Is it time to accumulate more shares of ABA or wait for a pullback? Let’s review its technical chart setup using our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.
Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
- Final Stock Recommendation
- Next Steps
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy
ABA (PSE) Daily Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025
ABA (PSE) Weekly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025
ABA (PSE) Monthly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 13, 2025
📍 I. Introduction
TRADE DETAILS
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Date: June 13, 2025
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Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
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Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
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Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
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Closing Price: ₱0.77
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High: ₱0.81
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Low: ₱0.77
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20-MA: ₱0.70 (Daily)
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200-MA: ₱0.61 (Daily)
ABA continues to consolidate just below its recent high, showing signs of strength while trading above all major moving averages on the daily chart. Momentum remains favorable across all timeframes. This review applies our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant.
✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review
1. Market State & Trend Context
The daily and weekly charts show a confirmed uptrend with all MAs aligned in a bullish structure. Monthly chart shows a bounce from multi-year lows.
➡ Verdict: BUY
2. Price Position & Value Zones
ABA remains above its 20-day and 200-day MAs. It is currently mid-range between support at ₱0.70 and resistance near ₱0.84. Not yet overextended.
➡ Verdict: BUY
3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
While there are no fresh power bars, prior accumulation was supported by strong bullish volume. Average daily volume remains healthy at 8.2M.
➡ Verdict: BUY
4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
Recent technical strength and long-term bounce structure from monthly lows support a long-term thesis. Fundamentals remain speculative but narrative-driven buying continues.
➡ Verdict: BUY
5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
Soft stop revised to ₱0.65 based on 20-day MA and layered support. A break below this would invalidate the recent momentum.
➡ Verdict: BUY (Soft Stop in Place)
6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
No bearish reversal candle yet. Price action remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
➡ Verdict: BUY
7. Profit-Taking Strategy
Near-term resistance zones are at ₱0.84, ₱0.95, and ₱1.10. Profit-taking can begin incrementally above ₱0.84.
➡ Verdict: BUY
8. Re-Entry Plans
Re-entry zones if pullback occurs: ₱0.70, ₱0.65, ₱0.61. These are aligned with MAs and Fibonacci levels.
➡ Verdict: BUY
9. Position Size Strategy
With a Php10,000 capital and 1,000-share board lot, the position will be layered into 3 tranches: ₱0.80 (executed), ₱0.70, ₱0.65.
➡ Verdict: BUY
10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
No short setups or counter-trend signals detected. Bias remains bullish.
➡ Verdict: BUY
🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation
Final Stock Recommendation: BUY
📅 Recommendation: Accumulate on pullbacks between ₱0.70 and ₱0.65 while price holds above ₱0.61.
🔢 Risk Management: Monitor soft stop at ₱0.65. Exit partially if price closes below 20-day MA with volume.
💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Begin trimming at ₱0.84, with targets at ₱0.95 and ₱1.10 for mid-term swing.
📆 Position Size Strategy: Deploy 48% core position at ₱0.80 (executed), layer 32% at ₱0.70, and final 20% at ₱0.65.
🔄 IV. Next Steps
Short-term traders → Consider profit-taking above ₱0.84; rebuy only on confirmed pullback to ₱0.70.
Long-term investors → Continue layering in tranches below ₱0.75; thesis remains valid.
Existing holders → Hold current shares. Add on pullbacks if conviction remains. Monitor for breakout above ₱0.84.
🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA
(Based on Php10,000.00 Capital and 1,000-Share Board Lot)
We are applying a structured accumulation strategy for ABA based on our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant. With a capital of Php10,000.00, the plan is as follows:
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Core Position (Executed): ₱0.80 x 1,000 shares = ₱800.00 (48%)
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Second Layer (Pending): ₱0.70 x 1,000 shares = ₱700.00 (32%)
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Final Layer (Pending): ₱0.65 x 1,000 shares = ₱650.00 (20%)
This approach allows for flexibility and downside protection as we build our long-term position.
📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
Executed Action: BUY 1,000 shares @ ₱0.80 on June 3, 2025
Scoring each step out of 10:
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Market State: 9
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Price Position: 9
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Power Bars & Volume: 8
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Entry Confirmation: 8
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Stop-Loss: 9
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Reversal Signal: 9
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Profit Strategy: 8
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Re-Entry Plan: 9
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Position Sizing: 10
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Ethics/Counter-Trend: 9
✅ Overall, the action adhered closely to the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy and reflected high-conviction execution.
🚨 Final Thought: In long-term investing, consistency in following a rules-based strategy trumps emotional trades. Be patient, stick to layering zones, and manage soft stops wisely.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
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