Micro Stock Trader: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Trade Review: Weekly Chart as of July 21, 2025

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Weekly chart of URC showing breakout over MA50 with recent tactical buy at ₱94

Eto na ang buwelo ng URC—nakasampa na sa trend at volume!

Nilalaman:

Panimula
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Trade Cycle Status Update
Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
Final Recommendation

Panimula

Alam niyo na, mga kabayan—hindi lang pang-meryenda ang URC, pang-board lot warrior din! Nitong July 21, 2025, sumalang tayo ng test buy sa presyo na ₱94 per share para sa unang board lot na 100 shares. Siyempre, hindi ito bara-bara. Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy at Layer 1 Weekly setup, titingnan natin kung pasado ba ang galawan natin sa ₱10K capital plan.

Handa na? Tara, himayin natin ang diskarte.

🧭 Trade Snapshot

📅 Petsa ng Trade: July 21, 2025
📈 Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
📉 Entry Price: ₱94.00
📊 Shares: 100
💸 Net Amount: ₱942.79 (kasama na fees)
🧭 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
📂 Entry Type: Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
📦 Total Capital Plan: ₱10,000 (1 board lot = 100 shares)

✅ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

1. Identify Market State & Trend Context
Sa weekly chart, tuloy-tuloy ang pag-akyat mula sa bottom band na nasa ₱66 area. Nakaakyat na rin sa ibabaw ng MA20 at MA50. Tuloy-tuloy ang higher highs at higher lows. ✅
Score: 10/10

2. Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Ang entry natin na ₱94 ay within the long-term retracement range (45–75%) mula sa dating high. Hindi pa overvalued—pasok sa criteria ng discounted recovery. ✅
Score: 9/10

3. Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
May makapal na green candle nung June–July na sinabayan ng volume spike. May signs ng early institutional interest. Walang masyadong shadow sa recent green bars. ✅
Score: 10/10

4. Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Tamang-tama ang pasok sa technical setup: test buy above MA8 at MA50 confluence. May improving long-term thesis sa consumer demand recovery. ✅
Score: 9/10

5. Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Ang initial SL ay puwedeng itakda sa ilalim ng MA50 o mid-range ng breakout base sa ₱86–₱88. Hindi masyadong malayo from our entry. Risk-reward okay. ✅
Score: 9/10

6. Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Nagkaroon ng bullish color shift since May 2025. Series of green bars at walang malalaking bearish engulfing na sumira sa trend. ✅
Score: 10/10

7. Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Targeting phased exit at ₱106 (prior resistance) and ₱115 (psych level + approaching MA200). May logic ang mga exit levels base sa chart at valuation. ✅
Score: 9/10

8. Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Puwede tayong magdagdag near ₱90 kung mag-hold ang MA8. Layer 2 possible kapag may mini base ulit above breakout. Nakapwesto tayo nang maaga. ✅
Score: 9/10

9. Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Sinunod ang Layered Accumulation plan: ₱10K total capital, ₱1K initial buy (test lot). Hindi tayo all-in. ✅
Score: 10/10

10. Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
URC is a food security stock—panalo sa Shariah-compliant investing at socially relevant pa. Pang-defensive portfolio. ✅
Score: 10/10

📊 Final Score: 95 / 100

🧠 Trade Cycle Status Update

Phase 2: Monitoring the Trend

Pasok na tayo sa trade at may initial confirmation na ng trend continuation. Dito papasok ang “observe + layer” strategy. Ang goal: bantayan ang galaw above MA8 at antabayanan kung may susunod na signal for additional buy.

⚖️ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader: Solid ang Entry!

Pasado sa 95 out of 100 na score. Ang entry natin sa ₱94 ay swak sa Layer 1 tactical buy. Nasa sweet spot tayo ng recovery phase, na sinabayan ng volume at positive technical signals.

Kung ihahalintulad natin, parang bumili ka ng bigas bago magtaasan ang presyo—handa sa future at sulit ang halaga.

🔭 Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

Entry Zone: Already bought at ₱94
Next Add Point: Above ₱95 with strong volume or pullback sa ₱90–₱91
Cut Loss: Below ₱86
Target Price 1: ₱106
Target Price 2: ₱115
Position Size Strategy: Small test position pa lang—handang magdagdag kapag may follow-through or stable base ulit

📌 Reminder: Monitor weekly closes. Huwag habulin ang rallies. Alalay sa pagdagdag.

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

✅ Recommendation: Buy at ₱94 as part of tactical Layer 1 positioning during recovery phase
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱86 to guard against breakdown from current base
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exit at ₱106, full at ₱115
✅ Position Size Strategy: Small starter lot, add if sustained breakout or stable consolidation above MA8

🔁 Closing Reflection

Hindi natin kontrolado ang galaw ng merkado, pero kontrolado natin kung kailan papasok, paano lalabas, at kailan magdadagdag. ‘Yan ang tunay na diskarte.

📌 Trade Simulation Update #8

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio | Capital Allocation: ₱150,000
Trade Simulation #8 | Shares: 1,000 | Price: ₱94 | Value: ₱94,000.

Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang URC live trade na ito tungo sa isang simulated trade ng 1,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱94. Bahagi ito ng ating Halal Core Growth Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱150,000.

Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.

🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.