Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) remains a key player in the Philippine port and logistics sector. As of January 31, 2025, ATI closed at 17.20, showing a slight increase of +1.18% for the month. The price action indicates a pullback to the 20-MA (17.12) after reaching a high of 17.54. This setup suggests potential stabilization in the medium-term trend.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 17.20
  • High: 17.54
  • Low: 16.02
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 17.12
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 11.72

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 20.00 (Strong resistance area)
  • 75% Pullback: 18.50 (Short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 17.00 (Key support area)
  • 0% Pullback: 14.00 (Major support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend remains bullish, as price is above the 200-MA (11.72) and recently tested the 20-MA.
  • Short-term trend is showing weakness, but January's bounce from 16.02 suggests potential stabilization.
  • If price holds above 17.00, the uptrend can resume toward 18.50 - 20.00.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a short-term pullback.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 17.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, indicating long-term strength.
  • Retracement Zone: 17.00 - 17.30 is a critical support level that needs to hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before considering further buys.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January's candle closed green, showing early signs of recovery.
  • Volume remains moderate, suggesting controlled buying interest.

✅ Buyers stepped in, but confirmation is needed.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need a breakout above 18.50 for momentum.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 17.04 (200 shares on January 27) and 17.30 (200 shares on January 31) were placed within a key support area.
  • A move above 18.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
  • Risk is manageable as long as price holds above 17.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s green candle suggests buyers are present, but not dominant yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Look for strength in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Target 18.50 - 20.00 for partial exits upon breakout.
  • Dividends remain a key factor in holding ATI.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to sell.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 17.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 17.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 17.04 and 17.30 are well-timed, but further confirmation is needed.
  • If price moves above 18.50, adding to the position can be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 17.04 - 17.30, but avoid aggressive buying until a confirmed breakout above 18.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 18.50 - 20.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 17.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 17.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: ATI is stabilizing, but confirmation of an uptrend requires a breakout above 18.50. Wait for momentum before adding. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been on a prolonged downtrend, with price action remaining below key moving averages. As of January 31, 2025, ALLHC closed at 1.58, reflecting a -7.06% drop for the month, showing continued weakness in momentum. Price is currently trading below both the 20-MA (1.94) and the 200-MA (1.77), indicating a strong bearish environment.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 1.58
  • High: 1.77
  • Low: 1.58
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.94
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 1.77

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 3.00 (Long-term resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 2.50 (Major breakdown level)
  • 50% Pullback: 2.00 (Short-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 1.50 (Long-term support zone)

Since there are no current positions, this analysis will focus on whether a new position should be initiated using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

ALLHC monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Bearish market structure: Price is trading below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, confirming a strong downtrend.
  • 200-MA is at 1.77, meaning ALLHC is now trading below its long-term trend, which signals further weakness.
  • January’s close at 1.58 marks a breakdown below key moving averages.

✅ Market State: Downtrend, with price breaking key supports.
πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until signs of stabilization appear.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: The stock is trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, which suggests limited upside potential in the short term.
  • Retracement Zone: Price has dropped near the 1.50 level, which is a critical long-term support.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for confirmation before considering an entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a red candle, showing no signs of bullish reversal.
  • Volume is high (11.52M), but price continues to drop, suggesting increased selling pressure.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No strong buying signals present.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No bullish signals confirming a reversal yet.
  • A strong green candle or volume surge would be needed to indicate buyers are stepping in.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No entry signal confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 1.50 would be necessary.
  • However, price is already near long-term support, and a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Risk remains high, with no clear stop-loss placement.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green power bars or reversal signs yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until there is a bullish signal.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • No positions exist, so no profit-taking strategy applies.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • A re-entry should only be considered if price stabilizes above 1.75.
  • Current support is weak, meaning a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for a base formation before considering re-entry.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Since there is no position, adjustments do not apply.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments necessary.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are only advisable after two consecutive gap-downs or extreme oversold conditions.
  • Since price is gradually declining rather than collapsing, no counter-trend strategy applies.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
Recommendation: Avoid entering ALLHC at 1.58 as there are no clear reversal signals. Wait for confirmation above 1.75 before considering an entry.
Risk Management: If price drops below 1.50, it could lead to further downside.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable due to lack of position.
Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a clear reversal is confirmed.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Wait for stability above 1.75 before considering accumulation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Should assess stop-loss levels and consider cutting losses if price breaks below 1.50.
🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a clear downtrend with no bullish confirmation. Avoid taking positions until a proper reversal is evident. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: RL Commercial REIT (RCR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

RL Commercial REIT (RCR) remains a key player in the Philippine real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, offering investors both dividend income and capital appreciation potential. As of January 31, 2025, the stock price has continued its gradual uptrend, closing at 5.94 after a brief test of 6.03, with strong support from its 20-MA at 5.36.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: RL Commercial REIT (RCR)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 5.94
  • High: 6.03
  • Low: 5.84
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 5.36
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not yet available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 6.50 (Major resistance zone)
  • 75% Pullback: 6.20 (Key short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 5.90 (Current support level)
  • 0% Pullback: 5.36 (Long-term support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

RL Commercial REIT (RCR) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

RL Commercial REIT (RCR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend is transitioning from bearish to neutral, with price stabilizing above the 20-MA (5.36).
  • Price remains in an uptrend, consolidating near the 6.00 resistance zone.
  • January’s candle indicates mild bullish continuation, but momentum is slowing.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with consolidation near resistance.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 6.00.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is above the 20-MA, confirming trend stability.
  • Retracement Zone: 5.90 - 6.00 acts as immediate resistance, while 5.36 remains strong support.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but a breakout is needed.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 6.00.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a small-bodied green candle, indicating consolidation.
  • Volume remains stable, but no breakout confirmation yet.

✅ Buyers are maintaining control, but momentum needs a push.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume for a move above 6.00.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 5.93 (1,000 shares on January 17) and 6.00 (200 shares on January 23) were placed near resistance.
  • Further upside potential remains limited unless 6.20 is cleared.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be set below 5.75 to minimize downside risk.
  • Risk is moderate since price remains above 5.90 support.

✅ Controlled risk as long as price holds above 5.75.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s candle suggests indecision, requiring confirmation in February.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price moves above 6.20 - 6.50, consider partial exits.
  • Dividends remain a key incentive for holding REIT positions.

✅ Profits should be locked in at key resistance levels.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate exits required.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 5.75 if price pulls back.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 5.75.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 5.93 and 6.00 were well-timed, but a breakout is still needed.
  • Adding to positions should be considered only if momentum continues above 6.20.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 5.93 - 6.00, but avoid aggressive buying until a confirmed breakout above 6.20.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 5.75 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 6.20 - 6.50 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 5.75 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 6.20 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 5.75 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: RCR is consolidating after a steady uptrend. A breakout above 6.20 is needed for continued upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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