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Thursday, July 24, 2025

Ethical Turnaround Picks — Subok ng Puso Series #5

Micro Stock Trader Blog₱150,000 Allocation | Risk-Managed Rebounds Aligned with Ethics

Illustration titled “Ethical Turnaround Picks — Subok ng Puso Series #5” with a yellow-orange background, bar graph, green arrow, red circle with crescent and star, and ticker labels PCOR and SCC alongside the text “Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy.”
Series #5 of the Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy series, featuring the tickers PCOR and SCC with Islamic design motifs and a golden-orange background that reflects the ethical yet bold nature of turnaround investing.

📅 Petsa ng Paglalathala: July 24, 2025
♻️ Series #5 of 7 | Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


📌 Objective:

To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.

Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.


📉 Selected Turnaround Stocks

In this strategy, we focus on companies that are currently Shariah-certified and can be considered under the lens of:

  • Economic turnaround story

  • No core involvement in haram industries

  • Temporary tactical positions only

  • Close monitoring and proper screening of financial exposure to interest


🛢️ PCOR (Petron Corporation) — ₱75,000

✔️ Energy sector rebound play
✔️ Recently posted recovering earnings and stronger cash flow
⚠️ Has interest-bearing debt — but if held short-term and monitored, qualifies under ethical turnaround filter

Position rationale: As fuel demand returns and margins improve, PCOR is strategically positioned to benefit from cyclical recovery. Good for short- to mid-term holding. 💼

📊 Upgraded Layered Accumulation Plan (₱75,000 Capital Plan | 1,000 Shares per Lot)

Ang plano natin ay hatiin ang capital into 3 strategic layers to allow tactical flexibility in case bumaba pa ang presyo o biglang mag-breakout.

Layer 1 – Base Buy Zone
📍 ₱2.48–₱2.52
🧺 Buy 10 board lots = 10,000 shares
💸 Approx. Capital: ₱25,000
🔍 Rationale: Test buy zone within initial support, aligned sa unang entry natin. May early signs ng base-building dito.

Layer 2 – Support Rebound Zone
📍 ₱2.35–₂.38
🧺 Buy 10 board lots = 10,000 shares
💸 Approx. Capital: ₱23,500
🔍 Rationale: Tactical re-entry sa mas solid support area. May invalidation level just below, so risk is defined.

Layer 3 – Breakout Confirmation Zone
📍 ₱2.56–₂.60
🧺 Buy 10 board lots = 10,000 shares
💸 Approx. Capital: ₱25,800
🔍 Rationale: Add-on only upon breakout confirmation above ₱2.55–2.60, with strong volume.

Total Estimated Capital Usage: ₱74,300
(With slight room for fees/slippage)


🎯 Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

We apply progressive trimming to secure gains, manage risk, and avoid emotional exits. Guided by realistic price targets based on historical resistance and volume behavior.

🎯 Target 1 – Swing Trim Zone
📍 ₱2.70
🔖 Partial Sell: Sell 10,000 shares
💰 Objective: Lock in early swing gains at ~8% from base entry

🎯 Target 2 – Full Review Zone
📍 ₱2.85
🔖 Full Sell: Remaining 20,000 shares
💰 Objective: Total swing exit at 13–15% profit zone, or reassess if momentum strong

Optional Bonus Target:
📍 ₱3.00+ – Only if strong geopolitical news fuels price spike. Gamitin kung biglang sumipa ang oil sector.


✅ Final Tactical Strategy Summary (Upgraded for ₱75K)

  • ✅ Entry Plan: Tactical base buy at ₱2.48–₱2.52, add at ₱2.35 on dip or ₱2.56 on breakout

  • ✅ Stop-Loss: Hard stop below ₱2.35 (invalidates thesis and Layer 2)

  • ✅ Profit Plan: Trim at ₱2.70, full review at ₱2.85, optional bonus exit at ₱3.00+

  • ✅ Capital Usage: 3 layers x 10,000 shares = 30,000 shares max

  • ✅ Risk Strategy: Defined invalidation. No averaging down past Layer 2.


🌱 Final Reflection: May Plano, May Puso

Sa panahon ng tensyon sa pandaigdigang merkado, hindi sapat ang tapang—kailangan ay may disiplina. Ginamit natin ang PCOR bilang tactical play, pero hindi tayo basta tumataya. May layers, may exit, at higit sa lahat—may limitasyon.

Hindi lahat ng umaakyat ay dapat habulin. Pero ‘pag nakita mong may buwelo, may base, at may dahilan—handa tayong sumalo, basta alam din natin kung kailan bibitaw.


⛏️ SCC (Semirara Mining and Power Corp.) — ₱75,000

✔️ Dominant coal energy player with improving dividend outlook
✔️ Ethical concerns due to coal, but no haram revenue stream like alcohol, pork, or riba
⚠️ Must be evaluated as a temporary opportunity and not a long-term core hold

Position rationale: Recent corrections may offer entry for a rebound play. Tactical rotation only, with clear exit triggers. ⛏️


✅ Rationale

Bakit sila kasama?

✔️ No direct haram revenue
✔️ Clear economic recovery signs
✔️ Short-term to mid-term time horizon only
✔️ Ethical filtering applied on debt, interest exposure, and business model

Ito ang mga kumpanya na nasa muling pagbangon, gaya ng ibang pagkakataon sa buhay. Kung tama ang timing at maingat ang pagsubaybay, maaaring makamit ang kita na hindi ikinakahiyang ipagdasal.


💰 Suggested Capital Allocation

🛢️ PCOR – ₱75,000
⛏️ SCC – ₱75,000

Balanced allocation between two high-risk but high-reward turnaround plays.
Rule: Exit kapag nasira ang thesis, hindi dahil sa kaba lang.
Hindi ito para sa mga mahina ang loob, kundi para sa mga may tapang pero may takot sa Allah ﷻ.


🌱 Final Reflection

Hindi lahat ng trading ay puti o itim. May mga kulay-abo sa gitna na dapat daanin sa tamang niyyah, disiplina, at monitoring.

“Kung ang puso mo ay kasama sa trade, siguraduhin mong ang konsensya mo ay hindi naguguluhan sa kinikita mo.”

The Ethical Turnaround Picks Portfolio is a bold but bounded step, where risk is acknowledged and faith is still the compass.

Because even in rebound plays—

"Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy."


📌 Next in the Series:
Series #6 — TACTICAL ROTATION FUND (BOARD LOT WARRIOR ACCOUNT)
Abangan ang kwento ng ating real-time tactical trades with live capital and documented lessons.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


✅ Subok ng Puso Series Recap — Tap to Explore the Whole Journey

🎯 7-Part Portfolio Series of a Muslim Retail Stock Trader. Combining Disciplined Strategy with Deep Conviction.

📌 Complete Line-Up:

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog
Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

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