Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
- Final Trade Recommendation
- Next Steps
Introduction
AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been on a prolonged downtrend, with price action remaining below key moving averages. As of January 31, 2025, ALLHC closed at 1.58, reflecting a -7.06% drop for the month, showing continued weakness in momentum. Price is currently trading below both the 20-MA (1.94) and the 200-MA (1.77), indicating a strong bearish environment.
Trade Details:
- Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
- Exchange: PSE
- Timeframe: Monthly
- Date: January 31, 2025
- Closing Price: 1.58
- High: 1.77
- Low: 1.58
- 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.94
- 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 1.77
Key Pullback Levels:
- 100% Pullback: 3.00 (Long-term resistance)
- 75% Pullback: 2.50 (Major breakdown level)
- 50% Pullback: 2.00 (Short-term resistance)
- 0% Pullback: 1.50 (Long-term support zone)
Since there are no current positions, this analysis will focus on whether a new position should be initiated using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.
AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
- Bearish market structure: Price is trading below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, confirming a strong downtrend.
- 200-MA is at 1.77, meaning ALLHC is now trading below its long-term trend, which signals further weakness.
- January’s close at 1.58 marks a breakdown below key moving averages.
✅ Market State: Downtrend, with price breaking key supports.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until signs of stabilization appear.
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
- Negative Position: The stock is trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, which suggests limited upside potential in the short term.
- Retracement Zone: Price has dropped near the 1.50 level, which is a critical long-term support.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for confirmation before considering an entry.
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
- January closed with a red candle, showing no signs of bullish reversal.
- Volume is high (11.52M), but price continues to drop, suggesting increased selling pressure.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No strong buying signals present.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
- No bullish signals confirming a reversal yet.
- A strong green candle or volume surge would be needed to indicate buyers are stepping in.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No entry signal confirmed.
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
- If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 1.50 would be necessary.
- However, price is already near long-term support, and a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Risk remains high, with no clear stop-loss placement.
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
- No green power bars or reversal signs yet.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until there is a bullish signal.
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
- No positions exist, so no profit-taking strategy applies.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No positions to manage.
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
- A re-entry should only be considered if price stabilizes above 1.75.
- Current support is weak, meaning a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for a base formation before considering re-entry.
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
- Since there is no position, adjustments do not apply.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments necessary.
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
- Counter-trend trades are only advisable after two consecutive gap-downs or extreme oversold conditions.
- Since price is gradually declining rather than collapsing, no counter-trend strategy applies.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.
Final Trade Recommendation
✅ Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
✅ Recommendation: Avoid entering ALLHC at 1.58 as there are no clear reversal signals. Wait for confirmation above 1.75 before considering an entry.
✅ Risk Management: If price drops below 1.50, it could lead to further downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable due to lack of position.
✅ Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a clear reversal is confirmed.
Next Steps
🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
🔹 Long-term investors → Wait for stability above 1.75 before considering accumulation.
🔹 Existing holders → Should assess stop-loss levels and consider cutting losses if price breaks below 1.50.
🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a clear downtrend with no bullish confirmation. Avoid taking positions until a proper reversal is evident. 🚨
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Related Readings
- Micro Stock Trader: Comparing the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy vs. Retracement Trading Strategy
- Micro Stock Trader Portfolio Tracker Page
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