Friday, January 24, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 4 Evaluation – Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 4/20
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Previous day’s green bar close and price within the 50%-75% trend reversal zone
  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Shares Bought: 1,000
  • Entry Price: ₱2.21
  • Position Size: 1/3 of PREIT test trade allocation
Stock chart of PREIT showing trade entry near 50% pullback sweet spot with moving averages and key levels.

PREIT Trade No. 4 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 9/10

PREIT was in consolidation with a slight upward bias, forming a higher low structure near the 50% pullback sweet spot at ₱2.20. The previous day’s green closing bar signaled potential momentum continuation.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 10/10

  • Price was above the 20-MA (₱2.19), indicating short-term bullish momentum.
  • Price remained well above the 200-MA (₱1.98), confirming long-term stability.
  • The entry at ₱2.21 was aligned with the 50% pullback sweet spot, providing an optimal risk-reward ratio.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 8/10

  • The previous day closed with a green power bar, confirming buying strength.
  • The current session started with stability, maintaining price above the 50% retracement zone.
  • The absence of immediate selling pressure strengthened the trade conviction.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 9/10

  • Entry at ₱2.21 aligned with the 50% to 75% trend reversal zone, which historically acts as a high-probability area for trend continuation.
  • Price action confirmed momentum stability at this level, justifying the 1/3 position size.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Initial stop-loss placed at ₱2.13 (below 33% retracement), ensuring minimal downside risk.
  • A more conservative exit trigger would be below ₱2.19, breaking short-term moving average support.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 7/10

  • A red candle close below ₱2.19 would weaken the bullish thesis.
  • Green candles at ₱2.20 or above would confirm bullish trend continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First profit target: ₱2.26 (66% retracement level)
  • Second profit target: ₱2.30 (75% pullback sweet spot)
  • A final exit would be considered at ₱2.40, the previous high.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 8/10

  • If price retraces back to ₱2.20, a second entry for additional shares could be considered.
  • A failed breakout above ₱2.26 would trigger profit-taking and re-evaluation.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • If price holds above ₱2.26, an additional position could be added.
  • If price breaks below ₱2.19, a manual exit would be evaluated.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 10/10

  • No counter-trend trades were taken, as the uptrend remained intact.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.8/10

Trade Execution: Well-timed entry within the 50% pullback sweet spot, aligning with trend continuation signals.

Risk Management: Stop-loss set below ₱2.19, ensuring controlled downside.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱2.26, scaling out at ₱2.30-₱2.40.

Position Size Strategy: 1/3 of PREIT test allocation, allowing flexibility for future re-entries.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱2.26. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱2.26, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱2.19. If the stock loses momentum, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱2.20 or lower, evaluate a second position.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

PREIT Intra-Day Trade Evaluation – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱2.21
  • High: ₱2.21
  • Low: ₱2.21
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱2.19
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.98
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% (Recent High): ₱2.40
    • 75% Pullback Sweet Spot: ₱2.30
    • 66% Pullback: ₱2.26
    • 50% Pullback Sweet Spot: ₱2.20
    • 33% Pullback: ₱2.13
    • 0% Pullback (Major Support): ₱2.00
A daily stock chart of PREIT showing price near the 50% pullback sweet spot and moving averages.

PREIT Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

PREIT is trading in a sideways consolidation phase, with price fluctuating around the 50% pullback sweet spot (₱2.20). The 20-MA (₱2.19) and 200-MA (₱1.98) suggest a stabilizing trend, but price needs a breakout above ₱2.26 to confirm bullish momentum.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price is above both the 20-MA and 200-MA, signaling bullish bias.
  • The 50% pullback sweet spot (₱2.20) is being retested, which is a potential buy zone.
  • The 200-MA (₱1.98) acts as strong long-term support.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The breakout above ₱2.20 is forming a green power bar.
  • Volume is slightly increasing, indicating potential buying pressure.
  • No major retracement yet, but price needs to hold above ₱2.20 for further upside confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Ideal entry zones: ₱2.20 (50% sweet spot) or ₱2.13 (33% retracement).
  • Current price is testing ₱2.21, making this a valid momentum entry.
  • A more conservative entry would be near ₱2.13 if a pullback occurs.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • A stop-loss should be placed below ₱2.13 (33% retracement).
  • A more aggressive stop would be below ₱2.19 (20-MA support).

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • The transition from red candles to green power bars at ₱2.20 strengthens the bullish case.
  • If price drops below ₱2.19 and turns red, it could signal trend weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First profit target: ₱2.26 (66% retracement)
  • Secondary profit zone: ₱2.30 (75% sweet spot)
  • Full profit-taking recommended at ₱2.40 (recent high).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If price retraces back to ₱2.13-₱2.20, it could offer a secondary entry.
  • Another opportunity could arise if price breaks ₱2.26 and pulls back for retest.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Increase position if price holds above ₱2.26.
  • Reduce exposure if price drops below ₱2.19.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trades advisable unless price drops back to ₱2.00 (0% retracement).

Final Trade Assessment

  • PREIT is testing the 50% pullback sweet spot at ₱2.20, making it an interesting level for a breakout play.
  • A confirmation above ₱2.26 strengthens the bullish case.
  • Profit-taking should be planned around ₱2.26-₱2.40.
  • Ideal re-entry zones lie around ₱2.13-₱2.20.

Next Steps

  • Monitor if price holds above ₱2.20 for a potential long entry.
  • If price breaks ₱2.26 with strong volume, add to positions.
  • Watch for pullbacks near the 20-MA (₱2.19) for better risk management.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

SCC Morning Session Trade Evaluation – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart (Morning Session)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱36.45
  • High: ₱36.50
  • Low: ₱36.20
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱35.02
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱32.99
  • Price Movement: Uptrend continuation

A daily stock chart of SCC showing price movement above the 20-day and 200-day moving averages.

SCC Morning Session Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

SCC is currently in an uptrend, with price action above both the 20-day MA (₱35.02) and 200-day MA (₱32.99). The recent price action suggests a multi-bar strength move, indicating bullish sentiment.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price is trading above both moving averages, confirming an established uptrend.
  • The 20-MA has a positive slope, reinforcing short-term strength.
  • The 200-MA serves as a strong support, indicating a long-term bullish bias.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The stock has consistently formed green power bars, showing strong buying momentum.
  • No major retracement has occurred, with price holding near recent highs.
  • No immediate signs of exhaustion, supporting a continuation bias.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Since price has not retraced significantly from its rally, an entry at this level might be considered late.
  • Ideal entries should be on a pullback to the 33%-50% retracement zones, which is currently not present.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • If entering now, a tight stop-loss should be placed just below the 20-MA (₱35.02) to minimize risk.
  • A more conservative stop would be below ₱34.50, aligning with a minor support area.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • No red candles near key support levels, meaning no immediate reversal signals.
  • Price remains above the retracement zones, so there’s no need to be overly cautious yet.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • Partial profit-taking can be planned near ₱37.00-₱38.00, aligning with resistance zones.
  • If price retraces back to ₱35.00, it may offer a re-entry opportunity.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • Given the strong rally, an ideal re-entry zone would be around ₱34.50-₱35.00 if price pulls back.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Larger positions can be taken if price pulls back to a 33%-50% retracement zone.
  • If price extends beyond ₱37.00, a trailing stop should be considered.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trades are advisable, as the trend remains intact.

Final Trade Assessment

  • SCC is showing strong bullish momentum, with price making higher highs.
  • Immediate entry may not be optimal as price has already extended.
  • Better entries should be on a pullback towards the 20-MA.
  • Profit-taking should be considered near ₱37.00-₱38.00.

Next Steps

  • Wait for a pullback before adding positions.
  • Monitor resistance levels for potential reversal signals.
  • If price breaks ₱37.00 with strong volume, consider holding for further upside.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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