Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
- Final Trade Recommendation
- Next Steps
Introduction
Universal Robina Corporation (URC) faced a massive decline in January 2025, closing at 60.80, reflecting a -23.04% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 83.95 before collapsing to 60.80, marking a decisive breakdown. URC is now trading far below the 20-MA (105.83) and the 200-MA (113.68), confirming a strong bearish trend.
Trade Details:
- Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
- Exchange: PSE
- Timeframe: Monthly
- Date: January 31, 2025
- Closing Price: 60.80
- High: 83.95
- Low: 60.80
- 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 105.83
- 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 113.68
Key Pullback Levels:
- 100% Pullback: 140.00 (Pre-2022 highs)
- 75% Pullback: 120.00 (Previous major breakdown level)
- 50% Pullback: 90.00 (Long-term resistance)
- 0% Pullback: 60.00 (Recent support)
This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.
Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
- URC is in a strong bearish downtrend, confirmed by price trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
- January’s red candle is a significant power bar downward, signaling intense selling pressure.
- The breakdown below 70.00 triggered a sharp acceleration in the decline.
✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with no immediate support nearby.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid buying until stability is confirmed.
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
- Negative Position: Price remains far below key moving averages, confirming an aggressive selloff.
- Retracement Zone: 60.00 is the last support area before further downside risk.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Price needs to hold 60.00 before considering any re-entry.
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
- January’s red candle is a dominant power bar to the downside.
- Volume surged to 42.46M, confirming extreme selling pressure.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No bullish signals detected.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
- No buy signals detected, as price is in free fall.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until a proper base forms.
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
- If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 58.00 would be required.
- However, there is no confirmed support yet.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Risk is too high at this stage.
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
- No bullish reversal or green power bars appeared this month.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need bullish confirmation before considering a buy.
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
- All positions have been exited; profit-taking does not apply.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No active positions to manage.
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
- If price stabilizes above 60.00, it may become a re-entry zone.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No immediate re-entry recommended.
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
- All trades have been fully exited, making this step unnecessary.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments needed.
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
- No counter-trend setup is valid, as price is still in freefall.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.
Final Trade Recommendation
✅ Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
✅ Recommendation: Avoid entering URC at 60.80, as the bearish trend remains strong with no confirmed support.
✅ Risk Management: If price falls below 60.00, it could lead to further downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable as all positions have been exited.
✅ Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a strong bullish reversal appears.
Next Steps
🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
🔹 Long-term investors → Wait for stabilization above 60.00 before considering accumulation.
🔹 Existing holders → Fully exited, no further action required.
🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. No trade should be considered until a proper base forms. 🚨
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Related Readings
- Micro Stock Trader: Comparing the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy vs. Retracement Trading Strategy
- Micro Stock Trader Portfolio Tracker Page
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