Micro Stock Trader

Thursday, June 26, 2025

Trade Evaluation: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) – Layer 3 Entry at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 Assessed Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON Weekly Chart as of June 26, 2025 showing bullish breakout above 20-MA with high volume. Ideal tactical entry setup.

WLCON Layer 3 tactical buy at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 evaluated using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy. Breakout strength confirmed.

We are closely monitoring the recovery play of Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) after its prolonged downtrend. As of the mid-day session on June 26, 2025, WLCON has advanced to ₱8.28, showing strong signs of bullish breakout continuation on the weekly chart. This trade evaluation focuses on the planned Layer 3 buy action—an additional 100 shares to be executed at the 1:00 PM resumption of trading.

This move is part of our ongoing implementation of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, under our ₱5,000 capital layering plan.

💼 Trade Execution Overview

Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Trade Action: Buy 100 shares (Layer 3 Entry)
Planned Entry Price: ₱8.28
Date: June 26, 2025
Session: Mid-day Weekly Chart
Board Lot: 100 shares
Indicators at Mid-Day:
- 20-MA: ₱6.98
- 50-MA: ₱11.89
- 200-MA: ₱22.29
- Volume (week-to-date): 12.32M

✅ Step-by-Step Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
WLCON remains technically in a long-term downtrend but is clearly forming a bullish reversal base. Price has crossed the 20-MA and is now breaking upward with momentum.
➡ Verdict: Wait for full reversal on higher timeframe, but valid for tactical buy.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price now sits above the 20-MA and within the sweet spot of a bullish recovery retracement (40–50% zone). This confirms an attractive range for breakout continuation.
➡ Verdict: Positive tactical zone.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Last week’s breakout candle is now being followed by another green bar with mid-week volume already hitting 12.32M—clear institutional interest.
➡ Verdict: Strong confirmation of power move.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Your planned entry at ₱8.28 is slightly above the previous week’s high. The price is breaking out from a multi-week base.
➡ Verdict: Valid Layer 3 breakout entry.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
Logical stop-loss is below ₱7.00 (20-MA level), offering a manageable downside.
➡ Verdict: Proper stop identified.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Confirmation
A consistent shift from red to green candles over the last three weeks confirms bullish reversal.
➡ Verdict: Reversal signal present.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
Target profit zones include ₱9.80, ₱10.50, and the 50-MA at ₱11.89.
➡ Verdict: Tactical exit zones are well-defined.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Any pullback to ₱7.80–₱8.00 may serve as a re-entry if profit-taking occurs.
➡ Verdict: Re-entry plan viable.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Layer 3 is in line with our ₱5,000 plan (100 shares initial, 200 core, 200 add-on).
➡ Verdict: Position sizing fully compliant.
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
This is no longer a counter-trend play—momentum is now in favor.
➡ Verdict: Valid continuation trade.
✅ Score: 8/10

📊 Final Score: 83 / 100

Interpretation: ✅ Good Quality Entry – Confirmed Breakout with Strong Setup Compliance

🎯 Final Tactical Entry Decision

✅ Action: Proceed with buying 100 shares at ₱8.28 during the 1:00 PM trading resumption.

✅ Stop-Loss: Place below ₱7.00 (just under the 20-MA on weekly).

✅ Profit Targets: Take partial profits near ₱9.80 and ₱10.50; consider holding balance to ₱11.89.

✅ Position Sizing: Stay within the total ₱5,000 capital layering framework (up to 600 shares maximum).

📌 Next Steps

🔹 Watch for strong closing volume on Friday to confirm weekly breakout

🔹 Adjust stop-loss to breakeven if price exceeds ₱8.80

🔹 Avoid chasing if price sharply rises beyond ₱8.50 intraday

🔹 Prepare to take profits near ₱10.50 if upward move extends rapidly

🚨 Final Thought: This Layer 3 entry is backed by a strong breakout from base. Manage with discipline—protect capital, follow exits, and allow the trend to work.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Weekly Chart as of June 23, 2025 – Evaluating Tactical Buys and What Comes Next Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

ABA stock pulls back after breakout—are we still on track? We evaluate all trade actions as of June 23, 2025 using our 10-Step Strategy.

We initially published our outlook on June 13, 2025, recommending a tactical accumulation strategy as ABA entered a bullish recovery zone. Since then, price has retraced toward key support levels. This review assesses whether our actions complied with our strategic plan and outlines what comes next.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 23, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.63
High: ₱0.68
Low: ₱0.62
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.52
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
ABA remains in a long-term downtrend below the 200-MA. However, the price continues to establish a short-term bullish structure, despite this week’s -8.70% decline. Price remains above the 20- and 50-MA levels.
➡ Verdict: Wait – Short-term uptrend remains, but recovery is being tested.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price has now retraced near the ₱0.63–₱0.65 support zone, within our defined deep pullback range. This zone aligns with the 50-week MA (₱0.63) and our tactical re-entry layers.
➡ Verdict: Buy zone already executed – Hold current levels.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Volume this week was solid at 12.846M, but price printed a red candle, suggesting profit-taking rather than distribution. There is no confirmation yet of bearish reversal.
➡ Verdict: No new entry – Observe next candle behavior.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Previous entries were executed above support (₱0.74, ₱0.66, ₱0.65) per strategy. Current candle shows buyers defending ₱0.62–₱0.63 area.
➡ Verdict: Entry timing was acceptable. No new buy signal yet.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
With the price near our accumulation base, a protective stop-loss should be placed just below ₱0.60. A break of this level invalidates the thesis of a mid-term base.
➡ Verdict: Set stops at ₱0.59–₱0.60 to manage downside.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
The transition from green to red bars signals a cooling phase. A bullish reversal candle or stabilization above the 50-MA must be observed next week.
➡ Verdict: Caution – watch for confirmation candle.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
No sell signals yet triggered. However, traders should consider trimming 1,000–2,000 shares if the price fails to hold ₱0.60.
➡ Verdict: No exit for long-term holders unless ₱0.59 fails.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
All planned entries have been executed. There is no need for additional buys unless ABA breaks above ₱0.80 with conviction.
➡ Verdict: Wait for breakout confirmation before reloading.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
We have now deployed 80% of our Php10,000 capital. No additional adjustments are needed unless stop-loss triggers.
➡ Verdict: Hold – No further scaling required at this stage.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable. We are not in a confirmed downtrend breakdown.
➡ Verdict: Not a counter-trend setup.

Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD with Stop Monitoring

✅ Recommendation: Maintain current 10,000-share position unless price breaks below ₱0.60.

✅ Risk Management: Place dynamic stop-loss at ₱0.59–₱0.60 zone to manage capital preservation.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: First exits at ₱0.85–₱0.90 if recovery resumes.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Full layering complete. No further buys until breakout confirmation above ₱0.80.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → May consider trimming if weekly close falls below ₱0.60 with volume.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold position; this is a healthy pullback into a defined support zone.

🔹 Existing holders → No action needed unless price breaks key support.

🚨 Final Thought: The stock is still structurally intact. However, this week’s pullback is a reality check for patience and discipline. Monitor for a reversal bar above ₱0.63 or reduce if key support breaks. 🚨

Layered Accumulation Update (as of June 23, 2025)

We now hold:

June 3: 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80
June 17: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.74
June 23: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.66
June 23: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65

🔹 Total Shares: 10,000
🔹 Average Cost: ~₱0.799/share
🔹 Capital Deployed: ₱7,990.00
🔹 Remaining Capital Buffer: ₱2,010.00 (reserved for future confirmed breakout only)

Scored Evaluation of Trade Actions (as of June 23, 2025)

We evaluated each step of our strategy based on accuracy, discipline, and timing. The scoring rubric uses a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 representing perfect execution in line with our long-term investment plan.

Step 1 – Market State & Trend Context
✅ We correctly identified the long-term downtrend and the forming short-term recovery.
Score: 9/10

Step 2 – Price Position & Retracement Zones
✅ All entries were placed near support zones and within the designated tactical and deep pullback zones (₱0.74, ₱0.66, ₱0.65).
Score: 10/10

Step 3 – Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
✅ We entered after the breakout signal in late May and layered in during volume-supported retracements. No chasing occurred.
Score: 9/10

Step 4 – Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
✅ Each entry aligned with technical confirmation—either after a breakout or during structured retracement into MA support.
Score: 9/10

Step 5 – Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
✅ Our exposure remains below the Php10,000 cap, with 80% deployed. Stops are clearly defined near ₱0.60.
Score: 10/10

Step 6 – Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
🟡 While the green-to-red transition was noticed, a clearer confirmation pattern could have been awaited before final buys on June 23.
Score: 8/10

Step 7 – Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
🟡 Not yet applicable, but plans for profit-taking around ₱0.85–₱0.90 are in place.
Score: 8/10

Step 8 – Potential Re-Entry Zones
✅ Executed perfectly. Re-entries were made within the re-entry zones (Layer 2 and 3) without overtrading.
Score: 10/10

Step 9 – Tactical Position Adjustments
✅ Core and tactical entries were well proportioned. The final position is within plan. No excessive averaging down occurred.
Score: 9/10

Step 10 – Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
✅ Correctly avoided premature action despite the pullback. No violation of the rules for counter-trend entries.
Score: 10/10

🔎 Overall Trade Execution Score: 92 / 100

Verdict:
A well-executed accumulation strategy with disciplined scaling, proper technical alignment, and adherence to risk controls. Minor caution in Step 6 moving forward will further improve timing and confirmation-based entries. The position is healthy, aligned with strategy, and properly managed.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Friday, June 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 13, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Should long-term investors continue accumulating FPI after a recent breakout? This review applies the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

📍 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 13, 2025
Stock: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange
Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.2300
High: ₱0.2300 (Daily), ₱0.2900 (Weekly/Monthly)
Low: ₱0.2300 (Daily), ₱0.2250 (Weekly/Monthly)
20-MA: ₱0.2245 (Daily), ₱0.2210 (Weekly), ₱0.2230 (Monthly)
200-MA: ₱0.2248 (Daily), ₱0.2210 (Weekly), ₱0.2230 (Monthly)

Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) has staged a significant breakout attempt, with volume surging and price spiking up to ₱0.29 intraday. Although it closed back at ₱0.23, this movement suggests heightened speculative interest. We recently entered with 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025. The strategy used is the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant.

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
Volume spike and bullish expansion bar observed on all timeframes. Daily, weekly, and monthly candles are all green, signaling breakout momentum.
➡ Verdict: BUY

2. Price Position & Value Zones
At ₱0.2300, FPI is trading slightly above the 20-day and 200-day MAs across all timeframes. However, it is now below our entry at ₱0.25, suggesting a near-term dip may offer better re-entry.
➡ Verdict: WAIT (for better entry within support zone ₱0.21–₱0.23)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
The June 10–12 rally featured a strong power bar with extreme volume confirmation—highest in months.
➡ Verdict: BUY

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
Fundamental catalysts are still unclear, but technically, FPI printed a rare clean breakout from range. Entry was technically justified but slightly late.
➡ Verdict: BUY (with caution)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
Soft stop around ₱0.20 to protect capital without disrupting long-term plan. We avoid hard stops due to thin liquidity.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
No red reversal bar yet post-breakout. However, the long wick above ₱0.29 is a short-term caution sign.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
First partial exit near ₱0.29–₱0.30, next tier at ₱0.34, and full exit if extended to ₱0.40.
➡ Verdict: HOLD (no trimming until ₱0.29 retest)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Plan re-entry near ₱0.21–₱0.23 if price dips with stabilizing volume.
➡ Verdict: WAIT

9. Position Size Strategy (Include board lot conversion and layering plan)
With ₱6,000 capital and 10,000-share board lot, scaling must be done in 10k blocks. Initial position already placed.
➡ Verdict: HOLD (next entry: on pullback with lower wick confirmation)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
None at this stage. Breakout was driven by price-action, not fundamental story.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / BUY-on-Pullback

📅 Recommendation: Accumulate more only on dips to ₱0.21–₱0.23. The price is below our entry and near MA clusters, suggesting support.

🔢 Risk Management: Use a soft stop below ₱0.20 in case of sustained sell-off. Avoid panic exits unless breakdown is confirmed on weekly close.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Begin selling at ₱0.29–₱0.30, then ₱0.34 and ₱0.40 if upside momentum continues.

📆 Position Size Strategy: Start with minimum board lot (10,000 shares per layer). Add only if the next red-to-green reversal occurs near the 20-MA.

🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → Wait for a red-to-green reversal near ₱0.22 before re-entering.

Long-term investors → Hold core position, watch for weekly close stability above ₱0.23.

Existing holders → Hold. Monitor volume. Consider trimming above ₱0.29 if there is a failed breakout retest.

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

(Based on Php6,000 Capital and 10,000-Share Board Lot)

First Layer (Executed): ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025, 10,000 shares = ₱2,500
Second Layer (Planned): ₱0.23 area if low volume pullback = ₱2,300
Third Layer (Planned): ₱0.21–₱0.215 area on dip = ₱2,150

If both layers fill, final average cost will approximate ₱0.23 for 30,000 shares.

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Trade: BUY 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025

Market State and Trend Context:
The trade was made during a confirmed breakout phase. There was a strong expansion bar accompanied by a dramatic increase in volume, signaling the start of momentum. This was a near-ideal context to enter based on technical trend behavior.
Score: 9/10
Price Position and Value Zones:
Entry at ₱0.25 was slightly above the value zone defined by the cluster of moving averages. While technically justified by momentum, it was not optimal for value accumulation. Pullback opportunities around ₱0.21 to ₱0.23 would have provided better positioning.
Score: 6/10
Power Bars and Volume Confirmation:
The power bar printed on June 10 had full body range with strong volume spike—clear institutional or speculative activity. The trade aligned well with this cue.
Score: 10/10
Entry Confirmation (Fundamental and Technical):
While there was no known catalyst or news, the technical structure justified the entry. The breakout from months of consolidation was clearly visible across all timeframes.
Score: 8/10
Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Strategy:
A soft stop approach was correctly used, targeting below ₱0.20 as a thesis violation zone. This reflects discipline appropriate to long-term positioning in a thinly traded stock.
Score: 9/10
Color Change / Reversal Signal:
No immediate reversal signal was evident, although the presence of a long wick from ₱0.29 is a warning of short-term selling pressure. The trade remains intact but must be monitored for weakness.
Score: 8/10
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Profit-taking levels are defined above ₱0.29 and up to ₱0.40. However, none of these levels have been hit yet, and the entry was relatively close to the top of the recent spike. This weakens early exit flexibility.
Score: 7/10
Re-Entry Plans:
A better entry window now appears to be forming near ₱0.21 to ₱0.23. The initial trade did not factor this in but planning for a second tranche improves strategic discipline.
Score: 6/10
Position Size and Layering Compliance:
The trade adhered to the board lot of 10,000 shares and matched the capital structure defined in our long-term plan. Layering strategy is already in place for follow-up orders.
Score: 10/10
Ethical and Counter-Trend Considerations:
No unethical or counter-trend actions were evident in this setup. The trade was aligned with technical breakout conditions and remained within the investor’s ethical and portfolio guidelines.
Score: 7/10

Overall Score: 80 out of 100

Final Verdict: This was a valid breakout trade executed within strategic parameters. However, the next tranche should aim for deeper value alignment and improved risk-reward balance.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Pages

Thursday, June 26, 2025

Trade Evaluation: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) – Layer 3 Entry at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 Assessed Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

📌 Introduction

💼 Trade Execution Overview

✅ Step-by-Step Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

📊 Final Score: 83 / 100

🎯 Final Tactical Entry Decision

📌 Next Steps

Related Readings

Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Weekly Chart as of June 23, 2025 – Evaluating Tactical Buys and What Comes Next Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

Introduction

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Final Stock Recommendation

Next Steps

Layered Accumulation Update (as of June 23, 2025)

Scored Evaluation of Trade Actions (as of June 23, 2025)

🔎 Overall Trade Execution Score: 92 / 100

Related Readings

Friday, June 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 13, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Contents:

📍 I. Introduction

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

🔄 IV. Next Steps

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Related Readings

Featured Post

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day) – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Followers

Search This Blog