Sunday, January 26, 2025

MREIT Inc. (PSE) Daily Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025

Contents:

Introduction

Trade Details

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Final Trade Assessment

Next Steps


Introduction

MREIT Inc. (PSE: MREIT) is under technical evaluation as of January 24, 2025, following the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy. This analysis aims to determine potential trading opportunities based on trend structure, retracement levels, and key indicators.

MREIT Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

MREIT Daily Chart Analysis – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy



Trade Details

  • Stock Name and Ticker: MREIT Inc. (PSE: MREIT)

  • Timeframe: Daily Chart

  • Market Trend: Neutral to Slightly Bullish

  • Price Position: Above the 200-day MA (13.21) and near the 20-day MA (13.45)

  • Significant Support & Resistance Levels:

    • Support: 13.18 (0% Pullback), 13.21 (200-day MA)

    • Resistance: 13.61 (50% Bullish Reversal), 13.83 (75% Bullish Reversal), 14.04 (100% Pullback)


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • MREIT is transitioning from a downtrend (marked by a descending trendline) to a consolidation phase.

  • The price is stabilizing above the 200-day MA, suggesting potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position & Retracement Levels

  • The stock is between key retracement levels:

    • 50% Bullish Reversal at 13.61 is acting as immediate resistance.

    • 0% Pullback at 13.18 serves as key support.

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The recent price action shows a series of small-bodied candles, indicating a lack of strong momentum.

  • Volume is relatively low (91.3K), meaning no aggressive buying or selling is occurring.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

  • A clear breakout above 13.61 (50% Bullish Reversal Level) with strong volume would be needed for a bullish entry.

  • A rejection at this level could confirm continued sideways movement.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Conservative traders can place a stop-loss slightly below 13.21 (200-day MA).

  • Aggressive traders may use 13.18 (0% Pullback Level) as a cut-off.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • The price is currently holding near the 20-day MA, with a slight bullish bias.

  • A strong green candle closing above 13.61 would confirm upside momentum.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • Short-term profit target: 13.83 (75% Bullish Reversal).

  • Extended target: 14.04 (100% Pullback Level).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If the stock pulls back to the 20-day MA (13.45) and holds, it could offer a better re-entry opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • A break below 13.18 signals weakness and could trigger a bearish move.

  • A sustained hold above 13.61 would suggest strength and a potential retest of 13.83.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • If the price strongly rejects the 50% Bullish Reversal (13.61) with high volume, a short position may be considered.


Final Trade Assessment

  • Bullish Case: A breakout above 13.61, with volume support, could lead to a move toward 13.83 or even 14.04.

  • Bearish Case: A rejection at 13.61 or a breakdown below 13.21 (200-day MA) could signal downside risk.

  • Neutral Bias: Current sideways movement suggests waiting for confirmation before entering a trade.


Next Steps

  • Monitor for a breakout above 13.61 or a retest of 13.21.

  • Watch volume levels for confirmation.

  • Upcoming market events or broader index trends may impact price movement.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc. (FNI) Daily Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Introduction

This analysis evaluates the daily chart of Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc. (FNI) as of January 24, 2025, using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy. The evaluation focuses on price action, market trend, key support and resistance levels, and potential trade opportunities.

FNI Daily Chart showing 20-MA, 200-MA, key resistance levels, and retracement pullbacks

FNI Daily Chart Analysis – Buy or Sell Decision with Updated Moving Averages



Trade Details

  • Stock Name and Ticker: Global Ferronickel Holdings Inc. (FNI)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Market Trend: Downtrend (Below 20-MA and 200-MA)
  • Price Position: Below 20-MA and 200-MA, indicating bearish bias
    • Below the 200-MA (₱1.48) → Long-term bearish confirmation
    • At the 20-MA (₱1.02) → Short-term trend resistance
  • Significant Support & Resistance Levels:
    • Support: ₱0.90 (0% Pullback Level)
    • Resistance Levels:
      • ₱1.02 (20-MA) – Short-term barrier
      • ₱1.45 (50% Bullish Reversal Pullback) – Strong mid-range resistance
      • ₱1.72 (75% Bullish Reversal Pullback) – High-level resistance
      • ₱1.99 (100% Pullback) – Full retracement level

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • FNI remains in a strong downtrend, as the 200-MA at ₱1.48 acts as long-term resistance.
  • The stock bounced off the ₱0.90 support level but is now facing resistance at ₱1.02 (20-MA).

Step 2: Assess Price Position & Retracement Levels

  • FNI is trading between the 20-MA and its support at ₱0.90, meaning price action is indecisive.
  • The failure to break above ₱1.02 (20-MA) could signal another decline.

Step 3: Identify Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The recent green candle (+2.00%) lacks strong volume, suggesting weak bullish conviction.
  • The previous failed breakout near ₱1.10 reinforces the bearish sentiment.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

  • Buyers: A breakout above ₱1.02 (20-MA) could lead to ₱1.10–₱1.20 short-term targets.
  • Sellers: A rejection at ₱1.02 or ₱1.10 confirms further downside.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Bullish traders: Stop-loss below ₱0.88 (below support).
  • Bearish traders: Stop-loss above ₱1.10 (above minor resistance).

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • A bullish confirmation requires a strong breakout above ₱1.02 and ₱1.10 with volume.
  • Failure to close above ₱1.02 will reinforce the bearish bias.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • If a bullish breakout occurs, take profits near ₱1.45.
  • If bearish rejection happens, ₱0.90 remains the target for a retest.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • Bullish traders can re-enter on a successful retest of ₱1.02 as support.
  • Bearish traders can short near ₱1.10 or ₱1.45 if resistance holds.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Monitor 20-MA and 200-MA as trend indicators.
  • Only hold long positions if price stays above ₱1.02.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • Short opportunities exist at ₱1.10 and ₱1.45 if rejection occurs.
  • Bullish reversal only confirmed if price moves above ₱1.48 (200-MA).

Final Trade Assessment

  • Bias: Still bearish unless price sustains above ₱1.02 and ₱1.10.
  • Best Play for Bulls: Wait for a confirmed breakout above ₱1.10 with volume.
  • Best Play for Bears: Short near ₱1.02 or ₱1.10 with a target of ₱0.90.

Next Steps

  1. Monitor Price Action at the 20-MA (₱1.02)

    • A strong close above ₱1.02 could indicate early reversal.
    • A rejection will likely send price back to ₱0.90.
  2. Watch for Resistance Rejection at ₱1.10 and ₱1.45

    • If price fails at these levels, expect continued downtrend.
  3. Adjust Trading Strategy Accordingly

    • Long trades only above ₱1.10.
    • Short positions valid below ₱1.02.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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MER (Manila Electric Company) Stock Analysis: January 24, 2025

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Evaluating MER’s Closing Chart Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Trade Details

  • Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
  • Market: PSE (Philippine Stock Exchange)
  • Timeframe: 1-Day (Daily)
  • Closing Price: ₱486.00 (-1.42%)
  • Day’s Range: ₱486.00 - ₱494.40
  • 20-MA: ₱484.71 (Short-Term Trend)
  • 200-MA: ₱421.92 (Long-Term Trend)
  • Volume: 164.98K (SMA 9)
Manila Electric Company (MER) stock chart with moving averages and retracement levels marked for analysis.

MER stock price analysis on January 24, 2025, showing key pullback levels and trend indicators.



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Trend: MER remains in an uptrend as the price is above both the 20-day moving average (₱484.71) and the 200-day moving average (₱421.92).
  • Positioning: The price remains in a consolidation phase near the previous resistance of ₱500. However, a pullback from recent highs suggests some short-term selling pressure.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Moving Averages & Key Levels

  • The price is trading slightly above the 20-MA, indicating that the short-term trend remains intact.
  • The 50% Sweet Spot Pullback level is ₱476.85, which could serve as a potential support zone.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • No strong green power bars are present in the latest price action.
  • The recent red candles indicate a retracement, but the price is still holding above the 20-MA, suggesting a healthy pullback rather than a reversal.

Step 4: Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies

  • The price is currently near the 25% Sweet Spot Pullback (₱490.18).
  • If a bullish reversal forms in the next session, it could signal an entry opportunity.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Stop-loss should be set below the 50% pullback level (₱476.85).
  • A deeper retracement towards ₱450.20 (100% pullback) would indicate a trend failure.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • A bullish reversal candle (green bar) near the 25%-50% pullback zone would confirm a potential buy signal.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First target: ₱503.50 (Recent high)
  • Second target: ₱510+ (Breakout potential)

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If MER retests the ₱476.85 level and bounces, another entry opportunity may emerge.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Larger positions can be taken near the 33%-50% retracement zone (₱476-₱490).
  • If the price falls below ₱450, the trend would likely be invalidated.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • Since MER is in an uptrend, counter-trend trades are not advisable unless a complete trend reversal occurs.

Final Trade Assessment

Bullish Outlook: Despite the pullback, the price remains above key support levels and the short-term moving average.

⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:

  • Support: ₱484.71 (20-MA), ₱476.85 (50% pullback)
  • Resistance: ₱503.50 (previous high), ₱510 (breakout level)

📌 Strategy Moving Forward:

  • Watch for a bullish reversal candle near ₱476-₱490.
  • Enter with confirmation and set a stop-loss below ₱476.85.
  • First target: ₱503.50; Second target: ₱510+.

Next Steps

  • Traders should monitor if MER stabilizes near the 25%-50% pullback zone.
  • A bounce above ₱490 would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
  • A break below ₱476 would indicate further downside risk.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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