Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
Nilalaman:
- Panimula
- Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review (with 10-Point Score per Step)
- Paano Natin Ire-reconcile ang June 30 at July 15?
- Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Phased Exit Plan
- Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
- Closing Reflection
I. Panimula
Noong June 30, 2025, sinabi natin: bantayan si ARA sa ₱0.48–₱0.50 zone—kung mag-stabilize doon, pwedeng test entry. Pero hindi siya bumaba. Sa halip, nag-consolidate sa ₱0.51–₱0.53 at ngayong linggo, nag-breakout wick sa ₱0.56 with volume spike na 1.816M shares.
Hindi na tayo nagpatumpik-tumpik—pumasok tayo ngayong hapon sa ₱0.55 for 1,000 shares.
Ibig sabihin? Nag-shift na tayo mula watchlist mode papuntang Layer 1 tactical execution. Gamitin natin ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant para i-evaluate kung tama ba ang pasok natin sa ARA sa weekly time frame.
📌 Trade Snapshot
📅 Petsa ng Trade: July 15, 2025
📈 Stock: Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA)
📉 Entry Price: ₱0.55
📊 Shares: 1,000
💸 Net Amount: ₱551.63 (kasama na fees)
🧭 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
📂 Entry Type: Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
📦 Total Capital Plan: ₱5,000 (1,000-share board lot system)
II. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review (with 10-Point Score per Step)
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Market State & Trend Context
Nasa ilalim pa rin tayo ng 200-MA (₱0.94) = long-term bearish. Pero ang presyo ay bumababad na ngayon sa gitna ng 20 at 50-MA. Bumabuo ng base sa ₱0.51–₱0.56 range.
✅ Score: 9/10 -
Price Position & Value Zones
Sa ₱0.55 entry, tayo ay nasa gitna ng base range—above support, below resistance. Tamang-tama para sa tactical Layer 1 entry.
✅ Score: 9/10 -
Power Bars & Volume Shift
Green candle, breakout wick sa ₱0.56, at may volume spike. May buwelo na kahit wala pang full breakout body.
✅ Score: 10/10 -
Entry Confirmation (Actual Execution)
✅ Executed July 15 – 1,000 shares @ ₱0.55 (₱551.63 total)
Ayon sa strategy plan, entry dapat either near support (₱0.51–₱0.52) o during early breakout signal (₱0.55–₱0.56). Nasa sweet spot ang pasok natin.
✅ Score: 9/10 -
Stop-Loss Policy
Stop Loss below ₱0.48 swing low = safe. Risk window: ~13% — still within acceptable tactical cut-loss zone.
✅ Score: 10/10 -
Color Change Signal
May bullish bar pero wala pang follow-through breakout. Kaya’t trend confirmation ay kulang pa—kailangan ng susunod na candle.
❌ Score: 6/10 -
Profit-Taking Strategy
🎯 Target 1: ₱0.60
🎯 Target 2: ₱0.63
🎯 Final Target: ₱0.70
Realistic exit zones para sa partial at full sell.
✅ Score: 9/10 -
Re-entry Plans
Maganda ang plano: kung mag-breakout sa ₱0.56 tapos mag-pullback sa ₱0.52–₱0.53, ready tayong magdagdag.
✅ Score: 9/10 -
Position Size Planning
1 board lot entry for tactical Layer 1 = safe exposure. May reserbang kapital para sa Layer 2 at 3.
✅ Score: 10/10 -
Ethical & Countertrend Considerations
Walang unethical catalyst, at kahit speculative ang setup, may structure at volume. Pasok sa ethical tactical trades.
✅ Score: 9/10
✅ Final Score Summary: 90 / 100
Pasado sa 9 out of 10 steps. Layer 1 tactical entry validated. Clear signs of buwelo kahit wala pang full breakout. Trade execution is aligned with both strategy and current market behavior.
III. Paano Natin Ire-reconcile ang June 30 at July 15?
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June 30 Plan: Watchlist entry sa ₱0.48–₱0.50 kung mag-hold at may reversal. Walang nangyaring ganon—hindi bumaba ang presyo.
-
July 15 Reality: Sa halip, nag-ipon sa ₱0.51–₱0.53 at nag-breakout wick sa ₱0.56.
-
Kaya ang ₱0.55 trade natin ay hindi late—ito ay timely tactical execution. Strategy must evolve with price behavior.
IV. 🔜 Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
🔹 Kung Tumama:
Breakout above ₱0.56 next week with good volume → Add 1 board lot @ ₱0.56–₱0.57
Target: ₱0.63, ₱0.70
🔹 Kung Sumablay:
Pag bumasag sa ₱0.48 → Cut-loss agad. Respect strategy.
🔹 For Long-Term Traders:
Dahan-dahan sa buildup. Confirm breakout bago dagdag.
V. 💰 Layered Accumulation Plan
Capital: ₱5,000 | 1 board lot = 1,000 shares
-
✅ Layer 1 – Executed:
Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.55 = ₱551.63 -
🔜 Layer 2 – Breakout Add-on:
Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.56 -
🔜 Layer 3 – Pullback Re-entry:
Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.52–₱0.53 if breakout pullback confirms
Max Total: 3,000 shares | Max Exposure: ~₱1,650 | Cash Reserve: ~₱3,350
VI. 🎯 Phased Exit Plan
-
Partial Exit 1 – Gap Fill Zone:
Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.60 = ₱600 -
Partial Exit 2 – Resistance Zone:
Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.63 = ₱630 -
Final Exit – Medium-Term Target:
Sell 1,000 shares @ ₱0.70 = ₱700
Estimated Total Gross Proceeds: ₱1,930 | Strategy: Profit-lock on strength, re-enter only on strong confirmations.
VII. ✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
✅ Recommendation: Tactical buy confirmed at ₱0.55 based on volume and breakout wick
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.48 to control risk
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exit at ₱0.60 and ₱0.63, full exit at ₱0.70
✅ Position Size Strategy: 1 board lot base, add only on breakout or pullback confirmation
VIII. 🌾 Closing Reflection
Hindi palaging umaabot ang presyo sa “ideal” entry zone. Pero kung marunong kang bumasa ng buwelo at may plano kang sinusunod—mapapakinabangan mo pa rin ang alon. Ganyan ang tunay na diskarte ng isang Board Lot Warrior.
📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund | Capital Allocation: ₱20,000
Trade Simulation #4 | Shares: 5,000 | Price: ₱0.55| Value: ₱2,750
Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang ARA live trade na ito tungo sa isang simulated trade ng 5,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱0.55. Bahagi ito ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱20,000.
Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.
Board Lot: 1,000 shares
Simulated Shares: 5,000 shares
Simulated Capital at Entry: ₱0.55
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio (₱20,000 Allocation)
🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.
Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.
Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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