Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Friday Execution Playbook: Paano Mag-trade ng ABA sa Judgement Day

Board Lot Warrior › Jimmy Series Portfolio › Validation Friday Playbook

Digital illustration of a man in deep thought at his desk, analyzing candlestick stock charts on a computer screen, symbolizing decision-making in trading.
A thoughtful trader studies candlestick charts on his monitor, reflecting on a possible breakout decision during Validation Friday. | Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE.

Kapag Friday, hindi lang basta pagtatapos ng linggo ang usapan — ito ang Validation Friday ng weekly trend. Para sa mga Jimmy Series trades tulad ng ABA, malaking bagay ang Friday close dahil dito malalaman kung totoo ba ang bounce, sustainable ba ang support, o flush up/down lang ang galaw. Ang tanong: kung Friday na, pwede pa bang magdagdag bago sumara ang market? Oo, pwede — pero may malinaw na rules. Sa blog post na ito, gagamitin natin ang ABA (Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc.) bilang halimbawa para ilatag ang Friday Execution Playbook: ano ang scenarios na dapat bantayan, anong action ang dapat gawin, at paano i-balanse ang daily execution at weekly validation para maiwasan ang maling hakbang sa huling segundo ng linggo.

Nilalaman

1️⃣ Bakit Espesyal ang Validation Friday Close
2️⃣ Daily vs Weekly: Magkaibang Papel, Magkasabay sa Friday
3️⃣ Mga Possible Scenarios sa Validation Friday Close (ABA Example)
4️⃣ Friday Execution Rules
5️⃣ Practical Tips sa Run-Off Trading
6️⃣ Closing Reflection

1️⃣ Bakit Espesyal ang Validation Friday Close

Sa trading, hindi lahat ng araw pantay ang bigat. Ang Friday ang “arbiter” ng linggo. Kahit mukhang breakout ang galaw noong Lunes o Martes, kung hindi makuha ang tamang close sa Biyernes, fake move lang iyon. Kaya ang Validation Friday close ang tunay na hatol kung tatanggapin ng market ang setup o hindi.

2️⃣ Daily vs Weekly: Magkaibang Papel, Magkasabay sa Friday

  • Daily Execution: Ginagamit para mag-layer ng positions (entry/exit) gamit ang 50D-MA volume benchmarks (4.5M = strong, 9M = super strong). Valid agad kahit intraday.

  • Weekly Validation: Final judge kung sustainable ang support o breakout, gamit ang 50W-MA benchmarks (19M = strong, 38M = super strong). Valid lang sa Friday close.
    📌 Kapag Validation Friday, parehong gumagana ang dalawa. Kaya puwedeng mag-execute at mag-validate sa parehong araw.

3️⃣ Mga Possible Scenarios sa Validation Friday Close (ABA Example)

Scenario A – Support Holds with Strong Weekly Volume

  • Close ≥ ₱0.51–₱0.52 + Weekly volume ≥19M
    👉 Action: Add (Layer 2) valid.

Scenario B – Support Holds pero Weak Volume

  • Close ≥ ₱0.51 + Weekly volume <19M
    👉 Action: Hold lang, huwag mag-add.

Scenario C – Breakdown with Strong Volume

  • Close < ₱0.50 + Weekly volume ≥19M
    👉 Action: Immediate cut, thesis violated.

Scenario D – Breakdown pero Weak Volume

  • Close < ₱0.50 + Weekly volume <19M
    👉 Action: Delayed cut, observe up to 2 weeks.

Scenario E – Breakout Above ₱0.57–₱0.60

  • Close ≥ ₱0.60 + Weekly volume ≥19M
    👉 Action: Trigger Layer 4 add.

Scenario F – Breakout Wick (Flush Up)

  • Intraday breakout pero close <₱0.60 + Weak volume
    👉 Action: Skip add, treat as flush up.

4️⃣ Friday Execution Rules

  • ✅ Pwede mag-add hanggang closing bell or run-off, basta pasok sa daily trigger + weekly confirmation.

  • ✅ Pwede mag-cut sa Validation Friday kung breakdown confirmed by volume.

  • ⚠️ Kung walang conviction volume (daily <4.5M, weekly <19M) → wag gumalaw, hold lang.

  • ⚠️ Laging unahin ang thesis stop (₱0.50/₱0.49 zone) kaysa sa intraday noise.

5️⃣ Practical Tips sa Run-Off Trading

  • Bantayan ang closing auction volume — madalas dito lumalabas ang tunay na institutional intent.

  • Kung biglang may spike at lumampas sa strong volume threshold → valid add kahit last 5 minutes.

  • Kung mahina volume kahit may breakout wick → iwas, baka flush up.

6️⃣ Closing Reflection

Ang Validation Friday ay parang huling barako sa isang linggo ng mahabang trabaho. Doon malalaman kung sulit ba ang hinintay o kung bitin lang pala. Sa ABA, pwede kang magdagdag hanggang sa huling segundo, pero may kundisyon: dapat may kasamang sigaw ng volume at kumpirmadong suporta o breakout. Kung wala, wag ipilit. Sa trading — tulad ng sa buhay — minsan ang pinakamalakas na desisyon ay ang pagpili ng hindi gagalaw.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment


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Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

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Ang “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” ay nagsimula sa isang tanong: “Kung biglang dumating ang isang milyong piso, susunod pa rin ba ang puso sa plano?” Mula sa biglaang biyaya, isinilang ang isang serye na hindi lang tungkol sa pag-invest—kundi sa pagsubok ng puso gamit ang disiplina ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy para sa long-term at halal-conscious na trading.

₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy — Series #1
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Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”

Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.

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Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”


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Nang dumating ang isang milyong piso na walang hinihinging kapalit, hindi ito basta tinanggap. Ito ay tinanggap na may pagtanaw ng utang na loob, panalangin, at pagnanais gamitin sa tama. Kaya't ito ang naging bahagi ng allocation—hindi lang bilang isang strategist, kundi bilang isang Muslim na mulat sa bigat ng pananagutan.

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Focused on long-term growth stocks with halal fundamentals and conviction.

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Capital Allocation: ₱400,000

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Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.


Seeking steady halal income through screened REITs and dividend plays.
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Capital Allocation: ₱200,000

Objective: To generate passive income from a selection of halal-screened REITs and dividend-paying companies that pass ethical and Shariah filters.

Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.


Targeting undervalued stocks with a comeback story—and a conscience.
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(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱150,000

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Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.


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A battleground for real trades, small capital, and live tactical testing.

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Capital Allocation: ₱150,000

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Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.


Uninvested capital with a mission—ready for giving, regrouping, or guarding against loss.
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Capital Allocation: Entire ₱100,000 is held in cash, fully unassigned to any stock.

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  • 🤲 Giving opportunities
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  • 🛑 Delayed entry signals
  • 💔 Life’s unplanned tests

This fund is not for stock picks.

This is for the moments when you choose not to act, because the best decision is sometimes to wait, or give.


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