Panimula: Re-entry sa Presyo ng Suporta
Noong August 15 review, sinabi natin HOLD at hintayin ang malinaw na senyales sa ₱0.48–₱0.50 support zone. Ngayon, August 20 P.M. session, nagpasya tayong pumasok muli—bumili ng 10,000 shares sa ₱0.50 bilang tactical reinforcement ng Layer 2 entry.
Kung ikukumpara sa August 15 candle (close at ₱0.49, weak red), ang latest candle ay green close sa ₱0.50, na nagpapakita ng maliit pero mahalagang paghawak ng support. Hindi pa reversal, pero magandang pagkakataon para subukan ang bounce habang malinaw ang stop-loss.
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
📅 Date: August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session)
📈 Stock: Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA)
📊 Exchange: PSE
🕒 Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
💰 Closing Price: ₱0.50
📌 High: ₱0.50
📌 Low: ₱0.46
📌 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱0.53
📌 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱0.55
📌 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱0.92
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Still bearish overall (below 200-MA). Pero support zone ₱0.48–₱0.50 held.
➡ Verdict: WATCH
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 2: Price Position & Value Zones
Price is near bottom support, still below 20/50 MAs. Positioning is weak but low-risk for tactical buy.
➡ Verdict: CONDITIONAL BUY
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Weak green candle, not a power bar, pero at least hindi na red continuation.
➡ Verdict: WEAK SIGNAL
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation
Executed tactical buy at ₱0.50, aligned with support test plan.
➡ Verdict: BUY EXECUTED
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy
Hard stop remains below ₱0.48. Risk window clear.
➡ Verdict: VALID
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals
Green candle, but no follow-through sequence yet. Early stage.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR NEXT BAR
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking
Targets unchanged: ₱0.60 / ₱0.63 / ₱0.70. Delayed pa rin.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans
Next add only if breakout above ₱0.56–₱0.57 with volume.
➡ Verdict: CONDITIONAL ADD
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning
Now holding 2 layers (₱0.55 + ₱0.50). Half allocation deployed, still within safe zone.
➡ Verdict: MODERATE EXPOSURE
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
No red flags, speculative small cap, still acceptable under halal rules.
➡ Verdict: ETHICAL OK
✅ Score: 8/10
🧮 Total Score: 74/100
(Umakyat ng kaunti mula 70/100 noong Aug 15 dahil sa actual support buy execution.)
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Sakto ang pasok sa ₱0.50—parang bumili ng isda sa mismong pampang, hindi na kailangan lumangoy ng malayo. Pero tandaan: madulas ang bato sa tabing-ilog, kaya’t laging nakahanda ang kamay sa hawak ng stop-loss.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Range: ₱0.48–₱0.50 (executed support buy)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Below ₱0.48 (hard stop)
📌 Target Prices: ₱0.60 / ₱0.63 / ₱0.70
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only above ₱0.56 breakout with volume
📌 Position Strategy: 2 layers active (₱0.55 + ₱0.50), cash buffer intact
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱20,000 Allocation)
-
Layer 1 – Executed (July 15): ₱0.54–₱0.56 zone (5,000 shares @ ₱0.55 = ₱2,750)
-
Layer 2 – Executed (Aug 20): ₱0.48–₱0.50 zone (10,000 shares @ ₱0.50 = ₱5,000)
-
Layer 3 – Breakout Add-on: ₱0.56–₱0.58 zone (10,000 shares ≈ ₱5,700)
Total Commitment if Full: ₱13,450
Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱6,550
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
-
Partial Exit 1: ₱0.59–₱0.61 (5,000 shares)
-
Partial Exit 2: ₱0.62–₱0.64 (10,000 shares)
-
Final Exit: ₱0.69–₱0.71 (5,000 shares)
-
Hard Stop: Below ₱0.48
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Tactical BUY executed at ₱0.50 near support. HOLD current 2 layers.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱0.48 remains.
✅ Profit Strategy: ₱0.59–₱0.61 / ₱0.62–₱0.64 / ₱0.69–₱0.71 phased exits.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Moderate position; add only if breakout confirmed above ₱0.56.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Sa diskarte ng maliit na kapital, mahalaga ang timing ng support buys. Ang pasensya ang puhunan—pero ang disiplina sa stop-loss ang tunay na proteksiyon.
📌 Trade Simulation Update #14 – Subok Series
Date: August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session)
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund
Overall Allocation: ₱20,000
Active Positions:
-
5,000 shares @ ₱0.55 (–9%)
-
10,000 shares @ ₱0.50 (flat)
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment
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Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”
Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.
Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.
Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”
Capital Allocation: ₱400,000
Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strong, ethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses.
Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.
Objective: To generate passive income from a selection of halal-screened REITs and dividend-paying companies that pass ethical and Shariah filters.
Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.
Objective: To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.
Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.
Objective: To execute short- to mid-term tactical trades using ₱10,000 per board lot based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, with real money and real-time conviction—under the mindset of a Board Lot Warrior.
Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.
Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:
- 📉 Market patience
- 🤲 Giving opportunities
- ⚠️ Emergency trades
- 🛑 Delayed entry signals
- 💔 Life’s unplanned tests
This fund is not for stock picks.
This is for the moments when you choose not to act, because the best decision is sometimes to wait, or give.
Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus VariantOptimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth
4 na Yugto ng Hybrid 10-Step StrategyKumpletong Trade Cycle ng Isang Board Lot Warrior
Categorized for Halal & Ethical Investing List of Shariah-Compliant Stocks at PSE (As of December 25, 2024)
Tension-Resilient Stocks Series7 Shariah-Compliant Stocks na Tension-Resilient Kapag Tumitindi ang Init: USA vs Russia Edition
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