Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) continues to exhibit strong price action while consolidating near a key resistance level. As of January 31, 2025, SCC closed at 34.60, showing a minor decline of -0.86% for the month. The stock traded within a range of 33.90 to 36.50, reflecting buyer and seller activity near a breakout zone.

The price is above both the 20-MA (32.23) and the 200-MA (23.60), suggesting long-term bullish strength despite short-term fluctuations.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 34.60
  • High: 36.50
  • Low: 33.90
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 32.23
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 23.60

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 40.00 (Major resistance level)
  • 75% Pullback: 38.00 (Short-term breakout zone)
  • 50% Pullback: 35.00 (Current mid-range level)
  • 0% Pullback: 32.00 (Key support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • SCC remains in an uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s price action suggests a breakout attempt, but resistance near 36.50 caused a pullback.
  • If price holds above 32.00, the bullish trend remains intact.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with resistance ahead.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 36.50.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is above both moving averages, favoring long trades.
  • Retracement Zone: 32.00 - 34.00 acts as a strong support range for re-entry.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but resistance remains.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 36.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s candle suggests indecision, with an upper rejection at 36.50.
  • Volume remains high (36.37M), signaling continued market interest.

✅ Buying pressure remains, but resistance is limiting momentum.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 36.50 for confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 36.20 (100 shares on January 31), followed by a SELL at 36.10, and a re-entry at 36.20.
  • Trade was executed near resistance, making it a high-risk entry.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until a breakout is confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
  • Risk remains manageable as long as price stays above 34.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor stop-loss levels carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish confirmation yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Look for stronger momentum in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price moves above 38.00 - 40.00, consider partial exits.
  • Dividends also provide an additional incentive to hold.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 34.00 if price stabilizes.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 34.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Trade executed at 36.20 was near resistance, requiring careful risk management.
  • Adding to positions should be considered only if price moves above 36.50.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary, as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 36.20, but avoid additional buys unless price breaks above 36.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 38.00 - 40.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 34.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 36.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 34.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: SCC remains in an uptrend, but a confirmed breakout above 36.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: Manila Electric Company (MER) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Manila Electric Company (MER) has been a key stock in the Philippine market, displaying strong trends in previous months. As of January 31, 2025, the stock presents an interesting technical setup for review.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 448.00
  • High: 503.50
  • Low: 448.00
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 394.31
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 281.77

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 520.00 (Approximate resistance zone)
  • 75% Pullback: 480.00 (Significant level where price faced rejection)
  • 50% Pullback: 430.00 (Mid-range zone)
  • 0% Pullback: 280.00 (Long-term support near 200-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and comprehensive analysis.

Manila Electric Company (MER) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Manila Electric Company (MER) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The long-term trend is clearly bullish, as price remains above both the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, the monthly candlestick has closed with a strong rejection from the 500+ zone, indicating potential short-term exhaustion.

✅ Market State: Uptrend, but facing short-term resistance.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a better re-entry.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Current Position: Price is above both moving averages, confirming the long-term bullish bias.
  • Retracement Zones: Price has pulled back from a high of 503.50 and is now near the 75% retracement zone at 480.00.

✅ Favorable for dip buying near 430.00-450.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Wait for a reaction near 430.00.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle suggests profit-taking and resistance at 500+.
  • Volume is relatively high but not extreme, indicating controlled selling rather than panic.

✅ Strong momentum still present, but sellers dominate this month.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe the next monthly bar.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The BUY trades at 481.40 and 472.40 were executed near the 75% retracement level.
  • However, the close at 448.00 suggests potential drawdown in the short term.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Avoid adding more positions until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Suggested stop-loss: below 420.00 for long positions.
  • Risk is moderate, but holding at 448.00 requires monitoring.

✅ Risk management intact, but downside risk exists.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No new entries until a bullish confirmation.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • A red closing candle suggests weak momentum going into February.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price retests 500+, partial exits should be considered.
  • A strong close above 480.00 is needed to resume bullish momentum.

✅ Exit strategy remains the same – take profits near 500.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate selling needed.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry area: 430.00-450.00 if price stabilizes.
  • A bounce confirmation from this range is ideal.

✅ Buy re-entry possible near 430.00 if support holds.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Monitor price movement first.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • The BUY trades at 481.40 and 472.40 are now slightly in drawdown.
  • If price stabilizes in February, adding to the position near 430.00 could be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No aggressive adding yet.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary as the long-term uptrend remains intact.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action needed.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain existing positions but avoid adding new ones until a confirmation above 450.00 or a dip to 430.00.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 420.00 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 480.00-500.00 for gradual exits.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding at 430.00 if price stabilizes.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Avoid aggressive buying; monitor price movement for confirmation.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions but be cautious if the price drops below 420.00.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Consider profit-taking near 500.00 on future rallies.
🚨 Final Thought: The trend is still bullish, but January's rejection suggests some cooling off. Watch the 430.00-450.00 zone for a better re-entry opportunity. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) faced a massive decline in January 2025, closing at 60.80, reflecting a -23.04% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 83.95 before collapsing to 60.80, marking a decisive breakdown. URC is now trading far below the 20-MA (105.83) and the 200-MA (113.68), confirming a strong bearish trend.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 60.80
  • High: 83.95
  • Low: 60.80
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 105.83
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 113.68

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 140.00 (Pre-2022 highs)
  • 75% Pullback: 120.00 (Previous major breakdown level)
  • 50% Pullback: 90.00 (Long-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 60.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a strong bearish downtrend, confirmed by price trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s red candle is a significant power bar downward, signaling intense selling pressure.
  • The breakdown below 70.00 triggered a sharp acceleration in the decline.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with no immediate support nearby.
πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid buying until stability is confirmed.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: Price remains far below key moving averages, confirming an aggressive selloff.
  • Retracement Zone: 60.00 is the last support area before further downside risk.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Price needs to hold 60.00 before considering any re-entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle is a dominant power bar to the downside.
  • Volume surged to 42.46M, confirming extreme selling pressure.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No bullish signals detected.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No buy signals detected, as price is in free fall.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until a proper base forms.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 58.00 would be required.
  • However, there is no confirmed support yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Risk is too high at this stage.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No bullish reversal or green power bars appeared this month.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need bullish confirmation before considering a buy.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • All positions have been exited; profit-taking does not apply.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No active positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If price stabilizes above 60.00, it may become a re-entry zone.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No immediate re-entry recommended.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • All trades have been fully exited, making this step unnecessary.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments needed.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend setup is valid, as price is still in freefall.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
Recommendation: Avoid entering URC at 60.80, as the bearish trend remains strong with no confirmed support.
Risk Management: If price falls below 60.00, it could lead to further downside.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable as all positions have been exited.
Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a strong bullish reversal appears.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Wait for stabilization above 60.00 before considering accumulation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Fully exited, no further action required.
🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. No trade should be considered until a proper base forms. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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