Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 7 – Tactical Entry for MREIT Inc. (MREIT)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 7/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Tactical Entry
  • Signal: Price testing 50% retracement level resistance
  • Stock: MREIT Inc. (MREIT)
  • Shares Bought: 200 out of 400 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱13.50
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation
MREIT Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

MREIT Trade No. 7/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Each step is scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with the strategy.

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context – Score: 7/10

  • Market phase: MREIT is range-bound between ₱13.18 (support) and ₱13.61 (50% retracement resistance).
  • Trend: Sideways with slight bullish bias after holding above ₱13.18.
  • Structure: Higher lows forming, but resistance remains strong at ₱13.61.
    Verdict: Moderate strength – A confirmed breakout is still needed.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels – Score: 8/10

  • Price is above the 200-MA (₱13.21), indicating long-term bullish stability.
  • Price is testing the 50% retracement at ₱13.61, which is a major decision point for continuation or rejection.
    Verdict: Good setup, but needs breakout confirmation above ₱13.61.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength – Score: 6/10

  • No strong green power bar today. Volume increased, but price remains stuck below ₱13.61.
  • Buyers are defending the range but haven’t broken resistance.
    Verdict: Weak confirmation – momentum needs to improve.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels – Score: 7/10

  • Entry at ₱13.50 is slightly below the 50% retracement level (₱13.61), which is a tactical but unconfirmed level.
  • A breakout above ₱13.61 is needed to validate the entry.
    Verdict: Decent risk-reward, but requires confirmation.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments – Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱13.30 (previous support level).
  • Ensures controlled risk while allowing price fluctuation within the range.
    Verdict: Good risk management – effective stop placement.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation – Score: 6/10

  • Today’s candle is neutral with no decisive movement.
  • A strong green bar tomorrow would confirm the bullish case.
    Verdict: Lack of a clear confirmation bar is a concern.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets – Score: 8/10

  • Target 1: ₱13.83 (75% retracement level).
  • Target 2: ₱14.04 (100% pullback level).
  • Exit plan is aligned with major resistance zones.
    Verdict: Profit-taking plan is well-structured.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks – Score: 7/10

  • Possible re-entry zone at ₱13.18 (0% retracement) if price dips.
  • Adding on strength if ₱13.61 breaks is also an option.
    Verdict: Opportunities exist but require more patience.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management – Score: 7/10

  • Half of the allocation was bought at ₱13.50, allowing flexibility.
  • **Adding the remaining 200 shares only if price confirms above ₱13.61.
    Verdict: Well-managed entry sizing strategy.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails – Score: 9/10

  • No counter-trend trade needed since MREIT is range-bound.
  • The stop-loss below ₱13.30 limits downside exposure.
    Verdict: Strong adherence to trend-following principles.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 7.4/10 (Moderate Setup)

Trade Execution: The entry at ₱13.50 is within the retracement range but lacks a confirmed breakout.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱13.30 ensures a controlled downside.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱13.83, scaling out at ₱14.04.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 allocation used, keeping room for further adjustments.


Next Steps

๐Ÿ“Œ Monitor price action near ₱13.61. If price holds above this level, consider adding exposure.

๐Ÿ“Œ Watch for weakness below ₱13.30. If price fails to break out and momentum weakens, consider exiting earlier.

๐Ÿ“Œ Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱13.18, a second tactical entry can be evaluated.

๐Ÿšจ Final Thought: MREIT’s price action remains neutral-to-bullish, but a decisive move above ₱13.61 is required to justify further buying. If resistance holds, expect sideways consolidation. ๐Ÿšจ



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Evaluation of Trade No. 6 – Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 6/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Break above the 20-MA with strong bullish momentum
  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Shares Bought: 400 out of 800 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱17.04
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation

๐Ÿ“Œ Chart Overview:

  • ATI closed at ₱17.50 (+0.69%), maintaining its breakout structure.
  • The stock surged above the 20-MA (₱16.82), confirming short-term trend reversal.
  • 200-MA (₱18.61) serves as the next major resistance level.
  • Volume at 77.9K suggests steady accumulation.
ATI Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

ATI Trade No. 6/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 8/10

  • ATI is transitioning from a downtrend into a potential uptrend.
  • Break above the 20-MA signals trend reversal, but confirmation above ₱18.00 is needed.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Price reclaimed the 20-MA (₱16.82), signaling short-term strength.
  • The next resistance is at the 200-MA (₱18.61), which must be cleared for further upside.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 9/10

  • Strong bullish price action with a breakout candlestick.
  • Momentum suggests continuation, provided volume remains steady.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Entry was well-timed as the price confirmed strength above ₱17.00.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another entry opportunity.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱16.40 to minimize risk.
  • A breakdown below this level invalidates the trade setup.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 8/10

  • Green candlestick formation confirms buying pressure.
  • Needs follow-through above ₱17.50 to confirm continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First target: ₱18.50 (near the 200-MA).
  • Final target: ₱19.50-₱20.00 (key resistance zone).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • A retest of ₱16.80-₱17.00 would offer another entry.
  • Breakout above ₱18.00 justifies scaling into the position.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • 1/2 position deployed, leaving room for scaling if price stabilizes above ₱18.00.
  • Further exposure should only be added above ₱18.50.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 6/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but caution is needed near ₱18.50 resistance.
  • Failure to hold above ₱16.50 would weaken the bullish setup.

๐Ÿ“Œ Overall Strategy Score: 80/100
๐Ÿ“Œ Summary: Trade was well-positioned on a momentum breakout, with further upside potential if price clears ₱18.50.


Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.0/10

Trade Execution: Entry positioned at a breakout level, aligning with trend reversal.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱16.40 ensures controlled downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱18.50, scaling out at ₱19.50-₱20.00.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 Allocation, keeping flexibility for re-entries.


Next Steps

๐Ÿ“Œ Monitor price action near ₱18.00-₱18.50. If ATI holds this level, consider scaling up.

๐Ÿ“Œ Watch for weakness below ₱16.50. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and exit below ₱16.40.

๐Ÿ“Œ Look for re-entry opportunities. If ATI retests ₱16.80-₱17.00 and holds, consider adding more shares.

๐Ÿšจ Conclusion: Trade No. 6 remains strong, with bullish momentum. A move above ₱18.50 would confirm further upside. ๐Ÿšจ



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Evaluation of Trade No. 5 – MacroAsia Corporation (MAC)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 5/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Pullback Entry
  • Signal: Price retracing to key support near the 200-MA and retracement zone
  • Stock: MacroAsia Corporation (MAC)
  • Shares Bought: 400 out of 800 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱5.58
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation

๐Ÿ“Œ Chart Overview:

  • MAC closed at ₱5.16 (-6.52%), dropping below key moving averages.
  • Price rejected near the 20-MA (₱5.44) and the 200-MA (₱5.31), showing weakness.
  • 50% pullback at ₱6.33 remains a major resistance area.
  • Support near the 0% pullback level at ₱4.96 is now in play.
MAC Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

MAC Trade No. 5/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 6/10

  • MAC remains in a corrective phase after a prior uptrend.
  • Failure to hold above moving averages suggests continued selling pressure.
  • A reversal setup is not yet confirmed.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry at ₱5.58 was near the 200-MA (₱5.31) but failed to hold.
  • Price is now testing the lower range of the pullback zone, increasing downside risk.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 5/10

  • Bearish candle with increased volume confirms stronger selling pressure.
  • Price needs a strong green candle above ₱5.30-₱5.40 to validate a reversal.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry aligned with a logical support level, but price closed weak.
  • A retest of ₱4.96 is possible if no recovery occurs.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss placed below ₱5.00 ensures controlled downside risk.
  • Break below ₱4.96 invalidates the trade.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 5/10

  • No clear bullish color change yet.
  • A green candle above ₱5.40 is needed for confirmation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 8/10

  • First target: ₱5.80-₱6.00 (short-term resistance).
  • Final target: ₱6.33-₱6.50 (major resistance).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 6/10

  • Re-entry near ₱5.16 may be possible, but a breakdown below ₱5.00 negates the setup.
  • Another opportunity exists above ₱5.40-₱5.50 if strength returns.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 7/10

  • 1/2 position deployed, leaving room for scaling if price stabilizes.
  • Further exposure should only be added above ₱5.40-₱5.50.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 5/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but weakness below ₱5.00 signals the need for caution.
  • Price needs to reclaim ₱5.40 to justify holding the position.

๐Ÿ“Œ Overall Strategy Score: 65/100

๐Ÿ“Œ Summary: Trade entered at a reasonable support zone but failed to hold, requiring immediate risk management decisions.


Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 6.5/10

Trade Execution: Entry positioned at a retracement level, but breakdown occurred.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱4.96 ensures controlled downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱5.80, scaling out at ₱6.33-₱6.50.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 Allocation, keeping flexibility for re-entries.


Next Steps

๐Ÿ“Œ Monitor price action near ₱5.16-₱5.30. If MAC holds this level, consider holding the position.

๐Ÿ“Œ Watch for weakness below ₱5.00. If momentum weakens, consider cutting losses.

๐Ÿ“Œ Look for re-entry opportunities. If MAC retests ₱5.40 and holds, consider adding more shares.

๐Ÿšจ Conclusion: Trade No. 5 remains weak unless MAC reclaims ₱5.40-₱5.50. If price fails to hold above ₱5.00, an exit is necessary to minimize risk. ๐Ÿšจ



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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