Friday, January 24, 2025

SCC Morning Session Trade Evaluation – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart (Morning Session)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱36.45
  • High: ₱36.50
  • Low: ₱36.20
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱35.02
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱32.99
  • Price Movement: Uptrend continuation

A daily stock chart of SCC showing price movement above the 20-day and 200-day moving averages.

SCC Morning Session Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

SCC is currently in an uptrend, with price action above both the 20-day MA (₱35.02) and 200-day MA (₱32.99). The recent price action suggests a multi-bar strength move, indicating bullish sentiment.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price is trading above both moving averages, confirming an established uptrend.
  • The 20-MA has a positive slope, reinforcing short-term strength.
  • The 200-MA serves as a strong support, indicating a long-term bullish bias.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The stock has consistently formed green power bars, showing strong buying momentum.
  • No major retracement has occurred, with price holding near recent highs.
  • No immediate signs of exhaustion, supporting a continuation bias.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Since price has not retraced significantly from its rally, an entry at this level might be considered late.
  • Ideal entries should be on a pullback to the 33%-50% retracement zones, which is currently not present.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • If entering now, a tight stop-loss should be placed just below the 20-MA (₱35.02) to minimize risk.
  • A more conservative stop would be below ₱34.50, aligning with a minor support area.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • No red candles near key support levels, meaning no immediate reversal signals.
  • Price remains above the retracement zones, so there’s no need to be overly cautious yet.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • Partial profit-taking can be planned near ₱37.00-₱38.00, aligning with resistance zones.
  • If price retraces back to ₱35.00, it may offer a re-entry opportunity.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • Given the strong rally, an ideal re-entry zone would be around ₱34.50-₱35.00 if price pulls back.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Larger positions can be taken if price pulls back to a 33%-50% retracement zone.
  • If price extends beyond ₱37.00, a trailing stop should be considered.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trades are advisable, as the trend remains intact.

Final Trade Assessment

  • SCC is showing strong bullish momentum, with price making higher highs.
  • Immediate entry may not be optimal as price has already extended.
  • Better entries should be on a pullback towards the 20-MA.
  • Profit-taking should be considered near ₱37.00-₱38.00.

Next Steps

  • Wait for a pullback before adding positions.
  • Monitor resistance levels for potential reversal signals.
  • If price breaks ₱37.00 with strong volume, consider holding for further upside.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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