Panimula: Humina ang Buntong Hininga
Noong August 15, 2025, nakita natin ang ABA na nag-rebound mula ₱0.57 at nagsara sa ₱0.62, tila nakahinga ng malalim habang humahawak sa MA cluster.
Pero ngayong linggo (August 28, 2025), bumalik sa ₱0.57 close (-3.39%), hawak pa rin ang 20/50/8MA zone pero halatang humina ang momentum. Ang dating bounce ay naputol at napalitan ng konsolidasyon. Ang tanong ngayon: matibay pa ba ang suporta, o may tsansa nang bumigay pababa?
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
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Date: August 28, 2025
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Stock: Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
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Exchange: PSE
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Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
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Closing Price: ₱0.57
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High: ₱0.60
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Low: ₱0.57
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20-MA (Short-Term): ₱0.59
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50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱0.60
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200-MA (Long-Term): ₱1.30
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Price pulled back again, now under MA cluster. Sideways bias leaning weak.
➡ Verdict: Weakening recovery.
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo nasa ilalim ng 20/50MA (₱0.59–₱0.60), malapit sa swing lows. Value zone pero danger kung bumigay ₱0.55.
➡ Verdict: Near risk-reward pivot.
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Red candle (-3.39%) with lighter volume than prior rebound = lack of conviction.
➡ Verdict: Weak bar, bears not aggressive but bulls absent.
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Fundamentals + Technicals)
Shariah-compliant asset, undervalued book, pero technical trigger nawala.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for signal.
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy (Based on Thesis, Not Noise)
Stop-loss stays at ₱0.49. Breakdown risk increasing.
➡ Verdict: Still valid.
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Back to red candle = negates prior green reversal.
➡ Verdict: Trend validation failed this week.
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation & Growth Cycles
Upside targets (₱0.68–₱0.80) still valid pero delayed.
➡ Verdict: HOLD plan, wag magmadali.
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-hold ₱0.55–₱0.56, pwede tactical re-entry. Below ₱0.52 = danger zone.
➡ Verdict: Re-entry contingent on support hold.
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning
Currently 56% deployed. No adds until breakout or deep retest.
➡ Verdict: Position frozen for now.
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
Halal, non-speculative, still aligned.
➡ Verdict: Aligned sa prinsipyo.
✅ Score: 10/10
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Kung baga sa kapeng barako, tila nanghina ang apoy matapos ang unang kulo. Aba’y nagpapahinga muna ang takure, pero hindi pa sigurado kung muling sisigla ang init o mananatiling maligamgam na lang.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱0.52–₱0.54 support buy zone, breakout add above ₱0.66
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱0.49
📌 Target Prices: ₱0.68, ₱0.74, ₱0.80
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only if support holds with bounce confirmation
📌 Position Strategy: HOLD current shares, reserve cash for faster redeployment if support respected
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation | Executed Trades + Buffer Strategy)
Executed Layers (Locked-in):
Layer 1: ₱0.63 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,890
Layer 2: ₱0.66 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,980
ABA Trade Review – July 11, 2025 – Tactical Buy within Weekly Layer 1 Setup
Layer 3: ₱0.65 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,950
ABA Trade Review – July 11, 2025 – Tactical Buy within Weekly Layer 1 Setup
Layer 4: ₱0.56 | 20,000 shares | ₱11,200
Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Simulated Trade Review: Weekly Chart as of July 21, 2025
Total Executed: 29,000 shares | ₱17,020 deployed
Average Cost: ~₱0.587
Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱12,980 (43% of capital)
Supplementary Faster Deployment Options (if market provides opportunities):
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Layer 5 (Support Defense): ₱0.52–₱0.54 | up to 5,000 shares (~₱2,650)
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Layer 6 (Breakout Add): ₱0.66–₱0.68 | up to 5,000 shares (~₱3,350)
👉 Note: These layers are optional and only triggered if (a) support at ₱0.55 zone holds, or (b) a clean breakout above ₱0.66 confirms with volume.
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
Since 4 layers are already in, exit scaling is adjusted to reflect 29,000 base shares:
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Target 1: ₱0.67–₱0.69 → Sell 9,000 shares (lock-in scalp profits + lighten load near first resistance)
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Target 2: ₱0.73–₱0.75 → Sell 10,000 shares (mid-resistance take-profit)
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Target 3: ₱0.79–₱0.81 → Sell 5,000 shares (extension cycle target)
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Final Trail: Hold remaining 5,000 shares, trail with 8MA close
⚠️ Hard Stop: Exit all if breakdown below ₱0.49
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT
✅ Recommendation: HOLD current position; WAIT for bounce confirmation near ₱0.55–₱0.57 before adding.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop at ₱0.49.
✅ Profit Strategy: Same staged exits at ₱0.68–₱0.80.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Faster deployment only if support proves solid; otherwise preserve cash buffer.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Hindi lahat ng hinga ay susunod agad sa lakad. Minsan, kailangan din ng tahimik na pahinga para makabalik ng buo. Sa trading—gaya sa buhay—disiplina at hintay ang tunay na lakas.
📌 Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund
Allocation: ₱30,000
Active Position: 29,000 shares @ ₱0.587 average | ₱17,020 deployed
Quick Hatol: Aba’y humina ang galaw—magpahinga muna, bantayan ang ₱0.55 support.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment
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Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”
Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.
Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.
Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”
Capital Allocation: ₱400,000
Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strong, ethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses.
Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.
Objective: To generate passive income from a selection of halal-screened REITs and dividend-paying companies that pass ethical and Shariah filters.
Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.
Objective: To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.
Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.
Objective: To execute short- to mid-term tactical trades using ₱10,000 per board lot based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, with real money and real-time conviction—under the mindset of a Board Lot Warrior.
Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.
Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:
- 📉 Market patience
- 🤲 Giving opportunities
- ⚠️ Emergency trades
- 🛑 Delayed entry signals
- 💔 Life’s unplanned tests
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Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus VariantOptimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth
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