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Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: DDMP REIT (DDMPR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

DDMP REIT, Inc. (DDMPR) remains a key player in the Philippine real estate investment trust sector. As of January 31, 2025, the stock price remains in a consolidation phase, presenting a potential opportunity for investors looking for a steady dividend yield while monitoring technical signals.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: DDMP REIT, Inc. (DDMPR)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 1.06
  • High: 1.10
  • Low: 1.05
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.10
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 1.40

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 1.30 (Previous key resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 1.20 (Significant rejection area)
  • 50% Pullback: 1.10 (Current short-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 1.00 (Long-term support zone)

This analysis follows the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

DDMP REIT (DDMPR) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

DDMP REIT (DDMPR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend remains bearish to neutral, as the price is below the 200-MA (1.40).
  • Short-term movement shows consolidation, with price hovering near the 1.05–1.10 range.
  • Monthly rejection at 1.10 suggests sellers remain active near resistance.

✅ Market State: Consolidation below resistance.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor for breakout above 1.10 or accumulation near 1.00.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: Price is below the 200-MA, indicating a weak long-term trend.
  • Retracement Zone: Currently at the 50% retracement level (1.10), where it faced resistance.

✅ Favorable for gradual accumulation near 1.00–1.05.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Wait for breakout or deeper pullback.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • No power bars or strong breakouts this month.
  • Volume remains stable, suggesting controlled buying interest.

✅ Price stability observed, but no clear momentum shift.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need a strong breakout above 1.10.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • Our BUY trades at 1.06 align with a consolidation strategy, but price has yet to break resistance.
  • A confirmed move above 1.10 would validate an upside bias.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No aggressive adding unless 1.00 support is retested.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss below 1.00 to minimize downside exposure.
  • Downside risk remains contained unless price breaks below 1.00.

✅ Risk is controlled, but further downside must be managed.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss below 1.00 remains intact.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • A small red candle closing at 1.06 suggests lack of momentum.
  • No strong reversal signals yet.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Take partial profits near 1.15–1.20 if a breakout occurs.
  • Exit strategy remains unchanged unless momentum shifts.

✅ Hold for dividends while monitoring resistance levels.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate exit required.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 1.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding at 1.00 for better risk-reward.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No rush to add positions.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 1.06 (3,000 shares on Jan 23, 1,000 shares on Jan 31) indicate gradual accumulation.
  • Next steps depend on whether 1.00 support holds or 1.10 breaks.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Continue monitoring for an ideal setup.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trades are necessary as the stock remains in a neutral phase.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action needed.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain existing positions at 1.06, but avoid aggressive adding until a clear breakout or support test at 1.00.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.00 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 1.15–1.20 for partial exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold current position and consider adding if price stabilizes at 1.00.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 1.10 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends while monitoring technical levels.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 1.00 level for potential re-entry or stop-loss activation.
🚨 Final Thought: The stock remains in a consolidation phase. A breakout above 1.10 is needed to confirm an uptrend, while support at 1.00 must hold to prevent further downside. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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