Friday, January 24, 2025

ATI Intra-Day Chart Evaluation – Buy or Sell Decision

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱17.02
  • High: ₱17.46
  • Low: ₱16.34
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱16.81
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱18.61
  • Price Movement: Potential trend reversal with strong volume
  • Volume: 159.2K, significantly higher than previous sessions
Stock chart of ATI showing price reversal above 20-MA with increased volume and key resistance levels.

ATI Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ATI has been in a clear downtrend for several months, with price consistently trading below the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, today’s strong green candle, breaking above the 20-MA with high volume, signals a potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price broke above the 20-MA (₱16.81), suggesting a short-term momentum shift.
  • The 200-MA (₱18.61) is still above, meaning the long-term trend is bearish.
  • Resistance levels:
    • First resistance: ₱17.50 (recent swing high)
    • Major resistance: ₱18.00-₱18.50 (near 200-MA)
  • Support levels:
    • Immediate support: ₱16.80 (20-MA)
    • Stronger support: ₱16.30 (recent low)

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • A strong green power bar suggests high buying pressure.
  • Volume is significantly higher, confirming potential institutional accumulation.
  • No major retracement yet, but price holding above ₱16.80 is crucial for further upside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Ideal entry range: ₱16.80-₱17.00, as price recently cleared the 20-MA.
  • A pullback to ₱16.50-₱16.80 would provide a higher probability entry.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Stop-loss below ₱16.80 for short-term traders.
  • A wider stop at ₱16.30 for a more conservative risk approach.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • If price closes above ₱17.00 with another green candle on Monday, it confirms the reversal strength.
  • A red candle close below ₱16.80 would signal weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First target: ₱17.50, a key resistance zone.
  • Second target: ₱18.00, a pre-breakdown level.
  • Final target: ₱18.60-₱19.00, near the 200-MA resistance.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If price retraces to ₱16.80, a second entry for additional shares can be considered.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another buying opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Increase position if price clears ₱17.50.
  • Reduce exposure if price struggles below ₱16.80.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trade setup, as today’s price action signals an early-stage reversal.

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

✅ Recommendation: BUY today at ₱16.80-₱17.00, given the breakout above the 20-MA with strong volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱16.80 to protect against downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱17.50, ₱18.00, and ₱18.60 for gradual exits.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a moderate position and add if momentum continues above ₱17.50.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action at ₱17.50. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱17.50, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱16.80. If the stock fails to hold the breakout, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱16.80 or lower, reassess for a second entry.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Evaluation of Trade No. 4 Evaluation – Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 4/20
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Previous day’s green bar close and price within the 50%-75% trend reversal zone
  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Shares Bought: 1,000
  • Entry Price: ₱2.21
  • Position Size: 1/3 of PREIT test trade allocation
Stock chart of PREIT showing trade entry near 50% pullback sweet spot with moving averages and key levels.

PREIT Trade No. 4 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 9/10

PREIT was in consolidation with a slight upward bias, forming a higher low structure near the 50% pullback sweet spot at ₱2.20. The previous day’s green closing bar signaled potential momentum continuation.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 10/10

  • Price was above the 20-MA (₱2.19), indicating short-term bullish momentum.
  • Price remained well above the 200-MA (₱1.98), confirming long-term stability.
  • The entry at ₱2.21 was aligned with the 50% pullback sweet spot, providing an optimal risk-reward ratio.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 8/10

  • The previous day closed with a green power bar, confirming buying strength.
  • The current session started with stability, maintaining price above the 50% retracement zone.
  • The absence of immediate selling pressure strengthened the trade conviction.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 9/10

  • Entry at ₱2.21 aligned with the 50% to 75% trend reversal zone, which historically acts as a high-probability area for trend continuation.
  • Price action confirmed momentum stability at this level, justifying the 1/3 position size.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Initial stop-loss placed at ₱2.13 (below 33% retracement), ensuring minimal downside risk.
  • A more conservative exit trigger would be below ₱2.19, breaking short-term moving average support.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 7/10

  • A red candle close below ₱2.19 would weaken the bullish thesis.
  • Green candles at ₱2.20 or above would confirm bullish trend continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First profit target: ₱2.26 (66% retracement level)
  • Second profit target: ₱2.30 (75% pullback sweet spot)
  • A final exit would be considered at ₱2.40, the previous high.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 8/10

  • If price retraces back to ₱2.20, a second entry for additional shares could be considered.
  • A failed breakout above ₱2.26 would trigger profit-taking and re-evaluation.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • If price holds above ₱2.26, an additional position could be added.
  • If price breaks below ₱2.19, a manual exit would be evaluated.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 10/10

  • No counter-trend trades were taken, as the uptrend remained intact.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.8/10

✅ Trade Execution: Well-timed entry within the 50% pullback sweet spot, aligning with trend continuation signals.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss set below ₱2.19, ensuring controlled downside.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱2.26, scaling out at ₱2.30-₱2.40.

✅ Position Size Strategy: 1/3 of PREIT test allocation, allowing flexibility for future re-entries.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱2.26. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱2.26, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱2.19. If the stock loses momentum, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱2.20 or lower, evaluate a second position.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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PREIT Intra-Day Trade Evaluation – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱2.21
  • High: ₱2.21
  • Low: ₱2.21
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱2.19
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.98
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% (Recent High): ₱2.40
    • 75% Pullback Sweet Spot: ₱2.30
    • 66% Pullback: ₱2.26
    • 50% Pullback Sweet Spot: ₱2.20
    • 33% Pullback: ₱2.13
    • 0% Pullback (Major Support): ₱2.00
A daily stock chart of PREIT showing price near the 50% pullback sweet spot and moving averages.

PREIT Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

PREIT is trading in a sideways consolidation phase, with price fluctuating around the 50% pullback sweet spot (₱2.20). The 20-MA (₱2.19) and 200-MA (₱1.98) suggest a stabilizing trend, but price needs a breakout above ₱2.26 to confirm bullish momentum.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price is above both the 20-MA and 200-MA, signaling bullish bias.
  • The 50% pullback sweet spot (₱2.20) is being retested, which is a potential buy zone.
  • The 200-MA (₱1.98) acts as strong long-term support.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The breakout above ₱2.20 is forming a green power bar.
  • Volume is slightly increasing, indicating potential buying pressure.
  • No major retracement yet, but price needs to hold above ₱2.20 for further upside confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Ideal entry zones: ₱2.20 (50% sweet spot) or ₱2.13 (33% retracement).
  • Current price is testing ₱2.21, making this a valid momentum entry.
  • A more conservative entry would be near ₱2.13 if a pullback occurs.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • A stop-loss should be placed below ₱2.13 (33% retracement).
  • A more aggressive stop would be below ₱2.19 (20-MA support).

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • The transition from red candles to green power bars at ₱2.20 strengthens the bullish case.
  • If price drops below ₱2.19 and turns red, it could signal trend weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First profit target: ₱2.26 (66% retracement)
  • Secondary profit zone: ₱2.30 (75% sweet spot)
  • Full profit-taking recommended at ₱2.40 (recent high).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If price retraces back to ₱2.13-₱2.20, it could offer a secondary entry.
  • Another opportunity could arise if price breaks ₱2.26 and pulls back for retest.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Increase position if price holds above ₱2.26.
  • Reduce exposure if price drops below ₱2.19.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trades advisable unless price drops back to ₱2.00 (0% retracement).

Final Trade Assessment

  • PREIT is testing the 50% pullback sweet spot at ₱2.20, making it an interesting level for a breakout play.
  • A confirmation above ₱2.26 strengthens the bullish case.
  • Profit-taking should be planned around ₱2.26-₱2.40.
  • Ideal re-entry zones lie around ₱2.13-₱2.20.

Next Steps

  • Monitor if price holds above ₱2.20 for a potential long entry.
  • If price breaks ₱2.26 with strong volume, add to positions.
  • Watch for pullbacks near the 20-MA (₱2.19) for better risk management.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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