HALAL CORE GROWTH PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Panimula: Testing Support, Adding Conviction
Noong August 15 review, sinabi natin na si MONDE ay parang jeep na nagmenor—nasa ₱7.15 close, nasa ilalim ng 8MA at 20MA, at kailangan pang magpatunay kung kaya talagang umangat muli. Ang bilin noon: bantayan ang ₱7.00, dahil kapag nabutas ito, atras agad.
Ngayong August 20 (P.M. Session), nagpatunay ang ₱7.00–₱7.20 support zone. Kaya’t sinunod natin ang plano: nag-execute ng Layer 2 buy sa ₱7.18 (1,200 shares = ₱8,616), bukod sa naunang Layer 1 buy noong July 16 sa ₱7.80 (400 shares). Unti-unti nang nabubuo ang posisyon, pero malinaw na disiplina at pasensya ang puhunan habang hindi pa kumpirmado ang reversal.
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₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
TRADE DETAILS
- Date: August 20, 2025
- Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
- Exchange: PSE
- Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
- Closing Price: ₱7.20
- High: ₱7.27
- Low: ₱7.18
- 20-MA: ₱7.38
- 50-MA: ₱8.17
- 200-MA: ₱10.73
📊 Observations:
- Price held the ₱7.00–₱7.20 support zone.
- 8MA (₱7.47) and 20MA (₱7.38) still overhead resistance.
- Volume soft (~6M), walang malakas na akumulasyon signal.
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Bottoming stage pa rin, long-term bearish (below 200MA).
➡ Verdict: Test-Buy / Cautious Hold
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
At ₱7.20, nasa defensive value zone.
➡ Verdict: Accumulate on dips
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Small-bodied candle, neutral. No strong volume.
➡ Verdict: Observe
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Tech + Fundamentals)
Support zone defended, fundamentals steady.
➡ Verdict: Conditional buy
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy
₱7.00 remains hard stop.
➡ Verdict: Maintain
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
No sustained green reversal candles.
➡ Verdict: No confirmation
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Growth Cycles
No profit-taking yet; base building pa.
➡ Verdict: Hold
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Dips
Layer 2 buy executed at ₱7.18; next add ₱7.50.
➡ Verdict: Stick to plan
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning
Exposure ₱11,736 = 8% of ₱150K. Safe.
➡ Verdict: Controlled
✅ Score: 10/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
Halal consumer stock, defensive sector.
➡ Verdict: Qualified
✅ Score: 9/10
🧮 Total Score: 77/100
(Up from 74/100 noong August 15 dahil nakapag-hold sa support at may conviction buy.)
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Mga kabayan, si MONDE ay parang bangka na dumikit sa pampang—hindi pa lumalayo, pero hindi rin lumulubog. Pinatunayan ng ₱7.00 support na may kapit, kaya’t dinagdagan natin ang sakay. Pero tandaan, hindi pa ito buong alon—hintayin ang bugso bago magdagdag pa ng lakas.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Zones:
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₱7.00–₱7.20 (activated, executed Layer 2)
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₱7.50 retest (Layer 3)
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₱8.20–₱8.40 breakout add (Layer 4)
📌 Stop-Loss:
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₱7.00 hard stop, exit lahat kung mabasag.
📌 Target Prices:
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₱8.40 early trim (20%)
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₱9.20–₱9.40 major exit (30%)
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₱10.20–₱10.50 full exit zone (30%)
📌 Position Strategy:
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Current exposure: 8% of capital.
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Add only on confirmation, huwag biglain.
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱150,000 Example)
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Layer 1: 400 shares @ ₱7.80 (executed) = ₱3,120
Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Trade Review: Weekly Chart as of July 16, 2025 – Layer 1
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Layer 2: 1,200 shares @ ₱7.18 (executed) = ₱8,616
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Layer 3: 1,200 shares @ ₱7.50 (pending)
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Layer 4: 1,500 shares @ ₱8.20–₱8.40 (pending)
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Layer 5: 2,000 shares @ ₱8.90 (pending)
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Layer 6: 2,000 shares @ ₱8.00 (pending)
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Layer 7: 2,500 shares @ ₱6.90 (optional deep buy)
✅ Total Executed = ₱11,736 (~8%)
💸 Remaining Buffer = ₱138,264 (~92%)
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
🎯 Exit 1: ₱8.40 – Sell 2,000 shares (20%)
🎯 Exit 2: ₱9.20–₱9.40 – Sell 3,000 shares (30%)
🎯 Exit 3: ₱10.20–₱10.50 – Sell 3,000 shares (30%)
🎯 Hold 2,000 shares above ₱11.00 (20%)
🔴 Hard Stop: ₱7.00 break with strong volume = exit lahat.
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Keep existing positions; add only if ₱7.50 retest holds or breakout above ₱8.20 confirms.
✅ Risk Management: Strict stop at ₱7.00.
✅ Profit Strategy: Staged exits at ₱8.40, ₱9.20–₱9.40, ₱10.20–₱10.50.
✅ Position Size: Conservative build-up; exposure safe at 8%.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Ang trading ay parang pagtatanim—hindi agad makikita ang bunga. Sa MONDE, dinagdagan natin ang hawak dahil pinakita ng ₱7.00 support na may tibay. Pero ang tunay na ani, darating lang sa tamang panahon kung may tiyaga at disiplina.
📌 Trade Simulation Update #10 – Subok sa Puso Series
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Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio
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Allocation: ₱150,000
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Active Position: 1,600 shares @ ₱7.40 average = ₱11,736 (currently –2.7%)
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Hatol: Support defended, conviction buy executed. ₱7.00 remains the line in the sand.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
