Showing posts with label REIT Trading Strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label REIT Trading Strategy. Show all posts

Friday, August 15, 2025

MREIT, Inc. (MREIT) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

MREIT Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing consolidation below ₱14.50 resistance after recent breakout.
Weekly candlestick chart of MREIT (MREIT) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Date: August 15, 2025

  • Stock: MREIT, Inc. (MREIT)

  • Exchange: PSE

  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)

  • Closing Price: ₱14.36

  • High: ₱14.54

  • Low: ₱14.26

  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱13.88

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱13.70

  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱14.49

  • 8-MA (Immediate Trend): ₱14.16


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Currently nasa uptrend recovery stage. Price is above 20MA and 50MA, pero hawak pa ng 200MA resistance.
➡ Verdict: HOLD cautiously
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is above 20MA and 50MA, malapit sa 200MA ₱14.49 (key hurdle). Value zone support nasa ₱13.70–₱13.90.
➡ Verdict: BUY on dips sa ₱13.80–₱14.00
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Breakout candles noong July, pero ngayon medyo nagfade ang volume at lumabas ang upper wick—sign ng hesitation near ₱14.50.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for follow-through
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Breakout confirmation only kapag strong close above ₱14.60 with volume. Otherwise, pullback buys are safer.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Best stop below ₱13.70 (50MA). Hard stop at ₱13.50 kung basag ang swing support.
➡ Verdict: Set stop-loss ₱13.50
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Latest candle green close pero with wick = indecision. Kailangan ng isa pang bullish candle para validation.
➡ Verdict: Monitor
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
First target ₱14.80, then ₱15.20. Long-term hold possible above ₱15.50.
➡ Verdict: SELL partials sa ₱14.80+
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Ideal re-entry kung magpullback sa ₱13.80 area with bullish reversal bar.
➡ Verdict: YES
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Use 50% core + 10% tactical re-entries. REITs are low-volatility, kaya safe ang gradual build.
➡ Verdict: Moderate core + tactical adds
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
No steep drop or 200MA violation, so counter-trend not needed.
➡ Verdict: N/A
✅ Score: 5/10

🧮 Total Score: 69/100
(July 13 score was 72/100 — slight decline dahil sa hesitation near resistance)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Para kang umakyat sa tuktok ng bundok at saglit na natigil dahil may harang na bato. Hindi pa bagsak ang lakas ni MREIT, pero nag-iipon muna ng hininga bago muling sumugod.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Range: ₱13.80–₱14.00 (support pullback)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱13.50 (structure break)
📌 Target Prices: ₱14.80, ₱15.20, ₱15.80
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only on breakout above ₱14.60 with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Start moderate (core), add tacticals on dips/breakouts


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱40,000 Allocation)

Goal: Deploy ~70% of capital in staggered layers, keeping ~30% as cash buffer for flexibility.

1️⃣ Layer 1 – Tactical Entry (Pullback Zone)
📌 Entry Price: ₱14.00
📦 Shares: 500 (5 lots)
💸 Allocation: ₱7,000 (17.5% of capital)
🎯 Rationale: First defense zone above 20MA

2️⃣ Layer 2 – Core Entry (Stronger Support)
📌 Entry Price: ₱13.80
📦 Shares: 1,000 (10 lots)
💸 Allocation: ₱13,800 (34.5% of capital)
🎯 Rationale: Mid-range support (near 50MA)

3️⃣ Layer 3 – Breakout Add (Confirmation Trade)
📌 Entry Price: ₱14.70
📦 Shares: 500 (5 lots)
💸 Allocation: ₱7,350 (18.4% of capital)
🎯 Rationale: Buy strength upon breakout above resistance

💰 Total Committed Capital: ₱28,150 (~70%)
💵 Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱11,850 (~30%)


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

Strategy: Gradual trimming at resistance levels while keeping exposure for dividend yield.

1️⃣ First Exit – Trim Tactical
📌 Price: ₱14.80
📦 Shares: 500 (Layer 1)
🎯 Rationale: Lock gains from tactical pullback buy

2️⃣ Second Exit – Partial Core
📌 Price: ₱15.20
📦 Shares: 500 (half of Layer 2)
🎯 Rationale: Protect gains as price nears major resistance

3️⃣ Third Exit – Final Core / Breakout Add
📌 Price: ₱15.80+
📦 Shares: 500–1,000 (Layer 3 and remaining core)
🎯 Rationale: Take profits or hold selected shares for long-term dividend

⚠️ Hard Stop: ₱13.50 (close below this = thesis violation)


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / BUY ON PULLBACK
Recommendation: Test-buy sa ₱13.80–₱14.00. Add only on confirmed breakout over ₱14.60.
Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱13.50.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits at ₱14.80, ₱15.20, and ₱15.80.
Position Size Strategy: Moderate core, tactical adds only on confirmation.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Sa mundo ng trading, hindi laging sunod-sunod ang pag-akyat—minsan kailangan muna mag-ipon ng lakas. Tulad ng disiplina at pasensya sa buhay, si MREIT ay paunti-unting umaakyat, steady lang, basta’t may tiwala at malinaw ang plano.


📊 Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: Shariah-Compliant REIT Portfolio
Allocation: ₱40,000
Active Position: None (waiting for pullback or breakout)
Quick Hatol: Hintay lang, huwag mainip—darating din ang tamang buwelo.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Thursday, January 23, 2025

DDMPR (DDMP REIT Inc.) January 22, 2025, Daily Chart Analysis Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Contents:

  • Overview
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Analysis
  • Conclusion

Overview

DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) is attempting a recovery, but the 200-day moving average (1.09) remains a strong resistance level, leading to a recent pullback. The price is currently hovering around the 20-MA (1.06), which is serving as short-term support. A successful bounce from 1.05 with a green power bar could signal a renewed bullish attempt, but failure to hold this level may lead to a decline toward 1.03 - 1.02. Traders should look for a breakout above 1.09 with volume to confirm further upside or remain cautious of potential downside risks.

DDMPR’s January 22, 2025, daily chart shows rejection at the 200-MA, with key support at 1.05 and resistance at 1.09.

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

DDMPR is showing early signs of a potential recovery, but the long-term trend remains bearish:

  • The 200-day moving average (1.09) continues to slope downward, reinforcing the broader downtrend.
  • The 20-day moving average (1.06) is acting as a short-term support.
  • The price recently tested the 200-MA resistance at 1.09 but failed to break through.

Position, Location & Key Retracement Zones (Step 2)

  • The price is above the 20-MA but below the 200-MA, indicating a transition phase rather than a clear trend shift.
  • Resistance is at 1.09 - 1.10, aligning with the 200-MA rejection.
  • Support is at 1.05 - 1.06, where the 20-MA is currently holding as dynamic support.
  • A deeper retracement might lead to a retest of 1.02 - 1.03, an area of prior consolidation.

Power Bars & Retracement Strength (Step 3)

  • A strong bullish move pushed the stock towards 1.09, but recent price action shows a sharp rejection.
  • The current pullback lacks a green power bar, signaling weak bullish momentum.
  • A strong bounce from 1.05 or lower would indicate a better entry for long positions.

Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies (Step 4)

  • Long trades should only be considered if price holds above 1.05 and shows a strong green candle with volume.
  • Short trades remain viable as long as the price stays below 1.09, rejecting the 200-MA.

Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments (Step 5)

  • For longs, a stop-loss at 1.03 would protect against a breakdown.
  • For shorts, stop-loss should be placed above 1.10, as a breakout beyond this level could indicate trend reversal potential.

Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation (Step 6)

  • The last few trading days show a mix of red and green, signaling market indecision.
  • A strong green candle above 1.06 would provide a bullish entry signal.

Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets (Step 7)

  • For shorts, profit-taking should be considered around 1.03 - 1.02.
  • For longs, targets should be set at 1.08 - 1.10, where strong resistance lies.

Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks (Step 8)

  • If price bounces from 1.05 or consolidates near 1.02, it could provide a better long re-entry.
  • A failed breakout above 1.09 could offer another shorting opportunity.

Tactical Position Management (Step 9)

  • Long trades should be small until confirmation of strength above 1.09.
  • If price rejects 1.09 again, a larger short position may be justified.

Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails (Step 10)

  • A counter-trend trade (long position) can only be justified if price holds above 1.06 and volume supports the move.
  • Otherwise, bearish momentum remains intact, and traders should focus on shorting at resistance levels.

Conclusion

The January 22, 2025, daily chart of DDMPR shows early recovery attempts, but the 200-MA rejection at 1.09 keeps the stock under bearish pressure.

  • If price holds above 1.06, a potential breakout attempt could develop.
  • If price fails to sustain above 1.05, expect a retracement towards 1.03 - 1.02.
    Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to directional trades.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

RCR (RL Commercial REIT Inc.) January 22, 2025, Daily Chart Analysis Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Contents:

Overview

  • Overview
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Analysis
  • Conclusion

RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR) is showing bullish consolidation, trading above both the 20-day (5.88) and 200-day (5.60) moving averages. The price is attempting to break out from the 5.98 resistance level, with 6.00 - 6.10 acting as a crucial barrier for further upside. If RCR manages to break 6.00 with strong volume, the next potential target would be 6.20 - 6.30. However, failure to hold above 5.88 could lead to a retracement towards the 5.75 - 5.60 support zone, making it essential to watch for breakout confirmation before entering long positions.

Technical chart of RCR on January 22, 2025, displaying moving averages, price trends, and volume indicators.

RCR’s January 22, 2025, daily chart is testing the 6.00 resistance, with bullish momentum supported by the 20-MA and 200-MA.

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

RCR appears to be in a consolidation phase following an uptrend:

  • The 200-day moving average (5.60) is trending upwards, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
  • The 20-day moving average (5.88) is acting as near-term support, keeping the price in a stable range.
  • The stock is currently trading at 5.98, slightly above both moving averages, which favors a bullish bias.

Position, Location & Key Retracement Zones (Step 2)

  • The price is above both the 20-MA and 200-MA, a bullish signal.
  • Key resistance lies at 6.00 - 6.10, where previous price action has seen selling pressure.
  • Support is forming at 5.85 - 5.88, with additional support at 5.60 (200-MA).
  • If price breaks 6.00 with strong volume, a continuation towards 6.20 - 6.30 could be expected.

Power Bars & Retracement Strength (Step 3)

  • The stock has built a base around 5.80 - 5.90, indicating buyers are absorbing supply.
  • The recent move toward 6.00 suggests increasing bullish momentum.
  • A green power bar closing above 6.00 with strong volume would confirm a bullish breakout.

Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies (Step 4)

  • Long trades should be considered on a breakout above 6.00, with confirmation from higher-than-average volume.
  • Short trades could be taken if price rejects 6.00 - 6.10, signaling resistance remains strong.

Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments (Step 5)

  • For longs, a stop-loss at 5.85 ensures risk management.
  • For shorts, stop-loss should be placed above 6.10, where a breakout would invalidate the bearish thesis.

Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation (Step 6)

  • A strong green candle above 6.00 would indicate a confirmed breakout.
  • If price turns red near 6.00, a rejection scenario could develop.

Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets (Step 7)

  • For longs, profit-taking could be set at 6.10 - 6.20, with potential for higher targets if momentum sustains.
  • For shorts, taking profits around 5.85 - 5.75 would be ideal.

Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks (Step 8)

  • A pullback to 5.85 with support confirmation could be a good buying opportunity.
  • A failed breakout at 6.00 could offer a short trade re-entry.

Tactical Position Management (Step 9)

  • For bullish trades, position sizing can be increased above 6.00 with confirmation.
  • For bearish trades, short exposure can be managed cautiously if resistance holds.

Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails (Step 10)

  • A counter-trend short position can only be justified if 6.00 - 6.10 rejection is clear.
  • Otherwise, the bullish trend remains intact, favoring long positions on dips.

Conclusion

The January 22, 2025, daily chart of RCR shows a potential breakout above 6.00, with strong bullish positioning above both moving averages.

  • A breakout beyond 6.00 with volume would confirm a bullish continuation.
  • If price fails at 6.00, expect a retracement to 5.85 - 5.88 for re-entry.
    Traders should monitor 6.00 closely for breakout confirmation.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

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