Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | MONDE Stock Price Review

Weekly chart of Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) as of July 15, 2025
MONDE Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Price attempting breakout from recovery zone

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan

Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


 I. Panimula

Ang stock na tinitingnan natin ngayon ay Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) — isa sa mga malalaking food manufacturers sa bansa, kilala sa Lucky Me! at iba pang household brands.

TRADE DETAILS
Date: July 15, 2025
Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱7.94
High: ₱8.14
Low: ₱7.72
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.38
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱10.99

Ang pagsusuring ito ay naka-base sa Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant na ginagamit natin para sa mas estratehikong pagtingin sa presyo ng stock.


 II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
MONDE ay nasa long-term downtrend pa rin. Price ay nasa ibaba ng 200-week MA (₱10.99). Ngunit may signs ng short-term recovery dahil sa price breakout above the 8- at 20-MA.
Verdict: Wait / Early Watch for Reversal

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Current price (₱7.94) is above the 20-MA (₱7.38) and 8-MA (₱7.46), pero below pa rin sa 50-MA (₱8.38) at 200-MA (₱10.99).
Verdict: Wait / Near Breakout Area

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
May sunod-sunod na green candles with good volume recently, lalo na ‘yung bar na tumama sa ₱8.14. May lumalakas na momentum pero hindi pa solid breakout.
Verdict: Watch for Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Technically, confirmation na lang ang kulang: solid close above ₱8.40 with volume would seal a bullish breakout.
Verdict: Watch for Trigger Candle

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Kung papasok sa ₱7.90–₱8.10 range, logical stop-loss ay below ₱7.00 — sa ilalim ng recent higher low support band.
Verdict: Valid Stop Setup

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
May shift from red to green candles in the past 3 weeks. MA crossover ng 8-MA above 20-MA ay bullish early sign.
Verdict: Positive Signal Developing

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Next resistance zones ay ₱8.80, ₱9.80, then ₱10.90. Pwede itong maging stair-step target sa phased exit strategy.
Verdict: Profitable Zone Potential

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Magandang re-entry zone ay kung bumalik sa ₱7.40–₱7.60 range na may reversal bar confirmation.
Verdict: Monitor for Retest Pullback

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Pwede nang pumasok tactically, pero hindi pa buhos — magsimula sa maliit habang di pa confirm ang breakout.
Verdict: Tactical Entry Only

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi applicable ang counter-trend setup ngayon dahil wala pang significant gap-down o extreme undervaluation na below 200-MA ng 5% or more.
Verdict: Not Triggered


 III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / TACTICAL WATCHLIST

Recommendation: Maghanda para sa possible tactical entry around ₱7.80–₱8.10 range kung mag-confirm ang breakout.
Risk Management: Initial stop-loss sa ₱6.90
Profit-Taking Strategy: ₱8.80 → ₱9.80 → ₱10.90
Position Size Strategy: Start with 10%–20% tactical position, magdagdag upon confirmed breakout with volume above ₱8.40.


 IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Huwag muna pumasok hangga't walang breakout confirmation.
🔹 Long-term investors → Puwedeng mag-abang ng dip sa ₱7.40–₱7.60 kung may bullish reversal.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold for now; bantayan ang breakout move above ₱8.40.

🚨 Final Thought: Ang bottoming process ay nagaganap na, pero hindi pa ito kumpirmadong reversal. Wag magmadali. Hintayin ang tunay na breakout. 🚨


V.  Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 board lot = 100 shares)

Layer 1 – Tactical Watchlist Entry
🔹 Buy 100 shares @ ₱7.90 = ₱790
🔹 Rationale: Test positioning kung mag-confirm ang trend shift
🔹 Allocation: ₱1,000 (10%)

Layer 2 – Breakout Confirmation Entry
🔹 Buy 200 shares @ ₱8.50 = ₱1,700
🔹 Rationale: Momentum-based entry above resistance
🔹 Allocation: ₱2,000 (20%)

Layer 3 – Retest Support Entry
🔹 Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.50 = ₱1,500
🔹 Rationale: Reversal confirmation sa support zone
🔹 Allocation: ₱1,500 (15%)

Layer 4 – Full Position Only Upon Reversal Confirmation
🔹 Buy 300 shares @ ₱7.20 = ₱2,160
🔹 Rationale: Full conviction level upon confirmation of higher low
🔹 Allocation: ₱2,160 (20%)

Remaining Cash Buffer:
🔹 ₱3,340 for re-entries, future scaling, or capital protection


VI.  Phased Exit Plan (Profit Targets-Based)

Target 1 – Partial Exit
🔹 Sell 200 shares @ ₱8.80 = ₱1,760
🔹 Rationale: First resistance level reached
🔹 % Exit: 20%

Target 2 – Main Exit
🔹 Sell 300 shares @ ₱9.80 = ₱2,940
🔹 Rationale: Next key resistance
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Target 3 – Final Exit / Long-Term Hold Zone
🔹 Sell 300 shares @ ₱10.90 = ₱3,270
🔹 Rationale: Full resistance stretch
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Remaining 20% – Optional long-term hold if momentum sustains above ₱11.00


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR TACTICAL LIVE PORTFOLIO DASHBOARD

Related Readings


Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | URC Stock Price Review

URC weekly price chart with 20-MA, 50-MA, and 200-MA trend overlays as of July 15, 2025
URC Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 showing bullish recovery phase above short- and mid-term moving averages

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan
  • Final Stock Recommendation



Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


I. Panimula

Ang Universal Robina Corporation (URC) ay isa sa mga top consumer staples sa PSE, kilala sa mga produkto tulad ng C2, Great Taste, at Piattos. Isa itong defensive stock na madalas binabantayan ng mga ethical investors lalo na kung naghahanap ng solid blue-chip plays sa long-term.

TRADE DETAILS:
📅 Date: July 15, 2025
📈 Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
🏛️ Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
🕰️ Timeframe: Weekly
💰 Closing Price: ₱97.30
📌 High: ₱99.40
📌 Low: ₱96.40
📉 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱82.51
📉 50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱83.80
📉 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱112.78

Ang pagsusuri ay base sa Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant na ginagamit dito sa Micro Stock Trader. Tignan natin kung puwede na bang sumabak o antay-antay pa.


II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
URC ay kasalukuyang nasa uptrend recovery phase. May higher lows and higher highs since March 2025. Pero long-term ay bearish pa rin dahil nasa ilalim pa ng 200-MA.
Verdict: HOLD / WATCHLIST – Healthy uptrend pero hindi pa long-term reversal.

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo ay nasa itaas ng 20-MA at 50-MA — bullish sign sa short-to-mid term. Malayo pa sa 200-MA. Nasa mid-recovery zone.
Verdict: WAIT for Better Entry o Accumulate on Retracement.

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Sunud-sunod ang green candles, may magandang momentum. Pero wala pa tayong strong breakout with high volume.
Verdict: HOLD – Hintay ng mas malakas na confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Kung mag-hold ang ₱90–₱92 zone at may price rejection sa baba, magandang pasok yun for tactical long.
Verdict: ACCUMULATE on Dip (₱90–₱92) or BUY on Breakout (>₱100).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Set stop-loss below ₱82, kung saan nandoon ang swing low at malapit sa 20-MA.
Verdict: Stop-Loss = ₱82.00

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Wala pang bearish reversal candle. Tuloy ang bullish momentum.
Verdict: HOLD – Tuloy ang short-term trend.

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Mga dating resistance sa ₱105, ₱110, at ₱115 ay magandang target for partial exits.
Verdict: PLAN partial exits sa key zones.

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kapag bumalik sa ₱88–₱90 range pero nag-hold, magandang re-entry setup.
Verdict: RE-ENTER on Healthy Pullbacks.

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Sa ₱10,000 capital, puwede na ang tactical at core entries — either staged entry on dips o full entry on breakout.
Verdict: Use tactical entry sa retracement, add core on confirmation.

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Wala pa tayong matatawag na panic drop o gap-down below 200-MA na puwedeng i-trade as counter-trend.
Verdict: Not applicable sa ngayon.


III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Recommendation: ACCUMULATE ON DIP around ₱90–₱92 zone.
🚫 Avoid chasing above ₱100 unless may confirmed breakout with volume.
📊 Shariah-compliant stock – good for ethical investing accounts.


IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Kung Tumama (Breaks above ₱100 with volume):

  • Add core position

  • Set target exits: ₱105, ₱110, ₱115

🔹 Kung Sumablay (Breakdown below ₱82):

  • Cut loss agad

  • Re-evaluate sa lower support (₱75 area)


V. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 Board Lot = 100 Shares)

Layer 1 – Tactical Entry
📌 100 shares @ ₱92 = ₱9,200
🎯 Entry zone: Retracement sa confluence ng 20-MA at 50-MA
🛑 Stop-loss: ₱82
🔁 Buffer: ₱800 for re-entry o breakout add

Layer 2 – Core Entry (if may breakout)
📌 100 shares @ ₱100 = ₱10,000
🎯 Entry only on confirmed breakout with volume above ₱100
🛑 Stop-loss: ₱94 or ₱92 depending on candle structure

Layer 3 – Add on Strong Dip
📌 Add another 100 shares @ ₱88 if bumaba pero nag-hold
Optional depende sa price behavior at volatility


VI. Phased Exit Plan

  1. Partial Exit 1: ₱105 → Take 50%

  2. Partial Exit 2: ₱110 → Take 30%

  3. Final Exit: ₱115+ → Take remaining 20%

➡ Use trailing stop kung umabot beyond ₱115 with momentum.


VII. Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / ACCUMULATE on DIP

Recommendation: Accumulate at ₱90–₱92 support zone
Risk Management: Set hard stop-loss below ₱82
Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits sa ₱105–₱115
Position Size Strategy: Start with tactical entry, scale on breakout confirmation


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA) Trade Review: Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Layer 1

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Weekly chart of ARA showing breakout wick and volume spike as of July 15, 2025
Eto na ‘yung buwelo sa weekly—huwag na palampasin.
ARA Weekly Chart Annotated – Hybrid Strategy Trade Review – July 15, 2025


Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review (with 10-Point Score per Step)
  • Paano Natin Ire-reconcile ang June 30 at July 15?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan
  • Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
  • Closing Reflection

Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


I. Panimula

Noong June 30, 2025, sinabi natin: bantayan si ARA sa ₱0.48–₱0.50 zone—kung mag-stabilize doon, pwedeng test entry. Pero hindi siya bumaba. Sa halip, nag-consolidate sa ₱0.51–₱0.53 at ngayong linggo, nag-breakout wick sa ₱0.56 with volume spike na 1.816M shares.
Hindi na tayo nagpatumpik-tumpik—pumasok tayo ngayong hapon sa ₱0.55 for 1,000 shares.

Ibig sabihin? Nag-shift na tayo mula watchlist mode papuntang Layer 1 tactical execution. Gamitin natin ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant para i-evaluate kung tama ba ang pasok natin sa ARA sa weekly time frame.


📌 Trade Snapshot

📅 Petsa ng Trade: July 15, 2025
📈 Stock: Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA)
📉 Entry Price: ₱0.55
📊 Shares: 1,000
💸 Net Amount: ₱551.63 (kasama na fees)
🧭 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
📂 Entry Type: Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
📦 Total Capital Plan: ₱5,000 (1,000-share board lot system)


II. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review (with 10-Point Score per Step)

  1. Market State & Trend Context
    Nasa ilalim pa rin tayo ng 200-MA (₱0.94) = long-term bearish. Pero ang presyo ay bumababad na ngayon sa gitna ng 20 at 50-MA. Bumabuo ng base sa ₱0.51–₱0.56 range.
    Score: 9/10

  2. Price Position & Value Zones
    Sa ₱0.55 entry, tayo ay nasa gitna ng base range—above support, below resistance. Tamang-tama para sa tactical Layer 1 entry.
    Score: 9/10

  3. Power Bars & Volume Shift
    Green candle, breakout wick sa ₱0.56, at may volume spike. May buwelo na kahit wala pang full breakout body.
    Score: 10/10

  4. Entry Confirmation (Actual Execution)
    Executed July 15 – 1,000 shares @ ₱0.55 (₱551.63 total)
    Ayon sa strategy plan, entry dapat either near support (₱0.51–₱0.52) o during early breakout signal (₱0.55–₱0.56). Nasa sweet spot ang pasok natin.
    Score: 9/10

  5. Stop-Loss Policy
    Stop Loss below ₱0.48 swing low = safe. Risk window: ~13% — still within acceptable tactical cut-loss zone.
    Score: 10/10

  6. Color Change Signal
    May bullish bar pero wala pang follow-through breakout. Kaya’t trend confirmation ay kulang pa—kailangan ng susunod na candle.
    Score: 6/10

  7. Profit-Taking Strategy
    🎯 Target 1: ₱0.60
    🎯 Target 2: ₱0.63
    🎯 Final Target: ₱0.70
    Realistic exit zones para sa partial at full sell.
    Score: 9/10

  8. Re-entry Plans
    Maganda ang plano: kung mag-breakout sa ₱0.56 tapos mag-pullback sa ₱0.52–₱0.53, ready tayong magdagdag.
    Score: 9/10

  9. Position Size Planning
    1 board lot entry for tactical Layer 1 = safe exposure. May reserbang kapital para sa Layer 2 at 3.
    Score: 10/10

  10. Ethical & Countertrend Considerations
    Walang unethical catalyst, at kahit speculative ang setup, may structure at volume. Pasok sa ethical tactical trades.
    Score: 9/10


✅ Final Score Summary: 90 / 100

Pasado sa 9 out of 10 steps. Layer 1 tactical entry validated. Clear signs of buwelo kahit wala pang full breakout. Trade execution is aligned with both strategy and current market behavior.


III. Paano Natin Ire-reconcile ang June 30 at July 15?

  • June 30 Plan: Watchlist entry sa ₱0.48–₱0.50 kung mag-hold at may reversal. Walang nangyaring ganon—hindi bumaba ang presyo.

  • July 15 Reality: Sa halip, nag-ipon sa ₱0.51–₱0.53 at nag-breakout wick sa ₱0.56.

  • Kaya ang ₱0.55 trade natin ay hindi late—ito ay timely tactical execution. Strategy must evolve with price behavior.


IV. 🔜 Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Kung Tumama:
Breakout above ₱0.56 next week with good volume → Add 1 board lot @ ₱0.56–₱0.57
Target: ₱0.63, ₱0.70

🔹 Kung Sumablay:
Pag bumasag sa ₱0.48 → Cut-loss agad. Respect strategy.

🔹 For Long-Term Traders:
Dahan-dahan sa buildup. Confirm breakout bago dagdag.


V. 💰 Layered Accumulation Plan

Capital: ₱5,000 | 1 board lot = 1,000 shares

  • Layer 1 – Executed:
    Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.55 = ₱551.63

  • 🔜 Layer 2 – Breakout Add-on:
    Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.56

  • 🔜 Layer 3 – Pullback Re-entry:
    Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.52–₱0.53 if breakout pullback confirms

Max Total: 3,000 shares | Max Exposure: ~₱1,650 | Cash Reserve: ~₱3,350


VI. 🎯 Phased Exit Plan

  • Partial Exit 1 – Gap Fill Zone:
    Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.60 = ₱600

  • Partial Exit 2 – Resistance Zone:
    Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.63 = ₱630

  • Final Exit – Medium-Term Target:
    Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.70 = ₱700

Estimated Total Gross Proceeds: ₱1,930 | Strategy: Profit-lock on strength, re-enter only on strong confirmations.


VII. ✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: Tactical buy confirmed at ₱0.55 based on volume and breakout wick
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.48 to control risk
Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exit at ₱0.60 and ₱0.63, full exit at ₱0.70
Position Size Strategy: 1 board lot base, add only on breakout or pullback confirmation


VIII. 🌾 Closing Reflection

Hindi palaging umaabot ang presyo sa “ideal” entry zone. Pero kung marunong kang bumasa ng buwelo at may plano kang sinusunod—mapapakinabangan mo pa rin ang alon. Ganyan ang tunay na diskarte ng isang Board Lot Warrior.


📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund | Capital Allocation: ₱20,000
Trade Simulation #4 | Shares: 5,000 | Price: ₱0.55| Value: ₱2,750

Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang ARA live trade na ito tungo sa isang simulated trade ng 5,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱0.55. Bahagi ito ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱20,000.

Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.

Board Lot: 1,000 shares
Simulated Shares: 5,000 shares
Simulated Capital at Entry: ₱0.55
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio (₱20,000 Allocation)

🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.


Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR TACTICAL LIVE PORTFOLIO DASHBOARD

Related Readings


Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader | Board Lot Warrior Series – ARA Update | Capital: ₱5,000 | 1 board lot = 1,000 shares

ARA weekly candlestick chart with moving averages and price levels as of July 15, 2025
ARA Weekly Chart (July 15, 2025) – Watch for breakout above ₱0.56

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan

Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


I. Panimula

Ara Properties, Inc. (ARA) ay muling bumida sa ating radar ngayong July 15, 2025 update, kasunod ng naunang pagsusuri noong June 30, 2025, kung saan nagbigay tayo ng "HOLD/WAIT" verdict at tinukoy ang ₱0.55 bilang breakout trigger level. Sa bagong weekly chart na ito, makikita ang isang green candle na may breakout wick sa ₱0.56, sinabayan ng spike sa volume na 1.816M — isang senyales ng renewed buying interest.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: July 15, 2025
Stock: Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly Chart
Closing Price: ₱0.54
High: ₱0.56
Low: ₱0.52
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.55
50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱0.56
8-MA (Near-Term): ₱0.51
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱0.94

Tara, silipin natin kung pasok na ba ang ARA sa criteria ng isang tunay na Board Lot Warrior Entry gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.


II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ARA is still trading way below its 200-MA (₱0.94), confirming a long-term bearish state. Pero ang presyo ngayon ay nakalapit na sa 20 at 50-MA, indicating possible basing or bottoming activity.
Verdict: Wait (needs breakout confirmation)

✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

📍Price is near the 20-MA (₱0.55) and 50-MA (₱0.56), indicating a mid-range setup. Nasa loob pa rin tayo ng potential breakout zone at mukhang nagbo-bottom pa.
Verdict: HOLD/WAIT (but alert for breakout above ₱0.56)

✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

May green candle tayo this week with decent wick sa taas. May volume spike din to support the move. Hindi pa confirmed breakout pero may attempt.
Verdict: BUY on Controlled Pullback (₱0.51–₱0.52 zone)

✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

No confirmed breakout yet sa ₱0.56 level. Pero kung bumalik ang presyo sa ₱0.51–₱0.52 with low volume, pwedeng tactical test entry for bottom reversal.
Verdict: Test Buy sa ₱0.52 (Layer 1)

✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

Initial stop-loss natin ay sa ilalim ng swing low support band – below ₱0.48. Kapag nabasag ito, invalidated ang thesis.
Verdict: SL below ₱0.48

✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

Walang solid confirmation candle pa, pero napansin ang pagtatangkang makaalis sa ilalim ng consolidation. Kailangan ng follow-through candle next week.
Verdict: WAIT for follow-through

✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

First short-term target: ₱0.60–₱0.63 (gap fill)
Next target: ₱0.68
Max medium-term target: ₱0.70
Verdict: Prepare to trim gradually if price reaches ₱0.63+

✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

If nabasag ang ₱0.56 then bumalik sa ₱0.52 area, maganda itong re-entry zone.
Verdict: Yes, re-entry allowed at ₱0.52–₱0.53 after breakout

✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

Core Position: Start with 1 board lot (₱510–₱520 range)
Tactical Position: 1 board lot din kung may second dip
Verdict: Use small tactical entry (1–2 board lots)

✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

Wala tayong 2 gap-downs or >5% breakdown below 200-MA recently. Pero dahil speculative at bottom-fishing ang setup, apply tighter risk controls.
Verdict: Okay for ethical tactical entry


III. Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD with Tactical Entry Bias

Recommendation: Tactical Buy near ₱0.52 kung mag-hold ang support at may calm volume
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.48
Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial trims at ₱0.60–₱0.63, full exit sa ₱0.70
Position Size Strategy: Start with 1 board lot only, add if confirmed breakout above ₱0.56 next week


IV. 🔜 Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Kung Tumama:
Kapag nabasag ang ₱0.56 with strong candle next week → add 1 more board lot
Target: ₱0.63–₱0.70 range

🔹 Kung Sumablay:
Kung bumalik sa ₱0.48–₱0.49, cut-loss na. Wag ipilit. Wait for fresh base.

🔹 Alert for Long-Term Traders:
Position building is allowed with caution. Huwag all-in agad. Confirm muna ang reversal.


V. 💰 Layered Accumulation Plan

Capital: ₱5,000 | 1 board lot = 1,000 shares

  • Layer 1 – Tactical Entry:
    Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.52 = ₱520

  • Layer 2 – Confirmation Buy (Breakout):
    Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.56 = ₱560

  • Layer 3 – Re-entry on Pullback After Breakout:
    Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.53 = ₱530

Total: 3,000 shares | Max Cost: ₱1,610 | Reserve Cash: ₱3,390


VI. 🎯 Phased Exit Plan

  • Partial Exit 1 – Gap Fill:
    Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.60 = ₱600

  • Partial Exit 2 – Key Resistance:
    Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.63 = ₱630

  • Final Exit – Medium-Term Target:
    Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.70 = ₱700

Estimated Gross Returns: ₱1,930 – ₱1,970
Strategy: Profit-lock on strength, re-enter only if breakout is strong.


Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR TACTICAL LIVE PORTFOLIO DASHBOARD

Related Readings


Sunday, July 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: 8 REITs Weekly Chart Series as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITS Series

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITS Series
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Review Series – Weekly Market Snapshot as of July 11, 2025

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan



I. Panimula

Sa linggong ito, sabay-sabay nating sinilip ang galaw ng walong Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sa Philippine Stock Exchange gamit ang ating Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

TRADE DETAILS:

📅 Date: July 11, 2025

📈 Stocks Reviewed:

Shariah-Compliant

For Public Awareness

⏱️ Timeframe: Weekly Chart

📊 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

👉 Tingnan dito ang kabuuang proseso:


II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Gamit ang weekly charts as of July 11, 2025, ito ang buod ng mga insights natin mula sa 10-step analysis:

✅ Shariah-Compliant REITs

CREIT – Stable pa rin ang trend. May signs ng controlled pullback na pabor sa long-term buyers.
Verdict: BUY on Controlled Pullback

DDMPR – Sideways movement, pero may support sa ₱1.00–₱1.05 area.
Verdict: HOLD / ACCUMULATE ON DIPS

MREIT – Malapit sa dating support zone at may signs ng possible bounce.
Verdict: BUY on pullback

PREIT – Nagko-consolidate pa rin. Hintayin muna ang clear breakout above ₱2.33.
Verdict: WAIT

RCR – May recent breakout from support zone. Maganda ang long-term accumulation zone.
Verdict: BUY on Pullback


📝 For Public Awareness

AREIT – Pwede mag-test buy sa ₱40 area, pero huwag muna full commit.
Verdict: HOLD/WAIT with Tactical Readiness

FILRT – Reversal pattern starting to form. Good for early accumulation.
Verdict: BUY (Test Buy for Long-Term Accumulation)

VREIT – Consolidating near mid-range. Monitor ₱1.84–₱1.85 zone.
Verdict: HOLD/WAIT


III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

✅ Shariah-Compliant

  • CREIT: BUY on Controlled Pullback (Entry: ₱3.30 - ₱3.44 | 1,000 shares)

  • DDMPR: HOLD / ACCUMULATE ON DIPS (Entry: ₱1.03 - ₱1.05 | 1,000 shares)

  • MREIT: BUY on pullback (Entry: ₱13.50 - ₱13.80 | 100 shares)

  • PREIT: Antayin ang bullish reversal above ₱2.33 with volume (Entry: ₱2.20 - ₱2.25 | 1,000 shares)

  • RCR: BUY on Pullback (Entry: ₱6.65 - ₱7.00 | 100 shares)

📢 For Public Awareness

  • AREIT: Tactical Buy sa ₱40 pero wag muna full commit (Entry: ₱40.00 - ₱40.50 | 100 shares)

  • FILRT: BUY (Test Buy for Long-Term Accumulation | Entry: ₱3.10 - ₱3.25 | 1,000 shares)

  • VREIT: HOLD/WAIT; monitor ₱1.84–₱1.85 zone (Entry: ₱1.84 - ₱1.86 | 1,000 shares)


IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay (Long-Term Focus)

✅ Shariah-Compliant

  • CREIT: Peso-Cost-Averaging (PCA) sa ₱3.30–₱3.44 area

  • DDMPR: Accumulate gradually with risk control

  • MREIT: Test buy around ₱13.50–₱13.80

  • PREIT: Watch ₱2.20 support for bounce

  • RCR: Accumulate near ₱7.00 to ₱6.65

📢 For Public Awareness

  • AREIT: Tactical buy sa ₱40 area, pero wait for confirmation

  • FILRT: Early stage of reversal – test buy ok

  • VREIT: Monitor ₱1.84–₱1.85 for possible tactical test buy


V. Layered Accumulation Plan

(Based sa suggested entry prices with minimum board lot per stock)

✅ Shariah-Compliant

  • CREIT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱3.44 = ₱3,440

  • DDMPR: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱1.05 = ₱1,050

  • MREIT: Buy 100 shares @ ₱13.60 = ₱1,360

  • PREIT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱2.25 = ₱2,250

  • RCR: Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱1,400

📢 For Public Awareness

  • AREIT: Buy 100 shares @ ₱40.00 = ₱4,000

  • FILRT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱3.25 = ₱3,250

  • VREIT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱1.85 = ₱1,850


VI. Phased Exit Plan

Guided by Tactical Position Management Approach

  • Partial Exit near Resistance

  • Use Color Change + Volume Clues

  • Gradual Trim sa mga breakout extension


✅ Final Thought

📌 Review Reminder:

Ang ilan sa mga REITs na ating tiningnan ay hindi kasalukuyang kabilang sa Shariah-compliant list

Kaya't tandaan:
👉 For public awareness lang po ito.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na rekomendasyon sa pagbili.
👉 At higit sa lahat, disiplina at sariling desisyon pa rin ang uunahing sandata ng bawat Board Lot Warrior.

📣 Bottomline:

Kung long-term investor ka, maraming REITs ang nagpe-present ng opportunity ngayong mid-2025 habang nasa consolidation stage. Piliin lang ang may malinaw na trend support, volume confirmation, at pasok sa diskarte mo.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog
Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

Mainam Basahin:

Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.



GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.


Sa totoo lang, sa bawat higop ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na nagluluto ng lugaw tuwing masama ang pakiramdam mo. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

Featured Post

Jimmy Series Reflection – Week 1: Lesson of the First Loss

Board Lot Warrior › Jimmy Series › ₱5,000 Seed › Reflection › Unang Realized Loss sa MREIT Week 1 Reflection: - ₱55.44 loss sa MREIT, pero...