Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been on a prolonged downtrend, with price action remaining below key moving averages. As of January 31, 2025, ALLHC closed at 1.58, reflecting a -7.06% drop for the month, showing continued weakness in momentum. Price is currently trading below both the 20-MA (1.94) and the 200-MA (1.77), indicating a strong bearish environment.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 1.58
  • High: 1.77
  • Low: 1.58
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.94
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 1.77

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 3.00 (Long-term resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 2.50 (Major breakdown level)
  • 50% Pullback: 2.00 (Short-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 1.50 (Long-term support zone)

Since there are no current positions, this analysis will focus on whether a new position should be initiated using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

ALLHC monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Bearish market structure: Price is trading below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, confirming a strong downtrend.
  • 200-MA is at 1.77, meaning ALLHC is now trading below its long-term trend, which signals further weakness.
  • January’s close at 1.58 marks a breakdown below key moving averages.

✅ Market State: Downtrend, with price breaking key supports.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until signs of stabilization appear.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: The stock is trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, which suggests limited upside potential in the short term.
  • Retracement Zone: Price has dropped near the 1.50 level, which is a critical long-term support.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for confirmation before considering an entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a red candle, showing no signs of bullish reversal.
  • Volume is high (11.52M), but price continues to drop, suggesting increased selling pressure.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No strong buying signals present.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No bullish signals confirming a reversal yet.
  • A strong green candle or volume surge would be needed to indicate buyers are stepping in.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No entry signal confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 1.50 would be necessary.
  • However, price is already near long-term support, and a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Risk remains high, with no clear stop-loss placement.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green power bars or reversal signs yet.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until there is a bullish signal.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • No positions exist, so no profit-taking strategy applies.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • A re-entry should only be considered if price stabilizes above 1.75.
  • Current support is weak, meaning a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for a base formation before considering re-entry.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Since there is no position, adjustments do not apply.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments necessary.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are only advisable after two consecutive gap-downs or extreme oversold conditions.
  • Since price is gradually declining rather than collapsing, no counter-trend strategy applies.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
✅ Recommendation: Avoid entering ALLHC at 1.58 as there are no clear reversal signals. Wait for confirmation above 1.75 before considering an entry.
✅ Risk Management: If price drops below 1.50, it could lead to further downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable due to lack of position.
✅ Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a clear reversal is confirmed.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
🔹 Long-term investors → Wait for stability above 1.75 before considering accumulation.
🔹 Existing holders → Should assess stop-loss levels and consider cutting losses if price breaks below 1.50.
🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a clear downtrend with no bullish confirmation. Avoid taking positions until a proper reversal is evident. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: RL Commercial REIT (RCR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

RL Commercial REIT (RCR) remains a key player in the Philippine real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, offering investors both dividend income and capital appreciation potential. As of January 31, 2025, the stock price has continued its gradual uptrend, closing at 5.94 after a brief test of 6.03, with strong support from its 20-MA at 5.36.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: RL Commercial REIT (RCR)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 5.94
  • High: 6.03
  • Low: 5.84
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 5.36
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not yet available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 6.50 (Major resistance zone)
  • 75% Pullback: 6.20 (Key short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 5.90 (Current support level)
  • 0% Pullback: 5.36 (Long-term support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

RL Commercial REIT (RCR) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

RL Commercial REIT (RCR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend is transitioning from bearish to neutral, with price stabilizing above the 20-MA (5.36).
  • Price remains in an uptrend, consolidating near the 6.00 resistance zone.
  • January’s candle indicates mild bullish continuation, but momentum is slowing.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with consolidation near resistance.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 6.00.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is above the 20-MA, confirming trend stability.
  • Retracement Zone: 5.90 - 6.00 acts as immediate resistance, while 5.36 remains strong support.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but a breakout is needed.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 6.00.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a small-bodied green candle, indicating consolidation.
  • Volume remains stable, but no breakout confirmation yet.

✅ Buyers are maintaining control, but momentum needs a push.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume for a move above 6.00.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 5.93 (1,000 shares on January 17) and 6.00 (200 shares on January 23) were placed near resistance.
  • Further upside potential remains limited unless 6.20 is cleared.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be set below 5.75 to minimize downside risk.
  • Risk is moderate since price remains above 5.90 support.

✅ Controlled risk as long as price holds above 5.75.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s candle suggests indecision, requiring confirmation in February.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price moves above 6.20 - 6.50, consider partial exits.
  • Dividends remain a key incentive for holding REIT positions.

✅ Profits should be locked in at key resistance levels.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate exits required.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 5.75 if price pulls back.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 5.75.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 5.93 and 6.00 were well-timed, but a breakout is still needed.
  • Adding to positions should be considered only if momentum continues above 6.20.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 5.93 - 6.00, but avoid aggressive buying until a confirmed breakout above 6.20.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 5.75 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 6.20 - 6.50 for gradual exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 5.75 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 6.20 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 5.75 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: RCR is consolidating after a steady uptrend. A breakout above 6.20 is needed for continued upside. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) has shown impressive growth over the past year, maintaining an uptrend supported by rising price action and increasing volume. As of January 31, 2025, the stock closed at 2.23, with strong technical positioning above the 20-MA (1.78), suggesting a bullish continuation if key resistance levels are cleared.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 2.23
  • High: 2.25
  • Low: 2.06
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.78
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not yet available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 2.40 (Major resistance zone)
  • 75% Pullback: 2.30 (Short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 2.15 (Potential support if retracement occurs)
  • 0% Pullback: 1.78 (Long-term support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend is bullish, with price continuing to hold above the 20-MA (1.78).
  • Higher highs and higher lows confirm trend continuation, but resistance at 2.30 - 2.40 could trigger a pullback.
  • Price remains near recent highs, indicating strong buyer interest.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with resistance ahead.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Wait for a decisive breakout above 2.30.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is well above the 20-MA, signaling sustained strength.
  • Retracement Zone: 2.15 - 2.20 could act as a key support area if price retraces.

✅ Favorable for trend continuation, but risk of a pullback remains.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No aggressive buying until confirmation above 2.30.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a small-bodied green candle, suggesting consolidation.
  • Volume remains healthy, indicating continued interest in the stock.

✅ Buying pressure remains intact, but no breakout yet.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – A strong push above 2.30 is needed for a clear move.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 2.23 (1,000 shares on January 31) was placed near short-term resistance.
  • A breakout above 2.30 could trigger momentum buying.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 2.10 to limit downside risk.
  • Risk remains moderate as long as the price stays above 2.15.

✅ Defined risk parameters keep the trade structured.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Manage stop-loss carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s candle shows consolidation rather than momentum, requiring additional confirmation.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Look for further strength in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Target 2.40 - 2.50 for potential exits if momentum strengthens.
  • Monitor for any signs of exhaustion near resistance.

✅ Profits should be locked in at key resistance levels.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate exits required.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 2.15 if price pulls back.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 2.15.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trade at 2.23 is a reasonable entry, but further confirmation is needed.
  • Additional positions should be considered only if momentum continues above 2.30.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 2.23, but avoid adding aggressively until a breakout above 2.30 is confirmed.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 2.10 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 2.40 - 2.50 for gradual exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 2.15 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 2.30 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 2.15 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: PREIT is consolidating after strong gains. A confirmed breakout above 2.30 is needed for trend continuation. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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