Showing posts with label Hybrid 10-Step. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hybrid 10-Step. Show all posts

Friday, July 18, 2025

7 Shariah-Compliant Stocks na Tension-Resilient Kapag Tumitindi ang Init: USA vs Russia Edition

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Board Lot Warrior | Tension-Resilient Stocks Series

USA at Russia flags side-by-side sa itaas ng title text: "Kapag Nagka-Tensyon ang USA vs Russia: Anong Shariah-Compliant Stock ang Panlaban?" – Micro Stock Trader.
Tension sa pagitan ng USA at Russia: Aling Shariah-compliant stocks sa PSE ang may tibay sa panahon ng krisis? Alamin sa Micro Stock Trader – Tension-Resilient Stocks Series.

📅 Published: July 18, 2025
📅 Updated: July 18, 2025

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Tamang Tanong
  • Diskarte Ni Micro
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan

Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


1. Panimula: "Kapag Nagkakaiinitan ang Malalaking Bansa, Dapat Handang Mag-adjust ang Maliit na Trader."

Kaibigan, minsan parang sabong internasyonal ang merkado. Kapag mainit ang banggaan ng USA at Russia, kahit nasa Batangas ka lang ay ramdam mo ang epekto — mula presyo ng gasolina, taas ng bilihin, hanggang sa galaw ng stocks.

Kaya tanong natin:

“Kung tumitindi ang tensyon sa pagitan ng US at Russia, anong Shariah-compliant stocks sa PSE ang tension-resilient?”

Ito ang listahan ng pitong stocks na pasado sa Shariah principles, at may pangil pag mainit ang hangin sa merkado.


2. Tamang Tanong: Alin sa mga Stocks ang Kayang Tumindig Kahit Tensionado ang Mundo?

Hanap natin ay mga Shariah-compliant stocks na:

✅ Stable ang kita kahit may external pressure
✅ May protective moat sa inflation at volatility
✅ Hindi sunog sa utang
✅ At higit sa lahat, pasado sa Shariah ethical screen

Kumbaga sa sabungan, ‘eto ‘yung manok na hindi basta-basta napipikon kahit hawak na ng kalaban ang tari.


3. Diskarte ni Micro: Tension-Resilient Shariah Stock Watchlist

Stock Reason Status
CREIT Renewable energy-powered REIT, stable demand even during geopolitical tension 🔍 Watch
RCR Commercial REIT, diversified tenants, consistent dividends 🔍 Watch
MREIT Office REIT backed by Megaworld, urban core exposure 🔍 Watch
MONDE Consumer staples, defensive brand (Lucky Me, SkyFlakes), global potential ✅ Active
PCOR Oil refining and distribution, energy critical even during conflict ✅ Active
URC Defensive food sector, strong regional footprint ✅ Active
WLCON Retail and home improvement, resilient during construction rebounds 🔍 Watch

Status Legend:

  • ✅ Active – May hawak na, trade ongoing
  • 🔍 Watch – Binabantayan pa, wala pang entry

  • 📅 Published: July 21, 2025 | 6:00 AM

  • 📅 Updated: July 21, 2025 | 6:00 PM


🔋 1. CREIT (Citicore Energy REIT)

  • Sektor: Renewable Energy

  • Bakit Tension-Resilient:
    ✅ Di umaasa sa langis — solar ang puhunan
    ✅ May consistent rental income from green energy infra
    ✅ Solid Shariah credentials

  • Diskarte: Defensive layer na may tahimik pero tuluy-tuloy na buhos ng kita.

  • CREIT - Recent Stock Price Review - July 11, 2025

  • Test Buy Layer 1 @ ₱3.30–₱3.44 | 1,000 shares
  • Stop-Loss @ ₱2.35
  • Profit-Take @ ₱2.85–₱2.99

🏢 2. RCR (RL Commercial REIT)

  • Sektor: Commercial Real Estate

  • Bakit Tension-Resilient:
    ✅ Long-term tenants = stable cash flow
    ✅ Dividend-generating kahit may global initan

  • Diskarte: Pang stability zone sa portfolio. Pang-layer sa dividend side.

  • RCR - Recent Stock Price Review - July 11, 2025

  • Test Buy Layer 1 @ ₱6.65–₱7.00 | 100 shares
  • Stop-Loss @ ₱6.20
  • Profit-Take @ 7.80–₱8.20

🏙️ 3. MREIT (Megaworld REIT)

  • Sektor: Office REIT

  • Bakit Tension-Resilient:
    ✅ BPO-heavy exposure — globally durable sector
    ✅ Pasok sa December 2024 Shariah list

  • Diskarte: Pangbalanse ng REIT exposure with solid urban tenants.

  • MREIT - Recent Stock Price Review - July 11, 2025

  • Test Buy Layer 1 @ ₱13.50–₱13.80 | 100 shares
  • Stop-Loss @ ₱13.00
  • Profit-Take @ 15.80

🍜 4. MONDE (Monde Nissin)


🛢️ 5. PCOR (Petron Corporation)


🏭 6. URC (Universal Robina Corporation)

  • Sektor: Food Manufacturing

  • Bakit Tension-Resilient:
    ✅ Strong local brands with Asia-Pacific reach
    ✅ Defensive and consumer-driven

  • Diskarte: Pang-core ng portfolio. Strong even in high volatility.

  • URC - Recent Stock Price Review - July 16, 2025

  • Test Buy Layer 1 @ ₱90–₱92 | 100 shares
  • Stop-Loss @ ₱82
  • Profit-Take @ ₱105–₱115

🛠️ 7. WLCON (Wilcon Depot Inc.)

  • Sektor: Retail / Construction

  • Bakit Tension-Resilient:
    ✅ Focused sa domestic demand
    ✅ Expansion and margin growth story

  • Diskarte: Pang-domestic angle. May long-term growth kahit global tension.

  • WLCON - Recent Stock Price Review - June 27, 2025

  • Test Buy Layer 1 @ ₱8.30–₱8.50 pullback or ₱9.50 breakout | 100 shares
  • Stop-Loss @ ₱8.20
  • Profit-Take @ ₱9.80–₱11.09 

4. Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader: Piling Picks, Hindi Pasugal

Sa ganitong tensionado na setup, ang ideal combo para sa akin:

  • CREIT, RCR, MREIT – pang-dividend at income stability

  • MONDE, URC – pang inflation-proof na consumer staples

  • PCOR – pang momentum kung sumipa ang oil

  • WLCON – pang long-term local consumer spending trend

Basta may plano at disiplina sa entry, kahit matindi ang init ng market, hindi ka basta matutusta.


5. Next Move? – Kung Tumuloy ang Init, o Kung Biglang Luminaw ang Langit

📌 Kapag tumuloy ang tensyon:

  • Mag-layer ng entries

  • Bantayan ang trend confirmation

  • Maging alerto sa mga biglang reversal

📌 Kapag kumalma ang merkado:

  • Trim speculative plays

  • Consolidate to dividend and consumer layers

  • Reassess macro themes quarterly


6. Aral ng Araw: Hindi Mo Kontrolado ang Init ng Mundo — Pero Kaya Mong Pumili ng Matitinong Stocks

Hindi ito tungkol sa pagiging tama sa bawat trade — kundi sa pagkakaroon ng diskarte na may prinsipyo.

Tandaan: “Ang tunay na trader, hindi nagpapanic sa init — marunong lang umiwas sa sunog.”


🔍 Paalala ni Micro:

Ito po ay personal na pananaw at batay lamang sa obserbasyon ng isang retail trader. Hindi ito garantiya ng kita o galaw ng merkado. Ang mahalaga: aral-aral din ‘pag may time, diskarte rin dapat ay may puso’t utak.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog
Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD
REITs Series | Tension-Resilient Stocks Series

Mainam Basahin: 

Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


Sunday, July 13, 2025

Board Lot Warrior: Ang Maliitang Mandirigma ng PSE

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series | July 2025

Illustration of a retail stock trader at a home workstation labeled “Board Lot Warrior Dashboard,” monitoring candlestick charts and stock entries on screen.
Isang Batangueñong Board Lot Warrior sa kanyang home trading workstation habang sinusubaybayan ang galaw ng market gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 at ang sariling “Board Lot Warrior Dashboard.”

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Tamang Tanong
  • Diskarte ni Micro
  • Kita Mo 'To?
  • Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
  • Next Move
  • Aral ng Araw

Sa mas simpleng salita:

🔸 Board Lot – 'Yan yung minimum na bilang ng shares na puwede mong bilhin sa isang stock depende sa presyo nito.
🔸 Warrior – Kasi kahit maliit ang capital, hindi basta-basta sumusuko. Laban kung laban, basta may diskarte!


1. Panimula: Ganyan Talaga Pag Maliit ang Puhunan, Pero Buo ang Loob

“Hindi ako makabili kasi kulang ang pondo ko.”
“Next time na lang ako papasok kasi mahal na ang presyo.”
“Iisa lang mabibili ko… may silbi ba ‘yon?”

— Ilan lang ‘yan sa mga reklamo ng mga nag-aalangan pa sa pag-trade sa PSE. Pero kung tatanungin mo kami dito sa Micro Stock Trader, aba’y hindi hadlang ang maliit na kapital. Ang tunay na diskarte ay nagsisimula sa isang desididong hakbang.

At d’yan pumapasok ang konsepto ng isang Board Lot Warrior.


2. Tamang Tanong: Ano Ba ang “Board Lot Warrior”?

Simpleng-simple.

Ang Board Lot Warrior ay isang retail stock trader na sumusunod sa board lot system ng PSE—kahit isang board lot lang ang kaya, tuloy pa rin ang laban.

👉 Sa halip na bumili ng tagpi-tagping shares sa odd lot market, tumataya siya ng buo—isang 100 shares, 1,000 shares, o depende sa board lot rule ng stock na ‘yon.

👉 Hindi siya padalos-dalos; may plano, may pasensya, at may sinusunod na sistema.


3. Diskarte ni Micro: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant overview with stp-by-step trading framework
Visual guide to the 10-step long-term investment strategy used by Micro Stock Trader

Hindi ito haka-haka lang o pa-cute na termino.

Ang ating Board Lot Warrior Mindset ay aktwal na live-tested sa pamamagitan ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, na sinimulan natin noong July 1, 2025.

📊 At para mas makita ng mga kapwa nating Batangueñong trader ang progreso, gumawa tayo ng sariling “Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Trade Portfolio Dashboard”!

— D’yan natin sinusubaybayan ang bawat trade, accumulation plan, exit zone, at ang actual performance ng mga stock under review.


4. Kita Mo ‘To? – Halimbawa ng Tunay na Warrior Move

ABA candlestick chart with marked board lot buys at ₱0.63, ₱0.65, and ₱0.66 on July 10–11, 2025, showing tactical accumulation strategy.
Tatlong sunod-sunod na board lot entries ng ABA stock mula July 10–11, 2025 — aktwal na galaw ng isang Batangueñong Board Lot Warrior under the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0.

Hindi ito kwento-kwento lang — eto mismo ang unang bugso ng galaw ng isang Board Lot Warrior:

📌 Stock: ABA (Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc.)
📅 Timeline: July 10–11, 2025
📉 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

🔽 Trade Executed:

July 10 AM Buy:
1,000 shares @ ₱0.63 – ₱631.87 (kasama na fees)

July 11 AM Buy:
1,000 shares @ ₱0.66 – ₱661.95 (kasama na fees)

July 11 PM Buy:
1,000 shares @ ₱0.65 – ₱651.92 (kasama na fees)

— Tatlong banat, tatlong buong board lots, lahat planado at alinsunod sa strategy.

Hindi ‘to basta “trip lang” o “mura kaya pasok.”
Sinunod natin ang setup: may base formation, may suporta sa ilalim, at may initial volume na buhat.

Hindi mo kailangan ng limpak-limpak agad.
Ang kailangan mo ay tiwala sa plano, at konting tapang para i-click ang BUY kahit maliit lang ang puhunan.

Para kang namimili ng starter stocks sa palengke — hindi mo binibili lahat, pero pinipili mong unahin ‘yung may potensyal bumalik nang doble o higit pa.

Sa bawat board lot na binili mo, may kalakip na commitment:
📈 "Titignan kita buwan-buwan, aalagaan kita, at kapag dumating ang tamang panahon — magbubunga rin tayo."

Ugali ng isang Board Lot Warrior:

✅ Marunong maghintay ng tamang setup
✅ Marunong mag-ipon para makabuo ng susunod na board lot
✅ Hindi nagpapanic-buy
✅ Marunong magbenta ayon sa target price at hindi basta padalos-dalos
✅ May plano bago pumasok—hindi umaasa sa tsamba

Sa madaling sabi:

“Board Lot Warrior” ka kung kaya mong mag-trade nang sunod sa sistema, disente, at may plano—kahit maliit lang ang puhunan.”

Para kang namamalengke: hindi mo kailangan ng malaki agad, basta marunong ka sa galawan. 💼📈

Wala tayong sugal-sugal lang. Planado bawat hakbang.


5. Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader: Sulit ba ang Diskarte?

Kung ako ang tatanungin, oo.

✔️ Mas konti ang stress kasi alam mo kung kailan ka papasok at lalabas.
✔️ Hindi ka nagpapalipad ng capital—pinapalaki mo nang dahan-dahan.
✔️ At higit sa lahat, nasusukat ang progreso mo dahil may dashboard kang sinusundan.

Hindi mo kailangang manalo agad.
Kailangan mo lang manatiling disiplinado.


6. Next Move? – I-monitor ang Dashboard, Hindi ang Emosyon

Kung gusto mong sumabay sa mindset na ‘to, eto ang susunod na hakbang:

🔍 Gamitin ang Batangueñong Board Lot Warrior Dashboard para matuto.
📘 Basahin ang weekly trade reviews natin sa blog para matutunan ang setup at plano.
📉 At kung natalo man, huwag mag-panic. I-review, i-adjust, at tuloy ulit ang laban.

Capital Deployment
(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Current Holdings
(Automatically updates when changes are made)

7. Aral ng Araw: Ang Tunay na Laban, Nasa Disiplina

Sa stock market, hindi palakihan ng puhunan.
Palakasan ng disiplina.
At sa bawat isang board lot na binibili mo, parang may maliit kang panalong pinaghirapan.

“Hindi mo kailangang maging milyonaryo para maging seryosong trader. Kailangan mo lang ng plano, tiyaga, at respeto sa proseso.”

Sa dulo, ang tanong hindi kung marami kang nabili, kundi kung kaya mong panindigan ang bawat bili mo.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR TACTICAL LIVE PORTFOLIO DASHBOARD

Mainam Basahin:

Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.



Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Weekly Chart as of June 23, 2025 – Evaluating Tactical Buys and What Comes Next Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

ABA stock pulls back after breakout—are we still on track? We evaluate all trade actions as of June 23, 2025 using our 10-Step Strategy.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy


ABA weekly stock chart showing pullback and 50-MA support test

Weekly chart of ABA as of June 23, 2025 showing retracement into tactical re-entry zone


Introduction

This post evaluates our most recent trade actions on AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA), in alignment with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, using the weekly chart as of June 23, 2025.

We initially published our outlook on June 13, 2025, recommending a tactical accumulation strategy as ABA entered a bullish recovery zone. Since then, price has retraced toward key support levels. This review assesses whether our actions complied with our strategic plan and outlines what comes next.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 23, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.63
High: ₱0.68
Low: ₱0.62
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.52
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
ABA remains in a long-term downtrend below the 200-MA. However, the price continues to establish a short-term bullish structure, despite this week’s -8.70% decline. Price remains above the 20- and 50-MA levels.
Verdict: Wait – Short-term uptrend remains, but recovery is being tested.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price has now retraced near the ₱0.63–₱0.65 support zone, within our defined deep pullback range. This zone aligns with the 50-week MA (₱0.63) and our tactical re-entry layers.
Verdict: Buy zone already executed – Hold current levels.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Volume this week was solid at 12.846M, but price printed a red candle, suggesting profit-taking rather than distribution. There is no confirmation yet of bearish reversal.
Verdict: No new entry – Observe next candle behavior.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Previous entries were executed above support (₱0.74, ₱0.66, ₱0.65) per strategy. Current candle shows buyers defending ₱0.62–₱0.63 area.
Verdict: Entry timing was acceptable. No new buy signal yet.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
With the price near our accumulation base, a protective stop-loss should be placed just below ₱0.60. A break of this level invalidates the thesis of a mid-term base.
Verdict: Set stops at ₱0.59–₱0.60 to manage downside.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
The transition from green to red bars signals a cooling phase. A bullish reversal candle or stabilization above the 50-MA must be observed next week.
Verdict: Caution – watch for confirmation candle.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
No sell signals yet triggered. However, traders should consider trimming 1,000–2,000 shares if the price fails to hold ₱0.60.
Verdict: No exit for long-term holders unless ₱0.59 fails.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
All planned entries have been executed. There is no need for additional buys unless ABA breaks above ₱0.80 with conviction.
Verdict: Wait for breakout confirmation before reloading.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
We have now deployed 80% of our Php10,000 capital. No additional adjustments are needed unless stop-loss triggers.
Verdict: Hold – No further scaling required at this stage.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable. We are not in a confirmed downtrend breakdown.
Verdict: Not a counter-trend setup.


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD with Stop Monitoring

Recommendation: Maintain current 10,000-share position unless price breaks below ₱0.60.

Risk Management: Place dynamic stop-loss at ₱0.59–₱0.60 zone to manage capital preservation.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First exits at ₱0.85–₱0.90 if recovery resumes.

Position Size Strategy: Full layering complete. No further buys until breakout confirmation above ₱0.80.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → May consider trimming if weekly close falls below ₱0.60 with volume.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold position; this is a healthy pullback into a defined support zone.

🔹 Existing holders → No action needed unless price breaks key support.

🚨 Final Thought: The stock is still structurally intact. However, this week’s pullback is a reality check for patience and discipline. Monitor for a reversal bar above ₱0.63 or reduce if key support breaks. 🚨


Layered Accumulation Update (as of June 23, 2025)

We now hold:

  • June 3: 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80

  • June 17: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.74

  • June 23: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.66

  • June 23: 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65

🔹 Total Shares: 10,000
🔹 Average Cost: ~₱0.799/share
🔹 Capital Deployed: ₱7,990.00
🔹 Remaining Capital Buffer: ₱2,010.00 (reserved for future confirmed breakout only)


Scored Evaluation of Trade Actions (as of June 23, 2025)

We evaluated each step of our strategy based on accuracy, discipline, and timing. The scoring rubric uses a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 representing perfect execution in line with our long-term investment plan.


Step 1 – Market State & Trend Context
✅ We correctly identified the long-term downtrend and the forming short-term recovery.
Score: 9/10

Step 2 – Price Position & Retracement Zones
✅ All entries were placed near support zones and within the designated tactical and deep pullback zones (₱0.74, ₱0.66, ₱0.65).
Score: 10/10

Step 3 – Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
✅ We entered after the breakout signal in late May and layered in during volume-supported retracements. No chasing occurred.
Score: 9/10

Step 4 – Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
✅ Each entry aligned with technical confirmation—either after a breakout or during structured retracement into MA support.
Score: 9/10

Step 5 – Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
✅ Our exposure remains below the Php10,000 cap, with 80% deployed. Stops are clearly defined near ₱0.60.
Score: 10/10

Step 6 – Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
🟡 While the green-to-red transition was noticed, a clearer confirmation pattern could have been awaited before final buys on June 23.
Score: 8/10

Step 7 – Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
🟡 Not yet applicable, but plans for profit-taking around ₱0.85–₱0.90 are in place.
Score: 8/10

Step 8 – Potential Re-Entry Zones
✅ Executed perfectly. Re-entries were made within the re-entry zones (Layer 2 and 3) without overtrading.
Score: 10/10

Step 9 – Tactical Position Adjustments
✅ Core and tactical entries were well proportioned. The final position is within plan. No excessive averaging down occurred.
Score: 9/10

Step 10 – Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
✅ Correctly avoided premature action despite the pullback. No violation of the rules for counter-trend entries.
Score: 10/10


🔎 Overall Trade Execution Score: 92 / 100

Verdict:
A well-executed accumulation strategy with disciplined scaling, proper technical alignment, and adherence to risk controls. Minor caution in Step 6 moving forward will further improve timing and confirmation-based entries. The position is healthy, aligned with strategy, and properly managed.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings



Monday, June 9, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Weekly Chart as of June 9, 2025 – Long-Term Accumulation Case Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

From breakout setup to long-term opportunity: Why ABA is entering the early stages of a potential wealth-building cycle for patient investors.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

In our earlier post dated June 4, 2025, we examined AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) as a breakout candidate from a short-term tactical trade perspective, identifying a valid range entry at ₱0.75–₱0.79 based on a confluence of signals from the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Since then, price action has continued to align with our expected breakout path—providing us the opportunity to shift gears and now evaluate ABA from a long-term investment viewpoint.

This follow-up review focuses on the weekly timeframe as of June 9, 2025, in line with our enhanced Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, which prioritizes accumulation, trend development, and position scaling rather than fast rotations or immediate exits.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 9, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.77
High: ₱0.79
Low: ₱0.75
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.51
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32

This updated review explores whether ABA now qualifies as a gradual accumulation candidate for long-term investors who prefer structured position-building over speculative swing entries.

Weekly stock chart of ABA with bullish breakout and moving average crossover

 Weekly chart of ABA showing breakout and reversal base as of June 9, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Adapted for Long-Term Focus)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
The long-term trend remains bearish, with price well below the 200-week MA (₱1.32). However, short-term structure is now bullish, supported by a breakout above the 20-week MA (₱0.51) and sustained upward momentum over the past 5 weeks.
Verdict: Long-term downtrend with short-term bullish structure. Early reversal.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
ABA is positively positioned above all short-term MAs (8, 20, and 50-week). The latest price action has moved outside the ideal 25%–45% sweet spot for trend-continuation pullbacks, suggesting a need to wait for dips or scale in slowly.
Verdict: Hold for long-term, layer in during soft pullbacks.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
A clear green power candle emerged during the week of May 27, 2025, with volume expansion to 15.788M shares—the strongest in recent quarters. This is a valid breakout signal in the context of a long-term base.
Verdict: Bullish; confirms early accumulation by institutions.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Price has broken above critical resistance at ₱0.60 and is approaching the next threshold of ₱0.80. Sustaining above ₱0.80 would validate a long-term trend reversal.
Verdict: Accumulation near ₱0.75 is valid; full conviction entry at ₱0.80+

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
For long-term positions, a strategic stop-loss may be placed below ₱0.62 (swing low) or ₱0.51 (weekly 20-MA). Position size should reflect the volatility and low float nature of the stock.
Verdict: Position sizing and stop discipline critical below ₱0.62

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
The weekly chart has fully transitioned from red to green bars, marking a sentiment reversal that aligns with our long-term entry thesis.
Verdict: Valid trend reversal under development.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
Profit zones should target long-term resistance levels:

  • First Tier: ₱0.90 (previous minor resistance)

  • Second Tier: ₱1.00

  • Final Tier: ₱1.20–₱1.30 near 200-week MA
    Verdict: Set tiered take-profit plan and trail gains beyond ₱0.90

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
Re-entries can be planned at:

  • ₱0.67–₱0.70: Minor support at 50-MA

  • ₱0.51–₱0.55: Stronger support at 20-MA for major pullback
    Verdict: Re-enter only on pullbacks with low-volume corrections.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
We recommend initiating with a 50% core position near ₱0.75–₱0.77, and adding remaining 50% only after a solid weekly close above ₱0.80.
Verdict: Use layered core-tactical scaling strategy.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable in current conditions. ABA has exited the deep bear zone and is forming a base for long-term recovery.
Verdict: No counter-trend trade needed. Focus on core buildup.


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY for Long-Term Accumulation

Recommendation: Begin phased accumulation at ₱0.75–₱0.77, based on volume confirmation and price leadership over short-term MAs.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.62 or ₱0.51 depending on investor tolerance.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits near ₱0.90, ₱1.00, and ₱1.30.

Position Size Strategy: Moderate-sized initial entry (50%) with add-on above ₱0.80 for conviction-based layering.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Consider partial profit at ₱0.79–₱0.85 if quick bounce occurs.

🔹 Long-term investors → Begin core position and monitor for breakout confirmation above ₱0.80.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold positions and tighten stop to ₱0.64 if breakout stalls.


Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA (Php10,000 Capital)

As part of our long-term positioning for AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA), we are implementing a layered accumulation plan designed to optimize entry across pullback zones and breakout confirmations. With an initial capital of Php10,000.00, we have already deployed Php4,800.00 on June 3, 2025, buying 6,000 shares at ₱0.80 for our core position (48%).

Office desk setup with computer displaying ABA layered accumulation plan and a wall graphic showing the wealth-building cycle: Invest, Gain, Reinvest, Save.

Inside the Micro Stock Trader virtual office, the ambiance reflects focused strategy—highlighting the Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA alongside a visual of the Wealth-Building Cycle designed to guide long-term investors.

Assumptions:

🔹 Total Capital: Php10,000.00

🔹 Core Position (Executed): 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80 = Php4,800.00

🔹 Remaining Capital: Php5,200.00

Layer 2 – Tactical Pullback Entry

  • Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱0.70

  • Capital Allocation: Php1,400.00

  • Rationale: Add tactically on retracement near short-term MA support

Layer 3 – Deep Pullback Entry (Defensive Zone)

  • Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65 (GTC order already placed)

  • Capital Allocation: Php650.00

  • Rationale: Capitalize on deeper retracement near breakout base

Layer 4 – Breakout Momentum Add-On

  • Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱0.85

  • Capital Allocation: Php1,700.00

  • Rationale: Add on confirmation of trend reversal if price breaks ₱0.80+ on volume

Contingency Reserve

  • Unallocated Buffer: Php1,450.00

  • Purpose: Reserved for averaging or emergency re-entry if price volatility increases

This plan maintains capital discipline, ensures low average cost, and allows us to scale into ABA's potential recovery while minimizing risk during volatility.

🚨 Final Thought: The breakout thesis from early June is playing out. With volume and moving average alignment on our side, ABA may be shifting into a new bullish cycle. Early accumulation could reward patient holders in the months ahead. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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