Micro Stock Trader: Petron Corporation (PCOR) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart – July 31, 2025 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0

Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | Ethical Turnaround Picks Portfolio
1 board lot = 1,000 shares | Trading Simulation Allocation: ₱75,000

Weekly candlestick chart of Petron Corporation (PCOR) with 8/20/50/200 MA lines and technical support at ₱2.35

PCOR Weekly Chart as of July 31, 2025 – Petron Corporation trading just above its 8, 20, and 50-week moving averages, with visible price stabilization near ₱2.45–2.50 support. The 200-week MA remains a major resistance at ₱2.99, suggesting a potential turnaround setup but still within a broader downtrend context.

🕊️ Introduction: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose

Ang Petron Corporation (PCOR) ay matagal na nating binabantayan. Isa itong Shariah-compliant turnaround stock na napapanahon lalo’t may tensyon sa global oil markets. Sa pamamagitan ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, susuriin natin ang viability ng Layer 1 Tactical Entry na ginawa natin noong July 17, 2025 at kung paano ito tumutugma sa ating mas malawak na ethical trading framework.

📘 Contents

Weekly Chart Snapshot
Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation
Layered Accumulation Plan
Phased Exit Plan
Final Trade Recommendation
Final Reflection

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

Date: July 31, 2025
Stock: Petron Corporation (PCOR)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱2.49
High: ₱2.52
Low: ₱2.45
20-MA: ₱2.42
50-MA: ₱2.46
200-MA: ₱2.99

2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
(Score each step 1–10 | Total: 100 points)

Identify Market State & Trend Context
Sideways pa rin ang overall structure. Early signs ng bottom stabilization, pero wala pang upward breakout.
➡️ Verdict: Wait for Confirmation
✅ Score: 8 / 10
Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Trading just above MA20, MA50, and MA8—pero malayo pa sa 200-MA. Entry price medyo mataas sa ideal retracement zone.
➡️ Verdict: Caution on Entry
❌ Score: 5 / 10
Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Weak bullish follow-through; volume still below average.
➡️ Verdict: Wait
❌ Score: 4 / 10
Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
No strong catalyst aside from geopolitical speculation. Technically below MA50 resistance zone.
➡️ Verdict: Cautious Tactical Buy
❌ Score: 4 / 10
Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Well-defined invalidation below ₱2.35. Controlled risk exposure.
➡️ Verdict: Valid Setup
✅ Score: 10 / 10
Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Flat trendlines; no green signal above MA50 or strong crossover.
➡️ Verdict: No Trend Confirmation Yet
❌ Score: 3 / 10
Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Logical target zones at ₱2.70 to ₱2.85.
➡️ Verdict: Reasonable Risk-Reward
✅ Score: 9 / 10
Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Tactical buy zone sa ₱2.35–2.40 if bumalik.
➡️ Verdict: Ready for Re-Entry
✅ Score: 9 / 10
Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Small Layer 1 entry; test-buy level only.
➡️ Verdict: Good Risk Management
✅ Score: 10 / 10
Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
PCOR is Shariah-compliant. Setup aligns with ethical and tactical filters.
➡️ Verdict: Allowed and Monitored
✅ Score: 8 / 10

🧮 Total Score: 70 / 100

3️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan (₱75,000 Capital Example | 1 Board Lot = 1,000 Shares)

Layer 1 (Base Buy Zone): ₱2.50 (Executed July 17, 2025 | 10,000 shares)
Layer 2 (Support Re-entry Zone): ₱2.35
Layer 3 (Momentum Add-on): ₱2.55 (Only if breakout above MA50 with volume)

4️⃣ Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

Target 1: ₱2.70 – Partial Trim (30%)
Target 2: ₱2.85 – Major Exit (50%)
Target 3: ₱3.00 – Final Exit / Thesis Review (20%)

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

✅ Recommendation: Tactical buy at ₱2.48–2.52 range based on early support stabilization and defined invalidation.
✅ Risk Management: Place stop-loss below ₱2.35.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: ₱2.70, ₱2.85, and ₱3.00 for phased exits.
✅ Position Strategy: Small test-buy only. Add only upon volume-backed breakout.

🌱 Final Reflection: Trade with Purpose

Hindi lahat ng galaw kailangang saluhan agad. Pero kung may malinaw na base, may control sa risk, at swak sa prinsipyo, puwede tayong sumubok—ng may pag-iingat.

Ang tunay na lakas ng isang trader ay hindi sa tapang ng pasok, kundi sa disiplina ng paglabas.

📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | July 17, 2025

Portfolio: Ethical Turnaround Picks
Capital Allocation: ₱75,000
Trade Simulation #6
Shares: 10,000
Entry Price: ₱2.50
Position Value: ₱25,000
Note: Simulated trade. No transaction costs included.
PCOR Trade Review – July 17, 2025 – Weekly Layer 1 – Hybrid Strategy

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.