Friday, June 27, 2025

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day) – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 Mid-Day showing extended breakout past ₱9.00 with continued bullish momentum and volume confirmation.

WLCON breaks above ₱9.00 in mid-day trade on June 27, 2025. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy confirms hold with trailing stop and partial exit.

πŸ“… Published: June 27, 2025 – 12:30 PM

πŸ”„ Updated: June 27, 2025 – 9:00 PM


Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

πŸ“Œ Introduction

Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) continued its rally as of the mid-day trading session on June 27, 2025, reaching an intraday high of ₱9.20 and last trading at ₱9.07, up by 6.71%. The stock has now gained significant momentum from its recent breakout above ₱8.50, drawing attention from momentum traders and position investors.

This review focuses on the mid-day daily chart, using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant to assess whether this move still offers an attractive opportunity or if partial exits should be prioritized.

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day Session)
Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily (Mid-Day Chart)
Last Price: ₱9.07
High: ₱9.20
Low: ₱8.50
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.50
50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱6.73
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱11.09
Volume (Mid-Day): 4.83M shares


πŸ“ˆ Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
WLCON is now in a clear short-term uptrend with strong separation between the price and the 20- and 50-day moving averages. The chart reflects a momentum continuation structure.
Verdict: BUY

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
The price is well above both the 20- and 50-day MAs, indicating that the current move is in the upper segment of the power leg. While not ideal for new entries, it remains valid for momentum follow-through.
Verdict: HOLD (for current holders); WAIT (for new entries)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
A series of green candles has led to today’s breakout above ₱9.00. Volume remains strong mid-day, exceeding 4.8M.
Verdict: BUY

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
A proper entry occurred at the breakout of ₱8.50. Buying now at ₱9.07 carries increased risk and should be avoided unless price consolidates.
Verdict: HOLD (add only on breakout of ₱9.50 or pullback to ₱8.30–₱8.50)

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
A new trailing stop can be placed below ₱8.20 to protect unrealized gains.
Verdict: BUY with trailing stop

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
Multiple consecutive green candles confirm bullish momentum, with no reversal candle patterns present.
Verdict: BUY

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
Key levels to watch are ₱9.80, ₱10.50, and ₱11.00 (200-MA). A gradual scale-out approach is recommended.
Verdict: BEGIN PARTIAL SELLING near ₱9.80

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Pullbacks to ₱8.30–₱8.50 may be used to re-enter or add shares, especially on declining volume.
Verdict: WATCH for re-entry setups on weakness

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Additional tactical buys should only occur on a breakout above ₱9.50 or during clean consolidations.
Verdict: HOLD current exposure

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
No longer applicable. This is now a momentum continuation move with full trend reversal confirmation.
Verdict: Valid Trend-Following Setup


✅ Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / PARTIAL PROFIT-TAKING

Recommendation: Maintain current positions. Do not chase further buys at ₱9.00+ without consolidation or breakout confirmation.

Risk Management: Trailing stop at ₱8.20 to lock in gains.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Begin trimming at ₱9.80 and ₱10.50. Final exit zone lies near the 200-MA at ₱11.09.

Position Size Strategy: Do not add more unless a pullback forms or a volume-backed breakout occurs.


πŸ”œ Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Consider partial exits between ₱9.80 and ₱10.50

πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Hold and protect gains with a raised stop

πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Wait for consolidation or continuation setup before committing new capital

🚨 Final Thought: WLCON is transitioning from breakout to extended move territory. Price is stretched but still climbing. Patience and trailing stops are key to locking in gains from here.

πŸ” Commentary: Comparison Between June 27 Mid-Day Price Review and June 26 Trade Evaluation

  • Our June 26, 2025 Trade Evaluation scored our WLCON trade actions at 90/100, validating the timely execution of Layer 1 and Layer 3 buys as price confirmed a breakout past ₱8.00. At the time of that review, WLCON was trading in the ₱8.28–₱8.35 range, sitting just above key resistance levels but still early in the continuation phase. The setup was supported by a healthy weekly structure and rising volume, but further confirmation was required to justify continued upside.
  • In contrast, the June 27, 2025 mid-day price review presents a different technical phase. WLCON has now moved firmly into the momentum phase, breaching the psychological ₱9.00 barrier and printing a high of ₱9.20. This shift positions the stock outside of ideal entry zones, especially for new buyers. The Hybrid 10-Step Strategy now shifts from tactical entry planning to exit management, trailing stop adjustment, and risk protection.

  • While the June 26 evaluation focused on compliance and strategic positioning for entry, the June 27 update signals a transition from accumulation to reward harvesting. The current task is not to add exposure, but to manage gains, trim positions near targets like ₱9.80–₱10.50, and watch for exhaustion or overextension.

Both reviews agree that WLCON is in a confirmed uptrend. However, their respective focuses differ:

  • June 26 Evaluation → Validated entries, confirmed breakout, active layering

  • June 27 Review → Price extension, hold bias, partial exit, and trailing stop strategy

πŸ‘‰ In summary: The strategy has shifted from execution to management. Traders must now protect profits, not chase further highs. The groundwork has already been laid — the market is now responding.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


WLCON Reviews and Evaluation


Related Readings

Trade Evaluation: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) – Layered Accumulation Actions Scored Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (as of Weekly Close June 26, 2025)

WLCON Weekly Chart as of June 26, 2025 showing strong breakout from bottom zone with rising volume – confirming layered entry strategy.

WLCON trade actions of June 26, 2025 scored 90/100 for strategy compliance. Accumulation at ₱7.59–₱8.35


Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Trade Execution Summary
  • Step-by-Step Evaluation of Trade Actions
  • Final Score and Compliance Verdict
  • Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱6,000 Capital)
  • Updated Phased Exit Plan
  • What’s Next?

πŸ“Œ Introduction

This post evaluates our recent Layered Accumulation Trade Actions for WLCON using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, as applied in our June 13, 2025 Stock Price Review and the Layer 3 Trade Evaluation on June 26, 2025.

As of the weekly close on June 26, 2025, WLCON printed a strong green candle at ₱8.50 (+10.68%), validating our tactical layering sequence.


🧾 Trade Execution Summary

Layer 1 Tactical Test Entries

  • πŸ“Œ June 17, 2025 – 100 shares @ ₱7.70 → ₱772.28

  • πŸ“Œ June 24, 2025 – 100 shares @ ₱7.59 → ₱761.25

Layer 3 Breakout Add-ons

  • πŸ“Œ June 26, 2025 – 100 shares @ ₱8.28 → ₱830.45

  • πŸ“Œ June 26, 2025 – 100 shares @ ₱8.35 → ₱837.47

πŸ“Š Total Accumulated Shares: 400 shares

πŸ“‰ Average Cost (with fees): ₱8.003


✅ Step-by-Step Scored Evaluation of Trade Actions

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
WLCON transitioned from long-term downtrend to early reversal phase as of mid-June. Price is now above the 20-MA and testing the 50-MA.
Verdict: Strategic early entry into reversal.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Layer 1 entries occurred during the sweet spot pullback (~40–55% retracement), while Layer 3 breakouts activated past ₱8.00.
Verdict: Precise execution within target zones.
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Our June 13 review anticipated the setup. Subsequent candles confirmed strong green bars with rising volume.
Verdict: Breakout validated by price and volume.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Each entry aligned with price breaking resistance or bouncing from support, guided by volume and moving average structure.
Verdict: Clear and rule-based confirmation.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
A mental stop remains just below ₱6.90 (below 20-MA). Proper risk spread with capital staggered in layers.
Verdict: Risk profile managed well.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Confirmation
Consistent green candles over the last 3 weeks validate the reversal process.
Verdict: Strong bullish color shift.
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
Updated phased targets (see next section) ensure flexible but strategic exits.
Verdict: Tactical exits now actionable.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
With 400 shares now positioned, we will only re-enter on breakouts past ₱9.50 or pullbacks near ₱7.50 with low volume.
Verdict: No overtrading. Entry discipline maintained.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
All trades comply with our updated ₱6,000 layering plan. No overexposure.
Verdict: Full strategic alignment.
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Initial entry occurred at reversal zone. Layer 3 was not counter-trend.
Verdict: This is now a momentum continuation play.
✅ Score: 9/10


πŸ“Š Final Score and Compliance Verdict

  • Total Strategy Score: 90 / 100

  • Verdict:Excellent Execution – All Entries Compliant with Plan and Strategy


 πŸ’° Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱6,000 Capital – 100-Share Board Lot)

Our Layer 1 tactical entries were successfully executed on June 17 and June 24, 2025, buying 100 shares at ₱7.70 and another 100 shares at ₱7.59. These early entries were intended to test the potential bottom and build initial exposure.

  • Layer 1 – Tactical Test Entries

    • June 17, 2025: Bought 100 shares at ₱7.70 (₱772.28 including fees)

    • June 24, 2025: Bought 100 shares at ₱7.59 (₱761.25 including fees)

    • ✅ Total for Layer 1: ₱1,533.53

We initially planned to deploy a Layer 2 core position in the ₱7.00–₱7.20 zone. However, due to the rapid upward momentum observed in late June, we skipped Layer 2 and instead proceeded directly to Layer 3.

  • Layer 2 – Core Position

    • Planned for ₱7.00–₱7.20 zone

    • ❌ Skipped due to rapid price breakout — no pullback occurred

Two breakout add-on trades were executed on June 26, 2025 — one at ₱8.28 and another at ₱8.35 — as part of Layer 3.

  • Layer 3 – Breakout Add-ons

    • June 26, 2025, 1:00 PM: Bought 100 shares at ₱8.28 (₱830.45 including fees)

    • June 26, 2025, 2:00 PM: Bought 100 shares at ₱8.35 (₱837.47 including fees)

    • ✅ Total for Layer 3: ₱1,667.92

At this point, we have accumulated a total of 400 shares at an average cost of ₱8.003, bringing our capital deployment to ₱3,201.45.

  • Remaining Capital Reserve

    • Approx. ₱2,798.55

    • To be used for:

      • πŸ” Tactical re-entry on pullback near ₱7.50

      • πŸš€ Additional breakout buy if price confirms breakout above ₱9.50 with strong volume

This structure ensures we are fully aligned with our Hybrid 10-Step layering strategy while maintaining enough flexibility for future adjustments.


🎯 Updated Phased Exit Plan and Targets

Primary Targets:

  • 🎯 ₱9.80 – First resistance target. Consider selling 100 shares (25%).

  • 🎯 ₱10.50 – Tactical midpoint target. Sell 100 shares.

  • 🎯 ₱11.90 – Weekly 50-MA target. Sell 100 shares.

  • 🎯 ₱14.50–₱15.00 – Hold final 100 shares for long-term exit if trend accelerates.

Trailing Stop: Begin raising stop to ₱7.80 if price closes above ₱9.00 with strong volume.


πŸ“Œ What’s Next?

πŸ”Ή Hold current 400 shares. Do not add more unless trend breaks above ₱9.50 with power bar and volume surge.

πŸ”Ή Avoid premature selling before testing ₱9.80 unless price sharply reverses.

πŸ”Ή Monitor weekly closes. Red candles with high volume may signal need to tighten stops.

🚨 Final Thought: This trade cluster is a textbook case of proper layering, breakout validation, and portfolio-sized execution. Focus now shifts to profit-taking discipline and managing upside risk.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Thursday, June 26, 2025

Trade Evaluation: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) – Layer 3 Entry at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 Assessed Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON Weekly Chart as of June 26, 2025 showing bullish breakout above 20-MA with high volume. Ideal tactical entry setup.

WLCON Layer 3 tactical buy at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 evaluated using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy. Breakout strength confirmed.

Contents:

  • Introduction

  • Trade Execution Overview

  • Step-by-Step Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

  • Final Tactical Entry Decision

  • Next Steps

πŸ“Œ Introduction

We are closely monitoring the recovery play of Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) after its prolonged downtrend. As of the mid-day session on June 26, 2025, WLCON has advanced to ₱8.28, showing strong signs of bullish breakout continuation on the weekly chart. This trade evaluation focuses on the planned Layer 3 buy action—an additional 100 shares to be executed at the 1:00 PM resumption of trading.

This move is part of our ongoing implementation of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, under our ₱5,000 capital layering plan.


πŸ’Ό Trade Execution Overview

  • Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)

  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)

  • Trade Action: Buy 100 shares (Layer 3 Entry)

  • Planned Entry Price: ₱8.28

  • Date: June 26, 2025

  • Session: Mid-day Weekly Chart

  • Board Lot: 100 shares

  • Indicators at Mid-Day:

    • 20-MA: ₱6.98

    • 50-MA: ₱11.89

    • 200-MA: ₱22.29

    • Volume (week-to-date): 12.32M


✅ Step-by-Step Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
WLCON remains technically in a long-term downtrend but is clearly forming a bullish reversal base. Price has crossed the 20-MA and is now breaking upward with momentum.
➡ Verdict: Wait for full reversal on higher timeframe, but valid for tactical buy.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price now sits above the 20-MA and within the sweet spot of a bullish recovery retracement (40–50% zone). This confirms an attractive range for breakout continuation.
➡ Verdict: Positive tactical zone.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Last week’s breakout candle is now being followed by another green bar with mid-week volume already hitting 12.32M—clear institutional interest.
➡ Verdict: Strong confirmation of power move.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Your planned entry at ₱8.28 is slightly above the previous week’s high. The price is breaking out from a multi-week base.
➡ Verdict: Valid Layer 3 breakout entry.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
Logical stop-loss is below ₱7.00 (20-MA level), offering a manageable downside.
➡ Verdict: Proper stop identified.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Confirmation
A consistent shift from red to green candles over the last three weeks confirms bullish reversal.
➡ Verdict: Reversal signal present.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
Target profit zones include ₱9.80, ₱10.50, and the 50-MA at ₱11.89.
➡ Verdict: Tactical exit zones are well-defined.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Any pullback to ₱7.80–₱8.00 may serve as a re-entry if profit-taking occurs.
➡ Verdict: Re-entry plan viable.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Layer 3 is in line with our ₱5,000 plan (100 shares initial, 200 core, 200 add-on).
➡ Verdict: Position sizing fully compliant.
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
This is no longer a counter-trend play—momentum is now in favor.
➡ Verdict: Valid continuation trade.
✅ Score: 8/10


πŸ“Š Final Score: 83 / 100

Interpretation:Good Quality Entry – Confirmed Breakout with Strong Setup Compliance


🎯 Final Tactical Entry Decision

Action: Proceed with buying 100 shares at ₱8.28 during the 1:00 PM trading resumption.

Stop-Loss: Place below ₱7.00 (just under the 20-MA on weekly).

Profit Targets: Take partial profits near ₱9.80 and ₱10.50; consider holding balance to ₱11.89.

Position Sizing: Stay within the total ₱5,000 capital layering framework (up to 600 shares maximum).


πŸ“Œ Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Watch for strong closing volume on Friday to confirm weekly breakout

πŸ”Ή Adjust stop-loss to breakeven if price exceeds ₱8.80

πŸ”Ή Avoid chasing if price sharply rises beyond ₱8.50 intraday

πŸ”Ή Prepare to take profits near ₱10.50 if upward move extends rapidly

🚨 Final Thought: This Layer 3 entry is backed by a strong breakout from base. Manage with discipline—protect capital, follow exits, and allow the trend to work.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Weekly Chart as of June 23, 2025 – Evaluating Tactical Buys and What Comes Next Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

ABA stock pulls back after breakout—are we still on track? We evaluate all trade actions as of June 23, 2025 using our 10-Step Strategy.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy


ABA weekly stock chart showing pullback and 50-MA support test

Weekly chart of ABA as of June 23, 2025 showing retracement into tactical re-entry zone


Introduction

This post evaluates our most recent trade actions on AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA), in alignment with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, using the weekly chart as of June 23, 2025.

We initially published our outlook on June 13, 2025, recommending a tactical accumulation strategy as ABA entered a bullish recovery zone. Since then, price has retraced toward key support levels. This review assesses whether our actions complied with our strategic plan and outlines what comes next.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 23, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.63
High: ₱0.68
Low: ₱0.62
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.52
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
ABA remains in a long-term downtrend below the 200-MA. However, the price continues to establish a short-term bullish structure, despite this week’s -8.70% decline. Price remains above the 20- and 50-MA levels.
Verdict: Wait – Short-term uptrend remains, but recovery is being tested.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price has now retraced near the ₱0.63–₱0.65 support zone, within our defined deep pullback range. This zone aligns with the 50-week MA (₱0.63) and our tactical re-entry layers.
Verdict: Buy zone already executed – Hold current levels.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Volume this week was solid at 12.846M, but price printed a red candle, suggesting profit-taking rather than distribution. There is no confirmation yet of bearish reversal.
Verdict: No new entry – Observe next candle behavior.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Previous entries were executed above support (₱0.74, ₱0.66, ₱0.65) per strategy. Current candle shows buyers defending ₱0.62–₱0.63 area.
Verdict: Entry timing was acceptable. No new buy signal yet.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
With the price near our accumulation base, a protective stop-loss should be placed just below ₱0.60. A break of this level invalidates the thesis of a mid-term base.
Verdict: Set stops at ₱0.59–₱0.60 to manage downside.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
The transition from green to red bars signals a cooling phase. A bullish reversal candle or stabilization above the 50-MA must be observed next week.
Verdict: Caution – watch for confirmation candle.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
No sell signals yet triggered. However, traders should consider trimming 1,000–2,000 shares if the price fails to hold ₱0.60.
Verdict: No exit for long-term holders unless ₱0.59 fails.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
All planned entries have been executed. There is no need for additional buys unless ABA breaks above ₱0.80 with conviction.
Verdict: Wait for breakout confirmation before reloading.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
We have now deployed 80% of our Php10,000 capital. No additional adjustments are needed unless stop-loss triggers.
Verdict: Hold – No further scaling required at this stage.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable. We are not in a confirmed downtrend breakdown.
Verdict: Not a counter-trend setup.


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD with Stop Monitoring

Recommendation: Maintain current 10,000-share position unless price breaks below ₱0.60.

Risk Management: Place dynamic stop-loss at ₱0.59–₱0.60 zone to manage capital preservation.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First exits at ₱0.85–₱0.90 if recovery resumes.

Position Size Strategy: Full layering complete. No further buys until breakout confirmation above ₱0.80.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → May consider trimming if weekly close falls below ₱0.60 with volume.

πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold position; this is a healthy pullback into a defined support zone.

πŸ”Ή Existing holders → No action needed unless price breaks key support.

🚨 Final Thought: The stock is still structurally intact. However, this week’s pullback is a reality check for patience and discipline. Monitor for a reversal bar above ₱0.63 or reduce if key support breaks. 🚨


Layered Accumulation Update (as of June 23, 2025)

We now hold:

  • June 3: 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80

  • June 17: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.74

  • June 23: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.66

  • June 23: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65

πŸ”Ή Total Shares: 10,000
πŸ”Ή Average Cost: ~₱0.799/share
πŸ”Ή Capital Deployed: ₱7,990.00
πŸ”Ή Remaining Capital Buffer: ₱2,010.00 (reserved for future confirmed breakout only)


Scored Evaluation of Trade Actions (as of June 23, 2025)

We evaluated each step of our strategy based on accuracy, discipline, and timing. The scoring rubric uses a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 representing perfect execution in line with our long-term investment plan.


Step 1 – Market State & Trend Context
✅ We correctly identified the long-term downtrend and the forming short-term recovery.
Score: 9/10

Step 2 – Price Position & Retracement Zones
✅ All entries were placed near support zones and within the designated tactical and deep pullback zones (₱0.74, ₱0.66, ₱0.65).
Score: 10/10

Step 3 – Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
✅ We entered after the breakout signal in late May and layered in during volume-supported retracements. No chasing occurred.
Score: 9/10

Step 4 – Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
✅ Each entry aligned with technical confirmation—either after a breakout or during structured retracement into MA support.
Score: 9/10

Step 5 – Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
✅ Our exposure remains below the Php10,000 cap, with 80% deployed. Stops are clearly defined near ₱0.60.
Score: 10/10

Step 6 – Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
🟑 While the green-to-red transition was noticed, a clearer confirmation pattern could have been awaited before final buys on June 23.
Score: 8/10

Step 7 – Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
🟑 Not yet applicable, but plans for profit-taking around ₱0.85–₱0.90 are in place.
Score: 8/10

Step 8 – Potential Re-Entry Zones
✅ Executed perfectly. Re-entries were made within the re-entry zones (Layer 2 and 3) without overtrading.
Score: 10/10

Step 9 – Tactical Position Adjustments
✅ Core and tactical entries were well proportioned. The final position is within plan. No excessive averaging down occurred.
Score: 9/10

Step 10 – Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
✅ Correctly avoided premature action despite the pullback. No violation of the rules for counter-trend entries.
Score: 10/10


πŸ”Ž Overall Trade Execution Score: 92 / 100

Verdict:
A well-executed accumulation strategy with disciplined scaling, proper technical alignment, and adherence to risk controls. Minor caution in Step 6 moving forward will further improve timing and confirmation-based entries. The position is healthy, aligned with strategy, and properly managed.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Friday, June 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 13, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Should long-term investors continue accumulating FPI after a recent breakout? This review applies the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy


FPI daily chart showing volume breakout above consolidation as of June 13, 2023

FPI (PSE) Daily Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025

FPI weekly chart showing volume breakout above consolidation as of June 13, 2023

FPI (PSE) Weekly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025

FPI monthly chart showing volume breakout above consolidation as of June 13, 2023

FPI (PSE) Monthly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025


πŸ“ I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 13, 2025
Stock: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange
Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.2300
High: ₱0.2300 (Daily), ₱0.2900 (Weekly/Monthly)
Low: ₱0.2300 (Daily), ₱0.2250 (Weekly/Monthly)
20-MA: ₱0.2245 (Daily), ₱0.2210 (Weekly), ₱0.2230 (Monthly)
200-MA: ₱0.2248 (Daily), ₱0.2210 (Weekly), ₱0.2230 (Monthly)

Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) has staged a significant breakout attempt, with volume surging and price spiking up to ₱0.29 intraday. Although it closed back at ₱0.23, this movement suggests heightened speculative interest. We recently entered with 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025. The strategy used is the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant.


✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
Volume spike and bullish expansion bar observed on all timeframes. Daily, weekly, and monthly candles are all green, signaling breakout momentum.
Verdict: BUY

2. Price Position & Value Zones
At ₱0.2300, FPI is trading slightly above the 20-day and 200-day MAs across all timeframes. However, it is now below our entry at ₱0.25, suggesting a near-term dip may offer better re-entry.
Verdict: WAIT (for better entry within support zone ₱0.21–₱0.23)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
The June 10–12 rally featured a strong power bar with extreme volume confirmation—highest in months.
Verdict: BUY

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
Fundamental catalysts are still unclear, but technically, FPI printed a rare clean breakout from range. Entry was technically justified but slightly late.
Verdict: BUY (with caution)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
Soft stop around ₱0.20 to protect capital without disrupting long-term plan. We avoid hard stops due to thin liquidity.
Verdict: HOLD

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
No red reversal bar yet post-breakout. However, the long wick above ₱0.29 is a short-term caution sign.
Verdict: HOLD

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
First partial exit near ₱0.29–₱0.30, next tier at ₱0.34, and full exit if extended to ₱0.40.
Verdict: HOLD (no trimming until ₱0.29 retest)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Plan re-entry near ₱0.21–₱0.23 if price dips with stabilizing volume.
Verdict: WAIT

9. Position Size Strategy (Include board lot conversion and layering plan)
With ₱6,000 capital and 10,000-share board lot, scaling must be done in 10k blocks. Initial position already placed.
Verdict: HOLD (next entry: on pullback with lower wick confirmation)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
None at this stage. Breakout was driven by price-action, not fundamental story.
Verdict: HOLD


πŸš€ III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / BUY-on-Pullback

πŸ“… Recommendation: Accumulate more only on dips to ₱0.21–₱0.23. The price is below our entry and near MA clusters, suggesting support.

πŸ”’ Risk Management: Use a soft stop below ₱0.20 in case of sustained sell-off. Avoid panic exits unless breakdown is confirmed on weekly close.

πŸ’° Profit-Taking Strategy: Begin selling at ₱0.29–₱0.30, then ₱0.34 and ₱0.40 if upside momentum continues.

πŸ“† Position Size Strategy: Start with minimum board lot (10,000 shares per layer). Add only if the next red-to-green reversal occurs near the 20-MA.


πŸ”„ IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → Wait for a red-to-green reversal near ₱0.22 before re-entering.

Long-term investors → Hold core position, watch for weekly close stability above ₱0.23.

Existing holders → Hold. Monitor volume. Consider trimming above ₱0.29 if there is a failed breakout retest.


🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

(Based on Php6,000 Capital and 10,000-Share Board Lot)

  • First Layer (Executed): ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025, 10,000 shares = ₱2,500

  • Second Layer (Planned): ₱0.23 area if low volume pullback = ₱2,300

  • Third Layer (Planned): ₱0.21–₱0.215 area on dip = ₱2,150

If both layers fill, final average cost will approximate ₱0.23 for 30,000 shares.


πŸ“Š VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Trade: BUY 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025

  1. Market State and Trend Context:
    The trade was made during a confirmed breakout phase. There was a strong expansion bar accompanied by a dramatic increase in volume, signaling the start of momentum. This was a near-ideal context to enter based on technical trend behavior.
    Score: 9/10

  2. Price Position and Value Zones:
    Entry at ₱0.25 was slightly above the value zone defined by the cluster of moving averages. While technically justified by momentum, it was not optimal for value accumulation. Pullback opportunities around ₱0.21 to ₱0.23 would have provided better positioning.
    Score: 6/10

  3. Power Bars and Volume Confirmation:
    The power bar printed on June 10 had full body range with strong volume spike—clear institutional or speculative activity. The trade aligned well with this cue.
    Score: 10/10

  4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental and Technical):
    While there was no known catalyst or news, the technical structure justified the entry. The breakout from months of consolidation was clearly visible across all timeframes.
    Score: 8/10

  5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Strategy:
    A soft stop approach was correctly used, targeting below ₱0.20 as a thesis violation zone. This reflects discipline appropriate to long-term positioning in a thinly traded stock.
    Score: 9/10

  6. Color Change / Reversal Signal:
    No immediate reversal signal was evident, although the presence of a long wick from ₱0.29 is a warning of short-term selling pressure. The trade remains intact but must be monitored for weakness.
    Score: 8/10

  7. Profit-Taking Strategy:
    Profit-taking levels are defined above ₱0.29 and up to ₱0.40. However, none of these levels have been hit yet, and the entry was relatively close to the top of the recent spike. This weakens early exit flexibility.
    Score: 7/10

  8. Re-Entry Plans:
    A better entry window now appears to be forming near ₱0.21 to ₱0.23. The initial trade did not factor this in but planning for a second tranche improves strategic discipline.
    Score: 6/10

  9. Position Size and Layering Compliance:
    The trade adhered to the board lot of 10,000 shares and matched the capital structure defined in our long-term plan. Layering strategy is already in place for follow-up orders.
    Score: 10/10

  10. Ethical and Counter-Trend Considerations:
    No unethical or counter-trend actions were evident in this setup. The trade was aligned with technical breakout conditions and remained within the investor’s ethical and portfolio guidelines.
    Score: 7/10

Overall Score: 80 out of 100

Final Verdict: This was a valid breakout trade executed within strategic parameters. However, the next tranche should aim for deeper value alignment and improved risk-reward balance.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 13, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Should long-term investors consider accumulating WLCON now, or is it too early? We review WLCON’s charts and apply the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy to decide.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy

WLCON daily chart showing volume breakout above consolidation as of June 13, 2023

WLCON (PSE) Daily Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025

WLCON weekly chart showing volume breakout above consolidation as of June 13, 2023

WLCON (PSE) Weekly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025

WLCON monthly chart showing volume breakout above consolidation as of June 13, 2023

WLCON (PSE) Monthly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025


πŸ“ I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 13, 2025
Stock: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱7.68
High: ₱7.80
Low: ₱7.47
20-MA (Daily): ₱6.57
200-MA (Daily): ₱11.60

After a long and steep downtrend, WLCON has shown signs of reversal on all three timeframes. A recent daily breakout attempt above the short-term moving averages has caught our attention. We now evaluate it using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant.


✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
Monthly and weekly charts confirm a prolonged downtrend, but recent candles suggest a possible base forming. Daily chart momentum is turning up.
Verdict: HOLD/WAIT (Trend Turn Underway)

2. Price Position & Value Zones
Price is still below the 200-day MA but has reclaimed the 20- and 50-day MA. On the monthly, it trades well below long-term value levels (₱15–22).
Verdict: BUY (Undervalued, Early Recovery Zone)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
June candles on all timeframes show bullish intent with above-average volume. Daily bar shows volume spike on breakout.
Verdict: BUY (Volume-Confirmed Turnaround)

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
While fundamentals remain pressured due to retail sector weakness, the technicals suggest a tactical low is in.
Verdict: BUY (Technical-Driven Recovery Trade)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
Soft stop around ₱6.30, below short-term moving averages. Violation here would negate early uptrend attempt.
Verdict: BUY with Soft Stop

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
Green candles now dominate after months of red, signaling reversal in character. Monthly candle has broken prior month’s high.
Verdict: BUY

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
Target zones:

  • Partial: ₱9.50–₱11.00

  • Full: ₱13.00+ if sustained
    Verdict: BUY (Strong R/R Potential)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Re-enter near ₱6.80–₱7.00 or if new base forms above ₱8.00.
Verdict: Prepare Re-Entry Strategy

9. Position Size Strategy
With a ₱6,000 capital and 100-share board lot, plan for 3 layers of ₱2,000 each. Start with test buy, then accumulate.
Verdict: BUY SMALL (Layered Plan)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
No ethical concerns. Retail-related recovery could play out in 2025.
Verdict: BUY


πŸš€ III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY

πŸ“… Recommendation: Accumulate between ₱7.00–₱7.70 as a technical turnaround continues with volume confirmation.

πŸ”’ Risk Management: Monitor support at ₱6.30. Violation would require thesis reassessment.

πŸ’° Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim around ₱9.50–₱11.00; exit fully at ₱13.00+ if monthly trend confirms.

πŸ“† Position Size Strategy: Start with 100 shares (~₱760), then add 100 shares each if pullbacks hold support or breakout above ₱8.00 occurs.


πŸ”„ IV. Next Steps

  • Short-term traders: Watch for confirmation above ₱8.00 for swing trade continuation.

  • Long-term investors: Begin layering near current levels; treat this as early stage of value recovery.

  • Existing holders: Hold positions; consider adding near ₱7.00 if pullback occurs.


🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for WLCON

(Based on Php6,000.00 Capital and 100-Share Board Lot)

πŸ”Ή Layer 1 – ₱2,000.00 → Entry Zone: ₱7.60–₱7.70 (Initial Buy)
πŸ”Ή Layer 2 – ₱2,000.00 → Entry Zone: ₱7.00–₱7.20 (Pullback Entry)
πŸ”Ή Layer 3 – ₱2,000.00 → Entry Zone: Breakout above ₱8.10 (Momentum Add-On)

Plan total = 300 shares
Estimated average = ₱7.40 if executed fully


πŸ“Š VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Score: 87/100

Most of the steps confirm a valid early accumulation signal. The only reason for not scoring a full BUY is the absence of a fully confirmed trend reversal on the monthly timeframe, which still suggests caution. However, the strong daily/weekly volume and structure justify the current BUY stance with layered accumulation.


🚨 Final Thought: Patience is key. This is the “value phase” where long-term accumulation matters more than momentum chasing. Stick to layers, respect soft stops, and allow time for trend maturity.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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