Showing posts with label Philippine Stock Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Philippine Stock Market. Show all posts

Sunday, July 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: 8 REITs Weekly Chart Series as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITS Series

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITS Series
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Review Series – Weekly Market Snapshot as of July 11, 2025

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan


I. Panimula

Sa linggong ito, sabay-sabay nating sinilip ang galaw ng walong Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sa Philippine Stock Exchange gamit ang ating Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

TRADE DETAILS:

📅 Date: July 11, 2025

📈 Stocks Reviewed:

Shariah-Compliant

For Public Awareness

⏱️ Timeframe: Weekly Chart

📊 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

👉 Tingnan dito ang kabuuang proseso:

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Gamit ang weekly charts as of July 11, 2025, ito ang buod ng mga insights natin mula sa 10-step analysis:

✅ Shariah-Compliant REITs

CREIT – Stable pa rin ang trend. May signs ng controlled pullback na pabor sa long-term buyers.
➡ Verdict: BUY on Controlled Pullback

DDMPR – Sideways movement, pero may support sa ₱1.00–₱1.05 area.
➡ Verdict: HOLD / ACCUMULATE ON DIPS

MREIT – Malapit sa dating support zone at may signs ng possible bounce.
➡ Verdict: BUY on pullback

PREIT – Nagko-consolidate pa rin. Hintayin muna ang clear breakout above ₱2.33.
➡ Verdict: WAIT

RCR – May recent breakout from support zone. Maganda ang long-term accumulation zone.
➡ Verdict: BUY on Pullback

📝 For Public Awareness

AREIT – Pwede mag-test buy sa ₱40 area, pero huwag muna full commit.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT with Tactical Readiness

FILRT – Reversal pattern starting to form. Good for early accumulation.
➡ Verdict: BUY (Test Buy for Long-Term Accumulation)

VREIT – Consolidating near mid-range. Monitor ₱1.84–₱1.85 zone.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT

III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

✅ Shariah-Compliant

  • CREIT: BUY on Controlled Pullback (Entry: ₱3.30 - ₱3.44 | 1,000 shares)

  • DDMPR: HOLD / ACCUMULATE ON DIPS (Entry: ₱1.03 - ₱1.05 | 1,000 shares)

  • MREIT: BUY on pullback (Entry: ₱13.50 - ₱13.80 | 100 shares)

  • PREIT: Antayin ang bullish reversal above ₱2.33 with volume (Entry: ₱2.20 - ₱2.25 | 1,000 shares)

  • RCR: BUY on Pullback (Entry: ₱6.65 - ₱7.00 | 100 shares)

📢 For Public Awareness

  • AREIT: Tactical Buy sa ₱40 pero wag muna full commit (Entry: ₱40.00 - ₱40.50 | 100 shares)

  • FILRT: BUY (Test Buy for Long-Term Accumulation | Entry: ₱3.10 - ₱3.25 | 1,000 shares)

  • VREIT: HOLD/WAIT; monitor ₱1.84–₱1.85 zone (Entry: ₱1.84 - ₱1.86 | 1,000 shares)

IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay (Long-Term Focus)

✅ Shariah-Compliant

  • CREIT: Peso-Cost-Averaging (PCA) sa ₱3.30–₱3.44 area

  • DDMPR: Accumulate gradually with risk control

  • MREIT: Test buy around ₱13.50–₱13.80

  • PREIT: Watch ₱2.20 support for bounce

  • RCR: Accumulate near ₱7.00 to ₱6.65

📢 For Public Awareness

  • AREIT: Tactical buy sa ₱40 area, pero wait for confirmation

  • FILRT: Early stage of reversal – test buy ok

  • VREIT: Monitor ₱1.84–₱1.85 for possible tactical test buy

V. Layered Accumulation Plan

(Based sa suggested entry prices with minimum board lot per stock)

✅ Shariah-Compliant

  • CREIT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱3.44 = ₱3,440

  • DDMPR: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱1.05 = ₱1,050

  • MREIT: Buy 100 shares @ ₱13.60 = ₱1,360

  • PREIT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱2.25 = ₱2,250

  • RCR: Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱1,400

📢 For Public Awareness

  • AREIT: Buy 100 shares @ ₱40.00 = ₱4,000

  • FILRT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱3.25 = ₱3,250

  • VREIT: Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱1.85 = ₱1,850

VI. Phased Exit Plan

Guided by Tactical Position Management Approach

  • Partial Exit near Resistance

  • Use Color Change + Volume Clues

  • Gradual Trim sa mga breakout extension

✅ Final Thought

📌 Review Reminder:

Ang ilan sa mga REITs na ating tiningnan ay hindi kasalukuyang kabilang sa Shariah-compliant list. 

Kaya't tandaan:
👉 For public awareness lang po ito.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na rekomendasyon sa pagbili.
👉 At higit sa lahat, disiplina at sariling desisyon pa rin ang uunahing sandata ng bawat Board Lot Warrior.

📣 Bottomline:

Kung long-term investor ka, maraming REITs ang nagpe-present ng opportunity ngayong mid-2025 habang nasa consolidation stage. Piliin lang ang may malinaw na trend support, volume confirmation, at pasok sa diskarte mo.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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REITs Series | Tension-Resilient Stocks Series

Mainam Basahin:

Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

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Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.



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VISTA REIT, INC. (VREIT) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITs Series

VREIT weekly chart showing price near 200-MA and 20-MA with bearish candle and high volume

VREIT Weekly Price Chart with MA Indicators (as of July 11, 2025)

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan

📌 Paalala para sa Review na Ito
Ang review na ito ay bahagi ng ating serye kung saan sinusuri natin hindi lang ang Shariah-compliant stocks, kundi pati na rin ang ilang hindi pa kasama sa opisyal na listahan.

👉 Para lang po ito sa public awareness.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na buy recommendation.
👉 Kayo pa rin ang may final na desisyon sa inyong investment journey.

Tuloy lang ang pag-aaral, mga ka-trader!

1. Panimula

Ang VistaREIT, Inc. (VREIT) ay isang real estate investment trust (REIT) na bahagi ng Villar Group, at nagpo-focus sa retail at office leasing sa kanilang mga prime commercial developments. Bilang isa sa mga bagong salta sa PSE REIT sector, ang VREIT ay interesting panoorin lalo na sa mga naghahanap ng steady dividend play sa abot-kayang presyo.

TRADE DETAILS
📅 Date: July 11, 2025
📈 Stock: VISTA REIT, INC. (VREIT)
🏛️ Exchange: PSE
🕰️ Timeframe: Weekly
💰 Closing Price: ₱1.87
📈 High: ₱1.90
📉 Low: ₱1.83
📊 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱1.89
📊 50-MA (Long-Term Trend Proxy): ₱1.84

Dahil wala pa itong 200-week MA, gagamitin natin ang 50-MA bilang pansamantalang basehan ng long-term trend. Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, i-aanalyze natin kung panahon na ba para pumasok sa VREIT o mas makakabuting maghintay pa.

2. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Ang VREIT ay nasa gitna ng short-term weakness at kasalukuyang bumagsak sa ilalim ng 20-MA (₱1.89). Pero, nananatili pa rin itong above the 50-MA (₱1.84) na siyang gagamitin nating proxy for long-term trend.

Ibig sabihin, kahit short-term ay may bearish move, nananatiling intact ang long-term uptrend base sa 50-MA.

➡ Verdict: Hold/Wait – Long-term uptrend is intact pero may short-term pressure.

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Ang presyo (₱1.87) ay nasa pagitan ng 20-MA at 50-MA, isang senyales ng mid-range pullback. Ang setup na ito ay kadalasang tinitingnan bilang early warning ng correction. Hindi pa ito optimal entry zone sa ngayon, pero papalapit sa magandang area kung mag-hold ang ₱1.84.

➡ Verdict: Wait – Monitor support sa ₱1.84 zone bago pumasok.

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Walang green power bar. Bagkus, may red candle with volume spike (8.47M) na nagpapakita ng distribution o possible short-term exit ng ibang investors.

➡ Verdict: Wait – Walang bullish momentum.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Walang confirmed breakout o bullish reversal candle. Mas mainam na maghintay ng bounce confirmation sa ₱1.84 o break above ₱1.90.

➡ Verdict: Wait for confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Kung papasok sa ₱1.85–₱1.86 area, ang logical SL ay below ₱1.81 o kung mabasag ang 50-MA with conviction.

➡ Verdict: Prepare SL sa ₱1.80 kung papasok.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Walang green reversal candle o color change na nagpapakita ng bullish pivot. Kailangan natin ng reversal bar with strong close para magtiwala sa recovery.

➡ Verdict: Wait.

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Assuming mid-range price play, pwedeng mag-target ng partial exits sa ₱1.93–₱1.95 at full exit sa ₱2.00–₱2.05 kung mag-breakout.

➡ Verdict: Pre-plan exits pero huwag pa i-execute.

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-bounce sa ₱1.84 na may conviction, puwedeng tactical re-entry or first layer. Pero sa ngayon, observe muna.

➡ Verdict: Wait and monitor price reaction sa support.

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Dahil hindi pa fully confirmed ang reversal, Tactical Entry (10%) lang muna dapat. Kung mag-hold at mag-confirm, saka i-upgrade to Core (50%).

➡ Verdict: Tactical Entry upon bounce confirmation.

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi pa pasok sa counter-trend criteria—walang malakas na gap down o 5% drop below 50-MA.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable.

3. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Hintayin muna ang bullish confirmation above ₱1.90 o kaya ay bounce with volume sa ₱1.84
✅ Risk Management: Kung papasok sa ₱1.85–₱1.86, dapat ang stop-loss ay below ₱1.81
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱1.93–₱1.95 range for partial exit
✅ Position Size Strategy: Tactical Entry lamang, max 1 board lot muna habang wala pang full setup

4. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Short-term traders → Huwag munang pumasok. Walang clear breakout o reversal confirmation.
🔹 Long-term investors → Pwede nang i-monitor ang zone na ₱1.84–₱1.85 para sa possible tactical test buy.
🔹 Existing holders → Pwede munang mag-hold. Bantayan ang critical support zone sa ₱1.84.

🚨 Final Thought: Walang masama sa pag-antay ng malinaw na setup. Tandaan: "Kapag walang setup, walang trade!" 🚨

5. Layered Accumulation Plan

💰 Total Capital: ₱5,000
📦 Board Lot System: 1,000 shares per lot
🎯 Entry Plan:

  • Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
    ✅ Entry: ₱1.85
    ✅ Shares: 1,000
    ✅ Allocation: ~₱1,850

  • Layer 2 – Confirmed Bounce
    ✅ Entry: ₱1.83
    ✅ Shares: 1,000
    ✅ Allocation: ~₱1,830

  • Layer 3 – Post-Breakout Above ₱1.90
    ✅ Entry: ₱1.91
    ✅ Shares: 1,000
    ✅ Allocation: ~₱1,910

(Select 2 out of 3 layers only to fit ₱5,000 capital. Flexible ang execution batay sa price behavior.)

6. Phased Exit Plan

🎯 Target Exit Levels:

  • First Target (Partial Exit) – ₱1.93
    📤 Sell 1,000 shares

  • Second Target (Full Exit) – ₱2.00
    📤 Sell remaining 1,000 shares

📌 Kung hindi umabot sa breakout, reevaluate ang setup pag bumaba sa ilalim ng ₱1.80.


Basahin Pa: Board Lot Warrior | REITs Series (July 11, 2025)

Weekly Stock Price Reviews ng mga REIT gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.

Tuloy-tuloy ang aral at diskarte! Heto ang kabuuang listahan ng mga REITs na sinuri ngayong linggo—mula sa Shariah-compliant picks gaya ng DDMPR at RCR, hanggang sa mainstream REITs tulad ng AREIT at VREIT. Alamin kung alin ang may buwelo, alin ang sideways pa, at kung kailan pwedeng pumasok kahit board lot lang ang kaya ng puhunan.

Shariah-Compliant REITs

Reviewed for Public Awareness

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Related Readings


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Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Morning Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

I. Introduction

This follow-up review examines Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) based on the morning session chart as of February 19, 2025.

MONDE recently attempted to break above the 9.13 resistance zone, following a strong close on February 18, 2025, at 8.45 with a volume surge of 10.465M, exceeding its target breakout volume of 10.41M.

This review will determine whether MONDE’s bullish momentum is sustainable and whether a buy opportunity exists using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

Updated Trade Details (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Date: February 19, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
  • Opening Price: 8.45
  • High: 8.60
  • Low: 8.28
  • Current Price: 8.52
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.51
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.55

Volume Analysis (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Morning Volume: 3.825M
  • Closing Volume (February 18, 2025): 10.465M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 9.671M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 7.122M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

With MONDE’s price hovering near the 9.13 key breakout level, this analysis will evaluate whether the stock can sustain its bullish move or if a pullback is expected.

MONDE morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

MONDE Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025


II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Daily Chart:

    • MONDE continues to trade below the 200-day MA (9.55), meaning the long-term trend remains bearish.
    • However, the price is now well above the 20-day MA (7.51), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum.

  • Monthly Chart:

    • The stock is attempting a recovery from the 6.65 low, but it remains below the 20-MA (9.14).

➡ Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but long-term downtrend remains).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • MONDE is currently at the 57% retracement level, slightly above the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.
  • A break above 9.13 with strong volume would confirm a bullish continuation.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Critical Level for Bulls).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • MONDE closed with high volume (10.465M) on February 18, 2025, exceeding the 10.41M breakout target, indicating strong buying interest.
  • However, the morning session volume (3.825M) is lower, meaning momentum must be sustained throughout the day.

➡ Verdict: Buy on Further Strength (Monitor closing volume for confirmation).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A full confirmation occurs if MONDE closes above 9.13 with strong volume.
  • The key resistance levels:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)

➡ Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering long, a stop-loss should be placed below 8.00 to protect against downside risk.
  • A drop below 7.50 would signal further weakness.

➡ Verdict: Buy with Risk Management (Stop-loss at 8.00).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • Another green candle has formed, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
  • However, confirmation of bullish structure requires a sustained close above 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs a strong close above 9.13).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)
    • Long-term: 10.50

➡ Verdict: Hold Position, Take Partial Profits at 9.13 and 9.55.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter near 8.15 if support holds.
  • Buy on a confirmed breakout at 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Re-Entry on Retracement or Breakout.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Initiate if MONDE holds above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 8.52, increasing size upon confirmation above 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Small Position Possible Near 8.52, Increase Size Above 9.13.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is recommended since MONDE is trading within a breakout structure.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

✅ Recommendation: Buy if MONDE holds above 9.13 with strong volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at 8.00 to manage downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.55 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.52, increase size upon confirmation above 9.13.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if MONDE sustains above 9.13 before taking full positions.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 8.52 with a stop at 8.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor breakout confirmation above 9.13 before adding positions.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 9.13 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

I. Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) is a major player in the Philippine stock market, known for its strong market presence in the food and beverage industry. This review will analyze its price movement using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine the best trade decision.

Trade Details

  • Date: February 17, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Closing Price: 63.95
  • High: 65.90
  • Low: 63.30
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.30
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.49

Pullback Under Consideration

  • Start of Power Move Date: January 14, 2025
  • Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 75.00
  • End of Power Move Date: February 12, 2025
  • End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 59.70
  • Power Move Trend: Bearish
  • Power Move Sweet Spot: 68.12 - 71.18
  • Market Price To Date: 70.20
  • Pullback Level To Date: 69%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

  • Closing Volume: 2.49M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 2.68M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 2.61M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

The following analysis will apply our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

URC stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025


URC stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025


II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The daily chart shows a downtrend phase with URC trading well below its 200-day MA (94.49).
  • The price is hovering around the 20-day MA (63.30), signaling a potential short-term consolidation after a steep decline.
  • The monthly chart confirms the long-term downtrend, with the 200-MA (113.94) acting as resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • The stock is currently below the 200-day MA, indicating a bearish macro trend.
  • The price is approaching the 70% retracement level (69%), making it a high-risk zone for long trades unless a reversal occurs.
  • Ideal bullish entry should be within the 25%-45% pullback range, meaning the stock is still in a danger zone for continued downside.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Not yet in a favorable entry zone).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • A green candle with increased volume was seen on February 17, 2025, indicating short-term buying interest.
  • However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been met, suggesting weak confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Volume does not yet confirm breakout).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The price is still below the key resistance zone (68.12 - 71.18).
  • A confirmed reversal pattern (e.g., higher lows or a strong bullish breakout above the sweet spot) is needed before entry.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of a breakout above 71.18).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering a long position, an initial stop-loss should be set below the recent swing low (59.70).
  • Risk remains high due to lack of volume confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Risk is still high for new positions).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No clear color change pattern yet to confirm a trend reversal.
  • The stock remains inside a bearish channel with no strong green bar confirmation above key resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs clear color change confirmation).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets should be 75.00 for conservative exits and 80.00 for more aggressive ones.
  • However, since an entry is not confirmed, taking profits is not yet applicable.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable yet (Entry not confirmed).

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If the stock reclaims 71.18 with strong volume, a re-entry can be considered.
  • Alternatively, a pullback to 60.00 with bullish reversal confirmation could be another re-entry point.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Monitor breakout levels before re-entry).

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Not recommended yet due to uncertain trend.
  • Tactical Entry: Possible near 60.00 if a bullish reversal occurs or above 71.18 with strong volume.

➡ Verdict: Wait (No adjustment needed until a clearer trend forms).

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trading is not advisable yet since there hasn’t been a gap-down of more than 5% below the 200-MA or two consecutive large red candles near lows.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading (No clear reversal setup).

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 71.18 before considering a long position.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss should be set below 59.70 if entering a trade.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (conservative) and 80.00 (aggressive).
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position upon breakout confirmation, then add gradually.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid buying until a confirmed breakout above 71.18 occurs.
🔹 Long-term investors: May consider waiting for stabilization near 60.00 before adding positions.
🔹 Existing holders: Should monitor breakout confirmation or further downside risks before adjusting positions.
🚨 Final Thought: This is not the ideal entry point yet. A clearer bullish confirmation is required before taking action. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

I. Introduction

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) is a major food and beverage player in the Philippine stock market. As of February 17, 2025, MONDE has shown a recovery attempt after its bearish power move from 9.95 to 6.65. The stock has now retraced to a pullback level of 57%, positioning it near the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.

This review will apply the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine whether MONDE presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

Trade Details

  • Date: February 17, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Closing Price: 8.15
  • High: 8.20
  • Low: 7.92
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.36
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.57

Pullback Under Consideration

  • Start of Power Move Date: November 20, 2024
  • Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 9.95
  • End of Power Move Date: January 31, 2025
  • End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 6.65
  • Power Move Trend: Bearish
  • Power Move Sweet Spot: 8.47 - 9.13
  • Market Price To Date: 8.52
  • Pullback Level To Date: 57%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

  • Closing Volume: 7.56M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 9.47M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 6.94M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

While MONDE has entered a technical retracement zone, volume has not yet fully confirmed a bullish breakout. Let’s proceed with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy analysis.

MONDE stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025


MONDE stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

MONDE Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025


II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Daily Chart:

    • MONDE is still in a long-term downtrend, as it trades below the 200-day MA (9.57).
    • However, it has reclaimed the 20-day MA (7.36), indicating short-term bullish momentum.

  • Monthly Chart:

    • The stock has bounced from the recent low (6.65) but remains below the 20-MA (9.14).
    • This suggests that long-term recovery is uncertain, and further confirmation is needed.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish, but long-term trend is still down).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • MONDE is in the 57% pullback zone, right above the sweet spot (8.47 - 9.13).
  • A break above 9.13 would confirm a bullish continuation.
  • A rejection below 8.47 would indicate a failed recovery and a possible retest of 7.50 or lower.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Key Decision Zone).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • MONDE has printed multiple green candles, but breakout volume is missing (current volume = 7.56M vs. target breakout volume = 10.41M).
  • The stock needs a surge in volume above 10.41M to confirm a breakout.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Volume is below breakout threshold).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • An ideal buy entry would be on a break above 9.13 with strong volume.
  • Current resistance levels:
    • Short-term: 8.47 - 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.57 (200-MA)

➡ Verdict: Wait (Buy on breakout above 9.13 with strong volume).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering long, stop-loss should be placed below 7.50 to protect against downside risk.
  • A drop below 6.65 would indicate further downside pressure.

➡ Verdict: Buy only with risk management (Stop-loss at 7.50).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • MONDE has shown consistent green candles, signaling bullish momentum.
  • However, it needs to sustain this trend above key resistance levels.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs sustained strength above 9.13).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.57
    • Long-term: 10.50

➡ Verdict: Hold with profit-taking at key resistance zones.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Buy on retracement near 8.00 if support holds.
  • Breakout entry at 9.13 for momentum continuation.

➡ Verdict: Watch for re-entry on retracement or confirmed breakout.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Entry should be considered above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A smaller position may be taken near 8.15, but only if support holds.

➡ Verdict: Small position possible near 8.15, full position upon breakout.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are not recommended unless the stock retests 7.00 with a bullish reversal pattern.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 9.13 before entering.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 7.50 to minimize downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.57 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.15 if support holds, increase size upon breakout confirmation.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid entering until MONDE clears 9.13 with strong volume.

🔹 Long-term investors: Monitor for stability above 8.15 before considering accumulation.

🔹 Existing holders: Consider reducing exposure if price fails to break 9.13.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE is in a potential reversal phase but needs confirmation above 9.13. A breakout with volume is required for a buy signal. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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