Showing posts with label Shariah-Compliant Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Shariah-Compliant Stocks. Show all posts

Thursday, August 21, 2025

DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) Trade Simulation Evaluation: Weekly Chart as of August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session)

Trade Simulation Update #13 - August 20, 2025 | Bought 1,000 shares of DDMPR at ₱1.05 = ₱1,050
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

DDMPR Weekly Chart as of August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session) showing tactical buy at ₱1.05 while price consolidates near 50-MA.
Weekly candlestick chart of DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) with moving averages, tactical buy at ₱1.05, and key support-resistance levels.

Panimula: Simula ng Pagsubok sa Gitna ng Tahimik na Dagat

Mga ka-Subok, noong August 15 review sinabi natin na tahimik lang si DDMPR sa ₱1.05, nakadikit sa 50-MA at nasa ilalim ng 8- at 20-MA. Ang hatol: maghintay muna ng malinaw na senyales.

Ngayon August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session), nagpasok tayo ng Trade Simulation Update #13 — bumili ng 1,000 shares sa ₱1.05 bilang tactical test buy. Hindi pa rin malinaw ang reversal, pero nagsimula na tayong sumubok habang nakasandal ang presyo sa base support.

Tanong: Magiging matibay kaya ang ₱1.05 bilang pundasyon ng bagong galaw, o malulunod pa rin sa ilalim ng ₱1.00?

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Date: August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session)
  • Stock: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
  • Closing Price: ₱1.05
  • High / Low: ₱1.06 / ₱1.04
  • Volume (9wk avg ref): ~6.12M (below prior review ~14M; mas mahina activity)
  • 8-MA: ₱1.06
  • 20-MA: ₱1.06
  • 50-MA: ₱1.05
  • 200-MA: ₱1.29

Ano ang nagbago mula August 15, 2025 review:

  • Price nanatili sa ₱1.05 pero nagkaroon ng execution ng tactical buy (1,000 shrs).
  • Volume mas mahina kumpara sa nakaraang linggo (6M vs 14M).
  • Presyo halos flat, pero hawak pa rin ng 50-MA support.
  • Consolidation intact; breakout levels (₱1.08–₱1.10) hindi pa rin nababasag.

2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Long-term downtrend pa rin; short-term neutral consolidation above 50-MA.
➡ Verdict: WAIT / SMALL TEST BUY OK
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 2: Price Position & Value Zones
Presyo nasa 50-MA ₱1.05, halos dikit sa 8- & 20-MA ₱1.06. Value zone test buy valid.
➡ Verdict: TACTICAL BUY VALIDATED
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
No power bar; volume mahina. Walang momentum edge.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR VOLUME
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation
Tactical buy executed sa ₱1.05; confirmation still requires close ≥₱1.10.
➡ Verdict: VALID INITIAL ENTRY, ADD ONLY ON BREAKOUT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy
Hard stop below ₱1.00 remains. Tighten <₱1.03.
➡ Verdict: STRICT STOPS REQUIRED
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals
Need strong green close above ₱1.08. Wala pa.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR SIGNAL
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking
Targets unchanged: ₱1.15 / ₱1.20 / ₱1.25.
➡ Verdict: EXIT INTO RESISTANCE
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans
Re-entry if support ₱1.02–₱1.04 holds with buyers.
➡ Verdict: ALLOW ONE RE-ENTRY IF DIP HOLDS
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning
Execution: 1,000 shares = ~₱1,050 (~3.5% allocation). Room for scaling later.
➡ Verdict: SMALL SIZE ONLY
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
Still Shariah-compliant; tactical entry valid under ethical rules.
➡ Verdict: OKAY UNDER ETHICAL RULES
✅ Score: 7/10

🧮 Total Score: 64/100
(Up from 60/100 on Aug 15 — dahil tactical buy executed at support; pero volume weak.)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Parang sumakay tayo sa bangka kahit mahina ang alon. Hindi pa ito biyahe papunta sa dagat, kundi pagsubok lang kung tatayo ba ang bangka sa tubig.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: Tactical buys ₱1.03–₱1.05; add only on confirmed breakout ≥₱1.10.
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Hard stop <₱1.00; tighten <₱1.03.
📌 Target Prices: ₱1.15 → ₱1.20 → ₱1.25 staged trims.
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add on breakout; trim 25–30% each target.
📌 Position Strategy: Small size now; moderate scaling later.


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation)

  • Layer 1 – Executed Buy: ₱1.05 | 1,000 shares | ₱1,050 (done Aug 20)

  • Layer 2 – Support Probe: ₱1.03–₱1.04 | 1,000 shares | ~₱1,090

  • Layer 3 – Deep Support Contingency: ₱1.01–₱1.02 | 1,000 shares | ~₱1,070

  • Layer 4 – Confirmation Add: ₱1.09–₱1.11 | 1,000 shares | ~₱1,120

  • Layer 5 – Breakout Add: ₱1.14–₱1.16 | 1,000 shares | ~₱1,160

Planned Capital Used: ~₱5,500–₱5,600 (≈19% of ₱30k)
Remaining Cash: ~₱24,400 (expansion ammo).


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

  • Stage 1 – ₱1.14–₱1.16: Exit 25–30%

  • Stage 2 – ₱1.19–₱1.21: Exit 25–30%

  • Stage 3 – ₱1.24–₱1.26: Exit 25–30%

  • Stage 4 – Runner: Retain 10–15% if >₱1.20 sustained; else close.

🛑 Hard Stop: Weekly close <₱1.00.


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (Tactical Test Position)

Recommendation: Tactical buy executed at ₱1.05; add only if breakout ≥₱1.10 confirmed.
Risk Management: Hard stop <₱1.00; tighten <₱1.03.
Profit Strategy: Trim at ₱1.15 / ₱1.20 / ₱1.25.
Position Size Strategy: Small size (1,000 shrs) for now; expand only on confirmation.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Minsan kailangan ng maliit na hakbang para masukat ang tubig. Hindi ito full commitment, kundi pagsubok na may kasamang disiplina at sabr. Ang tunay na tagumpay ay nasa paghihintay ng tamang alon.


Trade Simulation Update #13 – August 20, 2025 (P.M. Session)

Portfolio: SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO
Allocation Now: Small tactical exposure only (max 5,000 shares).
Active Position: Bought 1,000 shares @ ₱1.05 = ₱1,050.
Quick Hatol: Sideways-soft; hawak ang tactical lot, hintay ng ₱1.10 breakout confirmation bago dagdag.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Thursday, July 24, 2025

Halal Core Growth Portfolio — Subok ng Puso Series #3

Micro Stock Trader Blog | ₱400,000 Allocation | Long-Term Halal Growth Picks

Banner image titled “Halal Core Growth Portfolio — Subok ng Puso Series #3” featuring logos of MONDE, URC, and WILCON with a tagline “Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” and a mosque icon on a beige background.
Series #3 of the Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy series featuring the ₱400,000 Halal Core Growth Portfolio allocation to MONDE, URC, and WLCON.

📅 Petsa ng Paglalathala: July 24, 2025
🪙 Series #3 of 7 | Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

📌 Objective:

This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strong, ethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses. Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.


🔎 Stock Selection

After careful filtering based on ethical screens, Shariah compliance considerations, and growth prospects, we handpicked the following:

🥣 MONDE (Monde Nissin Corporation) — ₱150,000

A global leader in halal-certified food products like Lucky Me!, SkyFlakes, and Quorn. With an expanding international footprint and consistent brand strength, MONDE fits perfectly in a long-term, halal-oriented core portfolio. 📦✅

3️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan (₱150,000 Capital | 1 Board Lot = 100 Shares)

Ang goal natin: gradual, risk-managed buildup habang hinihintay ang full breakout confirmation. Hati-hati ang allocation para maka-react kung bumagsak o umakyat ang presyo.

Layer 1 – Tactical Watchlist Entry
🔹 Buy 400 shares @ ₱7.90 = ₱3,160
🔹 Rationale: Test positioning habang di pa kumpirmado ang breakout
🔹 Allocation: ₱6,000 (4% of total capital)

Layer 2 – Breakout Confirmation Entry
🔹 Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱8.50 = ₱8,500
🔹 Rationale: Confirmed breakout above resistance, enter with stronger conviction
🔹 Allocation: ₱17,000 (11.3%)

Layer 3 – Retest Support Entry
🔹 Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱7.50 = ₱7,500
🔹 Rationale: Bounce confirmation sa dating resistance na naging support
🔹 Allocation: ₱15,000 (10%)

Layer 4 – Reversal Confirmation Zone
🔹 Buy 1,200 shares @ ₱7.20 = ₱8,640
🔹 Rationale: Higher low formation, conviction signal
🔹 Allocation: ₱18,000 (12%)

Layer 5 – Full Breakout Scaling
🔹 Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱8.90 = ₱17,800
🔹 Rationale: Sustained breakout move above ₱8.80
🔹 Allocation: ₱20,000 (13.3%)

Layer 6 – Pullback Opportunity Post-Breakout
🔹 Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱8.00 = ₱16,000
🔹 Rationale: Market dips back to breakout zone
🔹 Allocation: ₱16,000 (10.7%)

Layer 7 – Dip Buying Zone (Undervalued Opportunity)
🔹 Buy 2,500 shares @ ₱6.90 = ₱17,250
🔹 Rationale: Last-chance buying if price drops to strong support
🔹 Allocation: ₱17,250 (11.5%)

Remaining Capital Buffer
🔹 ₱32,290 reserved for future re-entries, capital protection, or other opportunities
🔹 Equivalent to ~21.5% of total capital

📌 Total Committed Capital: ₱117,710
📌 Remaining Cash: ₱32,290


4️⃣ Phased Exit Plan (Target-Based Profit-Taking)

Target 1 – Partial Exit
🔹 Sell 2,000 shares @ ₱8.80 = ₱17,600
🔹 Rationale: First resistance level, secure partial profit
🔹 % Exit: 20% of total shares accumulated

Target 2 – Major Partial Exit
🔹 Sell 3,000 shares @ ₱9.80 = ₱29,400
🔹 Rationale: Second resistance zone hit
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Target 3 – Full Exit Zone
🔹 Sell 3,000 shares @ ₱10.90 = ₱32,700
🔹 Rationale: Strong resistance and long-term recovery target
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Remaining 20% – Optional Long-Term Hold
🔹 Hold remaining 2,000 shares if momentum continues above ₱11.00
🔹 Rationale: For potential extended trend move or dividend participation


Summary Notes

Upgraded for ₱150,000 Capital
Flexible Scaling Plan – May tactical, breakout, retest, at pullback layers
Phased Exit Strategy – Targets set around ₱8.80, ₱9.80, and ₱10.90
Buffer Kept Intact – Cash reserve maintained for agility at 21.5%

Final Note from Ang inyong Batangueñong Retail Trader
Bilang mga ethical long-term traders, hindi lang tayo basta bumibili sa hype. We observe, validate, and then position with purpose. Ang MONDE ay posibleng nasa yugto ng muling pagbangon—pero ‘wag nating pangunahan ang galaw. Sundan ang plano, respetuhin ang risk, at lagi tayong maghanda kung sakaling di umayon ang trend sa inaasahan.


🍬 URC (Universal Robina Corporation) — ₱150,000

While not 100% halal-certified, URC remains primarily in food and beverage manufacturing, and most of its revenue sources do not violate Shariah principles. We apply a level of ijtihad here—considering its low haram exposure and potential to be an ethical long-term play. 💹💼

💸 Upgraded Layered Accumulation Plan (₱150,000.00 Capital)

Gagamitin natin ang Layered Accumulation Strategy para mas maingat pero flexible tayong makaposisyon habang sumusulong ang trend. Sa ganitong halaga, puwede tayong kumuha ng hanggang 5 layers at maglaro sa kombinasyon ng test buys, breakout adds, at confirmation re-entries.

Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
₱94.00
Already executed for 1,000 shares = ₱94,000 allocation
(Initial Buy - 62.7% of total capital. Aggressive dahil may volume confluence at MA breakout.)

Layer 2 – Add on Pullback or Base Formation
📌 ₱90.00–₱91.00
Possible re-entry kung bumalik at mag-hold sa MA8 or prior support
Position: 1,000 shares (₱90K–₱91K)
Allocation: ~20–25%
Note: Monitor candles – dapat may consolidation confirmation.

Layer 3 – Breakout Momentum Add-on
📌 ₱96.00–₱98.00
Add kapag may follow-through at clear breakout from short-term base
Position: 1,000 shares (₱96K–₱98K)
Allocation: up to 20%
Reminder: Wag habulin ang biglang sipa – antayin ang volume confirmation.

Layer 4 – Recovery Continuation Confirm Add-on
📌 ₱100.00–₱102.00
Position: 1,000 shares (₱100K–₱102K)
Add kapag clear na ang trend and above key short-term resistance
Use only if may solid base + continuation candle

Layer 5 – Mini-Base Re-Entry (Optional)
📌 ₱92.00–₱93.00, if nag-range ulit after initial breakout
Position: 1,000 shares (₱92K–₱93K)
Optional allocation: ~10%
Use as tactical re-entry if nag-flatline sa taas ng ₱90 without reversal.


🎯 Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

Ang kita ay hindi lang sinasalo—pinaplano. Here’s our exit roadmap para hindi maging emosyonal ang trade at masunod ang ating objective-based selling:

🎯 Target 1 – Partial Trim
📌 ₱106.00
Reason: First major resistance + round number + favorable risk-reward
Exit 30% of total position here

🎯 Target 2 – Major Partial Exit
📌 ₱115.00
Reason: Near long-term fib/valuation ceiling + key psych resistance
Exit 40% of position

🎯 Target 3 – Final Exit / Review Zone
📌 ₱123.00–₱125.00
Optional full exit or trailing strategy
Monitor price behavior at this level; trail stop if trend remains strong


✅ Final Tactical Portfolio Allocation Strategy – ₱150,000.00 Plan Summary

  • Initial Buy Executed: ₱94 x 1,000 = ₱94,000

  • Remaining Capital for Adds: ₱56,000 (for 1–2 more board lots)

  • Plan:

    • Add 1 lot near ₱90 pullback

    • Add 1 lot on ₱96–₱98 breakout

    • Optional 1 lot if price confirms ₱100 continuation

  • Exit Plan:

    • Trim at ₱106

    • Major profit at ₱115

    • Final hold-or-sell review at ₱123–₱125


💡 Reminder from Your Batangueñong Trader:
Sa disiplina ng layering at tamang exit, hindi natin kailangang habulin ang merkado. Sa halip, tayo ang pipili ng eksaktong pagkakataon—may plano, may saysay.

🛠️ WLCON (Wilcon Depot Inc.) — ₱100,000

Retail and construction supply chain na walang bahid ng haram. Wilcon's expanding network and growing demand for home improvement make it a clean, halal-aligned growth story. A low-drama stock with compounding potential. 🏗️🧱


✅ Rationale

Bakit sila?

✔️ Consumer resilience: Lahat sila ay may strong consumer demand, kahit sa panahon ng inflation o crisis.
✔️ Halal-aligned operations: Walang direct exposure sa interest-based finance, liquor, gambling, or pork.
✔️ Brand-driven compounders: Habang tumatagal, lumalalim ang moat.
✔️ Stable financials: Consistent earnings, strong balance sheets, and ethical operations.

Ito ang mga kumpanyang pwedeng paglaanan ng loob at panahon, hindi lang ng pera.


💰 Suggested Capital Allocation

🟢 MONDE – ₱150,000
🟢 URC – ₱150,000
🟢 WLCON – ₱100,000

We opted for a slightly higher weight on MONDE and URC due to their larger scale, deeper moats, and higher long-term potential, while WLCON plays the role of a niche compounder with a cleaner, retail-centric business.


🌱 Final Reflection

Sa dulo, hindi lang basta tanong kung kikita ba ang stock. Ang tanong din ay:

“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang pagkakakitaan ko, sa harap ng sarili ko, at sa harap ni Allah ﷻ?”

This Halal Core Growth Portfolio is our humble answer to that question.
It’s an attempt to build wealth that isn’t just strategic—but also responsible, intentional, and clean in source.

Because in the end…

"Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy."

📌 Next in the Series:
Series #4 — SHARIAH-COMPLIANT DIVIDEND / REIT PORTFOLIO
Stay tuned as we explore the power of passive halal income through dividends and REITs.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


✅ Subok ng Puso Series Recap — Tap to Explore the Whole Journey

🎯 7-Part Portfolio Series of a Muslim Retail Stock Trader. Combining Disciplined Strategy with Deep Conviction.

📌 Complete Line-Up:

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Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Petron Corporation (PCOR) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 16, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Weekly chart of Petron Corporation (PCOR) showing price action, volume, and moving averages as of July 16, 2025
PCOR Weekly Chart as of July 16, 2025 with Moving Averages

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 board lot = 1000 shares)
  • Phased Exit Plan (Target-Based Selling)

Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


I. Panimula

Ngayong linggo, sisilipin natin ang galaw ng Petron Corporation (PCOR) — isa sa mga kilalang oil refining and marketing companies sa bansa. Sa harap ng patuloy na global energy volatility at local fuel pricing adjustments, tanong ng marami: panahon na ba para pumasok sa PCOR?

📌 TRADE DETAILS:

  • Date: July 16, 2025

  • Stock: Petron Corporation (PCOR)

  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)

  • Timeframe: Weekly

  • Closing Price: ₱2.50

  • High: ₱2.51

  • Low: ₱2.40

  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱2.42

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱2.46

  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱2.99

Gagamitin natin ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant para masuri kung may magandang oportunidad ba sa PCOR ngayon.
🔗 Basahin ang strategy guide dito


II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy


✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Ang presyo ng PCOR ay nasa ilalim pa rin ng 200-MA (₱2.99), indikasyon na ito’y nasa long-term downtrend. Pero kapansin-pansin na ito ay naglalaro sa gitna ng 20 at 50-MA, na parehong nagkukrus, patunay ng tight consolidation o possible early accumulation.

Verdict: Wait/Observe – May early signs pero kailangan ng follow-through.


✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

Ang kasalukuyang presyo ay malayo pa sa 200-MA (bearish), ngunit malapit sa 20-MA at 50-MA, na nagiging retracement band ng mga nakaraang rally. Potential entry zone ito kung mag-hold above ₱2.40.

Verdict: Begin Layer 1 Accumulation Below ₱2.50


✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

May mga recent green bars with decent volume sa ₱2.40–₱2.50 zone, pero wala pang matibay na power breakout bar. May mid-volume activity, ngunit hindi pa malinaw kung may institutional accumulation.

Verdict: Tactical Buy with Caution


✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

Wala pang confirmed breakout above ₱2.60, ngunit dahil ang presyo ay stable sa base band (₱2.40–₱2.50), maaaring subukan ang Layer 1 entry.

Verdict: Test Buy Layer 1 at ₱2.44–₱2.50


✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

Initial stop loss sa ilalim ng base support: ₱2.35, na dating low ng mga rejection bars.

Verdict: Use hard stop at ₱2.35


✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

Wala pang strong color shift (green dominance), pero halos 3 weeks na rin na mas marami ang green kaysa red. Early bias shifting, pero hindi pa conclusive.

Verdict: Monitor for green follow-through


✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

Kung makalampas sa ₱2.60–₱2.70, pwedeng targetin ang ₱2.85 hanggang ₱3.00 na previous consolidation area.

Verdict: Partial take profit sa ₱2.85, next sa ₱2.99


✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

Kung bumaba sa ₱2.40 pero mag-hold, puwedeng magdagdag ng Layer 2. Stop loss laging tight.

Verdict: Re-enter only sa ₱2.35 support hold with confirmation


✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

Core Entry: 1 board lot (₱2,500)
Next Layer: 1 board lot per layer only pag may signal
Total capital: ₱10,000 = max 4 entries

Verdict: Use tactical size now, core size sa confirmed trend


✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

PCOR is Shariah-compliant (based on Dec 2024 list). Kaya puwedeng isali sa Budget Ethical Account.

Verdict: Eligible for ethical tactical buy


III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY (Layer 1 Tactical Entry)

Recommendation: Buy 1,000 shares at ₱2.44–₱2.50 habang nasa base support with early signs of accumulation.
Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱2.35 to limit downside.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exits sa ₱2.85, full exit sa ₱2.99.
Position Size Strategy: Start with 1 board lot, add kung mag-break above ₱2.60 with strong volume.


IV. 🔄 Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Pag Tumama:
– Add Layer 2 sa breakout ng ₱2.60
– Protect profit sa ₱2.85
– Adjust stop to breakeven pag lampas ₱2.70

🔹 Pag Sumablay:
– Exit below ₱2.35
– Maghintay ng panibagong base formation

🚨 Tandaan: Early signs pa lang ito. Hindi pa full reversal. Kailangan ng disiplina at tamang entry.


V. 📚 Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 Board Lot = 1000 Shares)

Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
🔸 Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱2.44–₱2.50 = ~₱2,500

Layer 2 – Support Rebound
🔸 Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱2.35 = ₱2,350

Layer 3 – Confirmed Breakout
🔸 Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱2.60 = ₱2,600

Layer 4 – Pullback After Breakout
🔸 Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱2.50 if breakout holds = ₱2,500

Total Capital Plan: ~₱10,000
Maximum Shares: 4,000
Average Price (if all layers filled): ~₱2.47


VI. 🎯 Phased Exit Plan (Target-Based Selling)

Target 1 – Minor Resistance
🔹 ₱2.85 → Sell 1,000 shares

Target 2 – 200-MA Test
🔹 ₱2.99 → Sell another 1,000 shares

Target 3 – Full Exit if Overbought
🔹 ₱3.20 → Sell remaining position


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
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Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | URC Stock Price Review

URC weekly price chart with 20-MA, 50-MA, and 200-MA trend overlays as of July 15, 2025
URC Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 showing bullish recovery phase above short- and mid-term moving averages

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan
  • Final Stock Recommendation



Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


I. Panimula

Ang Universal Robina Corporation (URC) ay isa sa mga top consumer staples sa PSE, kilala sa mga produkto tulad ng C2, Great Taste, at Piattos. Isa itong defensive stock na madalas binabantayan ng mga ethical investors lalo na kung naghahanap ng solid blue-chip plays sa long-term.

TRADE DETAILS:
📅 Date: July 15, 2025
📈 Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
🏛️ Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
🕰️ Timeframe: Weekly
💰 Closing Price: ₱97.30
📌 High: ₱99.40
📌 Low: ₱96.40
📉 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱82.51
📉 50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱83.80
📉 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱112.78

Ang pagsusuri ay base sa Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant na ginagamit dito sa Micro Stock Trader. Tignan natin kung puwede na bang sumabak o antay-antay pa.


II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
URC ay kasalukuyang nasa uptrend recovery phase. May higher lows and higher highs since March 2025. Pero long-term ay bearish pa rin dahil nasa ilalim pa ng 200-MA.
Verdict: HOLD / WATCHLIST – Healthy uptrend pero hindi pa long-term reversal.

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo ay nasa itaas ng 20-MA at 50-MA — bullish sign sa short-to-mid term. Malayo pa sa 200-MA. Nasa mid-recovery zone.
Verdict: WAIT for Better Entry o Accumulate on Retracement.

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Sunud-sunod ang green candles, may magandang momentum. Pero wala pa tayong strong breakout with high volume.
Verdict: HOLD – Hintay ng mas malakas na confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Kung mag-hold ang ₱90–₱92 zone at may price rejection sa baba, magandang pasok yun for tactical long.
Verdict: ACCUMULATE on Dip (₱90–₱92) or BUY on Breakout (>₱100).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Set stop-loss below ₱82, kung saan nandoon ang swing low at malapit sa 20-MA.
Verdict: Stop-Loss = ₱82.00

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Wala pang bearish reversal candle. Tuloy ang bullish momentum.
Verdict: HOLD – Tuloy ang short-term trend.

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Mga dating resistance sa ₱105, ₱110, at ₱115 ay magandang target for partial exits.
Verdict: PLAN partial exits sa key zones.

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kapag bumalik sa ₱88–₱90 range pero nag-hold, magandang re-entry setup.
Verdict: RE-ENTER on Healthy Pullbacks.

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Sa ₱10,000 capital, puwede na ang tactical at core entries — either staged entry on dips o full entry on breakout.
Verdict: Use tactical entry sa retracement, add core on confirmation.

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Wala pa tayong matatawag na panic drop o gap-down below 200-MA na puwedeng i-trade as counter-trend.
Verdict: Not applicable sa ngayon.


III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Recommendation: ACCUMULATE ON DIP around ₱90–₱92 zone.
🚫 Avoid chasing above ₱100 unless may confirmed breakout with volume.
📊 Shariah-compliant stock – good for ethical investing accounts.


IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Kung Tumama (Breaks above ₱100 with volume):

  • Add core position

  • Set target exits: ₱105, ₱110, ₱115

🔹 Kung Sumablay (Breakdown below ₱82):

  • Cut loss agad

  • Re-evaluate sa lower support (₱75 area)


V. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 Board Lot = 100 Shares)

Layer 1 – Tactical Entry
📌 100 shares @ ₱92 = ₱9,200
🎯 Entry zone: Retracement sa confluence ng 20-MA at 50-MA
🛑 Stop-loss: ₱82
🔁 Buffer: ₱800 for re-entry o breakout add

Layer 2 – Core Entry (if may breakout)
📌 100 shares @ ₱100 = ₱10,000
🎯 Entry only on confirmed breakout with volume above ₱100
🛑 Stop-loss: ₱94 or ₱92 depending on candle structure

Layer 3 – Add on Strong Dip
📌 Add another 100 shares @ ₱88 if bumaba pero nag-hold
Optional depende sa price behavior at volatility


VI. Phased Exit Plan

  1. Partial Exit 1: ₱105 → Take 50%

  2. Partial Exit 2: ₱110 → Take 30%

  3. Final Exit: ₱115+ → Take remaining 20%

➡ Use trailing stop kung umabot beyond ₱115 with momentum.


VII. Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / ACCUMULATE on DIP

Recommendation: Accumulate at ₱90–₱92 support zone
Risk Management: Set hard stop-loss below ₱82
Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits sa ₱105–₱115
Position Size Strategy: Start with tactical entry, scale on breakout confirmation


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.


Sa totoo lang, sa bawat higop ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na nagluluto ng lugaw tuwing masama ang pakiramdam mo. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

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