Showing posts with label ATI trade review. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ATI trade review. Show all posts

Friday, August 22, 2025

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Trade Simulation Evaluation: Weekly Chart as of August 22, 2025 (A.M. Session)

Trade Simulation Update #15 - August 20, 2025 (A.M. Session) | Bought 100 shares of ATI at ₱27 =  ₱2,700
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
TACTICAL ROTATION FUND | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE


ATI Weekly Chart as of August 22, 2025 showing pullback to ₱27 support near 8MA after prior rally.
Weekly candlestick chart of Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

Panimula: Mula Review, Ngayon Actual Trade

Noong August 15 review, ATI was consolidating above ₱27 support. Sabi natin, hintayin ang test buy sa ₱26–27 zone or breakout sa ₱29. Ngayon, tumama na ang plano—nakabili tayo ng 100 shares sa ₱27 as tactical base entry (Trade Simulation Update #15).

Pero eto ang tanong: matatag ba ang suporta sa ₱27 o baka false footing lang bago sumubsob sa ilalim ng MA8? Kaya’t sisilipin natin ulit kung paano nag-e-evolve ang setup at kung dapat ba nating dagdagan o bantayan muna ang hawak.

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Date: August 22, 2025 (A.M. Session)

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)

  • Exchange: PSE

  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)

  • Closing Price: ₱27.00

  • High: ₱27.80

  • Low: ₱27.00

  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱23.98

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱20.39

  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱16.44

  • 8-MA (Momentum): ₱26.74


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Trend remains bullish, price still above 200MA. Uptrend intact.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 2: Price Position & Value Zones
Currently hugging ₱27 support right above 8MA. This is healthy test support.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Red candle this week shows pressure. Volume still moderate, not panic-level.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Already entered at ₱27. Entry aligned with tactical plan, but no breakout yet.
➡ Verdict: BUY (executed)
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Stop remains at ₱25. Strong logical cut below MA20.
➡ Verdict: BUY with strict stop
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Candles may shift red near support. Must monitor if closes below ₱26.74.
➡ Verdict: WATCH CLOSELY
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Still valid resistance targets at ₱29–30.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
If pullback extends to ₱25–26, chance to re-enter.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Only 5% of capital deployed so far (₱2,700/₱50k). Still very light. Room to scale.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
No issue with Shariah compliance. Counter-trend entry not needed.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10

🧮 Total Score: 81/100
Slight improvement dahil actual test buy executed. Risk still manageable with light exposure.


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Para kang bumili ng tikim lang sa talipapa—isang kilo lang muna, para matest ang lasa. Ganoon din kay ATI: maliit lang ang hawak, habang sinusukat kung tunay na malasa paakyat o baka maging hilaw at bumagsak sa ilalim ng ₱25.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱26.50–₱27.00 (executed test buy)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Below ₱25.00
📌 Target Prices: ₱29.00, ₱30.00, ₱32.00
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add 200 shares if breakout above ₱29 confirmed with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Maintain light core, scale only on breakout


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱50,000 Allocation)

  • Layer 1: ₱26.80–₱27.20 | 100 shares (₱2,700) | Executed tactical buy

  • Layer 2: ₱25.80–₱26.20 | 200 shares (₱5,200) | Stronger support

  • Layer 3: ₱24.80–₱25.20 | 300 shares (₱7,500) | Deep pullback

  • Layer 4: ₱29.30–₱29.70 | 200 shares (₱5,900) | Breakout add

Total Committed (if complete): ₱21,300 (42% of capital)
Remaining Buffer: ₱28,700 (58%)


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

  • Exit 1: ₱28.80–₱29.20 | 100 shares (trim light gains)

  • Exit 2: ₱29.80–₱30.20 | 200 shares (lock partial profit)

  • Exit 3: ₱31.80–₱32.20 | 200 shares (major take-profit)

  • Exit 4: Hard Stop Zone: below ₱24.80 | Full exit


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (test buy confirmed)
Recommendation: Maintain light exposure, ₱27 test entry executed. Add only above ₱29 breakout.
Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱25.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim at ₱29–32.
Position Size Strategy: Start small, scale only on confirmed momentum.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Ito ang essence ng simulation—test first, commit later. ATI is now inside the playbook, pero maliit lang muna ang binigyan. Patience and discipline will define kung makakakuha tayo ng tamang biyahe pataas.


Trade Simulation Update #15 – August 22, 2025 (A.M. Session)

Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund
Allocation: ₱50,000
Active Position: 100 shares @ ₱27 = ₱2,700 (5% deployed)
Quick Hatol: Tamang tikim lang muna, hintayin ang breakout o mas malinaw na suporta bago dagdagan.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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