Contents:
Introduction
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Final Stock Recommendation
Next Steps
Introduction
Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) has been one of the most actively traded stocks on the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE), attracting both retail and institutional traders. Given the recent price movement and volume surge, it is crucial to assess whether MONDE presents a buying opportunity or if caution is warranted.
TRADE DETAILS
Date: February 12, 2025
Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily
Closing Price: 8.00
High: 8.05
Low: 7.79
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.22
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.61
Pullback Under Consideration
Start of Power Move: January 2, 2025
Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 8.60
End of Power Move: January 31, 2025
End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 6.65
Power Move Trend: Bearish
Power Move Sweet Spot: 7.72 - 8.11
Market Price To Date: 8.00
Pullback Level To Date: 69%
Volume Analysis (as of February 12, 2025)
Closing Volume: 17.76M
65-day volume average: 6.80M
30-day volume average: 9.00M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.8 volume average): 12.25M
This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether MONDE is a Buy, Sell, or Hold opportunity.
MONDE Stock price chart displaying key technical indicators, including moving averages, volume trends, and price action patterns as of February 12, 2025.
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
MONDE is in a downtrend phase with a bearish power move recorded from January 2, 2025 (8.60) to January 31, 2025 (6.65).
The price is below the 200-day MA (9.61), indicating a bearish long-term trend.
The stock is trading above the 20-day MA (7.22), suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal)
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
The price is currently within the Power Move Sweet Spot (7.72 - 8.11).
At 69% pullback, it is near the upper retracement zone, which typically signals a resistance level.
Verdict: Hold/Wait (Confirm breakout above 8.11 for long positions)
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Closing volume (17.76M) exceeds the breakout target volume (12.25M), signaling strong buyer interest.
Multiple green power bars indicate positive momentum.
Verdict: Buy (Breakout confirmation present)
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
The stock is attempting a breakout above the Power Move Sweet Spot (8.11).
A clean move above 8.11 with volume will confirm an entry signal.
Verdict: Buy if price clears 8.11 with strong volume
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
Stop-loss below 7.72 (lower end of the sweet spot) to minimize downside risk.
Verdict: Buy with stop-loss below 7.72
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
No major bearish reversal signals yet.
If price breaks 8.11, bullish confirmation strengthens.
Verdict: Buy if momentum sustains
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
Short-term target: 8.60 (previous resistance)
Mid-range target: 9.00 (psychological level)
Verdict: Buy with profit targets at 8.60 and 9.00
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
Pullback buy zone: 7.72 - 8.11
Verdict: Re-enter on pullbacks within sweet spot if volume holds
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Core Position: Enter at 8.11 with 50% allocation.
Tactical Entry: Additional 10% position above 8.60 breakout.
Verdict: Gradual position scaling
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Since the 200-MA is far above (9.61), MONDE is still in a long-term downtrend.
Counter-trend trades should only be considered if it breaks 9.00 with strong momentum.
Verdict: Caution on long-term positions
Final Stock Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Conditions)
✅ Recommendation: Buy at 8.11 if volume sustains and price confirms breakout.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 7.72 to minimize downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target 8.60, mid-range target 9.00.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Enter with 50% core position, scale up on strength.
Next Steps
🔹 Short-term traders → Watch for breakout confirmation above 8.11 before entering.
🔹 Long-term investors → Only enter if price clears 9.00 with strong volume.
🔹 Existing holders → Consider holding but set stop-loss below 7.72 for risk control.
🚨 Final Thought: The market remains in a bearish trend long-term, so caution is necessary. Wait for confirmation above 8.11 before executing a buy.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Related Readings
- Micro Stock Trader: Comparing the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy vs. Retracement Trading Strategy
- Micro Stock Trader Portfolio Tracker Page
