Micro Stock Trader

Friday, June 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Daily, Weekly, and Monthly Charts as of June 13, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Is it time to accumulate more shares of ABA or wait for a pullback? Let’s review its technical chart setup using our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Stock Price Strategy Review: ABA, WLCON, and FPI Layered Accumulation & Phased Exit Plans as of June 10, 2025 – Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Review of Micro Stock Trader’s strategic layered accumulation and phased exit approach for ABA, WLCON, and FPI as of June 10, 2025 using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus.

📅 Contents

I. Introduction

II. Layered Accumulation Plan Summary

III. Phased Exit Plan Summary

IV. Final Thoughts and Discipline Reminder

Long-Term Focus Trading Environment
I. Introduction

This post summarizes our Layered Accumulation Plans and Phased Exit Plans for three stocks we are tracking under the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant. These are:

AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON)
Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)

Each plan is tailored to the stock’s technical setup, liquidity profile, capital allocation strategy, and board lot compliance. Entry layers are strategically placed near value zones and breakout levels, while exit stages aim to optimize returns as price progresses toward resistance targets.

II. Layered Accumulation Plan Summary

🔹 ABA (Php10,000 Capital)

Layer 1 (Executed): 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80 = ₱4,800
Layer 2: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.70 = ₱1,400
Layer 3: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65 = ₱650 (GTC placed)
Layer 4: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.85 = ₱1,700
Buffer: ₱1,450 reserved for volatility adjustments

➡ Focus: Flexible multi-layer strategy to capture retracements and breakout momentum, anchored on a disciplined cost-averaging plan.

This structure balances core positioning with tactical pullback and breakout entries, allowing flexibility in both downtrend defense and uptrend momentum builds.

🔹 WLCON (Php3,000 Capital)

Layer 1 (Executed): 100 shares @ ₱7.31 = ₱731
Layer 2 (GTC): 100 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱700
Layer 3 (Pending): 100 shares @ ₱6.25–₱6.50 = ₱650
Buffer: ₱900 reserved (30% capital)

➡ Focus: Conservative 3-layer plan with small board lot entries to test potential support zones amid ongoing downtrend.

The plan uses conservative board lot entries to cautiously engage a structurally weak but potentially bottoming stock, with clear capital discipline in place.

🔹 FPI (Php3,000 Capital)

Layer 1 (Executed): 10,000 shares @ ₱0.25 = ₱2,500
Layer 2 (Planned): 10,000 shares @ ₱0.23 = ₱2,300
Layer 3 (Final Add-on): 10,000 shares @ ₱0.22 = ₱2,200
Total Exposure: ₱7,300 for 30,000 shares across three zones

➡ Focus: Aggressive but controlled accumulation strategy to scale quickly near breakout and MA20 support zone.

This 3-layered aggressive scaling approach supports breakout participation while enabling averaging near MA20 support zones.

III. Phased Exit Plan Summary

🔹 ABA (Derived Exit Targets)

Stage 1: ₱0.90–₱0.95 (initial resistance)
Stage 2: ₱1.10–₱1.20 (prior highs)
Stage 3: Trail remaining shares if momentum breaks ₱1.20+

🔹 WLCON (Staged Profit Levels)

Stage 1: ₱10.00
Stage 2: ₱12.00
Stage 3: ₱16.00 on long-term breakout extension

🔹 FPI (Explicit Plan)

Stage 1: ₱0.30
Stage 2: ₱0.34
Stage 3: ₱0.45 (high-reward target if volume sustains)

Each exit plan uses technical resistance clusters and projected trend extensions as guideposts, while integrating volume confirmation and soft-stop monitoring to protect gains.

IV. Final Thoughts and Discipline Reminder

These plans emphasize long-term positioning with tactical flexibility. Patience is key: layering must be driven by price behavior, not emotions. Volume, trend confirmation, and capital exposure limits must remain central to our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

🚨 Mindset Reminder: In long-term investing, protecting capital during volatility is as important as capturing upside. Stay focused on trend structure, not short-term noise.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

When trading long-term in fundamentally promising but technically volatile stocks, Micro Stock Trader employs a refined, capital-conscious methodology built into our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant. Two of its core features are the Layered Accumulation Plan and the Phased Exit Plan. These aren't just passive holding strategies — they are tactical frameworks designed to increase reward and manage risk while aligning with real-world trading constraints like board lots and capital availability.

📥 What is the Layered Accumulation Plan?

The Layered Accumulation Plan is our disciplined, step-by-step buying strategy. Instead of deploying all available capital in a single entry, we accumulate shares gradually at pre-identified price zones that align with value areas, technical supports, or retracement targets.

Key Features:

Capital-Based Layering: We define accumulation layers using actual capital (e.g., ₱3,000 total) and break it into small, board-lot-compliant chunks (e.g., 100-share lots).
Zone-Based Triggers: Each layer is activated based on pullback zones, usually near the 20-MA, support lines, or fundamental undervaluation levels.
Soft Stop-Loss Principle: We use trend shifts or fundamental deterioration as thesis violation points—not rigid cut-loss prices.

This method reflects patience and value discipline, ensuring we don’t chase price surges and instead build a base in attractive zones with minimal emotional exposure.

📤 What is the Phased Exit Plan?

The Phased Exit Plan is the counterpart of our accumulation method. Rather than waiting for a "perfect" peak to exit, we scale out in portions as price targets or overvaluation zones are hit.

Key Features:

Targeted Profit Zones: We exit partial positions as price moves through technical resistances, Fibonacci targets, or trailing breakout peaks.
Bias Toward Partial Wins: By locking in profits along the way, we protect gains even if the full run-up doesn't materialize.
Trend-Based Final Exit: The last tranche is usually held until a major reversal signal occurs or fundamentals deteriorate.

This approach allows us to protect capital, capture upside gradually, and avoid overconfidence in tops — perfect for volatile, speculative, or developing stocks that may surge unexpectedly then retrace deeply.

🧠 Why It Matters in the Long-Term Focus Variant

The Long-Term Focus Variant of our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy is designed for slow, high-conviction builds on undervalued but promising stocks. Here, patience, scale, and discipline are critical.

The Layered Accumulation Plan respects liquidity constraints and allows for adaptive averaging during pullbacks.
The Phased Exit Plan avoids the "all-or-nothing" mindset, encouraging a steady realization of gains while still giving room for a potential run-up.

Together, they reflect our belief: Success isn’t built on timing tops and bottoms—it’s built on strategic exposure over time.

💬 Final Thought

In long-term investing, where volatility can mislead and greed can trap, our Layered Accumulation and Phased Exit Plans help enforce structure, reduce regret, and promote consistency. These aren’t rigid rules—they’re flexible frameworks grounded in discipline, patience, and conviction.

This is how we trade not just with charts, but with character.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Stock Price Review: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 10, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Is FPI a long-term value opportunity or a speculative breakout? Our updated stock price review explores this question using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus.

📍 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 10, 2025
Stock: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.2500
High: ₱0.2900
Low: ₱0.2500
20-MA: ₱0.2220 (Weekly), ₱0.2241 (Monthly)
200-MA: ₱0.2368 (Weekly)
50-MA: ₱0.2284 (Weekly), ₱0.2335 (Monthly)
8-MA: ₱0.2275 (Weekly), ₱0.2231 (Monthly)

A 10,000-share position was executed at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025, anticipating a breakout confirmation following a surge in volume and price.

This review uses the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, designed for position trades that accumulate over value zones and hold through long-term cycles.

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
On the weekly chart, FPI has broken out from a long consolidation base, with volume surging to a 16-week high. On the monthly chart, price is reclaiming territory last seen in mid-2023, above key MAs.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

2. Price Position & Value Zones
Price has moved slightly above the 200-week MA but is still within the broader long-term value zone identified between ₱0.22 and ₱0.25.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
The most recent weekly candle is a power bar with an extended body and high volume. Monthly candle also shows increasing demand.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 10/10)

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
There’s limited fundamental news, but technically this is a high-probability volume breakout zone above long-term consolidation.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 7/10)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
A soft stop can be positioned below ₱0.22, the 20- and 50-week MA convergence and volume base.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
The orange 8-MA is sloping upward, crossing over key MAs. Weekly and monthly trend flips suggest sustained directional change.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
Initial resistance lies at ₱0.30–₱0.34; multi-year resistance band may cap rallies, suggesting partial take-profits at those zones.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Pullbacks to ₱0.22–₱0.23 are favorable for re-entry or position additions.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

9. Position Size Strategy
FPI’s board lot is 10,000 shares per tick size; Php3,000 allows for 1 board lot. Begin with 1–2 lots, add near support.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
No negative ESG news. Low-cap nature adds speculative risk but no violations detected for our ethical account.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

🎯 Final Score: 85/100 – STRONG BUY ZONE UNDER HYBRID 10-STEP STRATEGY

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY

📅 Recommendation: Accumulate at ₱0.22–₱0.25 as price confirms breakout with volume and multi-timeframe alignment.

🔢 Risk Management: Soft stop below ₱0.22 or if large red bar closes under 200-MA.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Consider partial exits at ₱0.30, ₱0.34, and ₱0.45 if volume sustains.

📆 Position Size Strategy: Start with 1–2 board lots (Php2,500–₱5,000) and layer on dips near the 20-week MA.

🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → Wait for an intraday pullback toward ₱0.23–₱0.24 to re-enter with tight stops.

Long-term investors → Begin layering from ₱0.22–₱0.25, hold as long as price remains above trend MAs.

Existing holders → Maintain position, observe volume continuation, and consider partial profits if price reaches ₱0.30+

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

(Based on Php3,000.00 Capital and 10,000-Share Board Lot)

Layer 1 (Initial Entry): 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 = ₱2,500 (Executed June 10, 2025)
Layer 2 (Pullback Buy): 10,000 shares at ₱0.23 = ₱2,300 (GTC suggested)
Layer 3 (Final Add-on): 10,000 shares at ₱0.22 if market retests MA20 base

Plan total: 30,000 shares (₱7,300 exposure max) over 3 layers

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Executed Trade: June 10, 2025 – BUY 10,000 shares at ₱0.25

Market Context: 9/10
Value Zone Entry: 8/10
Power Bar Confirmation: 10/10
Technical Validity: 7/10
Stop-Loss Consideration: 8/10
MA Crossover Signal: 9/10
Profit Setup: 8/10
Re-Entry Strategy: 9/10
Lot Compliance & Layering: 9/10
Ethical Trading Fit: 8/10

🎯 Final Score: 85/100 – ALIGNED WITH STRATEGY AND TRADEABLE

🚨 Final Thought: Patience and discipline are key—stay focused on value zones and thesis integrity. Let the chart do the talking.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Monday, June 9, 2025

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON) Weekly Chart as of June 9, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

WLCON stock review using Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Should long-term investors start accumulating now despite weak technicals?

🧭 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 9, 2025
Stock: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱7.09
High: ₱7.34
Low: ₱7.06
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.20
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱22.45

WLCON continues to trade significantly below its long-term moving average and is currently testing its short-term 20-week MA from below. Volume has slightly picked up but remains modest compared to major downtrend periods. This review is guided by our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, with a focus on patient accumulation and value-zone layering.

📈 II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Adapted for Long-Term Focus)

1. Market State & Trend Context

WLCON remains in a confirmed long-term downtrend, having declined from above ₱30 in early 2023 to its current levels below ₱8. It is currently attempting to stabilize just beneath its declining 20-week moving average.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT

2. Price Position & Value Zones

The price sits significantly below the 200-week MA (₱22.45), suggesting a deep discount from long-term valuations. However, price is still not showing strong accumulation signs or base formation yet.
➡ Verdict: WAIT

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation

No recent power bar breakout is evident on the weekly chart. Although we’ve seen some green volume bars, they do not yet constitute a confirmed shift in institutional buying behavior.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)

Fundamentally, WLCON remains a dominant player in its sector. However, from a technical standpoint, we await more decisive support-building and a base confirmation on longer timeframes.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point

A soft stop for long-term investors may be set near the ₱6.00 psychological level. Breach below that without rebound may call for re-evaluation.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals

We observe minor weekly green candles, but no sustained momentum or “color change” has formed to imply a reversal.
➡ Verdict: WAIT

7. Profit-Taking Strategy

Given the long-term nature of this plan, target zones for partial profit-taking may include ₱10.00 (nearest former support), ₱12.00 (50-week MA), and ₱16.00 (major structure midpoint).
➡ Verdict: HOLD – No trigger yet

8. Re-Entry Plans

Not yet relevant as no prior successful breakout has been initiated. First buy zone consideration may begin only once a base confirms near current levels.
➡ Verdict: WAIT

9. Position Size Strategy (Board Lot Conversion & Layering Plan)

Board lot is 100 shares. Long-term investors may consider starting with minimal layers of 100 to 200 shares only if price dips near ₱6.00, and prepare larger allocations if momentum begins to shift back above ₱8.00.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for better layer trigger zones

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities

While WLCON may be fundamentally solid, the technical backdrop lacks ethical trade setup justification at this point. We do not recommend counter-trend buys while the weekly trend remains downward.
➡ Verdict: NOT YET

✅ III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

📅 Recommendation: Hold and monitor price behavior near ₱6.00–₱6.50 zone. Wait for stronger signs of support-building and institutional accumulation.

🔢 Risk Management: Monitor soft stop below ₱6.00 for downside protection.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Consider taking profits in stages at ₱10.00, ₱12.00, and ₱16.00 once position is established and confirmed.

📆 Position Size Strategy: For investors with limited capital, delay layering until more clarity emerges. Use 100-share entries only after stabilization or a base appears.

🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → No tactical trade opportunity yet. Avoid premature entry until clear breakout signals above ₱8.00 are seen.

Long-term investors → Monitor closely. Prepare to layer 100-share blocks if support confirms around ₱6.00 with improving volume.

Existing holders → Hold. Reduce only if new lows below ₱6.00 breach your soft stop threshold.

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for WLCON

(Based on Php3,000 Capital and 100-Share Board Lot)

Given the 100-share board lot requirement and a cautious stance due to WLCON's ongoing downtrend, we outline a 3-layer accumulation strategy suited for small capital and long-term patience.

Layer 1 (Initial Position – Executed June 9, 2025):
Bought 100 shares @ ₱7.31 = ₱731.00
Rationale: Modest starter position to build presence near 20-week MA resistance zone.
Layer 2 (Pending GTC Order):
Buy 100 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱700.00
Rationale: Averaging down near minor support and psychological level.
Layer 3 (Reserve Capital):
Buy 100 shares @ ₱6.25–₱6.50 (monitor price behavior) = ₱650.00
Rationale: Final layer at expected soft support zone, contingent on volume and stabilization.
Total Projected Capital Use: ~₱2,081
Cash Buffer: ~₱900 (30% of capital remains for price rejection or breakout scenario flexibility)

⚖️ This layered plan prioritizes low-cost exposure and disciplined patience, as WLCON remains technically weak but potentially forming a long-term bottom.

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Action Evaluated:

Entry on June 9, 2025 @ ₱7.31 for 100 shares
Placed GTC Order @ ₱7.00 for 100 shares

Using a 10-point scoring system per strategy step, we evaluated our recent action against each component of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant:

Market State & Trend Context received a score of 6 out of 10. While the downtrend is acknowledged, entering before a base or reversal makes the trade early, though not entirely misaligned.
Price Position & Value Zones earned 7 out of 10, as the entry was just beneath the 20-week MA, which may act as short-term resistance. However, it’s within range of technical interest.
Power Bars & Volume Confirmation scored 4 out of 10 due to the absence of any clear power bar or volume spike at entry.
Entry Confirmation was given 5 out of 10. While the fundamentals are acceptable, there was no strong technical trigger to justify the timing.
Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation scored 7 out of 10, with a soft stop anticipated near ₱6.00, a logical psychological level.
Color Change / Reversal Signal earned only 4 out of 10, as no significant reversal pattern or weekly trend shift has yet emerged.
Profit-Taking Strategy received 6 out of 10, as it is pre-planned in the broader post but not immediately relevant during the entry.
Re-Entry Plan was scored 8 out of 10 because the GTC order at ₱7.00 represents a clear follow-up strategy and cost-averaging plan.
Position Size Strategy achieved a perfect 10 out of 10, demonstrating full compliance with board lot requirements, small exposure, and capital preservation.
Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities earned 6 out of 10, as there was no confirmed setup, but the entry still fits the long-term patient accumulation framework.

Final Total Score: 63 out of 100

Interpretation:

Our Layer 1 entry on June 9, 2025, reflects a cautious yet slightly early move into WLCON. While it aligns with long-term accumulation intent, several technical signals such as volume, trend reversal, and power bars were not yet present. As such, this position is considered a speculative but structurally acceptable initial buy under our long-term strategy.

🚨 Final Thought: No stock moves up without demand. Patience is key—allow the stock to form a true base before engaging in new positions.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

In our earlier post dated June 4, 2025, we examined AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) as a breakout candidate from a short-term tactical trade perspective, identifying a valid range entry at ₱0.75–₱0.79 based on a confluence of signals from the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Since then, price action has continued to align with our expected breakout path—providing us the opportunity to shift gears and now evaluate ABA from a long-term investment viewpoint.

This follow-up review focuses on the weekly timeframe as of June 9, 2025, in line with our enhanced Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, which prioritizes accumulation, trend development, and position scaling rather than fast rotations or immediate exits.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 9, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.77
High: ₱0.79
Low: ₱0.75
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.51
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32

This updated review explores whether ABA now qualifies as a gradual accumulation candidate for long-term investors who prefer structured position-building over speculative swing entries.

Weekly stock chart of ABA with bullish breakout and moving average crossover

Weekly chart of ABA showing breakout and reversal base as of June 9, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Adapted for Long-Term Focus)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
The long-term trend remains bearish, with price well below the 200-week MA (₱1.32). However, short-term structure is now bullish, supported by a breakout above the 20-week MA (₱0.51) and sustained upward momentum over the past 5 weeks.
➡ Verdict: Long-term downtrend with short-term bullish structure. Early reversal.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
ABA is positively positioned above all short-term MAs (8, 20, and 50-week). The latest price action has moved outside the ideal 25%–45% sweet spot for trend-continuation pullbacks, suggesting a need to wait for dips or scale in slowly.
➡ Verdict: Hold for long-term, layer in during soft pullbacks.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
A clear green power candle emerged during the week of May 27, 2025, with volume expansion to 15.788M shares—the strongest in recent quarters. This is a valid breakout signal in the context of a long-term base.
➡ Verdict: Bullish; confirms early accumulation by institutions.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Price has broken above critical resistance at ₱0.60 and is approaching the next threshold of ₱0.80. Sustaining above ₱0.80 would validate a long-term trend reversal.
➡ Verdict: Accumulation near ₱0.75 is valid; full conviction entry at ₱0.80+

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
For long-term positions, a strategic stop-loss may be placed below ₱0.62 (swing low) or ₱0.51 (weekly 20-MA). Position size should reflect the volatility and low float nature of the stock.
➡ Verdict: Position sizing and stop discipline critical below ₱0.62

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
The weekly chart has fully transitioned from red to green bars, marking a sentiment reversal that aligns with our long-term entry thesis.
➡ Verdict: Valid trend reversal under development.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
Profit zones should target long-term resistance levels:

First Tier: ₱0.90 (previous minor resistance)
Second Tier: ₱1.00
Final Tier: ₱1.20–₱1.30 near 200-week MA
➡ Verdict: Set tiered take-profit plan and trail gains beyond ₱0.90

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
Re-entries can be planned at:

₱0.67–₱0.70: Minor support at 50-MA
₱0.51–₱0.55: Stronger support at 20-MA for major pullback
➡ Verdict: Re-enter only on pullbacks with low-volume corrections.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
We recommend initiating with a 50% core position near ₱0.75–₱0.77, and adding remaining 50% only after a solid weekly close above ₱0.80.
➡ Verdict: Use layered core-tactical scaling strategy.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable in current conditions. ABA has exited the deep bear zone and is forming a base for long-term recovery.
➡ Verdict: No counter-trend trade needed. Focus on core buildup.

Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY for Long-Term Accumulation

✅ Recommendation: Begin phased accumulation at ₱0.75–₱0.77, based on volume confirmation and price leadership over short-term MAs.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.62 or ₱0.51 depending on investor tolerance.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits near ₱0.90, ₱1.00, and ₱1.30.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Moderate-sized initial entry (50%) with add-on above ₱0.80 for conviction-based layering.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Consider partial profit at ₱0.79–₱0.85 if quick bounce occurs.

🔹 Long-term investors → Begin core position and monitor for breakout confirmation above ₱0.80.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold positions and tighten stop to ₱0.64 if breakout stalls.

Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA (Php10,000 Capital)

As part of our long-term positioning for AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA), we are implementing a layered accumulation plan designed to optimize entry across pullback zones and breakout confirmations. With an initial capital of Php10,000.00, we have already deployed Php4,800.00 on June 3, 2025, buying 6,000 shares at ₱0.80 for our core position (48%).

Inside the Micro Stock Trader virtual office, the ambiance reflects focused strategy—highlighting the Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA alongside a visual of the Wealth-Building Cycle designed to guide long-term investors.

Assumptions:

🔹 Total Capital: Php10,000.00

🔹 Core Position (Executed): 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80 = Php4,800.00

🔹 Remaining Capital: Php5,200.00

Layer 2 – Tactical Pullback Entry

Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱0.70
Capital Allocation: Php1,400.00
Rationale: Add tactically on retracement near short-term MA support

Layer 3 – Deep Pullback Entry (Defensive Zone)

Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65 (GTC order already placed)
Capital Allocation: Php650.00
Rationale: Capitalize on deeper retracement near breakout base

Layer 4 – Breakout Momentum Add-On

Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱0.85
Capital Allocation: Php1,700.00
Rationale: Add on confirmation of trend reversal if price breaks ₱0.80+ on volume

Contingency Reserve

Unallocated Buffer: Php1,450.00
Purpose: Reserved for averaging or emergency re-entry if price volatility increases

This plan maintains capital discipline, ensures low average cost, and allows us to scale into ABA's potential recovery while minimizing risk during volatility.

🚨 Final Thought: The breakout thesis from early June is playing out. With volume and moving average alignment on our side, ABA may be shifting into a new bullish cycle. Early accumulation could reward patient holders in the months ahead. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Summary of Key Differences from the Original Strategy:

Greater focus on weekly and monthly charts
Emphasis on value zones and thesis integrity
Wider tolerance for pullbacks and volatility
Profit-taking guided by valuation cycles, not short-term technical targets
Stop-losses based on fundamental deterioration, not price dips

Illustrated breakdown of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant with icons for each trading step.

Visual guide to the 10-step long-term investment strategy used by Micro Stock Trader

Our Stock Trading Plan 1.0: Inspired by Oliver Velez’s 8-Step Strategy

Refining the Micro Stock Trader Strategy: The Modified 10-Step Trading Plan 2.0

The Modified 10-Step Trading Plan: Enhancing Risk Management and Flexibility 3.0

The Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy: Integrating Retracement for Better Trades 4.0

✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Use monthly and weekly charts to determine the macro trend: Is the stock bottoming, trending upward, or stuck in consolidation?
Focus on long-term moving averages (50-MA, 100-MA, 200-MA) and multi-year support/resistance zones.
Validate trend strength by ensuring price is attempting to reclaim or hold above the 200-MA on the weekly chart.

➡ Verdict: Accumulate if the stock is bottoming or gradually recovering from long-term support.

✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

Identify whether the price is deeply discounted or fairly valued relative to historical norms.
Use retracement zones of 45%–75% from previous major rallies to identify accumulation sweet spots.
Favor setups where price is near or slightly below book value, intrinsic value estimates, or dividend yield support zones.

➡ Verdict: Begin layering in once price enters ideal long-term retracement range.

✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

Spot volume-supported green candles or multi-week stabilization as early signs of accumulation.
Even without power bars, long-term investors monitor for tight basing patterns or failed breakdowns.
Declining volume after a selloff can signal seller exhaustion.

➡ Verdict: Accumulate when quiet accumulation behavior or bullish candle formations start to appear.

✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

Technical: Enter on reclaim of 200-week MA or breakout from a long-term base.
Fundamental: Enter when the stock has a strong balance sheet, clear dividend policy, low P/E or P/B ratio, and signs of sector recovery.
Ethical investors may also screen for Shariah-compliant or socially responsible metrics.

➡ Verdict: Accumulate once the stock aligns with both fundamental conviction and technical signs of reversal.

✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise

Do not use tight stop-losses.
Exit only if:
- The company loses its core earnings base
- Dividends are suspended without cause
- Management issues arise (e.g., fraud, delisting risk)
- A clear long-term downtrend resumes with volume
Maintain a watchlist of red flags instead of price-based cutoffs.

➡ Verdict: Hold while the original investment thesis remains valid.

✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

Use monthly chart candles to spot transitions from red to green over several months.
Sustained green bars suggest institutional accumulation.
A return of three consecutive green candles is a solid long-term buy signal.

➡ Verdict: Use green candle series to time additional layering or bulk accumulation.

✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

Do not aim for quick exits.
Target price should be based on:
- P/E or P/B reversion to mean
- Historical highs adjusted for earnings
- Dividend yield compression
Scale out partially when price becomes overvalued by more than 20–30% relative to intrinsic estimates.

➡ Verdict: Exit gradually as valuation exceeds fair value or sector rotation begins.

✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

Be ready to re-enter during corrections to previous bases or near long-term support.
Use dividend announcements, quarterly earnings, or industry policy shifts as re-entry triggers.
Keep cash buffers for re-deployment during panic sell-offs.

➡ Verdict: Maintain a shopping list of trusted names for pullback re-entries.

✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

Use phased layering-in strategy:
- Initial Buy: 25% of allocation
- Add-on 1: At next retracement or breakout (25%)
- Add-on 2: After a strong reversal confirmation or earnings beat (50%)
Each tranche should have independent risk checks.
Stick to maximum 10% portfolio allocation per stock unless high conviction is reached.

➡ Verdict: Build positions gradually; avoid overexposure in early stages.

✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

Invest only in companies with transparent governance, sustainable practices, or Shariah-compliant financial structures.
Take advantage of extreme market fear or dislocations to enter strong companies at irrational prices.
Use macro events (e.g., elections, regulatory changes, global pullbacks) as opportunities—not threats.

➡ Verdict: Stay alert for deep value plays during times of market pessimism.

📌 Final Thought:

“Long-term investing isn’t about timing the perfect entry. It’s about aligning conviction, value, and patience—then letting time do the compounding.”

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Pages

Friday, June 13, 2025

Contents:

📍 I. Introduction

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

🔄 IV. Next Steps

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Related Readings

Wednesday, June 11, 2025

📅 Contents

Long-Term Focus Trading EnvironmentI. Introduction

II. Layered Accumulation Plan Summary

🔹 ABA (Php10,000 Capital)

🔹 WLCON (Php3,000 Capital)

🔹 FPI (Php3,000 Capital)

III. Phased Exit Plan Summary

🔹 ABA (Derived Exit Targets)

🔹 WLCON (Staged Profit Levels)

🔹 FPI (Explicit Plan)

IV. Final Thoughts and Discipline Reminder

Related Readings

Contents:

📥 What is the Layered Accumulation Plan?

📤 What is the Phased Exit Plan?

🧠 Why It Matters in the Long-Term Focus Variant

💬 Final Thought

Related Readings

Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Contents:

📍 I. Introduction

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

🔄 IV. Next Steps

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Related Readings

Monday, June 9, 2025

Contents:

🧭 I. Introduction

📈 II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

1. Market State & Trend Context

2. Price Position & Value Zones

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals

7. Profit-Taking Strategy

8. Re-Entry Plans

9. Position Size Strategy (Board Lot Conversion & Layering Plan)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities

✅ III. Final Stock Recommendation

🔄 IV. Next Steps

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for WLCON

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Related Readings

Contents:

Introduction

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Final Stock Recommendation

Next Steps

Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA (Php10,000 Capital)

Assumptions:

Related Readings

Summary of Key Differences from the Original Strategy:

✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise

✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

📌 Final Thought:

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Long-Term Focus Trading Environment
I. Introduction