Friday, August 15, 2025

Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
TACTICAL ROTATION FUND | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

ABA Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing recovery bounce from ₱0.57 back above ₱0.62 while clustering around moving averages.
Weekly candlestick chart of Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

Panimula: Bounce sa Gilid ng Suporta

Magandang kwento ulit, mga kabayan. Noong July 21, 2025, nakapasok tayo ng malakihang Layer 4 simulated entry sa ABA sa presyo na ₱0.56. Ang sabi natin noon—tactical accumulation lang ito malapit sa 20-week MA support.

Ngayon, sa chart ng August 15, 2025, nakita natin ang rebound mula ₱0.57 low papuntang close sa ₱0.62 (+8.77% gain for the week). Ang presyo ay nag-ipon sa paligid ng 8MA, 20MA, at 50MA, tila naghahanda kung tatawid ba ulit pataas o magpapatuloy sa consolidation. Ang tanong: oras na ba para dagdagan, o sapat na muna ang hawak natin?

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Date: August 15, 2025

  • Stock: Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)

  • Exchange: PSE

  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)

  • Closing Price: ₱0.62

  • High: ₱0.65

  • Low: ₱0.57

  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱0.59

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱0.60

  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱1.30


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Recovery mode pero sideways pa rin. MA cluster (₱0.59–₱0.62) nagsisilbing decision zone.
➡ Verdict: Recovery in progress, undecided.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo nasa ibabaw ng 20MA at patong sa 8/50MA. Suporta nagiging matatag.
➡ Verdict: Valid accumulation zone.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Weekly green bar (+8.77%) with good volume. Buyers active.
➡ Verdict: Positive shift, controlled bounce.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technicals
Shariah-compliant, undervalued vs asset base. Technicals confirm with close above support cluster.
➡ Verdict: BUY bias intact.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis, Not Noise
Stop-loss remains at ₱0.49 (below 20MA + swing low).
➡ Verdict: Risk framework intact.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
First green candle after 3 weeks of red. Early reversal sign.
➡ Verdict: Encouraging but needs continuation.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Targets: ₱0.68 (trim), ₱0.74 (partial exit), ₱0.80 (extension).
➡ Verdict: Profit levels aligned.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Next buy zone pa rin sa ₱0.52–₱0.53 kung bumaba.
➡ Verdict: Patience sa dip re-entry.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Currently ₱17,020 used (56% allocation). Room pa for 1 tactical add.
➡ Verdict: Balanced exposure.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Halal stock, aligned sa prinsipyo. Walang speculative overreach.
➡ Verdict: Long-term aligned.
✅ Score: 10/10

🧮 Total Score: 79 / 100 (vs 78 / 100 last review)
Improved slightly—positive momentum confirmed sa price structure.


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Kung baga sa pamamalakaya, nasa bangka na tayo at nakababa ang lambat. Aba’y kumikilos ang tubig, may daloy ng huli—pero hindi pa tiyak kung siksikan ang isda o padaplis lang.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Range: ₱0.58–₱0.60 (support retest) or breakout add above ₱0.66
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱0.49 (major structure break)
📌 Target Prices: ₱0.68, ₱0.74, ₱0.80
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only on breakout with volume confirmation
📌 Position Strategy: Hold 56% exposure, reserve 1 tactical layer


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation)

Total: 29,000 shares | ₱17,020 deployed
Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱12,980
Average Cost: ~₱0.587


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

  • Target 1: ₱0.68 – Sell 9,000 shares (scalp profit zone)

  • Target 2: ₱0.74 – Sell 10,000 shares (mid-resistance zone)

  • Target 3: ₱0.80 – Sell 5,000 shares (extension target)

  • Final Trail: Hold last 5,000 shares, trail via 8MA close
    ⚠️ Hard Stop: All-out exit if breakdown below ₱0.49


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT TO ADD
Recommendation: HOLD position; ADD only if breakout over ₱0.66 confirms with strong volume.
Risk Management: Hard stop-loss at ₱0.49.
Profit Strategy: Trim at ₱0.68, ₱0.74, and scale further at ₱0.80.
Position Size Strategy: Stay moderate (56% deployed); add only on confirmed breakout.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Hindi lahat ng pagkakataon ay agad-agad. Tulad ng ABA, minsan kailangan ng consolidation bago muling umangat. Disiplina at pasensya ang tunay na puhunan.


📌 Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series

Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund
Allocation: ₱30,000
Active Position: 29,000 shares @ ₱0.587 average | ₱17,020 deployed
Quick Hatol: Aba’y nakasandal sa suporta—handa kung lumusot pataas.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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