Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
Nilalaman:
- Panimula
- Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
- Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
- Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Phased Exit Plan
I. Panimula
📌Paunang Paliwanag sa Ating Review Series
Magandang araw po sa inyo, mga kababayan! Dito po sa ating simpleng review series, hindi lang po tayo magpo-focus sa mga Shariah-compliant stocks, kundi pati na rin sa ilang mga stocks na hindi pa kasama sa official Shariah list.
Ginagawa po natin ito hindi para mag-promote, kundi para magbigay linaw at dagdag kaalaman sa ating mga kapwa maliliit na investors—lalo na po yung mga gustong makaalam kung paano gumagalaw ang merkado sa kabuuan.
Kaya po kung may makita kayong stock na hindi Shariah-certified, tandaan po natin:
👉 For public awareness lang po ito.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na rekomendasyon sa pagbili.
👉 At higit sa lahat, kayo pa rin ang may final na desisyon sa inyong investment journey.
Tuloy lang ang pag-aaral, mga taga-Batangas at mga ka-trader!
Basta disiplina at aral, hindi maliligaw.
TRADE DETAILS
Date: July 11, 2025
Stock: Manila Water Company, Inc. (MWC)
Exchange: PSE (Philippine Stock Exchange)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱38.35
High: ₱38.95
Low: ₱38.20
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱33.74
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱22.39
Susuriin po natin ang stock na ito gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant. Tara’t balikan ang chart!
II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
MWC is clearly in a strong uptrend, with price moving significantly above both the 20-MA and 200-MA. The spread between the MAs is wide, signaling momentum-driven bullish trend.
➡ Verdict: BUY SETUP CANDIDATE
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is in a far positive position, hovering well above the 20-MA (₱33.74) and the 200-MA (₱22.39). Medyo extended na, kaya kailangan bantayan ang possible pullback for better entries.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR PULLBACK
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Nakita natin ang malalakas na green candles noong May–June 2025 na may kasamang volume surge. Pero nitong huli, merong red candle with slight dip—normal lang sa consolidation.
➡ Verdict: HOLD – Observe next candle for confirmation
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Walang immediate breakout signal, pero puwedeng abangan kung mag-retest sa 20-MA area near ₱34–₱35. If price stabilizes there with bullish reversal signs, pasok na.
➡ Verdict: CONDITIONAL BUY upon pullback near ₱35 support
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Ang logical stop loss ay below ₱33 (20-MA) or tighter at ₱34 kung tactical entry.
➡ Verdict: SL = ₱33 (below 20-MA)
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
No significant color change or bearish engulfing candle yet. Trend still intact.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Price may test ₱40–₱42 zone. Resistance evident near ₱39.50–₱40.50. Partial exits pwede doon.
➡ Verdict: SELL HALF near ₱40–₱41 if entered earlier
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Re-entry ideal sa ₱34–₱35 area if may green candle bounce.
➡ Verdict: RE-ENTRY PLAN in place near ₱34.50 area
Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Core position dapat initiated sa pullback zone. Tactical entries not advised dito sa peak area.
➡ Verdict: CORE POSITION only after retracement
Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi ito pasok sa ethical rebound zone. Wala pang major drop or double gap down.
➡ Verdict: NOT APPLICABLE
III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?
Final Stock Recommendation: WAIT FOR PULLBACK (HOLD kung may hawak na)
✅ Recommendation: Buy sa ₱34–₱35 range if may support confirmation.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱33 to avoid extended downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Sell partial near ₱40–₱42.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with moderate position at ₱34.50 zone; magdagdag lang kung may follow-through bounce.
IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid chasing high. Wait sa confirmation candle near ₱34.
🔹 Long-term investors → Pwede nang magplano for core entry upon pullback.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold and consider partial profit-taking sa ₱40+.
🚨 Final Thought: Di po masama maghintay sa tamang entry. Lalo na kung bullish pa ang trend pero medyo malayo na sa MA.
V. Layered Accumulation Plan
Capital: ₱10,000 | 1 board lot = 100 shares
💰 Plan: Buy in tranches pag bumalik sa support zones
-
Layer 1 (Tactical Probe Entry): ₱35.00 = 100 shares = ₱3,500
-
Layer 2 (Core Position): ₱34.00 = 100 shares = ₱3,400
-
Layer 3 (Final Pullback Buy): ₱33.00 = 100 shares = ₱3,300
🔁 Total: ₱10,200 (Approx., pwede adjust slight per actual bid/ask)
VI. Phased Exit Plan
🎯 Target 1: ₱40 – Partial sell 100 shares
🎯 Target 2: ₱41.50 – Sell another 100 shares
🎯 Target 3: ₱43+ – Final exit or trail stop
📉 Stop-Loss for All Layers: ₱32.90
👉 Use trailing stop kung mag-breakout above ₱42
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
