Friday, August 15, 2025

Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
HALAL CORE GROWTH PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱100,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

WLCON Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing pullback to ₱9.60 above 8MA, below 50MA near ₱10.73.
Weekly candlestick chart of Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) with moving averages and key support–resistance levels.

Panimula

Balikan natin si WLCON. Noong August 1 review, naka-tapak sa ₱10.00 at kumakaway sa 50‑MA—parang konting tulak na lang. Two weeks later, may konting preno: nag-close sa ₱9.60 at nauntog malapit sa 50‑MA. Ayos lang—nasa ibabaw pa rin ng 8‑MA at 20‑MA, ibig sabihing buhay ang short-term recovery.

Last time, sinabi nating “add on breakout or buy the dip.” Tanong ngayon: patuloy ba tayong mag-aantabay sa breakout o maghihintay muna ng mas malinaw na buwelo bago magdagdag?


Nilalaman

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

Date: August 15, 2025
Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
Closing Price: ₱9.60
High: ₱10.10
Low: ₱9.32
20‑MA (Short‑Term): ₱7.73
50‑MA (Mid‑Term): ₱10.73
200‑MA (Long‑Term): ₱21.60

Ano ang nagbago mula August 1, 2025:

  • Presyo: mula ₱10.00₱9.60 (minor pullback).

  • 20‑MA umakyat ₱7.50 → ₱7.73 (short‑term trend improving).

  • 50‑MA bumaba ₱11.08 → ₱10.73 (nananatiling pababa—overhead resistance).

  • 200‑MA bahagyang bumaba ₱21.82 → ₱21.60 (long-term downtrend pa rin).

  • Buod: Above 8/20‑MA, below 50‑MA; nauntog sa mid‑term resistance kaya nag-pahinga.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10‑Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Short‑term uptrend mula sa bottom; medium/long‑term downtrend pa rin habang pababa ang 50/200‑MA.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long‑Term Value Zones
Presyo above 20‑MA pero below 50‑MA—mid‑range; hindi optimal ang agresibong add.
➡ Verdict: WAIT / HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Red candle −4.95% after a multi‑week climb; momentum hindi basag, pero hindi rin power week.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Fundamental/Technical Triggers)
Walang fresh breakout; mas maigi ang buy‑the‑dip sa 9.10–9.40 with reversal signal.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 5: Stop‑Loss Policy (Thesis Violation, Not Noise)
Itaas ang tactical stop sa ₱8.60; core hard stop sa ₱8.20 (structure break).
➡ Verdict: HOLD with raised stop
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
First red after series of greens; bantayan kung susunod ang isa pang red below 8‑MA.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 7: Profit‑Taking via Valuation & Growth Cycles
Initial resistance ₱10.50–₱11.00 (near 50‑MA); pwedeng mag-trim doon.
➡ Verdict: PARTIAL SELL on strength
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 8: Re‑Entry Plans After Market Dips
₱9.10–₱9.40 dip‑buy zone; deeper ₱8.80–₱8.90 if low volume selloff.
➡ Verdict: PLAN RE‑ENTRY
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning (Long‑Term Portfolios)
Maintain moderate core; tactical adds only sa breakout > ₱10.80 or confirmed dip reversal.
➡ Verdict: MAINTAIN
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter‑Trend Considerations
Shariah‑screened sa ating list; walang counter‑trend attempt—discipline over FOMO.
➡ Verdict: PROCEED ETHICALLY
✅ Score: 9/10

🧮 Total Score: 75/100
(Down from 85/100 on Aug 1 dahil sa rejection near 50‑MA at red weekly candle.)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Kung kotse ‘to, naka-second gear na si WLCON—umandar na, pero may humps sa 50‑MA. Hindi pa oras mag-diin sa silinyador; apak muna sa preno, check side mirrors, saka humanap ng tamang buwelo.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱9.10–₱9.40 (dip‑buy with reversal); add on breakout over ₱10.80 with volume
📌 Stop‑Loss Level: Tactical ₱8.60; Core hard stop ₱8.20
📌 Target Prices: ₱10.50, ₱11.20, ₱12.50
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Trim on strength near ₱10.50–₱11.00; add only on breakout or clean dip reversal
📌 Position Strategy: Moderate core, small tactical adds; avoid overtrading habang pababa pa ang 50‑MA


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱100,000 Allocation)

Layer 1 – Executed (Test‑to‑Core): ₱9.10, 3,000 shares₱27,300 (~27%)
Rationale: Early trend turn above 20‑MA; risk‑managed starter.

Layer 2 – Dip Add: ₱9.30–₱9.40, 1,000 shares₱9,350 (~9%)
Rationale: Buy‑the‑dip within rising 8/20‑MA zone.

Layer 3 – Deeper Support: ₱8.80–₱8.90, 1,500 shares₱13,350 (~13%)
Rationale: Defensive add near higher‑low area.

Layer 4 – Breakout Add: ₱10.80–₱11.00, 1,000 shares₱10,900 (~11%)
Rationale: Confirmation above 50‑MA.

Layer 5 – Continuation Add: ₱11.60–₱11.80, 800 shares₱9,360 (~9%)

Total Committed (if filled): ~₱70,260 (~70%)
Remaining Cash Buffer: ~₱29,740 (~30%) for volatility & opportunities.


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

Stage 1 – ₱10.50: Exit 800 shares (~8% of capital).
Rationale: First resistance / near 50‑MA.

Stage 2 – ₱11.20: Exit 1,000 shares (~11%).
Rationale: Breakout follow‑through check.

Stage 3 – ₱12.00: Exit 1,200 shares (~12%).
Rationale: Next resistance cluster; lock gains.

Stage 4 – ₱12.80+: Trail remainder with rising 8/20‑MA.
Rationale: Let winners run; review fundamentals/market tone.

Hard Stop Reminder: ₱8.20 (structure break).


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT TO ADD

Recommendation: Hold existing Layer 1 (₱9.10). Add only on breakout > ₱10.80 with volume or dip‑reversal at ₱9.10–₱9.40.
Risk Management: Tactical stop ₱8.60; hard stop ₱8.20 to guard downside.
Profit Strategy: Trim near ₱10.50–₱11.00, scale out at ₱12.00–₱12.50; trail remainder.
Position Size Strategy: Moderate; escalate only after 50‑MA reclaim and higher‑high confirmation.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Hindi lahat ng arangkada diretso paakyat. Disiplina, tawakkul, at plano ang panangga sa liko ng merkado. Huwag ipilit; hintayin ang malinaw na senyales. Sa tamang oras, kikilos tayo—ayon sa sistema, hindi sa emosyon.


Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio
Allocation: ₱100,000
Active Position: 3,000 shares @ ₱9.10 | Current close ₱9.60 | ~+5.5% unrealized
Quick Hatol: Hold; bantayan ang breakout sa ₱10.80 o dip‑reversal sa ₱9.10–₱9.40.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
Halal Core Growth Portfolio | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) weekly stock chart, August 15, 2025. Price closed at ₱81.00, below 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with strong red candle and high volume. Key support at ₱80.
URC Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing breakdown below MA20 and MA50 with heavy bearish candle near ₱80 support.


Introduction: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose

Mga kabayan, heto na’t balik-tanaw tayo kay Universal Robina Corporation (URC). Noong July 21, 2025, nag-entry tayo sa tactical Layer 1 buy sa ₱94. Sabi nga noon, “eto na ang buwelo ng URC—nakasampa na sa trend at volume.”

Pero ngayon, as of August 15, 2025, ibang-iba ang itsura ng chart. Mula sa breakout momentum, bigla tayong sinabuyan ng malakas na red candle, bagsak hanggang ₱81.00 (-8.89%). Ano ang nagbago at ano ang ibig sabihin nito sa ating plano? Tara, himayin muli gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.


Contents

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Trade Cycle Status Update
4️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
5️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
6️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
7️⃣ Final Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: August 15, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframes: Weekly (with 8, 20, 50, 200 MA overlays)
  • Closing Price: ₱81.00
  • High: ₱88.50
  • Low: ₱80.10
  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱85.55
  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱83.22
  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱111.88

📉 Malinaw na nagkaroon ng breakdown below MA20 at MA50, sabay malaking bearish volume spike.


2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Dating nasa uptrend recovery phase ang URC, pero ngayong linggo, nabasag ang momentum. Price closed below MA20 at MA50, malapit sa danger zone.
Verdict: Wait / Defensive Mode | Score: 6/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Closing price ₱81 ay halos kapantay lang ng MA50 (₱83.22). Malapit na sa “line in the sand” level. Pag nabasag pa ito pababa, balik sa bearish bias.
Verdict: Caution | Score: 6/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Yung malakas na red candle -8.89% with high volume ay bearish power bar—sign ng distribution at panic selling.
Verdict: SELL Signal for short-term traders | Score: 5/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Hindi ito confirmation ng bullish entry—bagkus, invalidation ng recent bullish thesis. Walang bagong support hold.
Verdict: No new entry yet | Score: 5/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Ang SL na ₱86 ay triggered na. Kaya kung tactical trade, dapat cut na. Long-term? Bantayan kung mag-hold ang ₱80 psychological support.
Verdict: Stop respected | Score: 6/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Malinaw ang shift—mula green candles noong July, ngayon red engulfing.
Verdict: HOLD defensive | Score: 5/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Walang profit-taking kasi negative agad ang move. Kailangan ayusin exit strategy.
Verdict: None yet | Score: 6/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-hold sa ₱80, puwedeng test re-entry sa Layer 1 ulit. Pero kung basag ₱80, hintay sa ₱75 area.
Verdict: Monitor only | Score: 7/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Buti na lang naka-test lot pa lang tayo (Layer 1). Hindi tayo overexposed.
Verdict: Controlled risk | Score: 9/10

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
URC remains halal-compliant and defensive consumer staple, pero kailangan irespeto ang market signals.
Verdict: HOLD as core watchlist | Score: 8/10

📊 Total Score: 63 / 100
Malinaw na bumaba ang grado kumpara sa huling review (95/100).


3️⃣ Trade Cycle Status Update

  • Phase: Breakdown Checkpoint

  • Current Action: Stop triggered for tactical trade at ₱86.

  • Next Move: Monitor ₱80 support. Add only kapag may bullish reversal signal.


4️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱150,000 Capital Example | Post-Breakdown Adjustments)

👉 Guiding Principle: Huwag habulin ang basag na trend. Maliit lang muna sa umpisa (test buys), dagdag lang kapag may malinaw na base or confirmed reversal.

Layer 1 – Support Test Buy
📌 ₱81.00–₱82.00
Position: 200 shares = ₱16,200
Allocation: ~10% (tiny test buy, kung mag-hold ang ₱80 support)

Layer 2 – Deeper Support Entry (if breakdown)
📌 ₱78.00–₱79.00
Position: 200 shares = ₱15,600–₱15,800
Allocation: ~10% (only if nag-hold dito, kasi ₱80 break = danger zone)

Layer 3 – Recovery Confirmation (Above MA20)
📌 ₱86.00–₱87.00
Position: 300 shares = ₱25,800
Allocation: ~17% (buy only kapag nakabalik sa ibabaw ng MA20 with volume)

Layer 4 – Trend Reclaim Zone
📌 ₱90.00–₱92.00
Position: 300 shares = ₱27,000
Allocation: ~18% (add kapag nabawi ang breakdown zone at nag-stabilize)

Layer 5 – Full Momentum Add-on
📌 ₱95.00–₱98.00
Position: 400 shares = ₱38,000
Allocation: ~25% (for full reversal confirmation)

🔑 Max Deployment: ~80% of ₱150,000
(Reserve at least 20% cash buffer in case of deeper drops or volatility)


5️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

Target 1 – Relief Rally Trim
📌 ₱90.00–₱92.00
Exit 25% of position
Reason: First resistance zone from recent breakdown, psychological barrier

Target 2 – Recovery Resistance
📌 ₱100.00–₱102.00
Exit 35% of position
Reason: Clear psychological level and prior strong resistance

Target 3 – Trend Reversal / Long-Term Ceiling
📌 ₱110.00–₱112.00 (MA200 zone ₱111.88)
Exit 40% of position or trail stop if trend continues
Reason: Long-term resistance, possible ceiling for cycle


Summary ng Pagbabago mula July 24 plan:

  • Dati: Aggressive entries (₱90–₱102 range) kasi breakout momentum.

  • Ngayon: Defensive entries (₱81–₈7) muna, add lang kapag nakabalik sa trend.

  • Dati: Exit targets ₱106 / ₱115 / ₱123.

  • Ngayon: Mas conservative ₱92 / ₱102 / ₱112 (aligned sa bagong resistance levels).


6️⃣ ✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / AVOID ADDING

  • Recommendation: HOLD current test position only. Avoid aggressive adding. Re-entry only if ₱80 support holds with bullish reversal signals, or if price recovers above MA20 (₱86–₇).

  • Risk Management: Hard stop if breakdown below ₱80 (major structure violation). Keep cash buffer (~20% of capital) for flexibility.

  • Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim at ₱90–₱92 (first resistance), partial exit at ₱100–₱102, final review/exit near ₱110–₱112 (MA200 ceiling).

  • Position Size Strategy: Stay small and defensive (Layer 1 only). Add gradually in Layers 3–5 only after trend recovery confirmation.


7️⃣ 🌱 Final Reflection: Trade with Purpose

Mga kabayan, hindi araw-araw Pasko sa trading. Ang URC, kahit matibay na halal consumer stock, napapalo rin ng market volatility. Ang tunay na diskarte ay hindi sa pagpilit humabol, kundi sa pagrespeto sa signals at sa pagkontrol ng risk.

Kung baga sa Batangas kape—minsan mapait, pero kung tama ang timpla, sulit pa rin sa huli.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
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Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart – August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
Halal Core Growth Portfolio | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Weekly candlestick chart of Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.
MONDE Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing rejection at 20MA and close at ₱7.15 near support.

Panimula: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose

Balikan natin ang MONDE—isa sa mga matibay na consumer stocks sa PSE. Noong July 16, 2025, nakita natin ang breakout above 8MA at 20MA, kaya nagpasok tayo ng Layer 1 tactical buy sa ₱7.80. Since then, nagbago ang tono ng chart: bumagsak muli sa ilalim ng 8MA at 20MA, at ngayon ay nasa ₱7.15 ang weekly close.

Ang tanong: patuloy ba tayong mag-aantabay sa reversal o kailangan bang maghintay muli sa ilalim?


Nilalaman

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: August 15, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
  • Closing Price: ₱7.15
  • High: ₱7.26
  • Low: ₱7.10
  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱7.37
  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱8.21
  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱10.77

📊 Observations:

  • Price rejected the ₱7.40–₱7.50 zone (near 8MA/20MA).

  • Nag-slide ulit papaba, pero hawak pa rin ang ₱7.00 support.

  • Volume manipis (10.5M average), walang malakas na akumulasyon signal.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Nasa bottoming stage pa rin, pero failed breakout attempt noong July. Long-term trend bearish pa rin dahil price is way below 200MA.
➡ Verdict: Wait / Test-Buy lang
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Current price ₱7.15 ay malapit sa 45–55% retracement mula highs. Attractive zone for long-term accumulation.
➡ Verdict: Accumulate on dips
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Latest candle weak, red body with no strong volume support. No breakout momentum.
➡ Verdict: Weak bar—observe muna
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Technical & Fundamental)
No new catalysts. Defensive pa rin ang fundamentals, pero technically wala pang bagong breakout.
➡ Verdict: Not yet a strong buy
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy
Our tactical stop at ₱7.20 is now violated intraday but support at ₱7.00 holds. Below ₱7.00 = thesis violation.
➡ Verdict: Maintain ₱7.00 hard stop
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Failed to sustain green candles. Early reversal attempt fizzled.
➡ Verdict: No confirmation yet
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Growth Cycles
No profit-taking opportunities yet; still base-building.
➡ Verdict: Hold / wait for next swing
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Dips
Re-entry zone remains ₱7.00–₱7.20 for next layer. Below ₱7.00 = avoid until new base forms.
➡ Verdict: Wait for dip opportunity
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning
We only activated Layer 1 (₱1,000 test position) = ✅ Good discipline.
➡ Verdict: No overexposure
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
Still halal, defensive food company. Counter-trend entry okay if controlled.
➡ Verdict: Still qualified
✅ Score: 9/10

🧮 Total Score: 74/100
(Down from 84/100 noong July 16, 2025—nag-deteriorate ang short-term signals.)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Mga kabayan, parang jeep na akala mong aandar na pero biglang huminto’t naghintay pa ng pasahero—ganun ang MONDE ngayon. May buwelo noong July, pero hindi tinuloy ang breakout. Hindi pa panahon para magdagdag; bantayan muna kung mabubuo ulit ang base.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges (Layered Approach):

  • ₱7.00–₱7.20 → Defensive support buy (Layer 2, 1,200 shares)
  • ₱7.50 → Retest support entry (Layer 3, 1,200 shares)
  • ₱8.20–₱8.40 → Breakout confirmation add (Layer 4, 1,500 shares)
  • ₱8.90 → Sustained breakout scaling (Layer 5, 2,000 shares)
  • ₱8.00 → Pullback post-breakout opportunity (Layer 6, 2,000 shares)
  • ₱6.90 → Deep value buy zone (Layer 7, 2,500 shares, optional)

📌 Stop-Loss Level:

  • ₱7.00 hard stop (structure violation → exit lahat ng hawak, cancel remaining layers)

📌 Target Prices (Profit-Taking):

  • ₱8.40 → Early trim (20%)
  • ₱9.20–₱9.40 → Major partial exit (30%)
  • ₱10.20–₱10.50 → Full exit zone (30%)
  • Above ₱11.00 → Optional hold for last 20% if momentum continues

📌 Add/Trim Plan:

  • Add tranches per layer as price confirms support or breakout zones
  • Trim partials at pre-set resistance targets to lock gains

📌 Position Strategy:

  • Gradual build-up across 7 layers, not all-in at once
  • Max commitment ≈ ₱117K (~78%) + ₱32K buffer (22%)
  • Buffer ensures flexibility kung magka-surprise dip or extra breakout opportunity

5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱150,000 Capital Example)

🎯 Goal: gradual, risk-managed buildup habang nasa bottoming stage pa si MONDE. Hatiin ang allocation para may flexibility whether mag-retest ng support o mag-confirm ng breakout.

Layer 1 – Tactical Watchlist Entry (Activated)
🔹 Buy 400 shares @ ₱7.80 (executed) = ₱3,120
🔹 Rationale: Test positioning noong July, confirm na meron tayong foothold
🔹 Allocation: ₱6,000 (4%)

Layer 2 – Defensive Support Entry
🔹 Buy 1,200 shares @ ₱7.00–₱7.20 = ₱8,640–₱8,640
🔹 Rationale: Add conviction kung mag-hold ang ₱7.00 base support
🔹 Allocation: ₱18,000 (12%)

Layer 3 – Retest Support Entry
🔹 Buy 1,200 shares @ ₱7.50 = ₱9,000
🔹 Rationale: Bounce confirmation sa dating resistance turned support
🔹 Allocation: ₱15,000 (10%)

Layer 4 – Breakout Confirmation Entry
🔹 Buy 1,500 shares @ ₱8.20–₱8.40 = ₱12,300–₱12,600
🔹 Rationale: Add on breakout above 20MA with volume
🔹 Allocation: ₱18,000 (12%)

Layer 5 – Sustained Breakout Scaling
🔹 Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱8.90 = ₱17,800
🔹 Rationale: Confirm sustained breakout and trend reversal
🔹 Allocation: ₱20,000 (13.3%)

Layer 6 – Pullback Opportunity Post-Breakout
🔹 Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱8.00 = ₱16,000
🔹 Rationale: Add kung mag-retest pabalik sa breakout zone
🔹 Allocation: ₱16,000 (10.7%)

Layer 7 – Deep Value Buy (Optional)
🔹 Buy 2,500 shares @ ₱6.90 = ₱17,250
🔹 Rationale: Last-chance buying kung mag-dip sa malakas na support zone
🔹 Allocation: ₱17,250 (11.5%)

Remaining Capital Buffer
🔹 ₱32,290 (~21.5%) reserved for flexibility (tactical adds, protection, or unplanned dip)

📌 Total Committed Capital: ₱117,710
📌 Remaining Cash: ₱32,290


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

Target 1 – Partial Exit
🔹 Sell 2,000 shares @ ₱8.40 = ₱16,800
🔹 Rationale: First resistance level (near 20MA), lock partial gains
🔹 % Exit: 20% of holdings

Target 2 – Major Partial Exit
🔹 Sell 3,000 shares @ ₱9.20–₱9.40 = ₱27,600–₱28,200
🔹 Rationale: Major resistance hit, secure bigger profits
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Target 3 – Full Exit Zone
🔹 Sell 3,000 shares @ ₱10.20–₱10.50 = ₱30,600–₱31,500
🔹 Rationale: Strong resistance near 200MA, long-term recovery checkpoint
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Remaining 20% – Optional Long-Term Hold
🔹 Hold ~2,000 shares if momentum sustains above ₱11.00
🔹 Rationale: Ride extended trend or dividends participation

📌 Hard Stop: Exit all positions if ₱7.00 is broken with strong volume


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT
Recommendation: Hold existing Layer 1 at ₱7.80, avoid adding unless ₱7.00 holds and a fresh breakout above ₱8.20 confirms.
Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱7.00.
Profit Strategy: Target exits at ₱8.40, ₱9.20, and ₱10.20+ if recovery sustains.
Position Size Strategy: Stay minimal exposure until confirmation; add only if trend reversal validated.


🌱 8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Hindi lahat ng breakout ay tunay na biyaheng diretso—minsan testing lang kung sasama ka agad o marunong kang maghintay. Sa MONDE, patience ang puhunan. Disiplina muna bago dagdag.

📌 Trade Simulation Update – Subok sa Puso Series

  • Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio

  • Allocation: ₱150,000

  • Active Position: 400 shares @ ₱7.80 = ₱3,120 value (currently down ~8%)

Hatol: bantayan ang ₱7.00—kung mabasag, atras muna. Kung mag-hold, may tsansa pa sa rebound.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Friday, August 1, 2025

Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart – July 31, 2025 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | Shariah-Compliant REITs Portfolio
1 board lot = 1,000 shares | Trading Simulation Capital = ₱50,000

Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) weekly stock chart with technical indicators as of July 31, 2025
CREIT Weekly Chart as of July 31, 2025 showing trend continuation and consolidation near ₱3.69 zone


🕊️ Panimula: Patuloy na Pag-akyat, Pero May Kailangan Bang Hintayin?

Mainit pa rin sa radar ng halal-conscious retail investors ang Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) ngayong Hulyo. Mula sa breakout zone nito noong kalagitnaan ng taon, patuloy ang tahimik pero matibay na buwelo pataas. Sa linggong ito, susuriin natin kung solid pa ba ang momentum at kung saan maaaring pumasok nang may disiplina’t layunin.


📘 Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: July 31, 2025

  • Stock: Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT)

  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)

  • Timeframes: Weekly

  • Closing Price: ₱3.69

  • High: ₱3.69

  • Low: ₱3.67

  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱3.65

  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱3.21

Batay sa weekly chart, nagko-consolidate sa itaas ng ₱3.60 area si CREIT habang buo pa rin ang short-term trend support base. Lahat ng MA ay naka-align pabor sa bullish trend.


2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Matibay ang bullish structure. Price remains above all moving averages.
Verdict: BUY

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

✅ Price above both 20-MA and 200-MA
✅ Near mid-range relative to recent rally
Verdict: BUY on controlled pullback

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

✅ Sustained green candles with healthy consolidation and low selling volume
Verdict: BUY or ADD on continuation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

✅ No breakdown, steady dividend source, REIT fundamentals intact
Verdict: BUY between ₱3.50–₱3.65 if support confirms

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

📌 Place SL below ₱3.50 (50-MA) or tight at ₱3.59 (20-MA) for tactical entries
Verdict: BUY with defined SL

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

✅ No reversal candles. Stable trend structure.
Verdict: HOLD or ADD on continuation

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

🎯 Target zones: ₱3.85, ₱4.00
Verdict: HOLD with partial trims at resistance

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

📌 Re-entry zone at ₱3.50–₱3.55 near 20-MA
Verdict: BUY ON DIP if volume confirms

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

✅ Core near ₱3.50
✅ Tactical entries above ₱3.70 breakout
Verdict: Build core, add tactically

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

❌ Not triggered – no major dips or discounts
Verdict: Not applicable


🧮 Total Score: 91/100

CREIT remains one of the best-structured REITs in the PSE—halal, stable, and technically reliable. Perfect candidate for strategic accumulation.


3️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan (₱50,000 Capital)

Board Lot = 1,000 shares
Max Target Entry Price: ₱3.69

  • Layer 1 (Base Buy): ₱3.50 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,500)

  • Layer 2 (Pullback Zone): ₱3.60 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,600)

  • Layer 3 (Trend Support Confirm): ₱3.65 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,650)

  • Layer 4 (Breakout Continuation): ₱3.75 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,750)

  • Layer 5 (Momentum Add): ₱3.85 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,850)

🔄 Total shares: 5,000 shares
💰 Total planned capital usage: ₱18,350 (up to 4 tactical entries possible after core)


4️⃣ Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

  • Target 1: ₱3.85 – Trim 1,000 shares

  • Target 2: ₱4.00 – Sell 1,000–2,000 shares

  • Target 3: Hold last 1,000–2,000 shares with a trailing stop below 20-MA

🧭 Guiding Principle: Exit not on emotion, but on maturing setups.


✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: Accumulate between ₱3.50–₱3.65 with confirmation of support
Risk Management: SL below ₱3.50 for core, tighter at ₱3.59 for tactical adds
Profit Strategy: Gradual exits at ₱3.85 and ₱4.00
Position Strategy: Start moderate, add tactically on confirmed strength


🌱 Final Reflection: Trade with Purpose

Hindi ito tungkol sa padalus-dalos na pagsabay sa uso. CREIT is a REIT for disciplined investors, especially those following halal and dividend-based strategies. Sa dulo, ang tanong: Alam mo ba kung bakit ka pumapasok, at handa ka bang lumabas kung mali ang direksyon?

Sa CREIT, ang sagot natin: Oo. Sa plano, sa disiplina, at sa tiwala sa proseso.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
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Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.


Sa totoo lang, sa bawat higop ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na nagluluto ng lugaw tuwing masama ang pakiramdam mo. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

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