under Consideration:
    • Start of Power Move Date: January 22, 2025
    • Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): ₱503.50
    • End of Power Move Date: January 31, 2025
    • End of Power Move (0% Pullback): ₱448.00
    • Power Move Trend: Bearish
    • Power Move Sweet Spot: ₱478.53 - ₱489.63
    • Pullback Level To Date: 72%
  • Volume Analysis as of February 11, 2025:
    • Closing Volume: 103.66K
    • 65-day volume average: 228.03K
    • 30-day volume average: 220.94K
    • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.8 volume average): 410K

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 for a structured and data-driven assessment.

MER Stock price chart from the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) showing moving averages, volume analysis, and market trends for technical evaluation as of February 11, 2025.

MER Stock price chart displaying key technical indicators, including moving averages, volume trends, and price action patterns as of February 11, 2025.



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The 20-MA (₱481.38) is above the 200-MA (₱428.53), confirming an uptrend.
  • The current price (₱485.00) is above both moving averages, maintaining a bullish market structure.
  • Verdict: BUY

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • The stock retraced from ₱503.50 to ₱448.00, indicating a strong pullback of 72%, entering a critical retracement zone.
  • The ideal buy zone is ₱478.53 - ₱489.63, where price is currently trading.
  • Verdict: BUY (Within the Power Move Sweet Spot)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The lack of power bars and low volume suggest that MER is consolidating.
  • Volume is weak (103.66K), failing to meet the breakout requirement of 410K.
  • Verdict: WAIT for volume confirmation before entering aggressively.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No strong breakout signal yet.
  • A break above ₱490.00 with volume above 410K would confirm an upward continuation.
  • Verdict: BUY with caution; wait for stronger confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Ideal stop-loss: Below ₱470.00 (recent support).
  • Aggressive stop-loss: Below ₱460.00 (deep retracement level).
  • Verdict: BUY only with a defined stop-loss below ₱470.00.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No major color change signals.
  • Price is consolidating, and momentum needs to shift.
  • Verdict: WAIT for a bullish confirmation candle.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • First target: ₱490.00 (previous resistance).
  • Second target: ₱500.00 (psychological resistance).
  • Third target: ₱510.00 (new highs).
  • Verdict: BUY with targets at ₱490.00-₱510.00.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • First re-entry zone: ₱470.00 (50% retracement level).
  • Second re-entry zone: ₱460.00 (deep pullback).
  • Verdict: HOLD until re-entry at ₱470.00 or ₱460.00.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core Position: 50% entry size at ₱478.00-₱485.00.
  • Tactical Position: Add 10% if price breaks ₱490.00 with volume.
  • Verdict: BUY with controlled position sizing.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Not applicable as the stock is in an uptrend.
  • Verdict: No counter-trend trading required.

Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

Recommendation: Buy near ₱478.53 - ₱485.00 while within the Power Move Sweet Spot.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱470.00 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱490.00, ₱500.00, and ₱510.00 for gradual exits.
Position Size Strategy: Start with a moderate position and add on breakout above ₱490.00 with volume.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for volume breakout above ₱490.00 before adding more shares.
🔹 Long-term investors → Buy within the sweet spot (₱478.53 - ₱489.63) for a strong risk-reward setup.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold with targets at ₱490.00, ₱500.00, and ₱510.00.
🚨 Final Thought: The pullback has reached 72%, making it an attractive buy if volume strengthens. Wait for confirmation. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Friday, February 7, 2025

Strategy for Those Accumulating MER Inside the 460–500 Consolidation Range & Why We Are Not Following It

Key Highlights of the Post:

🔹 Why some traders buy inside consolidation ranges.

🔹 The risks of accumulating before a confirmed breakout.

🔹 Why we follow a breakout strategy—waiting for price confirmation.

🔹 How to decide which strategy best suits your trading approach.

When a stock remains in a tight consolidation range, some traders and investors choose to accumulate shares at support levels in anticipation of a future breakout. In the case of Manila Electric Company (MER), the stock has been trading between 460 and 500 for months, leading some market participants to buy near the lower range (460–470) and sell near resistance (490–500).

While this range trading strategy can be effective for certain traders, we strictly follow a breakout trading approach, meaning we do not enter a position until MER decisively breaks above 500 with volume confirmation. In this post, we’ll discuss:

🔹 Why some traders prefer accumulating inside the range.
🔹 The risks of entering too early before a confirmed breakout.
🔹 Why we wait for a breakout before committing capital.

By understanding the differences between range accumulation vs. breakout trading, traders can better align their strategy with their risk tolerance and market approach.

Ambiance at the Micro Stock Trader place, highlighting the comparison between "Breakout Trading" and "Accumulation Inside the Range

Accumulation vs. Breakout Strategy – What’s the Best Approach for Micro Stock Trader BETA Portfolio



1. The Accumulation Strategy Inside the Range

Some traders and investors choose to accumulate shares while the stock is still trading within a consolidation range (460–500 for MER). This approach is commonly referred to as:

Range Trading (Buying Near Support & Selling Near Resistance)

  • Traders buy at the lower boundary (460–470) and sell near the upper boundary (490–500).
  • This strategy works if the stock remains inside the range for an extended period.
  • Key Risk: If a stock breaks down below the lower range (460), range traders may get trapped in losing positions.

Accumulation Before Breakout

  • Some investors accumulate shares in anticipation of a breakout, assuming institutional buying is happening inside the range.
  • These investors typically have a longer-term horizon and are willing to hold through volatility.

2. Why We Are Not Following This Accumulation Strategy

We are strictly following a Breakout Trading Strategy, meaning:

No Entry Until a Confirmed Breakout

  • Price must clear 500 with volume confirmation before entry.
  • Buying inside the range means taking on risk without confirmation, which goes against the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Avoiding False Signals & Range-Bound Movements

  • MER has failed multiple times to break 500, meaning buyers inside the range may face extended holding periods or capital stagnation.
  • We prioritize momentum trades, where we enter only when strong demand pushes price into a new uptrend.

Risk Management & Efficiency

  • Buying inside the range requires setting a stop-loss below 460, which increases the risk of getting stopped out.
  • Our breakout approach minimizes unnecessary trades, ensuring we deploy capital efficiently only when a high-probability breakout occurs.

Final Takeaway: Breakout Trading vs. Accumulation Inside the Range

📌 Breakout Traders (Our Strategy)Wait for price to break 500 with strong volume.

📌 Range TradersAccumulate near 460–470 and sell at 490–500.

We avoid buying inside the range because we are not speculating on accumulation—we are waiting for confirmation of a strong move above 500 to enter with momentum and reduced downside risk. 🚀


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.


Sa totoo lang, sa bawat higop ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na nagluluto ng lugaw tuwing masama ang pakiramdam mo. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

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