Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITs Series
Nilalaman:
- Panimula
- Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
- Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
- Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Phased Exit Plan
📌 Paalala para sa Review na Ito
Ang review na ito ay bahagi ng ating serye kung saan sinusuri natin hindi lang ang Shariah-compliant stocks, kundi pati na rin ang ilang hindi pa kasama sa opisyal na listahan.
👉 Para lang po ito sa public awareness.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na buy recommendation.
👉 Kayo pa rin ang may final na desisyon sa inyong investment journey.
Tuloy lang ang pag-aaral, mga ka-trader!
1. Panimula
Ang VistaREIT, Inc. (VREIT) ay isang real estate investment trust (REIT) na bahagi ng Villar Group, at nagpo-focus sa retail at office leasing sa kanilang mga prime commercial developments. Bilang isa sa mga bagong salta sa PSE REIT sector, ang VREIT ay interesting panoorin lalo na sa mga naghahanap ng steady dividend play sa abot-kayang presyo.
TRADE DETAILS
📅 Date: July 11, 2025
📈 Stock: VISTA REIT, INC. (VREIT)
🏛️ Exchange: PSE
🕰️ Timeframe: Weekly
💰 Closing Price: ₱1.87
📈 High: ₱1.90
📉 Low: ₱1.83
📊 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱1.89
📊 50-MA (Long-Term Trend Proxy): ₱1.84
Dahil wala pa itong 200-week MA, gagamitin natin ang 50-MA bilang pansamantalang basehan ng long-term trend. Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, i-aanalyze natin kung panahon na ba para pumasok sa VREIT o mas makakabuting maghintay pa.
2. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Ang VREIT ay nasa gitna ng short-term weakness at kasalukuyang bumagsak sa ilalim ng 20-MA (₱1.89). Pero, nananatili pa rin itong above the 50-MA (₱1.84) na siyang gagamitin nating proxy for long-term trend.
Ibig sabihin, kahit short-term ay may bearish move, nananatiling intact ang long-term uptrend base sa 50-MA.
➡ Verdict: Hold/Wait – Long-term uptrend is intact pero may short-term pressure.
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Ang presyo (₱1.87) ay nasa pagitan ng 20-MA at 50-MA, isang senyales ng mid-range pullback. Ang setup na ito ay kadalasang tinitingnan bilang early warning ng correction. Hindi pa ito optimal entry zone sa ngayon, pero papalapit sa magandang area kung mag-hold ang ₱1.84.
➡ Verdict: Wait – Monitor support sa ₱1.84 zone bago pumasok.
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Walang green power bar. Bagkus, may red candle with volume spike (8.47M) na nagpapakita ng distribution o possible short-term exit ng ibang investors.
➡ Verdict: Wait – Walang bullish momentum.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Walang confirmed breakout o bullish reversal candle. Mas mainam na maghintay ng bounce confirmation sa ₱1.84 o break above ₱1.90.
➡ Verdict: Wait for confirmation.
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Kung papasok sa ₱1.85–₱1.86 area, ang logical SL ay below ₱1.81 o kung mabasag ang 50-MA with conviction.
➡ Verdict: Prepare SL sa ₱1.80 kung papasok.
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Walang green reversal candle o color change na nagpapakita ng bullish pivot. Kailangan natin ng reversal bar with strong close para magtiwala sa recovery.
➡ Verdict: Wait.
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Assuming mid-range price play, pwedeng mag-target ng partial exits sa ₱1.93–₱1.95 at full exit sa ₱2.00–₱2.05 kung mag-breakout.
➡ Verdict: Pre-plan exits pero huwag pa i-execute.
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-bounce sa ₱1.84 na may conviction, puwedeng tactical re-entry or first layer. Pero sa ngayon, observe muna.
➡ Verdict: Wait and monitor price reaction sa support.
Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Dahil hindi pa fully confirmed ang reversal, Tactical Entry (10%) lang muna dapat. Kung mag-hold at mag-confirm, saka i-upgrade to Core (50%).
➡ Verdict: Tactical Entry upon bounce confirmation.
Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi pa pasok sa counter-trend criteria—walang malakas na gap down o 5% drop below 50-MA.
➡ Verdict: Not applicable.
3. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?
Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT
✅ Recommendation: Hintayin muna ang bullish confirmation above ₱1.90 o kaya ay bounce with volume sa ₱1.84
✅ Risk Management: Kung papasok sa ₱1.85–₱1.86, dapat ang stop-loss ay below ₱1.81
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱1.93–₱1.95 range for partial exit
✅ Position Size Strategy: Tactical Entry lamang, max 1 board lot muna habang wala pang full setup
4. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
🔹 Short-term traders → Huwag munang pumasok. Walang clear breakout o reversal confirmation.
🔹 Long-term investors → Pwede nang i-monitor ang zone na ₱1.84–₱1.85 para sa possible tactical test buy.
🔹 Existing holders → Pwede munang mag-hold. Bantayan ang critical support zone sa ₱1.84.
🚨 Final Thought: Walang masama sa pag-antay ng malinaw na setup. Tandaan: "Kapag walang setup, walang trade!" 🚨
5. Layered Accumulation Plan
💰 Total Capital: ₱5,000
📦 Board Lot System: 1,000 shares per lot
🎯 Entry Plan:
-
Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
✅ Entry: ₱1.85
✅ Shares: 1,000
✅ Allocation: ~₱1,850 -
Layer 2 – Confirmed Bounce
✅ Entry: ₱1.83
✅ Shares: 1,000
✅ Allocation: ~₱1,830 -
Layer 3 – Post-Breakout Above ₱1.90
✅ Entry: ₱1.91
✅ Shares: 1,000
✅ Allocation: ~₱1,910
(Select 2 out of 3 layers only to fit ₱5,000 capital. Flexible ang execution batay sa price behavior.)
6. Phased Exit Plan
🎯 Target Exit Levels:
-
First Target (Partial Exit) – ₱1.93
📤 Sell 1,000 shares -
Second Target (Full Exit) – ₱2.00
📤 Sell remaining 1,000 shares
📌 Kung hindi umabot sa breakout, reevaluate ang setup pag bumaba sa ilalim ng ₱1.80.
Basahin Pa: Board Lot Warrior | REITs Series (July 11, 2025)
Weekly Stock Price Reviews ng mga REIT gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.Tuloy-tuloy ang aral at diskarte! Heto ang kabuuang listahan ng mga REITs na sinuri ngayong linggo—mula sa Shariah-compliant picks gaya ng DDMPR at RCR, hanggang sa mainstream REITs tulad ng AREIT at VREIT. Alamin kung alin ang may buwelo, alin ang sideways pa, at kung kailan pwedeng pumasok kahit board lot lang ang kaya ng puhunan.
Shariah-Compliant REITs
Reviewed for Public Awareness
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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