Sunday, January 26, 2025

MREIT Inc. (PSE) Daily Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025

Introduction

MREIT Inc. (PSE: MREIT) is under technical evaluation as of January 24, 2025, following the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy. This analysis aims to determine potential trading opportunities based on trend structure, retracement levels, and key indicators.

MREIT Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

MREIT Daily Chart Analysis – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Trade Details

Stock Name and Ticker: MREIT Inc. (PSE: MREIT)
Timeframe: Daily Chart
Market Trend: Neutral to Slightly Bullish
Price Position: Above the 200-day MA (13.21) and near the 20-day MA (13.45)
Significant Support & Resistance Levels:
- Support: 13.18 (0% Pullback), 13.21 (200-day MA)
- Resistance: 13.61 (50% Bullish Reversal), 13.83 (75% Bullish Reversal), 14.04 (100% Pullback)

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

MREIT is transitioning from a downtrend (marked by a descending trendline) to a consolidation phase.
The price is stabilizing above the 200-day MA, suggesting potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position & Retracement Levels

The stock is between key retracement levels:
- 50% Bullish Reversal at 13.61 is acting as immediate resistance.
- 0% Pullback at 13.18 serves as key support.

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

The recent price action shows a series of small-bodied candles, indicating a lack of strong momentum.
Volume is relatively low (91.3K), meaning no aggressive buying or selling is occurring.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

A clear breakout above 13.61 (50% Bullish Reversal Level) with strong volume would be needed for a bullish entry.
A rejection at this level could confirm continued sideways movement.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Conservative traders can place a stop-loss slightly below 13.21 (200-day MA).
Aggressive traders may use 13.18 (0% Pullback Level) as a cut-off.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

The price is currently holding near the 20-day MA, with a slight bullish bias.
A strong green candle closing above 13.61 would confirm upside momentum.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

Short-term profit target: 13.83 (75% Bullish Reversal).
Extended target: 14.04 (100% Pullback Level).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

If the stock pulls back to the 20-day MA (13.45) and holds, it could offer a better re-entry opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

A break below 13.18 signals weakness and could trigger a bearish move.
A sustained hold above 13.61 would suggest strength and a potential retest of 13.83.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

If the price strongly rejects the 50% Bullish Reversal (13.61) with high volume, a short position may be considered.

Final Trade Assessment

Bullish Case: A breakout above 13.61, with volume support, could lead to a move toward 13.83 or even 14.04.
Bearish Case: A rejection at 13.61 or a breakdown below 13.21 (200-day MA) could signal downside risk.
Neutral Bias: Current sideways movement suggests waiting for confirmation before entering a trade.

Next Steps

Monitor for a breakout above 13.61 or a retest of 13.21.
Watch volume levels for confirmation.
Upcoming market events or broader index trends may impact price movement.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Significant Support & Resistance Levels:
- Support: ₱0.90 (0% Pullback Level)
- Resistance Levels:
  - ₱1.02 (20-MA) – Short-term barrier
  - ₱1.45 (50% Bullish Reversal Pullback) – Strong mid-range resistance
  - ₱1.72 (75% Bullish Reversal Pullback) – High-level resistance
  - ₱1.99 (100% Pullback) – Full retracement level

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

FNI remains in a strong downtrend, as the 200-MA at ₱1.48 acts as long-term resistance.
The stock bounced off the ₱0.90 support level but is now facing resistance at ₱1.02 (20-MA).

Step 2: Assess Price Position & Retracement Levels

FNI is trading between the 20-MA and its support at ₱0.90, meaning price action is indecisive.
The failure to break above ₱1.02 (20-MA) could signal another decline.

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

The recent green candle (+2.00%) lacks strong volume, suggesting weak bullish conviction.
The previous failed breakout near ₱1.10 reinforces the bearish sentiment.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

Buyers: A breakout above ₱1.02 (20-MA) could lead to ₱1.10–₱1.20 short-term targets.
Sellers: A rejection at ₱1.02 or ₱1.10 confirms further downside.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Bullish traders: Stop-loss below ₱0.88 (below support).
Bearish traders: Stop-loss above ₱1.10 (above minor resistance).

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

A bullish confirmation requires a strong breakout above ₱1.02 and ₱1.10 with volume.
Failure to close above ₱1.02 will reinforce the bearish bias.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

If a bullish breakout occurs, take profits near ₱1.45.
If bearish rejection happens, ₱0.90 remains the target for a retest.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

Bullish traders can re-enter on a successful retest of ₱1.02 as support.
Bearish traders can short near ₱1.10 or ₱1.45 if resistance holds.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Monitor 20-MA and 200-MA as trend indicators.
Only hold long positions if price stays above ₱1.02.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

Short opportunities exist at ₱1.10 and ₱1.45 if rejection occurs.
Bullish reversal only confirmed if price moves above ₱1.48 (200-MA).

Final Trade Assessment

Bias: Still bearish unless price sustains above ₱1.02 and ₱1.10.
Best Play for Bulls: Wait for a confirmed breakout above ₱1.10 with volume.
Best Play for Bears: Short near ₱1.02 or ₱1.10 with a target of ₱0.90.

Next Steps

Monitor Price Action at the 20-MA (₱1.02)
- A strong close above ₱1.02 could indicate early reversal.
- A rejection will likely send price back to ₱0.90.
Watch for Resistance Rejection at ₱1.10 and ₱1.45
- If price fails at these levels, expect continued downtrend.
Adjust Trading Strategy Accordingly
- Long trades only above ₱1.10.
- Short positions valid below ₱1.02.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Evaluating MER’s Closing Chart Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Trade Details

Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
Market: PSE (Philippine Stock Exchange)
Timeframe: 1-Day (Daily)
Closing Price: ₱486.00 (-1.42%)
Day’s Range: ₱486.00 - ₱494.40
20-MA: ₱484.71 (Short-Term Trend)
200-MA: ₱421.92 (Long-Term Trend)
Volume: 164.98K (SMA 9)

Manila Electric Company (MER) stock chart with moving averages and retracement levels marked for analysis.

MER stock price analysis on January 24, 2025, showing key pullback levels and trend indicators.

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Trend: MER remains in an uptrend as the price is above both the 20-day moving average (₱484.71) and the 200-day moving average (₱421.92).
Positioning: The price remains in a consolidation phase near the previous resistance of ₱500. However, a pullback from recent highs suggests some short-term selling pressure.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Moving Averages & Key Levels

The price is trading slightly above the 20-MA, indicating that the short-term trend remains intact.
The 50% Sweet Spot Pullback level is ₱476.85, which could serve as a potential support zone.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

No strong green power bars are present in the latest price action.
The recent red candles indicate a retracement, but the price is still holding above the 20-MA, suggesting a healthy pullback rather than a reversal.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

The price is currently near the 25% Sweet Spot Pullback (₱490.18).
If a bullish reversal forms in the next session, it could signal an entry opportunity.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Stop-loss should be set below the 50% pullback level (₱476.85).
A deeper retracement towards ₱450.20 (100% pullback) would indicate a trend failure.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

A bullish reversal candle (green bar) near the 25%-50% pullback zone would confirm a potential buy signal.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

First target: ₱503.50 (Recent high)
Second target: ₱510+ (Breakout potential)

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

If MER retests the ₱476.85 level and bounces, another entry opportunity may emerge.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Larger positions can be taken near the 33%-50% retracement zone (₱476-₱490).
If the price falls below ₱450, the trend would likely be invalidated.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

Since MER is in an uptrend, counter-trend trades are not advisable unless a complete trend reversal occurs.

Final Trade Assessment

✅ Bullish Outlook: Despite the pullback, the price remains above key support levels and the short-term moving average.

⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:

Support: ₱484.71 (20-MA), ₱476.85 (50% pullback)
Resistance: ₱503.50 (previous high), ₱510 (breakout level)

📌 Strategy Moving Forward:

Watch for a bullish reversal candle near ₱476-₱490.
Enter with confirmation and set a stop-loss below ₱476.85.
First target: ₱503.50; Second target: ₱510+.

Next Steps

Traders should monitor if MER stabilizes near the 25%-50% pullback zone.
A bounce above ₱490 would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
A break below ₱476 would indicate further downside risk.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Saturday, January 25, 2025

Evaluating RFM Corporation (PSE) Closing Chart Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Price is at the 20-MA level, which acts as dynamic support.
The 200-MA is far below, reinforcing the bullish long-term trend.
Pullback Zones Identified:
- 0% Pullback: 3.70 PHP
- 50% Bullish Reversal Pullback: 3.87 PHP
- 75% Bullish Reversal Pullback: 3.96 PHP
- 100% Pullback: 4.04 PHP

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

The price recently broke out above key resistance levels and is now pulling back.
A mid-range retracement is in progress, aligning with a 50% pullback zone.
No significant bearish power bars yet, suggesting support might hold.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

The stock is testing the 20-MA as support.
A reversal signal (e.g., a green candlestick with volume confirmation) at the 50%-75% retracement zone could be an entry trigger.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Logical Stop-Loss: Below 3.87 PHP (50% pullback).
Aggressive Stop-Loss: Below 3.70 PHP (0% pullback), which invalidates the uptrend.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

If the next candle turns green with a bullish close above the 20-MA, this would strengthen the buying signal.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

Short-term target: 3.96 PHP (75% pullback level)
Medium-term target: 4.04 PHP (previous high, 100% pullback level)

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

If the stock bounces off the 50% retracement (3.87 PHP) and then dips again, a re-entry could be possible.
A break below 3.70 PHP would invalidate the bullish setup.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Larger position size if the price holds above the 20-MA.
Smaller position size if the price approaches the 50% retracement zone.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

A 100% retracement breakdown (below 3.70 PHP) would suggest a trend failure, triggering a bearish stance.

Final Trade Assessment

Bullish Bias: The uptrend remains intact, as long as the price holds above the 50% pullback level (3.87 PHP) and the 20-MA (3.92 PHP).
Key Level to Watch: A strong green reversal candle at or above 3.87 PHP with volume confirmation.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: If bullish confirmation appears near 3.87 PHP.
- Stop-Loss: Below 3.70 PHP.
- Target: 3.96 PHP (short-term) and 4.04 PHP (full recovery).

Allocation & Deployment Score: 7.8/10 (Effective allocation with potential for further diversification.)
Cash Balance: 39% (Liquidity maintained for flexibility)
Stock Holdings:
- Universal Robina Corporation (URC): 21%
- RL Commercial REIT, Inc. (RCR): 23%
- DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR): 10%
- Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT): 7%
- Other Stocks (MONDE, ALLHC, ATI): 0%

The allocation reflects our move toward broader diversification among Shariah-compliant stocks and REITs, in line with our Phase 2 objective of testing the strategy across multiple tickers.

3. Phase 2 Trading Parameters & Progress

Trading Execution Score: 8.7/10 (Excellent compliance with entry and exit rules.)
Objective: Execute 20 trades with strict adherence to the strategy.
Key Holdings at Phase 2 Entry:
- URC: 50 shares
- RCR: 1,000 shares
Number of Trades Executed in Phase 2: 4/20 completed

We are sticking to our strategy without deviation, ensuring every trade aligns with our retracement-based entry zones, stop-loss adjustments, and position sizing rules.

4. Market Observations & Next Steps

Market Adaptation & Strategy Adjustment Score: 8.1/10 (Good trade adjustments with minimal impact from market fluctuations.)
Drawdown Management: While early results show a 4.82% realized loss, unrealized losses remain minimal, reinforcing the importance of risk control.
Trade Adjustments:
- URC continues to be a core position, and we will assess further retracements for potential reinforcement.
- RCR remains a high-priority holding due to its technical setup and alignment with the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy.
- DDMPR and PREIT holdings will be monitored for additional scaling opportunities.
Upcoming Trades: The next batch of trades will further diversify the portfolio, keeping strict adherence to the system’s rules.

5. Final Thoughts: The Road Ahead

Overall Execution & Strategy Adherence Score: 8.4/10 (Steady progression with disciplined execution and adaptability.)

Phase 1 validated our strategy's framework and risk controls, even as minor missteps shaped our adjustments. Now, Phase 2 is fully operational, and the next 16 trades will determine how effectively our strategy performs across different market conditions.

Our focus remains on data-driven execution, ensuring that each trade strictly follows the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy. We will continue monitoring, refining, and adapting while maintaining a disciplined, ethical trading approach.

With 4 of the planned 20 trades completed, we are fully committed to seeing this phase through with precision and discipline. The next update will provide insights into how our strategy performs as we progress through the remainder of Phase 2.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Friday, January 24, 2025

ATI Intra-Day Chart Evaluation – Buy or Sell Decision

Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
Date: January 24, 2025
Closing Price: ₱17.02
High: ₱17.46
Low: ₱16.34
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱16.81
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱18.61
Price Movement: Potential trend reversal with strong volume
Volume: 159.2K, significantly higher than previous sessions

Stock chart of ATI showing price reversal above 20-MA with increased volume and key resistance levels.

ATI Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ATI has been in a clear downtrend for several months, with price consistently trading below the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, today’s strong green candle, breaking above the 20-MA with high volume, signals a potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

Price broke above the 20-MA (₱16.81), suggesting a short-term momentum shift.
The 200-MA (₱18.61) is still above, meaning the long-term trend is bearish.
Resistance levels:
- First resistance: ₱17.50 (recent swing high)
- Major resistance: ₱18.00-₱18.50 (near 200-MA)
Support levels:
- Immediate support: ₱16.80 (20-MA)
- Stronger support: ₱16.30 (recent low)

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

A strong green power bar suggests high buying pressure.
Volume is significantly higher, confirming potential institutional accumulation.
No major retracement yet, but price holding above ₱16.80 is crucial for further upside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

Ideal entry range: ₱16.80-₱17.00, as price recently cleared the 20-MA.
A pullback to ₱16.50-₱16.80 would provide a higher probability entry.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Stop-loss below ₱16.80 for short-term traders.
A wider stop at ₱16.30 for a more conservative risk approach.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

If price closes above ₱17.00 with another green candle on Monday, it confirms the reversal strength.
A red candle close below ₱16.80 would signal weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

First target: ₱17.50, a key resistance zone.
Second target: ₱18.00, a pre-breakdown level.
Final target: ₱18.60-₱19.00, near the 200-MA resistance.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

If price retraces to ₱16.80, a second entry for additional shares can be considered.
A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another buying opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Increase position if price clears ₱17.50.
Reduce exposure if price struggles below ₱16.80.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

No counter-trend trade setup, as today’s price action signals an early-stage reversal.

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

✅ Recommendation: BUY today at ₱16.80-₱17.00, given the breakout above the 20-MA with strong volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱16.80 to protect against downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱17.50, ₱18.00, and ₱18.60 for gradual exits.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a moderate position and add if momentum continues above ₱17.50.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action at ₱17.50. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱17.50, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱16.80. If the stock fails to hold the breakout, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱16.80 or lower, reassess for a second entry.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

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Pages

Sunday, January 26, 2025

Contents:

Introduction

Trade Details

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Assess Price Position & Retracement Levels

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

Final Trade Assessment

Next Steps

Related Readings

Contents:

Introduction

Trade Details

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Assess Price Position & Retracement Levels

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

Final Trade Assessment

Next Steps

Related Readings

Contents:

Evaluating MER’s Closing Chart Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Trade Details

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Moving Averages & Key Levels

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

Final Trade Assessment

Next Steps

Related Readings

Saturday, January 25, 2025

Contents:

Trade Details

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to MAs & Key Levels

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

Final Trade Assessment

Contents:

Phase 2 of Strategy Testing: Strict Execution Begins

1. Portfolio Performance

2. Portfolio Allocation & Capital Deployment

3. Phase 2 Trading Parameters & Progress

4. Market Observations & Next Steps

5. Final Thoughts: The Road Ahead

Related Readings

Friday, January 24, 2025

Contents:

Trade Details

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review