Showing posts with label Hybrid Strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hybrid Strategy. Show all posts

Thursday, July 24, 2025

Tactical Rotation Fund (Board Lot Warrior Account) — Subok ng Puso Series #6

Micro Stock Trader Blog | ₱150,000 Allocation | Real Trades. Real Risks. Real Lessons.

Landscape digital banner for “Tactical Rotation Fund — Subok ng Puso Series #6” showing chart icons, checklists, infinity symbol, Islamic crescent, and stock labels (ABA, ARA, PREIT, URC, MONDE) over a warm gold-orange background.
Series #6 of the Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy series, representing ₱150,000 of tactical trades with real ₱10K board lot allocations. Includes stock tickers (ABA, ARA, PREIT, URC, MONDE) and strategy icons in a warm, high-conviction layout.

๐Ÿ“… Petsa ng Paglalathala: July 24, 2025
๐Ÿ’ฅ Series #6 of 7 | Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


๐Ÿ“Œ Objective:

To execute short- to mid-term tactical trades using ₱10,000 per board lot based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, with real money and real-time conviction—under the mindset of a Board Lot Warrior.

Hindi ito simulation.
Hindi ito paper trade.
Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.


๐ŸŽฏ Portfolio Structure

Board Lot Warrior Account Rules:

✔️ ₱10,000 capital per tactical setup
✔️ 1 board lot per entry
✔️ Live testing of Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
✔️ Documented trade cycle reviews and phased exits
✔️ Strict capital rotation discipline


๐Ÿงพ Selected Trades and Tactical Setups

Based on current Trade Logs and ongoing market reviews, the following trades are active or in setup phase:


๐ŸŸข ABA (Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc.)

Status: ✅ Ongoing tactical accumulation
Multiple tactical buys executed on July 10–11–15, 2025.
Layered entries while monitoring volume shifts and MA alignment.

๐Ÿ’ฐ UPGRADED Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Capital | 1,000-share board lot)

Gaya ng dati, hatiin natin ang kapital sa apat na bahagi. Pero ngayon, mas may flexibility tayong magdagdag kung bumaba pa ang presyo o kung biglang sumipa paakyat.


Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy (₱6,000 o 20%)

Buy Zone: ₱0.62–₱0.65
Rationale: Nasa support zone. Test-buy para masundan ang galaw kung mag-hold.

Est. Shares: ~9,000 shares @ ₱0.64 = ₱5,760 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱6,000


Layer 2 – Core Add (₱12,000 o 40%)

Buy Zone: ₱0.57–₱0.60
Rationale: Kung bumaba pa pero may bounce/reversal candle, dito tayo mag-full commit para sa long-term hold.

Est. Shares: ~20,000 shares @ ₱0.59 = ₱11,800 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱12,000


Layer 3 – Breakout Entry (₱6,000 o 20%)

Trigger: Breakout above ₱0.75 with strong green candle + volume > 8M
Rationale: Kung nabasag ang resistance, samahan natin ang momentum.

Est. Shares: ~7,800 shares @ ₱0.77 = ₱5,946 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱6,000


Layer 4 – Deep Pullback Reserve Entry (₱6,000 o 20%)

Buy Zone: ₱0.52–₱0.55 ONLY IF with reversal candle
Rationale: Safety net entry kung magkaroon ng deeper correction pero may bounce confirmation.

Est. Shares: ~11,000 shares @ ₱0.55 = ₱6,050 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱6,000


๐Ÿ“Œ Total Capital: ₱30,000
๐Ÿ“Œ Buy Zones Covered: ₱0.52–₱0.77
๐Ÿ“Œ Board Lots Utilized: Up to ~47,800 shares (equivalent to ~48 board lots)


๐Ÿ“ˆ Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy | ₱30K Version)

Para sa bigger position, mas mahalagang may structured exit tayo. Target natin ay i-lock ang profits gradually habang tumataas ang presyo, para hindi tayo mabigla sa sudden reversal.


๐Ÿ“ค Exit 1 – Partial Profit sa ₱0.75

Action: Sell 30% of total holdings
Rationale: Psychological resistance level; dating swing high


๐Ÿ“ค Exit 2 – Strong Profit sa ₱0.85

Action: Sell 40%
Rationale: Major resistance level batay sa historical chart (June 2025 level)


๐Ÿ“ค Exit 3 – Full Exit sa ₱1.20

Action: Sell remaining 30%
Rationale: Long-term target zone; ito na ang ceiling natin for full liquidation


๐Ÿšจ Risk Management Guidelines:

  • Soft Stop: ₱0.57
    Kapag bumaba rito, wag na muna magdagdag. Baka hindi pa tapos ang correction.

  • Hard Stop: ₱0.51
    Kapag nabasag ‘to, cut all positions. Breakdown na ang setup.


๐Ÿ“ Exit Summary:

  • Profit Levels: ₱0.75 / ₱0.85 / ₱1.20

  • Sell Proportions: 30% / 40% / 30%

  • Position Scaling: Align selling with volume breakout or reversal signals per level


Sa panibagong plano na ito, mas may puwang ang conviction trade pero may disiplina pa rin.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Hindi tayo bibili ng isang bagsakan.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Di rin tayo magbibitaw ng isang buhos.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Paunti-unti. Patas. Nakaplano.


๐ŸŸข ARA (Araneta Properties, Inc.)

Status: ✅ Active tactical buy
Initial board lot purchased July 15, 2025 @ ₱0.55
Watching price action for continuation or trap confirmation.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Layered Accumulation Plan (₱20,000 Capital | 1,000-Share Board Lot)

Hinati sa apat na bahagi ang kapital, bawat layer may malinaw na trigger at layunin — test buy, conviction add, breakout momentum, at reserve buy sa pullback.


Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy (₱3,000 o 15%)

Buy Zone: ₱0.53–₱0.55
Rationale: Tactical entry zone sa breakout attempt area. Gamitin lang kung may follow-through bar with decent volume.

Est. Shares: ~5,400 shares @ ₱0.55 = ₱2,970 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱3,000


Layer 2 – Core Add (₱8,000 o 40%)

Buy Zone: ₱0.50–₱0.52
Rationale: Kung magkaroon ng pullback pero mag-hold ang ₱0.50 level at may reversal candle, dito tayo mag-full commit.

Est. Shares: ~15,300 shares @ ₱0.52 = ₱7,956 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱8,000


Layer 3 – Breakout Entry (₱4,000 o 20%)

Trigger: Breakout above ₱0.60 with strong green candle at volume ≥ 20M
Rationale: Kung nagtuloy-tuloy ang galaw paakyat, samahan natin ang momentum.

Est. Shares: ~6,500 shares @ ₱0.62 = ₱4,030 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱4,000


Layer 4 – Reserve Deep Pullback Buy (₱5,000 o 25%)

Buy Zone: ₱0.46–₱0.48 (ONLY IF with reversal candle)
Rationale: Last line of entry kung maputol ang momentum pero may bullish bounce.

Est. Shares: ~10,400 shares @ ₱0.48 = ₱4,992 + fees
Total Est. Cost: ~₱5,000


๐Ÿ“Œ Total Capital: ₱20,000
๐Ÿ“Œ Buy Zones Covered: ₱0.46–₱0.62
๐Ÿ“Œ Board Lots Utilized: Up to ~37,600 shares (equivalent to ~38 board lots)


๐Ÿ“ˆ Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy | ₱20K Version)

Unti-unting pagbebenta habang tumataas ang presyo. Mahalaga ito lalo na kung mabilis ang galaw ng low-priced stock tulad ng ARA.


๐Ÿ“ค Exit 1 – Partial Profit sa ₱0.60

Action: Sell 25% of total shares
Rationale: Malapit sa unang resistance level. First profit-lock opportunity.


๐Ÿ“ค Exit 2 – Strong Profit sa ₱0.65

Action: Sell 35%
Rationale: Medium resistance zone at dating top noong Hulyo 2024


๐Ÿ“ค Exit 3 – Full Exit sa ₱0.70

Action: Sell remaining 40%
Rationale: Psychological resistance level and long-term peak


๐Ÿšจ Risk Management Guidelines:

  • Soft Stop: ₱0.50
    Wag na munang dagdag kung nabasag ito. Observe kung may recovery candle.

  • Hard Stop: ₱0.48
    Exit all if breakdown continues. This invalidates breakout thesis.


๐Ÿ“ Exit Summary:

  • Profit Levels: ₱0.60 / ₱0.65 / ₱0.70

  • Sell Proportions: 25% / 35% / 40%

  • Total Position Sold Gradually: All layers with guided profit-taking


Sa ₱20,000 strategy na ito, may balanse sa tiyaga at taktika.
๐Ÿ‘‰ May entry kahit alanganin pa — pero paunti lang muna.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mas malaki ang stake kapag may kumpirmasyon.
๐Ÿ‘‰ At may reserba kung sakaling bumalik sa support zone.


๐ŸŸข PREIT (Premier REIT)

Status: ✅ Tactical layering initiated
First board lot entered July 22, 2025 @ ₱2.25
REIT play with tactical timing based on bottoming pattern and yield re-alignment.

Sa ngayon, ituturing muna natin si PREIT bilang pangunahing bahagi ng:


๐ŸŸข URC (Universal Robina Corporation)

Status: ✅ Confirmed tactical entry
Entered July 21, 2025 @ ₱94
Strong fundamental backing + volume breakout = confidence build.

For now, we’re positioning URC primarily under our:

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Halal Core Growth Portfolio — Series #3

  • ๐ŸŸข MONDE (Monde Nissin Corporation)

    Status: ✅ First tactical strike executed
    Entry during bounce from support zone. Monitoring for additional setups.

    Sa ngayon, ituturing din muna natin si MONDE bilang pangunahing bahagi ng:


    ⚠️ ICT (Logistics/Cargo Rotation Theme)

    Status: ๐ŸŸก Watchlisted for tactical entry
    Both show consolidation near key levels. Waiting for volume cue and MA breakouts.


    ⚠️ ATI (Logistics/Cargo Rotation Theme)

    Status: ๐ŸŸก Watchlisted for tactical entry
    Both show consolidation near key levels. Waiting for volume cue and MA breakouts.


    ✅ Rationale

    Bakit may sariling pondo ang tactical trades?

    ✔️ Mas mabilis ang kilos sa tactical – Hindi pwedeng pa-slow motion kapag may opportunity.
    ✔️ Controlled risk – Only ₱10K per trade, para matest nang hindi masaktan.
    ✔️ Live learning – You don’t really know your strategy until pera na ang pinapasok mo.
    ✔️ Spiritual discipline – Real trades, pero may takot at pananagutan kay Allah ๏ทป.

    Ito ang pondo ng mga handa sumubok, pero hindi bulag sa panganib.


    ๐Ÿ’ฐ Suggested Capital Allocation

    • ₱10,000 per tactical trade

    • Up to 15 trades

    • Active rotation and reallocation based on trend, momentum, and review results.

    ✅ Capital is rotated, not spread too thin.
    ✅ Each board lot is intentional, with clear entry logic and exit rules.


    ๐ŸŒฑ Final Reflection

    This isn’t about getting rich quick.
    This is about proving a point—na kahit board lot lang,
    may kwenta ang bawat galaw kung may puso at prinsipyo.

    “Hindi lahat ng trade ay panalo—pero bawat trade ay may aral, may hangganan, at may pananagutan.”

    The Tactical Rotation Fund is where we risk small but think big,
    where we document wins and losses,
    and where we grow not just as traders—but as Muslims striving for discipline.

    Because here, even tactical trades—

    "Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy."


    ๐Ÿ“Œ Next in the Series (Final):
    Series #7 — CASH RESERVE / SADQAH BUFFER
    Let’s talk about the money we don’t invest—at least not in the usual way.


    Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

    Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


    ✅ Subok ng Puso Series Recap — Tap to Explore the Whole Journey

    ๐ŸŽฏ 7-Part Portfolio Series of a Muslim Retail Stock Trader. Combining Disciplined Strategy with Deep Conviction.

    ๐Ÿ“Œ Complete Line-Up:

    Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueรฑong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
    Micro Stock Trader Blog
    Ang Inyong Batangueรฑong Retail Stock Trader
    BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

    Mainam Basahin: Batangueรฑong Trade Mindset Series

    Button 1Button 2Button 3Button 1
    Button 2Button 3

    ₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy

    Micro Stock Trader Blog | Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang Strategy Series #1

    A Muslim trader standing before a golden path with stock charts and a distant light symbolizing Rizq
    Series #1 of the Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy series begins when rizq flows without condition—will your heart still follow the plan?

    ๐Ÿ“… Petsa ng Paglalathala: July 24, 2025
    ๐Ÿช™ Series #1 of 7 | Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series

    Nilalaman:

    • Panimula
    • From Discipline to Rizq Management
    • Can I Still Follow the 10 Steps?
    • The Real Test Isn’t the Money—it’s the Heart
    • My Quiet Resolution
    • Final Note

    Bismillah.

    Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—

    “Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”

    Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.

    Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
    Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
    Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
    Rizq—kung tutuusin.

    Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
    O “saan ko i-invest?”
    Kundi—

    “Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”


    ๐Ÿ’ก From Discipline to Rizq Management

    Madalas nating sabihin: “Magtiwala sa proseso. Galaw lang ng tama. Huwag madala sa emosyon.”

    Pero kapag totoo nang malaki ang capital mo,
    Kapag totoo nang kaya mong bumili ng limang layer sa isang buhos,
    Kapag totoo nang hindi mo kailangang maghintay ng board lot na ₱0.003 spread lang…

    Totoo pa rin kaya ang disiplina ko?

    O masisira ako sa gulat ng dami ng options?


    ๐Ÿ“ˆ Can I Still Follow the 10 Steps?

    Let’s walk through it.

    1. Market State & Trend Context
      May patience pa rin ba ako maghintay ng clear bias? O basta may momentum, all in?

    2. Price Position
      Pipiliin ko pa rin ba ang tama ang timing? O papasok ako kahit sa itaas kasi afford ko?

    3. Power Bars & Volume
      Magiging mas observant pa ba ako sa structure? O matatangay na lang sa hype?

    4. Entry Confirmation
      Hihintayin ko pa rin ba ang confluence? Or enough na sa akin ang “malaki pera ko”?

    5. Stop-Loss Policy
      Kaya ko pa rin bang tanggapin ang tama ang cut-loss? O sasabihin ko “kaya ko ‘to, marami akong bala”?

    6. Color Change Signals
      Makikita ko pa rin kaya ang reversal signals kung ang nakikita ko lang ay potential gains?

    7. Profit-Taking Strategy
      May strategy pa rin ba ako sa exit? O magiging greedy na dahil “sayang ang potential”?

    8. Re-Entry Plan
      May plano pa rin ba ako? O napuno na ng gulo ang puso?

    9. Position Sizing
      Kaya ko pa rin bang maghintay layer by layer? O isang buhos lahat?

    10. Ethics & Alignment
      Malinis pa rin ba ang galaw ko? Halal pa rin ba ang kita? Nandoon pa rin ba ang takot sa Allah, kahit ako na ang may hawak ng puhunan?


    ๐Ÿ’š The Real Test Isn’t the Money—it’s the Heart

    Hindi pera ang tunay na pagsubok.
    Kundi ang puso sa likod ng bawat galaw.

    Because no matter how big the capital gets,
    If I lose my soul in the process—
    If I trade without humility, if I forget the Source of Rizq—
    Then even a million pesos won’t make me richer.
    It will only expose how bankrupt I truly am inside.


    ๐ŸŒพ My Quiet Resolution

    Kung sakaling dumating man ang isang milyong piso,
    Di ako tatakbo sa merkado agad.

    Uupo muna ako. Magdarasal. Magpapasalamat.
    At saka ko iisa-isahin ang 10 Step Strategy.
    Not as a checklist—
    But as a way to protect my heart from arrogance.

    I won’t chase gains. I’ll wait for barakah.

    And I will remember:

    “When little becomes enough, and enough becomes meaningful.”


    ✍️ Final Note

    Hindi ito post tungkol sa pera.
    Ito ay post tungkol sa pananagutan.
    Sa sarili. Sa prinsipyo.
    At higit sa lahat, sa Allah ๏ทป.

    — Abdul Aziz
    Board Lot Warrior, still learning


    Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

    Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


    ✅ Subok ng Puso Series Recap — Tap to Explore the Whole Journey

    ๐ŸŽฏ 7-Part Portfolio Series of a Muslim Retail Stock Trader. Combining Disciplined Strategy with Deep Conviction.

    ๐Ÿ“Œ Complete Line-Up:

    Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueรฑong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
    Micro Stock Trader Blog
    Ang Inyong Batangueรฑong Retail Stock Trader
    BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

    Mainam Basahin: Batangueรฑong Trade Mindset Series

    Button 1Button 2Button 3Button 1
    Button 2Button 3

    A Shift in the Charts, A Shift in the Heart

    Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueรฑong retail stock trader

    A green upward stock chart with arrow and the text 'Micro Stock Trader – Board Lot Warrior' on a beige geometric Islamic-style background, with the quote: When little becomes enough, and enough becomes meaningful.
    A visual identity for Micro Stock Trader’s Board Lot Warrior series – a bold, faith-grounded journey of small, meaningful trades in the Philippine market.

    Bismillah.

    If you've been following this blog for a while, you know this space has always been about disciplined retail trading, humble gains, and navigating the market with a clear and grounded head—lalo na sa panahon ng kabado, pataas-baba ang merkado.

    But recently, something personal changed. Hindi ito tungkol sa bagong indicator o diskarte. It’s deeper than that.

    Lately, I’ve found myself asking not just “Okay ba 'tong entry?” but more importantly:

    “Tama ba ‘to?”
    “May barakah ba ‘to?”
    “Nakakatulong ba ito sa ikabubuti ng iba, o ako lang ba ang nakikinabang?”

    I’m still the same retail trader—taga-Batangas, board lot warrior, nagsisimula pa rin ng maliit. Pero unti-unti, I'm learning to approach trading with a little more tawakkul, more patience, and more respect for the limits between what’s allowed and what’s not worth it.

    This blog won’t turn preachy. I’m not here to teach faith—I’m just learning myself.
    But you may notice some changes in how I write, how I weigh trades, and how I define “success.” Less hype, more ethics. Less rush, more rizq.

    Kung dati, galaw tayo ng galaw para sa tubo—ngayon, sana, bawat galaw ay may tamang dahilan.

    I’ll still be posting stock reviews, tactical entries, price action analysis, and more—in shaa Allah. Pero this time, not just as a trader…

    …but as someone learning to be a better person too.

    Thank you for being part of the journey.

    May our trades be clean, our risk managed, and our intentions purified.

    Abdul Aziz
    Board Lot Warrior, still learning



    Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

    Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


    Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueรฑong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
    Micro Stock Trader Blog
    Ang Inyong Batangueรฑong Retail Stock Trader
    BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

    Mainam Basahin: Batangueรฑong Trade Mindset Series

    Button 1Button 2Button 3Button 1
    Button 2Button 3

    Saturday, July 19, 2025

    Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

    Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueรฑong retail stock trader

    ABA stock weekly chart as of July 18, 2025 showing pullback to ₱0.57 near 20-week moving average and resistance at ₱0.69
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Price pulled back to 20-MA support after rejection near ₱0.70

    Nilalaman:

    • Panimula
    • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
    • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
    • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
    • Layered Accumulation Plan
    • Phased Exit Plan

    Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


    I. ๐Ÿ“Œ Panimula

    Simula pa noong early June 2025, sunod-sunod na nating sinusuri ang galaw ng ABA (Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc.) bilang bahagi ng ating pangmatagalang trading at layering strategy. Nakapagtala na tayo ng tatlong entry layers sa ₱0.63, ₱0.66, at ₱0.65, at ngayo’y tinitimbang natin kung kailan at paano isusunod ang ika-apat na board lot.

    TRADE DETAILS:
    Date: July 18, 2025
    Stock: Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
    Exchange: PSE
    Timeframes: Weekly
    Closing Price: ₱0.57
    High: ₱0.66
    Low: ₱0.52
    20-MA (Short-Term): ₱0.55
    50-MA (Medium-Term): ₱0.62
    200-MA (Long-Term): ₱1.31

    Ang pagsusuri na ito ay gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant para sa matibay at disiplina’t estratehiya sa pamumuhunan.


    II. ๐Ÿ” Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

    ✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

    ABA attempted a breakout pero hindi nagtuloy-tuloy. Malinaw ang pagbagsak ng presyo sa linggong ito, galing sa short-term resistance na ₱0.70.
    Ang presyo ay bumagsak sa ibaba ng 8-MA (₱0.69) at 50-MA (₱0.62), at ngayo’y nakasalo pa lang sa 20-MA (₱0.55).

    Verdict: Corrective Pullback within Weak Uptrend – Proceed with caution sa layering.
    Score: 7/10

    ABA weekly chart showing corrective move near 20-MA support at ₱0.55 as of July 18, 2025
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Price in corrective pullback toward ₱0.55 support


    ✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

    Presyo ngayon ay mid-zone ng support–resistance band: ₱0.55 (support) at ₱0.62 (resistance). Malapit sa retracement sweet spot na 45–55%, na ideal sa Layered Accumulation.

    Verdict: Pwede pang dagdagan basta support holds.
    Score: 8/10

    ABA weekly chart showing price hovering between ₱0.55 support and ₱0.62 resistance based on 20-MA and 50-MA zones
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Price positioned between short-term support at ₱0.55 and resistance at ₱0.62


    ✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

    May malaking red candle na nagpakita ng rejection sa taas. Pero controlled pa rin ang volume—walang panic selling.

    Verdict: Tactical opportunity pa rin habang hindi nababasag ang ₱0.55.
    Score: 7/10

    ABA stock chart highlighting price rejection at ₱0.65 with large red candle and weakening momentum as of July 18, 2025
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Clear rejection candle spotted at ₱0.65 zone with strong bearish momentum


    ✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

    Asset-rich si ABA at undervalued pa rin kung ikukumpara sa NAV. Wala pang bagong balita, pero base sa galaw ng presyo, ideal ang layering entry sa pullback zone.

    Verdict: BUY Layer 4 @ ₱0.57 – Accumulate sa short-term support.
    Score: 8/10

    ABA weekly chart showing tactical Layer 4 buy zone at ₱0.57 with rejection candle at ₱0.65 as of July 18, 2025
    ABA Tactical Buy Layer 4 Entry Zone and Rejection Candle (July 18, 2025)


    ✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

    Ilagay ang hard stop-loss sa ₱0.49, sa ilalim ng 20-MA support at recent swing low. Kung masira ito, thesis break na.

    Verdict: Valid pa ang thesis, pero bantayan kung mabasag ang ₱0.55.
    Score: 8/10

    ABA stock chart showing Layer 4 buy at ₱0.57 and hard stop-loss placement at ₱0.49 as of July 18, 2025
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Layer 4 buy at ₱0.57 with hard stop-loss set at ₱0.49 to protect downside risk


    ✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

    Wala pa tayong green reversal candle ngayong linggo. Kailangan ng bullish engulfing or high-volume green bar sa susunod na linggo.

    Verdict: Wait for bullish color change confirmation.
    Score: 6/10


    ✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

    Nasa early cycle pa. Resistance zones: ₱0.68–₱0.74. Ito ang target zone para sa partial exits.

    Verdict: Long-term upside pa rin intact.
    Score: 8/10

    ABA stock chart showing profit-taking levels at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74, buy at ₱0.57, and stop-loss at ₱0.49 as of July 18, 2025
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Profit-taking targets set at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74 with tactical Layer 4 buy at ₱0.57 and stop-loss at ₱0.49


    ✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

    Kung bumaba sa ₱0.52–₱0.53, may puwang para sa tactical bounce reentry. For now, Layer 4 at ₱0.57 ang focus.

    Verdict: Tactical layering in effect, re-entry not yet needed.
    Score: 7/10

    ABA stock chart showing Layer 4 entry at ₱0.57, re-entry zone at ₱0.52, and stop-loss at ₱0.49 as of July 18, 2025
    ABA Weekly Chart as of July 18, 2025 – Tactical re-entry planned at ₱0.52 support zone if price dips below Layer 4 buy at ₱0.57


    ✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

    Tatlong Layer na executed:

    • ₱0.63 (1K shares)

    • ₱0.66 (1K shares)

    • ₱0.65 (1K shares)

    • ₱0.57 (1K shares) → tentative Layer 4
      Total: 4K shares, average cost approx. ₱0.625

    Verdict: Continue gradual buildup.
    Score: 9/10


    ✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

    ABA remains ethical and asset-based, walang speculative traps.

    Verdict: ✅ Pasok sa ethical long-term portfolio.
    Score: 9/10


    III. ๐Ÿ“Œ Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

    Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (Layer 4 @ ₱0.57)

    Recommendation: Buy at ₱0.57 as Layer 4 in tactical layering plan
    Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.49
    Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exits at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74
    Position Size Strategy: Moderate position buildup; next layer only upon breakout above ₱0.62


    IV. ๐ŸŽฏ Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

    ๐Ÿ”น Kung Tumama:
    → Monitor breakout sa ₱0.62–₱0.65
    → Prepare Layer 5 upon sustained breakout with volume

    ๐Ÿ”น Kung Sumablay:
    → Tighten stop-loss if price breaks below ₱0.55
    → Cut below ₱0.49, then re-evaluate structure


    V. ๐Ÿงฑ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 Board Lot = 1,000 Shares)

    • Layer 1 (Executed): ₱0.63

    • Layer 2 (Executed): ₱0.66

    • Layer 3 (Executed): ₱0.65

    • Layer 4 (Tentative): ₱0.57

    • Layer 5 (Optional): ₱0.62+ upon breakout confirmation

    ✅ Total cost so far: Approx. ₱2,500
    ✅ Shares held: 4,000
    ✅ Avg. Cost: ~₱0.625
    ๐Ÿ’ก Max planned position: 5K shares

    Table showing ABA layered accumulation entries from ₱0.63 to ₱0.57, with optional breakout buy above ₱0.62
    Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA as of July 18, 2025 – Four entry levels planned with tactical buy zones from ₱0.57 to ₱0.66

    VI. ๐Ÿ“ค Phased Exit Plan (Target ₱10,000 Portfolio Recovery)

    • Exit 1: ₱0.68 (20% gain from current average) – Sell 1,000 shares

    • Exit 2: ₱0.74 (mid resistance) – Sell another 1,000 shares

    • Exit 3: Trail remainder with 8-MA as trailing guide

    Table showing phased exit plan for ABA with exits at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74, plus trailing guide using 8-MA
    Phased Exit Plan for ABA as of July 18, 2025 – Targets set at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74 with trailing strategy for final exit


    ๐Ÿง  Final Thought:
    Hindi ito momentum trade. Isa itong asset-based tactical position na binubuo habang mababa pa ang presyo. Disiplina at pasensya ang susi.


    Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

    Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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