Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
- Final Stock Recommendation
- Next Steps
Introduction
Universal Robina Corporation (URC) remains in a strong downtrend, struggling to reclaim key resistance levels. The updated chart includes the 20-day and 200-day moving averages, providing further insights into the stock's short-term and long-term trend dynamics. Our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy will determine whether a buy, sell, or hold stance is appropriate.
Trade Details
- Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
- Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
- Timeframe: Daily Chart
- Date: January 28, 2025 (Morning Session)
- Closing Price: ₱64.95
- High: ₱65.50
- Low: ₱64.35
- 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱73.00
- 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱96.78
- Key Pullback Levels:
- 100% Pullback: ₱69.60
- 50% Pullback: ₱67.43
- 0% Pullback: ₱65.25
This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.
URC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Morning Session, January 27, 2025)
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
- URC is in a confirmed downtrend, with price action below both the 20-day MA (₱73.00) and the 200-day MA (₱96.78).
- The 20-MA is sloping downward, signaling continued weakness.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is required before considering long positions.
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
- URC is trading below the 0% pullback level (₱65.25), indicating that support has failed.
- The next resistance levels are ₱67.43 (50% pullback) and ₱69.60 (100% pullback).
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Price remains in bearish territory.
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
- No bullish power bars are visible on the chart.
- Volume remains low, confirming a lack of strong buyer interest.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – There are no breakout signals.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
- No bullish technical signals are present to justify a long position.
- The stock needs to reclaim at least ₱67.43 for a potential entry.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Entry at this level is premature.
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
- If attempting a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be set below ₱63.50.
- Given the ongoing downtrend, risk remains high for any new positions.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Avoid unnecessary risk.
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
- No significant bullish color change signals have emerged.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A shift in momentum is required.
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
- Short traders should consider taking profits near ₱63.50 to ₱62.00.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No clear bullish reversal yet.
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
- The best re-entry zone for longs is near ₱60.00 if a strong bounce occurs.
- Recommendation: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY – Buying now is too risky.
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)
- Aggressive traders may attempt a small speculative position, but caution is advised.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Maintain a conservative approach.
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
- Counter-trend trades should only be considered after two consecutive gap-downs or a 5% drop below the 200-day MA.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No valid counter-trend setup.
Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT
✅ Recommendation: Avoid buying as URC remains in a strong downtrend below the 20-MA and 200-MA.
✅ Risk Management: If considering a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss must be placed below ₱63.50.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Short sellers may target ₱63.50 to ₱62.00 for exits.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying; a small position may be tested at ₱60.00, but only with a strong reversal.
Next Steps
🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until price reclaims ₱67.43.
🔹 Long-term investors → May consider waiting for stabilization above ₱73.00.
🔹 Existing holders → Should consider reducing exposure or selling on relief rallies.
🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong bearish phase. A proper bottoming requires accumulation and confirmation—wait for bullish confirmation before entering. 🚨
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Related Readings
- Micro Stock Trader: Comparing the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy vs. Retracement Trading Strategy
- Micro Stock Trader Portfolio Tracker Page
No comments:
Post a Comment